Healthcare Scan
Scan
Healthcare Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 38 rows · screens, not recommendations
Healthcare stays sharply bifurcated: managed care (UNH +42.6% 3M, CVS +38% 3M) and GLP-1/mRNA pharma (LLY +20.9% 3M, MRNA +15.2% 30D) lead while legacy medtech (ISRG, ABT, SYK) and animal health (ZTS) stay in collapse. The split is structural, not noise — insurers + biopharma winning, focused devices losing. Large-cap pharma anchors (JNJ/MRK/AMGN) softened this week.
Source: healthcare.json. Latest bar Thursday 2026-06-18; some names 06-16/06-17 (stale) flagged inline.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Sector divided by sub-sector — managed care (UNH/CVS) + GLP-1/mRNA pharma (LLY/MRNA) advancing while devices (ISRG/ABT/SYK) and animal health (ZTS) in structural decline. Favor pharma/insurer, exit focused devices |
| Leaders | UNH ($407.65, RSI 67, +42.6% 3M, -2% from ATH), MRNA (RSI 64, +15.2% 30D, +42.7% vs SMA200), CVS (RSI 61, +38% 3M, -4.3% from ATH), LLY (RSI 60, +20.9% 3M) |
| Laggards | ZTS (RSI 38, -32.1% 3M, -51.7% from ATH, collapse), ABT (RSI 47, -17% 3M, -36.4% from ATH, collapse), GILD (RSI 40, -11.7% 3M), ISRG (RSI 40, -15.2% 3M, collapse), VEEV (RSI 46, -47.4% from ATH, collapse) |
| Key insight | UNH (+42.6% 3M) + CVS (+38% 3M) both near ATH while ISRG/ABT/ZTS all in collapse regime — the insurer/managed-care re-rate is the dominant sector signal; focused medtech is the structural loser |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | 52wkHi% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZTS | $78.71 | 38.3 ↓ | -0.7% | -2.05% | -1.70% | -32.14% | -51.73% | ❌ Don't Buy (collapse) |
| ISRG | $406.78 | 40.3 ↓ | -2.8% | -2.17% | -7.88% | -15.24% | -32.64% | ❌ Don't Buy (collapse) |
| GILD | $123.76 | 40.4 ↓ | -3.4% | -0.51% | -4.54% | -11.72% | -21.32% | 🔍 Watch |
| JNJ | $228.39 | 45.2 | -1.4% | -3.67% | -0.13% | -3.32% | -9.26% | 🔒 Hold |
| VEEV | $163.38 | 46.3 ↓ | -2.4% | -5.03% | -0.29% | -12.49% | -47.38% | ❌ Don't Buy (collapse, 06-16, 2d stale) |
| TMO | $464.61 | 46.6 | -1.7% | -2.60% | +3.39% | -1.19% | -26.61% | 🔍 Watch |
| AMGN | $337.60 | 47.0 | -1.1% | -5.25% | +2.07% | -2.79% | -13.72% | 🔒 Hold |
| MRK | $113.87 | 47.4 | -2.8% | -3.53% | +0.40% | +0.11% | -9.01% | 🔍 Watch |
| ABT | $88.41 | 47.5 | 0.0% | +0.25% | -0.46% | -17.00% | -36.42% | 🔍 Watch (collapse) |
| DXCM | $71.23 | 50.3 | -3.0% | -2.86% | +6.39% | +5.89% | -19.46% | 🔒 Hold (06-17) |
| SYK | $310.58 | 51.5 | +0.9% | -0.58% | -0.84% | -10.80% | -23.29% | 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale) |
| PFE | $25.21 | 51.9 | -2.5% | +1.36% | -1.75% | -3.56% | -12.31% | 🔍 Watch |
| BIIB | $198.67 | 55.2 | +1.9% | -0.78% | +4.26% | +8.32% | -4.56% | 🔒 Hold (06-17) |
| MDT | $81.32 | 57.0 | +3.5% | -2.18% | +5.17% | -7.30% | -23.52% | 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale) |
| VRTX | $453.17 | 58.6 | +3.0% | +1.56% | +3.80% | -2.02% | -10.78% | 🔒 Hold (06-16, 2d stale) |
| LLY | $1,098.57 | 60.3 | -0.1% | -2.63% | +7.55% | +20.86% | -7.12% | 🔒 Hold |
| CVS | $98.32 | 61.3 | +3.0% | -1.82% | +4.40% | +38.03% | -4.33% | ⚠️ Approaching OB |
| MRNA | $55.40 | 64.4 | +14.8% | +10.58% | +15.15% | +2.73% | -6.97% | 📈 Accumulate (06-16, 2d stale) |
| UNH | $407.65 | 66.5 | +4.3% | -0.13% | +4.82% | +42.56% | -2.00% | 🔒 Hold (06-16, 2d stale) |
Tier Analysis
Oversold / Collapsing (RSI < 45)
- ZTS ($78.71, RSI 38) — Zoetis: animal health in structural collapse, -32.1% 3M, -51.7% from ATH, death-cross, -34.8% vs SMA200. Worst name in the scan; no reversal. Do not buy.
