Healthcare Scan
Scan
Healthcare Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 38 rows · screens, not recommendations
Healthcare sector deeply bifurcated: UNH/CVS/LLY/JNJ/MRK breaking out while medtech (ISRG, ABT, SYK) and ZTS collapse — the sector is NOT homogeneous; insurers + managed care + GLP-1 pharma are winning, legacy devices are losing.
Source: healthcare.json
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Healthcare divided by sub-sector — managed care (UNH +42.6% 3M, RSI 67) and biopharma (LLY, JNJ, MRK) advancing while devices (ISRG, ABT, SYK) and animal health (ZTS) in structural decline; net: favor pharma/insurer, exit devices |
| Leaders | UNH ($407.65, RSI 67, near ATH -2%), CVS ($100.72, RSI 70, +35.8% 3M), LLY ($1122.50, RSI 60, +13.6% 30D), JNJ ($235.18, RSI 56, near ATH -6.6%) |
| Laggards | ZTS ($79.33, RSI 37, -34.5% 3M, collapse), ISRG ($417.07, RSI 44, -13.6% 3M, deathcross), ABT ($90.62, RSI 54, -17.6% 3M), VEEV ($163.38, RSI 46, -12.5% 3M, collapse) |
| Key insight | CVS at RSI 70 near ATH after +35.8% 3M — managed care re-rating as ACA enrollment + PBM pricing reform plays out; UNH +42.6% 3M = strongest large-cap recovery in the scan |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | 52wkHi% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZTS | $79.33 | 37.1 ↓ | -0.1% | -1.84% | +2.07% | -34.52% | -51.73% | ❌ Don't Buy |
| ISRG | $417.07 | 44.1 | -1.3% | -2.93% | -5.19% | -13.61% | -30.93% | ❌ Don't Buy |
| MRK | $115.17 | 47.4 | -1.7% | -3.53% | +3.05% | +0.11% | -7.97% | 🔍 Watch |
| GILD | $127.23 | 46.5 | -1.1% | -1.01% | -1.23% | -11.31% | -19.11% | 🔍 Watch |
| VEEV | $163.38 | 46.3 ↓ | -2.4% | -5.03% | -0.29% | -12.49% | -47.38% | ❌ Don't Buy |
| TMO | $472.63 | 50.1 | +0.4% | -3.47% | +7.04% | +0.08% | -26.61% | 🔍 Watch |
| PFE | $26.04 | 51.9 | +0.7% | +1.36% | +2.80% | -3.56% | -9.43% | 🔍 Watch |
| SYK | $310.58 | 51.5 | +0.9% | -0.58% | -0.84% | -10.80% | -23.29% | 🔍 Watch |
| BIIB | $195.61 | 51.7 | +0.5% | +1.42% | +1.93% | +5.57% | -5.03% | 🔒 Hold |
| MDT | $81.32 | 57.0 | +3.5% | -2.18% | +5.17% | -7.30% | -23.52% | 🔍 Watch |
| ABT | $90.62 | 54.3 | +2.5% | -3.47% | +3.08% | -17.63% | -34.83% | 🔍 Watch |
| DXCM | $73.16 | 55.8 | -0.1% | -5.36% | +12.40% | +8.67% | -18.69% | 🔒 Hold |
| AMGN | $347.84 | 55.4 | +2.1% | +1.50% | +7.23% | -2.95% | -11.10% | 🔒 Hold |
| VRTX | $453.17 | 58.6 | +3.0% | +1.56% | +3.80% | -2.02% | -10.78% | 🔒 Hold |
| JNJ | $235.18 | 56.2 | +1.7% | +1.57% | +3.33% | -0.66% | -6.57% | 🔒 Hold |
| LLY | $1,122.50 | 60.3 | +2.1% | -2.63% | +13.60% | +20.86% | -5.09% | 🔒 Hold |
| MRNA | $55.40 | 64.4 | +14.8% | +10.58% | +15.15% | +2.73% | -6.97% | 📈 Accumulate |
| UNH | $407.65 | 66.5 | +4.3% | -0.13% | +4.82% | +42.56% | -2.00% | 🔒 Hold |
| CVS | $100.72 | 69.9 | +6.1% | +4.13% | +4.93% | +35.81% | -1.99% | ⚠️ Approaching Overbought |
Tier Analysis
Oversold / Collapsing (RSI < 45)
- ZTS ($79.33, RSI 37) — Zoetis: animal health in structural collapse. -34.5% 3M, -52% from ATH. Deathcross, strong-down. DO NOT BUY — thesis broken.
- ISRG ($417.07, RSI 44) — Intuitive Surgical: surgical robotics, -13.6% 3M, -31% from ATH. Deathcross active. Was a premium growth name, now in protracted downtrend. No entry.
- VEEV ($163.38, RSI 46) — Veeva Systems: healthcare SaaS, -47% from ATH, collapse regime. Deathcross, strong-down. SaaS multiple re-rating unfinished.
Neutral / Basing (RSI 45–60)
- MRK ($115.17, RSI 47) — Merck: Keytruda franchise + Gardasil; golden cross, strong-up trend. Near ATH (-8%). +52% 1Y. Basing after a strong run. Hold/accumulate on dip.
