Healthcare Scan

Scan

Healthcare Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 40 rows · screens, not recommendations

Healthcare is the week's sector-of-the-week — MRK +10.2% 7D (near ATH), JNJ +6.6% 7D (near ATH, RSI 72), LLY +2.7% 7D (+37.8% 3M), UNH at ATH; large-cap pharma and managed care both extended now; the only clean non-ATH setups are AMGN (basing, +8.7% vs SMA200) and PFE (RSI 36, lone deep-oversold).

Source: healthcare.json. Latest bar 2026-06-26 (VRTX stale 2026-06-25).

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟠 XLV week's sector leader — large-cap pharma (JNJ/MRK/LLY) + managed care (UNH/CVS) all at or near ATH with RSI 71-73; MRNA +82% vs VWAP (parabolic); bifurcation narrowed to only ISRG/ZTS still collapsing
Leaders MRK (RSI 70.8, +10.2% 7D, near ATH, +22.7% vs SMA200); JNJ (RSI 72.4, +6.6% 7D, near ATH, +18.3% vs SMA200); UNH (RSI 72.6, +66.1% 3M, at ATH, +29% vs SMA200); LLY (RSI 72.7, +37.8% 3M, near ATH)
Laggards PFE (RSI 36.2↓, -5.2% 7D, -7.3% 30D, below SMA20/50/200); ZTS (RSI 36.6, -32.6% 3M, collapse, -35.6% vs SMA200); ISRG (RSI 41.6, -10.6% 3M, collapse DC)
Froth flags MRNA +82% vs VWAP (poc $25.22 — truly parabolic); UNH +37.2% vs VWAP; CVS +35.1% vs VWAP; JNJ +24.3% vs VWAP — managed care / large-cap pharma is fully priced near-term
Key insight The managed care + pharma re-rate is confirmed but near exhaustion; the new EOW rotation entry is AMGN (basing, reasonable VWAP) and PFE (lone oversold contrarian watch, RSI 36 on the SMA200)

Price Table

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% 52wkHi% Trend Signal
PFE $24.29 36.2 -4.5% -5.2% -7.3% -8.7% -15.5% down GC 🔍 Watch (oversold, GC, -3.8% vs SMA200)
ZTS $76.09 36.6 -3.2% +1.4% -4.3% -32.6% -53.0% strong-down DC ❌ Broken
ISRG $404.70 41.6 -1.6% -0.3% -3.3% -10.6% -33.0% strong-down DC ❌ Broken
DXCM $70.14 48.9 -3.8% -1.8% -0.2% +12.7% -22.1% up DC 🔍 Watch
GILD $127.88 51.7 +1.3% -0.1% -3.7% -4.1% -18.7% down GC 🔍 Watch
VEEV $171.36 57.0 +2.8% +3.4% +8.1% -0.7% -44.8% weak-up DC ⚠️ Avoid (-20.4% vs SMA200, -18.4% vs VWAP)
MDT $80.98 55.2 +2.0% +2.5% +6.6% -7.1% -23.8% weak-up DC 🔍 Watch
AMGN $358.33 62.3 +3.9% +3.2% +6.6% +3.5% -8.4% strong-up GC 📈 Accumulate
ABT $94.12 63.3 +5.1% +6.7% +9.9% -8.9% -31.5% weak-up DC 🔍 Watch (-15.7% vs SMA200)
SYK $332.71 65.2 +8.3% +4.0% +8.8% +1.9% -17.8% weak-up DC 🔍 Watch (-4.3% vs SMA200)
TMO $513.03 66.5 +6.9% +10.1% +12.6% +8.5% -20.3% weak-up DC 🔒 Hold (-2.3% vs SMA200, approaching reclaim)
VRTX‡ $480.18 69.2 +6.8% +4.8% +10.2% +5.8% -5.5% up DC 🔒 Hold
BIIB $216.03 69.3 +9.3% +2.8% +9.7% +17.5% -0.9% strong-up GC 🔒 Hold (+30.3% vs VWAP — getting extended)
MRNA $67.27 71.4 +25.9% +1.8% +41.3% +35.7% -2.9% strong-up GC ⚠️ PARABOLIC (+82% vs VWAP, poc $25.22)
MRK $128.66 70.8 +8.9% +10.2% +7.8% +8.3% -0.1% strong-up GC ⚠️ Extended (near ATH, +30.5% vs VWAP)
CVS $104.34 71.8 +6.4% +3.4% +13.3% +50.2% -1.7% strong-up GC ⚠️ Extended (near ATH, +35.1% vs VWAP)
UNH $427.89 72.6 +6.8% +2.8% +12.1% +66.1% +0.02% strong-up GC ⚠️ Extended (at ATH, +37.2% vs VWAP)
JNJ $254.66 72.4 +8.7% +6.6% +10.1% +6.5% -0.2% strong-up GC ⚠️ Extended (near ATH, +24.3% vs VWAP)
LLY $1,208.12 72.7 +7.7% +2.7% +11.6% +37.8% -0.6% strong-up GC ⚠️ Extended (near ATH, +33.6% vs VWAP)

VRTX stale (2026-06-25 bar).

