Travel & Leisure Scan
Travel & Leisure Scan
Hotels leading (MAR/HLT/ABNB at golden-cross uptrends); cruises broken (NCLH RSI 38, CCL still in death cross); BKNG cracking (-26% from high, RSI 45). War-ends-playbook beneficiary thesis only halfway working.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Bifurcated — hotels working, cruises/online-travel broken |
| Key insight | MAR/HLT/ABNB the structural longs (-5 to -6% from 52w high); NCLH oversold (RSI 38); BKNG broken |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | 52wkHi | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAR | $358.33 | 54.5 | +0.6% | -4.62% | +12.22% | +12.28% | -5.7% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| RCL | $282.31 | 51.9 | +2.9% | -3.97% | +0.53% | +2.83% | -22.94% | strong-down | 🔍 Watch |
| BKNG | $173.38 | 44.7 | -3% | -8.25% | +5.27% | -15.04% | -25.77% | strong-down | 🔍 Watch |
| ABNB | $139.04 | 56.3 | +3.2% | -3.03% | +12.95% | +5.52% | -5.58% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| EXPE | $242.17 | 47.6 | -1.2% | -11.62% | +6.91% | -11.03% | -20.29% | up | 🔍 Watch |
| HLT | $323.36 | 51.3 | -0.4% | -2.92% | +9.29% | +8.10% | -6.2% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| CCL | $26.30 | 45.7 | -3.5% | -5.58% | +9.77% | -15.19% | -22.72% | strong-down | 🔍 Watch |
| NCLH | $17.79 | 38.0 | -8.8% | -9.50% | +0.79% | -22.38% | -34.55% | strong-down | 🔍 Watch |
Tier Analysis
Hotel leadership: MAR (RSI 55, +19.6% vs SMA200, -5.7% from high), HLT (RSI 51, +13.1% vs SMA200, -6.2% from high), ABNB (RSI 56, +8.4% vs SMA200, -5.6% from high). All three in strong-up, golden cross, near-ATH zones. Premium hotel demand intact.
Online travel split: BKNG broken (-26% from high, strong-down, death cross), EXPE in weak uptrend but lost -11.6% in 7D. The aggregator/OTA model is under more pressure than direct-hotel.
Cruises broken: RCL holding the best (RSI 52 but trend strong-down), CCL/NCLH worse. NCLH the worst — RSI 38, -22% on 3M, death cross. Premium cruise (RCL) holding, mass cruise (NCLH/CCL) bleeding.
War-Ends Playbook Read
Half-working: hotels confirm international travel demand resilient (the bull case). Cruises broken (the bear case — discretionary tourist budget pressure). BKNG/EXPE pulling back signals OTA-specific issues, not pure thesis failure.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCLH | $17.79 | 38 | +0.79% | Approaching oversold, but trend still strong-down — knife |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | MAR, HLT, ABNB | Hotel leadership — strong-up, near 52w high |
| 🔍 WATCH | RCL | Best cruise chart but trend still strong-down |
| 🔍 WATCH | BKNG, EXPE | OTA names broken — wait for stabilization |
| 🔍 WATCH | CCL, NCLH | Mass cruise capitulating |
What Changed
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.