Defensive Scan

Scan

Defensive Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 46 rows · screens, not recommendations ported fromresearch/classic/scans/2026-04-26-defensive-scan.md

Defensive rotation is NOT working as a safe haven — T and VZ enter oversold (RSI 27-29) while COST at 52-week highs; PPC in freefall -18% 3M; XLP staples ETF weak; only utilities (XLU, TSN) showing green.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Mixed — defensive thesis broken; COST outperforming everything; telcos collapsing into oversold territory
Key insight T (RSI 29) and VZ (RSI 27) entering oversold — but with death cross risk; COST $1,011 near highs; PPC -18% 3M is the surprise loser; XLU utilities quietly strong

Price Table

Telecom / Defensive Yield

Stock Price 7D 30D 3M RSI vs SMA20 52wkHi% Trend Status Action
T $25.61 -6.93% -6.67% +9.58% 29.2 -7.8% -14.0% down 🟢 Oversold 📈 Accumulate
VZ $45.42 -7.02% -9.54% +15.75% 26.9 -6.8% -12.1% weak-down 🟢 Oversold 📈 Accumulate

Consumer Staples / Food

Stock Price 7D 30D 3M RSI vs SMA20 52wkHi% Trend Status Action
WMT $124.57 +0.21% -0.92% +3.99% 49.8 +0.5% -7.5% weak-down 🟡 Neutral 🔒 Hold
COST $1,011.15 +0.71% +3.72% +3.57% 55.8 +0.9% -5.2% strong-up 🟢 Strong 🔒 Hold
MCD $299.36 -3.04% -3.96% -3.81% 37.8 -2.2% -12.4% down 🟡 Weak 🔍 Watch
HRL $21.55 +0.33% -5.19% -12.04% 47.2 +0.7% -32.4% strong-down 🟡 Weak ❌ Avoid
TSN $64.45 +1.34% +4.24% +7.49% 57.0 +2.5% -3.0% strong-up 🟢 Strong 🔒 Hold
PPC $33.64 -3.04% -8.44% -18.69% 29.2 -6.6% -39.0% strong-down 🟢 Oversold ❌ Avoid

Home Improvement / Retail

Stock Price 7D 30D 3M RSI vs SMA20 52wkHi% Trend Status Action
HD $335.89 -2.92% +1.02% -12.52% 46.3 +0.2% -21.3% strong-down 🟡 Neutral 🔍 Watch
LOW $244.45 -2.31% +4.0% -11.62% 50.2 +1.4% -16.6% down 🟡 Neutral 🔍 Watch
TGT $117.88 -0.05% +0.71% +8.44% 48.3 -0.5% -6.4% strong-up 🟡 Neutral 🔒 Hold
SBUX $97.48 +3.27% -0.35% +7.63% 57.9 +4.4% -7.0% strong-up 🟢 Strong 🔒 Hold

Chemicals / Industrials (Defensive Flavor)

Stock Price 7D 30D 3M RSI vs SMA20 52wkHi% Trend Status Action
ECL $269.49 -3.08% +0.35% -4.74% 47.0 0.0% -12.9% down 🟡 Neutral 🔒 Hold

Sector ETFs

Stock Price 7D 30D 3M RSI vs SMA20 52wkHi% Trend Status Action
XLP $81.55 +0.05% -3.49% -0.27% 42.7 -0.6% -9.5% weak-down 🟡 Neutral 🔒 Hold
XLU $46.39 +1.19% -1.15% +8.21% 53.7 +0.8% -3.0% strong-up 🟢 Strong 🔒 Hold

Tier Analysis

RSI < 30 — Oversold

Stock Price RSI 30D% Notes
VZ $45.42 26.9 -9.54% Telecom utility, RSI 27, golden cross; 5.4% yield; near 52wk low zone
T $25.61 29.2 -6.67% AT&T, RSI 29, golden cross; dividend reinstated; -14% from 52wk high
PPC $33.64 29.2 -8.44% Pilgrim's Pride (chicken), RSI 29, -39% from high, death cross — different thesis