Tier Analysis

Collapsed / Broken (RSI < 43)

  • PFE ($24.29, RSI 36) — Pfizer: down, GC intact, -3.8% vs SMA200, -5.2% 7D. RSI 36 = deepest oversold in the scan. GC is technically in place but all three SMAs are overhead. Lone contrarian watch — probe only on a confirmed turn off the lows; do not catch mid-flush.
  • ZTS ($76.09, RSI 37) — Zoetis: collapse, DC, -35.6% vs SMA200, -32.6% 3M, -53% from ATH. Worst performer in the scan for the third consecutive week. No sign of reversal. Avoid.
  • ISRG ($404.70, RSI 42) — Intuitive Surgical: collapse, DC, -17.3% vs SMA200, -10.6% 3M, -33% from ATH. Device competition (J&J Ottava, MDT Hugo) continues to compress multiple. Avoid.

Neutral / Watch (RSI 49–66)

  • GILD ($127.88, RSI 52) — Gilead: down, GC, -0.2% vs SMA200. Basing on the SMA200; flat 30D. Watch — cleanest oversold-adjacent setup outside of PFE.
  • DXCM ($70.14, RSI 49) — Dexcom: up, DC, +4.3% vs SMA200, -1.8% 7D. Flat 30D in a mixed trend; not broken, not a buy.
  • MDT ($80.98, RSI 55) — Medtronic: weak-up, DC, -10.8% vs SMA200. +6.6% 30D relief bounce still below the 200. Device downtrend not finished.
  • VEEV ($171.36, RSI 57) — Veeva: weak-up, DC, -20.4% vs SMA200, -44.8% from ATH, -18.4% vs VWAP. Healthcare-SaaS multiple compression ongoing; avoid.
  • ABT ($94.12, RSI 63) — Abbott: weak-up, DC, -15.7% vs SMA200, +6.7% 7D bounce. Same relief-rally-in-downtrend pattern as TMO but further from the 200.
  • SYK ($332.71, RSI 65) — Stryker: weak-up, DC, -4.3% vs SMA200, bounced +4% 7D. Closer to reclaiming the SMA200 than MDT. Watch for GC.
  • AMGN ($358.33, RSI 62) — Amgen: strong-up, GC, +8.7% vs SMA200, +6.6% 30D. Cleanest large-cap accumulate in the scan — not extended (+10.9% vs VWAP vs +24-37% for the leaders).
  • TMO ($513.03, RSI 67) — Thermo Fisher: weak-up, DC, -2.3% vs SMA200, +10.1% 7D. Big EOW week; approaching SMA200 reclaim. Watch closely.

Extended / Leaders (RSI 69–73)

  • BIIB ($216.03, RSI 69) — Biogen: strong-up, GC, +22.6% vs SMA200, +30.3% vs VWAP. Alzheimer franchise holding. Extended vs VWAP; hold but don't add.
  • VRTX ($480.18, RSI 69, stale) — Vertex: up, DC, +8.8% vs SMA200, +10.4% vs VWAP. CF pipeline; basing. Hold.
  • MRK ($128.66, RSI 71) — Merck: strong-up, GC, near ATH (-0.1%), +22.7% vs SMA200, +30.5% vs VWAP (poc at $82). Keytruda re-rate confirmed but fully priced; wait for pullback to SMA20 ($118).
  • JNJ ($254.66, RSI 72) — J&J: strong-up, GC, near ATH (-0.2%), +18.3% vs SMA200, +24.3% vs VWAP (poc at $239). Diversified pharma post-Kenvue; don't chase at current level.
  • UNH ($427.89, RSI 73) — UnitedHealth: strong-up, GC, at ATH, +29% vs SMA200, +37.2% vs VWAP (poc at $282 — price is 52% above the weighted average). Managed-care recovery is fully priced. Hold if owned; do not initiate.
  • CVS ($104.34, RSI 72) — CVS Health: strong-up, GC, near ATH (-1.7%), +30.3% vs SMA200, +35.1% vs VWAP (poc at $76). Same exhaustion read as UNH. Hold; don't add.
  • LLY ($1,208.12, RSI 73) — Eli Lilly: strong-up, GC, near ATH (-0.6%), +24.1% vs SMA200, +33.6% vs VWAP (poc at $1029). GLP-1 oligopoly compounder. Hold position; not a new-entry at these levels.
  • MRNA ($67.27, RSI 71) — Moderna: strong-up, GC, +25.9% above SMA20, +67.6% vs SMA200, +82% vs VWAP (poc at $25 — truly parabolic). Hold if owned from lower; do not initiate.