- ISRG ($406.78, RSI 40) — Intuitive Surgical: collapse regime, -15.2% 3M, -32.6% from ATH, death-cross, -17.1% vs SMA200. Surgical robotics de-rating on competition (J&J Ottava, Medtronic Hugo).
thesis: intactper engine but trend is broken. No entry. - GILD ($123.76, RSI 40) — Gilead: pullback, -11.7% 3M, -21% from ATH. Golden cross intact; watch for RSI < 40 capitulation entry.
Neutral / Basing (RSI 45–60)
- JNJ ($228.39, RSI 45) — J&J: basing, golden cross, +6.9% vs SMA200, -9.3% from ATH. Softened this week (-3.67% 7D) but diversified-pharma thesis intact post-Kenvue spin. Hold.
- VEEV ($163.38, RSI 46) — Veeva: collapse regime, -47.4% from ATH, death-cross, -25.5% vs SMA200. Healthcare-SaaS multiple still compressing. Avoid. (06-16, 2d stale)
- TMO ($464.61, RSI 47) — Thermo Fisher: pullback, -26.6% from ATH, death-cross. User-owned name;
thesis: intact. Lab-tools basing. Watch. - AMGN ($337.60, RSI 47) — Amgen: basing, golden cross, +3% vs SMA200, -13.7% from ATH. Stable but soft (-5.25% 7D). Hold.
- MRK ($113.87, RSI 47) — Merck: basing, golden cross, +10% vs SMA200, -9% from ATH. Keytruda franchise; pullback opportunity, watch.
- ABT ($88.41, RSI 47) — Abbott: collapse regime, -17% 3M, -36.4% from ATH, death-cross, -21.5% vs SMA200. Libre CGM thesis challenged. Weak.
- DXCM ($71.23, RSI 50) — Dexcom: pullback, +6.4% 30D, +5.5% vs SMA200, golden-cross broken (death-cross flag) but reclaiming SMA50. CGM name; hold. (06-17)
- SYK ($310.58, RSI 51) — Stryker: downtrend, -10.8% 3M, -23.3% from ATH, death-cross. Ortho/medtech weak. Watch. (06-16, 2d stale)
- PFE ($25.21, RSI 52) — Pfizer: basing, golden cross, flat vs SMA200, -12.3% from ATH. Post-COVID pipeline diversification. No urgency.
- BIIB ($198.67, RSI 55) — Biogen: strong-up, golden cross, +13.9% vs SMA200, -4.6% from ATH. Alzheimer's franchise re-rating. Hold. (06-17)
- MDT ($81.32, RSI 57) — Medtronic: weak-up reclaiming SMA20, but death-cross and -23.5% from ATH.
thesis: intact. Watch. (06-16, 2d stale) - VRTX ($453.17, RSI 59) — Vertex: basing, +3.8% 30D, -10.8% from ATH. CF + pipeline. Hold. (06-16, 2d stale)
Momentum / Leading (RSI 60–67)
- LLY ($1,098.57, RSI 60) — Eli Lilly: GLP-1 oligopoly, strong-up, golden cross, +20.9% 3M, +14.5% vs SMA200, -7% from ATH. The sector's premier compounder. Hold.
- CVS ($98.32, RSI 61) — CVS Health: strong-up, golden cross, +38% 3M, +24% vs SMA200, near ATH (-4.3%). Pharmacy→insurance re-rate; RSI 61 approaching extended. Don't chase, hold if owned.
