Airlines Scan
Airlines Scan
The sector melt-up went vertical — every name now RSI 69-77, +13-31% above SMA200, four of six pinned within 3% of 52-week highs. This is no longer a recovery, it's an EXTENDED group with five strong-up + golden-cross names (DAL/UAL/LUV/JETS/AAL) and AAL gone parabolic (RSI 76.9, +64% 3M). Nothing oversold; every entry here is buying extension. ALK (RSI 69.7, death cross, -20% from high) is the lone laggard — most room left but the only non-golden-cross name.
Latest bar 2026-06-25. All numbers from precomputed
summaries/airlines.json.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🔴 Whole group EXTENDED — RSI 69-77, +13-39% vs SMA200, JETS/UAL/DAL/AAL within 2.8% of highs. Five strong-up golden-cross names; AAL parabolic. No pullback entries |
| Key insight | DAL is the cleanest structural leader (strong-up, golden cross, breakout, RSI 74.4) but it's now -2.4% from high and +38.7% vs SMA200 — extended, not a fresh entry. ALK is the only laggard (-20.1% from high) but carries a death cross and isn't golden-crossed. Hold existing, do not initiate |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | Trend | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs SMA20 | 52wkHi% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAL | $17.61 | 76.9 | strong-up | +9.34% | +18.59% | +64.33% | +18.0% | -2.38% | ⚠️ Extended (parabolic) |
| LUV | $51.84 | 76.2 | strong-up | +5.27% | +23.14% | +31.71% | +15.5% | -5.93% | ⚠️ Extended |
| UAL | $134.60 | 74.7 | strong-up | +8.88% | +27.08% | +45.22% | +17.5% | -2.77% | ⚠️ Extended (breakout) |
| DAL | $92.86 | 74.4 | strong-up | +7.29% | +16.97% | +39.26% | +12.2% | -2.40% | 🔒 Hold (breakout, cleanest) |
| JETS | $32.99 | 74.3 | strong-up | +4.47% | +16.74% | +31.91% | +11.5% | -1.98% | ⚠️ Extended (ETF at high) |
| ALK | $52.65 | 69.7 | up | +3.08% | +20.23% | +35.17% | +13.3% | -20.07% | 🔍 Watch (death cross) |
Tier Analysis
EXTENDED / TRIM (RSI 74-77, near highs): AAL (RSI 76.9, parabolic regime, +64.3% 3M, only -2.4% from high — the hottest and most stretched), LUV (RSI 76.2, +23.1% 30D), UAL (RSI 74.7, breakout, +45.2% 3M, +30.3% vs SMA50), JETS (RSI 74.3, the ETF pinned at -2.0% from its high), DAL (RSI 74.4, breakout, +38.7% vs SMA200). All five are strong-up + golden cross — structurally healthy but RSI>74 and double-digit above SMA20. Chasing here is buying the top of a vertical move.
CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT (clean structure): DAL is the textbook leader — strong-up, golden cross, breakout regime, +38.7% vs SMA200. But at RSI 74.4 and -2.4% from high it is no longer a fresh breakout entry; it's the name to re-enter on a pullback, not now.
Laggard / Watch:
ALK (RSI 69.7, up trend, death cross still flagged, -20.1% from high) — the only name with real recovery room, but it isn't golden-crossed and its SMA200 (46.47) sits exactly at SMA20. Not a clean trend yet; watch for golden-cross flip.
OVERSOLD-QUALITY: None. Lowest RSI is ALK at 69.7.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | $92.86 | 74.4 | +16.97% | Cleanest trend-hold structure (strong-up, golden cross, breakout). NOT now — wait for a pullback toward SMA20 ($82.74) / SMA50 ($75.77) with RSI cooling to 45-55 |
| ALK | $52.65 | 69.7 | +20.23% | Most recovery room (-20.1% from high) but death cross + no golden cross; wait for a golden-cross flip + SMA50 ($42.75) retest before treating as a trend-hold candidate |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | DAL | Cleanest strong-up + golden-cross + breakout; hold existing, don't add into RSI 74 |
| ⚠️ AVOID / TRIM | AAL, LUV, UAL, JETS | RSI 74-77, +17-27% 30D, within 2-6% of highs — buying extension, not a pullback |
| 🔍 WATCH | ALK | Lone laggard with room, but death cross + no golden cross — needs structure to confirm |
What Changed (vs 2026-06-20 scan)
- The whole band ratcheted up ~7 RSI points — from a 62-69 cluster on 06-20 to 69-77 now; what was "uptrend, hold" is now "extended, trim."
- DAL flipped to golden cross + strong-up and tightened to -2.4% from high (was -3.7%) — confirmed the structural lead but ran into extension.
- AAL went parabolic (regime
parabolic, RSI 76.9, +64.3% 3M) — the momentum leader is now the most stretched. - JETS ETF basically at its high (-2.0%, RSI 74.3) — the broad sector bid is intact and extended, not isolated.
- ALK still the laggard (-20.1% from high) but improved RSI to 69.7; death cross persists.
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| Five of six names strong-up + golden cross, RSI 74-77 | Sector-wide melt-up is structurally healthy but EXTENDED — hold, don't chase |
| AAL parabolic (RSI 76.9, +64% 3M) | Momentum leader = most fragile; first to mean-revert on any sector wobble |
| ALK only non-golden-cross name, -20% from high | Lone laggard with room, but unconfirmed structure |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| Treating DAL's clean structure as a fresh entry at RSI 74 | Good structure ≠ good entry; a strong-up golden-cross name at +38% vs SMA200 is still extended |
Open Questions
- What's driving the synchronized +17-27% 30D move — summer-travel demand, fuel, capacity guidance? (needs event verify, not run here)
- Does ALK's -20% from high reflect a name-specific overhang vs the group's near-high cluster?
Related
9 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.