RSI 30–40 — Approaching Oversold

Stock Price RSI 30D% Notes
MCD $299.36 37.8 -3.96% Golden arches, -12% from high, golden cross — consumer spending pressure

RSI 40+ — Neutral to Strong

Stock Price RSI 30D% Notes
COST $1,011.15 55.8 +3.72% Warehouse retail, strong-up, golden cross, near 52wk high — defensive growth
SBUX $97.48 57.9 -0.35% Coffee comeback, strong-up, golden cross; new CEO turnaround narrative intact
TSN $64.45 57.0 +4.24% Protein value play, strong-up, golden cross, near 52wk high
XLU $46.39 53.7 -1.15% Utilities ETF, strong-up, golden cross; AI power demand + defensive yield

Entry Zones

OVERSOLD (RSI < 30) — High Yield Contrarian Entry

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Action Notes
VZ $45.42 <$45 26.9 -9.54% 📈 Accumulate RSI 27, golden cross, 5.4% dividend yield; -12% from 52wkHi; yield support
T $25.61 <$25.50 29.2 -6.67% 📈 Accumulate RSI 29, golden cross, 4.5% yield; telecom recovery thesis; +9.58% 3M before this drop

APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 37-43)

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Action Notes
MCD $299.36 <$295 37.8 -3.96% 🔍 Watch Consumer spending pressure; golden cross holds; -12% from high
XLP $81.55 <$80 42.7 -3.49% 🔍 Watch Sector ETF; weak-down; watch for RSI < 40 flush

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
📈 ACCUMULATE VZ, T RSI 27-29, golden cross, high dividend yield — oversold entry zone
🔒 HOLD COST, TSN, SBUX Near 52-wk highs, strong trends — defensive growth names working
🔒 HOLD XLU, TGT, WMT, ECL Stable to modest outperformance; intact trends
🔍 WATCH MCD, HD, LOW Weak trends, golden cross still holds — watch for RSI < 35 entry
❌ AVOID HRL, PPC HRL structural decline -32% from high; PPC -39% from high with death cross
⚠️ CAUTION XLP Staples ETF underperforming; defensive rotation not working in this tape

What Changed vs 2026-04-10

Stock Apr 10 Apr 26 16D Move Note
VZ ~$49 / RSI ~42 $45.42 / RSI 27 -7% approx Entered oversold — new entry zone
T ~$27.50 / RSI ~38 $25.61 / RSI 29 -7% approx Entered oversold — new entry zone
COST ~$975 / RSI ~50 $1,011.15 / RSI 56 +3.7% Continuing higher — clear winner in defensive space
PPC ~$37 / RSI ~40 $33.64 / RSI 29 -9% approx Accelerating breakdown — death cross adds pressure
XLU ~$43 / RSI ~46 $46.39 / RSI 54 +7.9% Utilities outperforming — AI power demand + safety bid
SBUX ~$94 / RSI ~52 $97.48 / RSI 58 +3.7% CEO turnaround narrative gaining traction
MCD ~$310 / RSI ~44 $299.36 / RSI 38 -3.4% Continued slide toward oversold; golden cross still holds

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
VZ and T both RSI < 30 simultaneously Rare dual-oversold in telecom — yield-seeking buyers likely to step in; classic accumulate zone
XLU strong-up with golden cross at RSI 54 Utilities benefiting from BOTH defensive rotation AND AI power demand story
COST near 52-wk high while XLP weak Warehouse model is the defensive winner — consumer trading down to value, not staples
PPC death cross + -39% from high Chicken/protein input costs + consumer trade-down from branded is real pressure

Open Questions

  • VZ/T oversold: is the drop tariff-driven (CapEx fear) or genuine subscriber-loss signal?
  • SBUX turnaround — is RSI 58 justified by new CEO progress or just bounce from extreme low?
  • Does XLP have another leg down if consumer staples miss earnings in May cycle?
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.