Travel & Leisure Scan
Scan
Travel & Leisure Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 24 rows · screens, not recommendations
Travel sector broadly strong — hotels (MAR/HLT) at or within 3% of 52wk highs with golden cross structures; cruises (RCL/CCL) up 24% in 30D continuing recovery; OTAs mixed with BKNG still -24.8% from high while EXPE/ABNB strengthen; no oversold entries, momentum intact across the board.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟠 Broadly extended — RSI 61–67 across all names; sector momentum intact since May lows but no fresh entry points |
| Key insight | MAR/HLT at all-time-high range (RSI 66–67, golden cross, -0.5 to -2.9% from 52wk high); NCLH +33.2% 30D leads cruise recovery but still -25.2% from high; BKNG remains the structural laggard (-24.8% from high, downtrend) |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | 52wk Hi% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAR | $399.10 | 66.4 | $383.14 | +4.2% | +0.5% | +11.3% | +22.2% | -2.9% | 🔒 Hold |
| RCL | $312.84 | 64.9 | $279.19 | +12.1% | +10.8% | +24.5% | +13.2% | -14.6% | 🔍 Watch |
| BKNG | $175.72 | 62.3 | $164.83 | +6.6% | +4.1% | +13.6% | -0.9% | -24.8% | ⚠️ Caution |
| ABNB | $141.20 | 61.7 | $133.86 | +5.5% | +3.2% | +5.1% | +7.0% | -4.1% | 🔒 Hold |
| EXPE | $243.56 | 61.8 | $225.38 | +8.1% | +1.4% | +13.5% | +1.2% | -19.8% | 🔍 Watch |
| HLT | $350.22 | 67.0 | $334.65 | +4.7% | +0.1% | +10.1% | +16.3% | -0.5% | 🔒 Hold |
| CCL | $30.90 | 66.5 | $27.47 | +12.5% | +7.3% | +24.1% | +23.9% | -9.2% | 🔍 Watch |
| NCLH | $20.33 | 64.7 | $18.11 | +12.3% | +4.6% | +33.2% | +0.3% | -25.2% | 🔍 Watch |
Tier Analysis
RSI < 25 — Extreme Oversold: None.
RSI 25–40 — Oversold / Entry Zone: None.
RSI 60–67 — Extended across the full sector:
Hotels — Near ATH, Golden Cross (Best Structure):
- HLT (67.0): RSI 67 is the highest in the group — golden cross, strong-up, only -0.5% from 52wk high. +16.3% 3M. HLT is essentially at an all-time high. Don't add; hold existing.
- MAR (66.4): Same profile as HLT — golden cross, strong-up, -2.9% from 52wk high, +22.2% 3M. Sector's cleanest long-term compounder (5Y +199%). RSI 66 is elevated; no add here.
Cruises — Sharp Recovery, Significant Upside Remaining:
- CCL (66.5): +12.5% vs SMA20, +24.1% 30D, +23.9% 3M. Death cross technically active but price running hard. -9.2% from 52wk high. RSI 66.5 is getting extended for a death-cross name; watch for RSI pullback to 50–55 before adding.
- RCL (64.9): +12.1% vs SMA20, +24.5% 30D. Death cross active, -14.6% from 52wk high. Strong momentum but same extended-RSI caution as CCL. Better structure than NCLH (lower drawdown from high).
- NCLH (64.7): Biggest 30D mover at +33.2% but worst structural position — -25.2% from 52wk high, death cross, flat 3M (+0.3%). Pure bounce-from-lows momentum. Most beta, most risk. RSI 64.7 on a structurally weak name.
OTAs — Mixed; BKNG Still Lagging:
- ABNB (61.7): Golden cross, strong-up trend, -4.1% from 52wk high. Best structural OTA setup. +5.1% 30D is modest but thesis intact. Hold.
- EXPE (61.8): Death cross technically active but price has recovered substantially — +8.1% vs SMA20, +13.5% 30D. -19.8% from 52wk high means more recovery room than ABNB. Watch for RSI reset.
- BKNG (62.3): Downtrend regime confirmed; still -24.8% from 52wk high despite +13.6% 30D bounce. Death cross, SMA200 ($190) above current price ($175). RSI 62 looks deceptively healthy — structure is broken. The weakest name in the group.
Entry Zones
EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 25): None
OVERSOLD (RSI 25–40): None
WATCHING — Wait for RSI Pullback
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D% | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL | $312.84 | Pullback to $285–295 | 64.9 | +24.5% | 🔍 Watch | Death cross; extended 12% above SMA20; wait for RSI reset to 50–55 |
| CCL | $30.90 | Pullback to $27–28 | 66.5 | +24.1% | 🔍 Watch | Death cross bounce extended; RSI 66.5 on a weak-structure name |
| NCLH | $20.33 | Pullback to $17–18 | 64.7 | +33.2% | 🔍 Watch | -25.2% from high; highest beta cruise; wait for consolidation |
| EXPE | $243.56 | Pullback to $225–230 | 61.8 | +13.5% | 🔍 Watch | More recovery room than ABNB; wait for RSI < 55 before add |
HOLD — Near ATH, Don't Add
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D% | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAR | $399.10 | Hold | 66.4 | +11.3% | 🔒 Hold | -2.9% from 52wk high; 5Y +199%; no add at RSI 66 |
| HLT | $350.22 | Hold | 67.0 | +10.1% | 🔒 Hold | -0.5% from 52wk high; essentially ATH; hold only |
| ABNB | $141.20 | Hold / dip add $130–133 | 61.7 | +5.1% | 🔒 Hold | Best OTA structure; golden cross; entry on dip to $130 |
AVOID / CAUTION — Broken or Misleading RSI
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D% | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKNG | $175.72 | Wait | 62.3 | +13.6% | ⚠️ Caution | Downtrend regime; SMA200 above price; -24.8% from high; don't let RSI mislead |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | MAR, HLT | At ATH range, golden cross; sector leaders; no add at RSI 66–67 |
| 🔒 HOLD | ABNB | Best OTA structure (golden cross, -4% from high); hold, dip-add at $130 |
| 🔍 WATCH | RCL, CCL | Death-cross bounce extended +12% vs SMA20; wait for RSI pullback to 50–55 |
| 🔍 WATCH | NCLH | Highest 30D momentum (+33.2%) but worst structure; most risk; wait |
| 🔍 WATCH | EXPE | Recovery underway; more room than ABNB; wait for RSI reset |
| ⚠️ CAUTION | BKNG | RSI 62 misleads — active downtrend, SMA200 overhead, -24.8% from high |
What Changed
Since the May 29 scan, notable moves across all names:
- MAR $375 → $399 (+6.3%) — continued march toward ATH; RSI now 66.4 vs 60.8 prior; approaching overbought
- HLT $327 → $350 (+7.0%) — same trajectory as MAR; RSI 67 vs 54.7 prior; essentially at all-time high
- RCL $284 → $312 (+9.8%) — death-cross bounce accelerating; RSI 64.9 vs 59.7 prior
- CCL $28 → $30.9 (+10.1%) — cruise recovery momentum sustained; RSI 66.5 vs 60 prior
- NCLH $18.34 → $20.33 (+10.8%) — continues to be the highest-beta cruise name; +33.2% 30D now
- BKNG $167 → $175 (+4.7%) — smallest gains in the group; still the structural laggard; downtrend regime confirmed
- ABNB $133 → $141 (+5.9%) — quietly strengthening; golden cross confirmed; nearing -4% from 52wk high
- EXPE $225 → $243 (+7.9%) — recovering from prior downtrend; -19.8% from high still offers room
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