Entry Zones

Stock Price Zone RSI 30D% Setup
AMGN $358.33 <$350 (SMA20 retest) 62.3 +6.6% Large-cap basing; GC; +8.7% vs SMA200; +10.9% vs VWAP = not extended; best entry in scan
GILD $127.88 <$126 (SMA20 support) 51.7 -3.7% Basing on SMA200; GC; +2.5% vs VWAP; cleanest oversold-adjacent setup
PFE $24.29 <$23.50 36.2 -7.3% Lone deep-oversold (RSI 36); GC; on SMA200; contrarian probe only — wait for a daily close above SMA20
MRK $128.66 <$120 (SMA20 pullback) 70.8 +7.8% Keytruda; GC; near ATH; strong thesis — add on SMA20 pullback, not at current +30.5% vs VWAP
TMO $513.03 Watch SMA200 reclaim ($524.86) 66.5 +12.6% Lab-tools; DC; +10.1% 7D, approaching SMA200; add on confirmed reclaim, not before

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD UNH, JNJ, MRK, LLY, CVS, AMGN, BIIB, VRTX, MRNA Trends intact; don't sell strength — but don't add at current VWAP premiums
📈 ACCUMULATE AMGN Only large-cap not extended vs VWAP; GC; clean basing setup; add on SMA20 retest
🔍 WATCH PFE, GILD, TMO, SYK, MDT, ABT, DXCM PFE lone oversold; TMO approaching SMA200 reclaim; rest are relief rallies in downtrends
⚠️ EXTENDED / DON'T CHASE UNH, CVS, JNJ, MRK, LLY, MRNA RSI 71-73 with 24-82% above VWAP; managed care / pharma re-rate is fully priced
❌ BROKEN / AVOID ISRG, ZTS, VEEV Collapse/strong-down; DC; -17 to -36% vs SMA200; structural de-rates with no reversal signal

What Changed This Week (EOW)

  • MRK +10.2% 7D — the week's standout — Merck reached near-ATH (-0.1%) with RSI 71; +30.5% vs VWAP signals the Keytruda/vaccine re-rate is now a full consensus trade.
  • JNJ +6.6% 7D, near ATH — RSI jumped to 72.4 (from ~65 prior week); the post-Kenvue large-cap pharma thesis fully confirmed.
  • LLY crossed $1,200 — +37.8% 3M, RSI 73, near ATH; GLP-1 oligopoly trade now 33.6% above VWAP (poc at $1029).
  • UNH crossed ATH — RSI 72.6, +66.1% 3M, +37.2% vs VWAP (poc at $282); managed care recovery is the year's best large-cap run.
  • PFE deepened — RSI 36.2 (was 27 prior week — wait, note the prior scan had PFE RSI 26.9; now 36.2 is actually HIGHER, meaning some recovery; but -5.2% 7D contradicts that — data discrepancy with yesterday vs today's fresh bar). Today's bar: price $24.29 (-5.2% 7D), RSI 36.2, GC, -3.8% vs SMA200. Still the lone oversold watch.
  • TMO big week — +10.1% 7D, RSI 66.5, approaching SMA200 ($524.86 vs price $513); the SMA200 reclaim is the key trigger to watch next week.
  • ZTS/ISRG no change — Both remain in structural collapse; ZTS now -53% from ATH (worst name in scan).

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
UNH/CVS/JNJ/MRK all near ATH with RSI 71-73 Healthcare large-cap re-rate is COMPLETE for this cycle — the entry was 2-3 months ago; now it's hold territory only
AMGN +10.9% vs VWAP vs UNH +37.2% vs VWAP AMGN is the only major name where risk/reward is still reasonable — significant divergence from managed care peers
TMO +10.1% 7D approaching SMA200 reclaim Lab-tools may be next to re-rate; the SMA200 reclaim is the tell — watch next week

Mistakes (Don't Repeat)

Mistake Lesson
Chasing UNH/CVS after managed care re-rate ran +37% vs VWAP is exhaustion territory; the right entry was when RSI was 40-50 in the collapse phase
Treating TMO/ABT 30D bounces as SMA200 reclaims TMO still -2.3% below SMA200 (DC); ABT still -15.7% below SMA200; bounces ≠ reclaims
Ignoring ZTS collapse as "it can't go lower" -53% from ATH with no reversal = falling knife; avoid until DC flips

Open Questions

  • PFE RSI 36 with GC: Is this the contrarian turn or does it flush below the SMA200 first?
  • TMO: Does it reclaim the SMA200 ($524.86) next week and flip the trend, or does the DC cap it?
  • UNH +66.1% 3M at ATH: Exhaustion top, or does the managed care re-rate have a second leg into Q3?
10 events

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