- MRNA ($55.40, RSI 64) — Moderna: strong-up, golden cross, +15.2% 30D, +42.7% vs SMA200, +113.9% 1Y, -7% from ATH. mRNA re-rating confirmed across biotech + healthcare scans. Best momentum name. (06-16, 2d stale)
- UNH ($407.65, RSI 67) — UnitedHealth: strong-up, golden cross, +42.6% 3M, +24.2% vs SMA200, near ATH (-2%). Managed-care recovery thesis; strongest large-cap run in the scan. Hold. (06-16, 2d stale)
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | Zone | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LLY | $1,098.57 | <$1,080 | 60.3 | +7.6% | GLP-1 oligopoly; near ATH; GC; accumulate on any dip |
| MRNA | $55.40 | <$58 | 64.4 | +15.2% | mRNA re-rating; +42.7% vs SMA200; momentum early innings; GC |
| MRK | $113.87 | <$112 | 47.4 | +0.4% | Keytruda franchise; -9% from ATH; GC; +10% vs SMA200; pullback entry |
| JNJ | $228.39 | <$225 | 45.2 | -0.1% | Diversified pharma; GC; -9% from ATH; soft week = core add |
| GILD | $123.76 | <$120 | 40.4 | -4.5% | HIV antivirals; -21% from ATH; GC intact; watch RSI < 40 capitulation |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | LLY, UNH, JNJ, AMGN, BIIB, VRTX, DXCM | Trends/theses intact; insurers + biopharma anchors; don't sell into strength |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | MRNA | mRNA platform re-rating; +10.6% 7D; golden cross; -7% from ATH = still early |
| 🔍 WATCH | GILD, MRK, TMO, PFE, MDT, SYK, ABT | Pullbacks with intact-ish theses; wait for RSI confirmation or catalyst |
| ⚠️ APPROACHING OVERBOUGHT | CVS | RSI 61, near ATH, +38% 3M — don't chase; wait for pullback |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | ZTS, ISRG, VEEV, ABT | Collapse regime + death-cross; structural declines not finished |
What Changed
- UNH +42.6% 3M sustained — UnitedHealth's multi-month managed-care recovery holds (RSI 67, near ATH); DOJ-scrutiny fears faded, Medicare Advantage stable.
- CVS +38% 3M, RSI 61 — CVS pharmacy→insurance transformation re-rating; near ATH (-4.3%), +24% vs SMA200. Approaching extended.
- MRNA dual-scan confirmation — mRNA re-rating shows in both healthcare and biotech scans; +113.9% 1Y, +42.7% vs SMA200. Most significant sector inflection.
- ZTS -32.1% 3M collapse — Zoetis remains the worst name; -51.7% from ATH, no reversal.
- ISRG collapse deepens — Intuitive Surgical now -15.2% 3M, -32.6% from ATH, collapse regime. Engine still flags
thesis: intactbut the trend is structurally broken (device competition). - ABT into collapse — Abbott -17% 3M, -36.4% from ATH, collapse regime; Libre CGM thesis challenged.
- Large-cap pharma softened — JNJ (-3.67% 7D, RSI 45), MRK (-3.53% 7D), AMGN (-5.25% 7D) all pulled back this week; anchors digesting, theses intact.
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| UNH + CVS both near ATH vs ISRG + ABT + ZTS all in collapse | Healthcare sub-sector rotation: insurers winning, focused device-makers losing |
| MRNA confirmed across healthcare + biotech scans | Dual-scan confirmation = mRNA re-rating is sector-wide, not single-scan noise |
| JNJ near-flat while ISRG/ABT/SYK down 11-32% 3M | Diversified pharma outperforming focused medtech in this tape |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| Treating ISRG `thesis: intact` as a buy signal | Engine thesis-tag ≠ trend; collapse regime + death-cross + device competition = no entry despite the tag |
| Chasing ZTS as an animal-health defensive | Animal health carries idiosyncratic disease risk; not a true defensive (-52% from ATH proves it) |
Open Questions
- Is UNH's +42.6% 3M recovery complete, or does it run into Medicare Advantage enrollment season?
- ISRG
thesis: intactvs collapse regime — does the device franchise re-accelerate, or is the competitive de-rate structural? - ABT vs DXCM both CGM-exposed — is the continuous-glucose-monitor market oversupplied, or just ABT-specific weakness (DXCM is +6.4% 30D)?
Related
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