- GILD ($127.23, RSI 46) — Gilead: HIV antivirals, -11.3% 3M, -19% from ATH. Trend "down" with golden cross. Watch for RSI < 40 entry.
- JNJ ($235.18, RSI 56) — J&J: diversified pharma, near ATH (-6.6%), golden cross. Strong-up. Defensive large-cap with MedTech spin-off (Kenvue) simplifying the story.
- LLY ($1,122.50, RSI 60) — Eli Lilly: GLP-1 franchise oligopoly. +13.6% 30D, near ATH (-5%), golden cross. The sector's premier compounder. Hold.
- AMGN ($347.84, RSI 55) — Amgen: biosimilars + biologics; golden cross, strong-up, near ATH (-11%). Stable.
- TMO ($472.63, RSI 50) — Thermo Fisher: lab tools/CROs; -26.6% from ATH, deathcross, basing. User owned name — watching.
- BIIB ($195.61, RSI 52) — Biogen: Alzheimer's cycle, near ATH (-5%), golden cross. Strong-up. Hold.
Momentum / Approaching Overbought (RSI 60–70+)
- MRNA ($55.40, RSI 64) — Moderna: mRNA platform re-rating. +10.6% 7D, +15.2% 30D, +43% vs SMA200. Golden cross. 1Y +113.9%. Best momentum name in the scan.
- UNH ($407.65, RSI 67) — UnitedHealth: managed care giant, +42.6% 3M, near ATH (-2%). Golden cross, strong-up. Massive recovery after DOJ scrutiny concerns; the insurer thesis re-emerging.
- CVS ($100.72, RSI 70) — CVS Health: pharmacy + PBM + insurance; +35.8% 3M, near ATH (-2%). RSI 70 approaching overbought but thesis intact. Trim risk if not held; don't chase.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | Zone | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LLY | $1,122.50 | <$1,100 | 60.3 | +13.6% | GLP-1 oligopoly; near ATH; GC; accumulate on any dip |
| MRK | $115.17 | <$115 | 47.4 | +3.05% | Keytruda franchise; near ATH (-8%); GC; pullback opportunity |
| GILD | $127.23 | <$120 | 46.5 | -1.23% | HIV antivirals; -19% from ATH; GC; watch for RSI < 40 |
| JNJ | $235.18 | <$235 | 56.2 | +3.33% | Diversified pharma; near ATH; GC; core hold |
| MRNA | $55.40 | <$58 | 64.4 | +15.2% | mRNA re-rating; +43% vs SMA200; momentum is early innings |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | LLY, JNJ, MRK, AMGN, BIIB, VRTX, DXCM, UNH | Trends intact; thesis confirmed; do not sell into strength |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | MRNA | mRNA platform re-rating; +10.6% 7D momentum; golden cross; -7% from ATH = early |
| 🔍 WATCH | GILD, TMO, PFE, MDT, ABT, SYK | Pullbacks with intact theses; wait for RSI confirmation or catalyst |
| ⚠️ AVOID / APPROACHING OVERBOUGHT | CVS | RSI 70, near ATH, +35.8% 3M — don't chase; wait for pullback |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | ZTS, ISRG, VEEV | Broken thesis + deathcross + collapse regime; structural declines not finished |
What Changed
- UNH +42.6% 3M — UnitedHealth Group's largest multi-month run in years. Managed care thesis re-emerging as DOJ scrutiny fears faded and Medicare Advantage holds. Now near ATH, RSI 67.
- CVS +35.8% 3M, RSI 70 — CVS transformation (pharmacy → insurance/MinuteClinic) gaining market credibility. Near ATH after a structural re-rate. Approaching overbought.
- ZTS -34.5% 3M collapse — Zoetis animal health remains the worst name in the scan. -52% from ATH. No signs of reversal.
- ISRG deathcross confirmed — Intuitive Surgical in structural decline. Was market darling; now in downtrend at -31% from ATH.
- MRNA re-rating (also in biotech scan) — Confirmed across both healthcare and biotech scans: mRNA platform recovery is the most significant inflection in the sector.
- ABT -17.6% 3M — Abbott devices weak; -35% from ATH, deathcross. Abbott Libre CGM thesis challenged by competition.
- VEEV collapse — Veeva's healthcare SaaS multiple continues to compress; -47% from ATH, collapse regime.
- JNJ strong — J&J near ATH with golden cross; spinning off consumer (Kenvue) simplified the investment thesis for institutional buyers.
- PFE basing — Pfizer at RSI 51 near ATH (-9.4%), golden cross. Post-COVID pipeline diversification + antiviral slate. No urgency but thesis stabilizing.
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| UNH + CVS both strong vs ZTS + ISRG both collapsed | Healthcare sub-sector rotation: insurers winning, device makers losing |
| MRNA confirmed across both healthcare + biotech scan | Dual-scan confirmation = mRNA re-rating is sector-wide signal, not single-scan noise |
| JNJ near ATH while ISRG/ABT/SYK all down 14-31% | Diversified pharma outperforming focused medtech in this tape |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| Treating ISRG as a forever-hold premium growth name | Surgical robotics has competition risk (J&J Ottava, Medtronic Hugo) — deathcross was the warning |
| Chasing ZTS as an animal health defensive | Animal health has idiosyncratic disease risk; not a true defensive |
Open Questions
Related
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