Airlines Scan
Airlines Scan
EOW close confirms the extension — RSI 71-78 across all six names, UAL flipped to parabolic, AAL deepened to RSI 78.2 (+73.5% 3M), JETS pinned at -1.1% from its 52wk high. The cyclical bid held through Friday's close but this is a "hold existing, don't initiate" sector — nothing oversold, no fresh entries.
Latest bar 2026-06-26. All numbers from precomputed
summaries/airlines.json.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🔴 EXTENDED — RSI 71-78 across all six, five within 6% of 52wk highs, UAL/AAL both parabolic. No pullback entries available; sector bid held through EOW close |
| Key insight | UAL flipped regime to parabolic (+53.9% 3M, RSI 75.7) and AAL deepened its extension (RSI 78.2, +73.5% 3M). DAL held structural lead (strong-up, golden cross) but is now -2.7% from high and +37.9% vs SMA200. ALK is sole laggard (-18.25% from high) but regime shifted to pullback with death cross — wait for golden-cross confirmation before treating as a trend-hold entry |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | Trend | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs SMA20 | 52wkHi% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAL | $17.87 | 78.2 | strong-up | +8.00% | +19.77% | +73.50% | +18.5% | -0.94% | ⚠️ Extended (parabolic, deepening) |
| LUV | $51.91 | 75.9 | strong-up | +7.38% | +19.36% | +39.54% | +14.5% | -5.81% | ⚠️ Extended |
| UAL | $136.11 | 75.7 | strong-up | +13.24% | +20.86% | +53.90% | +17.8% | -1.68% | ⚠️ Extended (parabolic flip) |
| JETS | $33.28 | 75.6 | strong-up | +5.87% | +14.44% | +37.92% | +11.7% | -1.13% | ⚠️ Extended (ETF at high) |
| DAL | $92.57 | 74.3 | strong-up | +8.16% | +13.17% | +43.16% | +11.3% | -2.70% | 🔒 Hold (cleanest structure) |
| ALK | $53.86 | 71.9 | up | +7.98% | +17.16% | +48.95% | +14.9% | -18.25% | 🔍 Watch (death cross, pullback regime) |
Tier Analysis
EXTENDED / PARABOLIC (RSI 74-78, near highs): AAL (RSI 78.2, parabolic, +73.5% 3M, -0.94% from high — the most extended and most fragile), UAL (RSI 75.7, flipped to parabolic this session, +53.9% 3M, +20.9% 30D, -1.68% from high), LUV (RSI 75.9, +19.4% 30D, +39.5% 3M, -5.81% from high), JETS (RSI 75.6, breakout regime, ETF pinned at -1.13% from high — broad sector bid confirmed). Four of six are RSI > 74 and within 6% of highs. Buying here is buying the top of a 3M vertical.
STRONG-UP LEADER: DAL ($92.57, RSI 74.3, strong-up, golden cross, uptrend regime, +43.2% 3M, +37.9% vs SMA200) — textbook structural leader but extended. The name to re-enter on a pullback toward SMA20 ($83.20) with RSI cooling to 45-55, not at current levels. It's the cleanest trend-hold candidate in the group when it eventually pulls back.
LAGGARD / WATCH: ALK ($53.86, RSI 71.9, up trend, death cross, pullback regime, -18.25% from high) — most recovery room in the group but the pullback regime + death cross make it unconfirmed. SMA20 ($46.86) is now below SMA200 ($46.44) — the golden cross flip is the setup trigger, not now.
OVERSOLD-QUALITY: None. Lowest RSI is ALK at 71.9.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | $92.57 | 74.3 | +13.17% | Best-structure name for a trend-hold re-entry on pullback. Wait for SMA20 ($83.20) / SMA50 ($76.17) retest with RSI cooling toward 45-55. No buy here |
| ALK | $53.86 | 71.9 | +17.16% | Most room (-18.25% from high) but death cross + pullback regime. Entry trigger = golden cross flip + RSI cooling to 50 + hold above SMA50 ($42.99) |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | DAL | Strongest structure (strong-up, golden cross, uptrend); hold existing, don't add at RSI 74 and +37.9% vs SMA200 |
| ⚠️ AVOID / TRIM | AAL, UAL, LUV, JETS | RSI 75-78, parabolic/breakout regimes, +14-21% 30D, within 1-6% of highs — extension, not entry |
| 🔍 WATCH | ALK | Sole laggard with room (-18.25% from high), but death cross + pullback regime needs to resolve before acting |
What Changed This Week (EOW vs 2026-06-25)
- UAL flipped to parabolic (was
breakout06-25): RSI 74.7 → 75.7, price $134.60 → $136.11, +13.2% on the week alone — the strongest 7D gain in the group. - AAL deepened its extension: RSI 76.9 → 78.2, price $17.61 → $17.87, -0.94% from 52wk high — still the most stretched name.
- JETS pushed to -1.1% from its 52wk high (was -2.0% 06-25): RSI 74.3 → 75.6; the broad ETF is at a new effective high, confirming the sector-wide bid is real and not isolated.
- DAL and LUV held steady: DAL $92.86 → $92.57 (marginal red), LUV $51.84 → $51.91; RSI barely moved. They are the "holding extension" names vs the parabolic leg in UAL/AAL.
- ALK continued its run: $52.65 → $53.86, RSI 69.7 → 71.9, regime shifted to
pullback(the intraday structure) — still the weakest but rode the sector bid another +7.98% on the week. - Rotation angle: This is a cyclical sector in full-melt-up mode through EOW. The move is synchronized with broader small/mid cyclical bids (vs mega-cap softness this week). Airlines are benefiting from summer-demand narrative + favorable capacity guidance; the JETS ETF confirming the breadth of the move.
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| UAL flipped to parabolic on the EOW close | Parabolic + RSI 75.7 = first to stall; watch UAL for early reversal signal in the sector |
| JETS ETF at -1.13% from 52wk high (was -2.0% yesterday) | Sector-wide ETF at effective high = broad bid confirmed, but also a natural point for institutional rebalancing |
| ALK's death cross persists despite +49% 3M gain | The structural lag is real; recovery room exists but golden cross is the gate — don't front-run |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| Reading a parabolic regime flip as a continuation buy | UAL going parabolic = momentum peak risk, not acceleration buy; it's the regime announcing extension |
Open Questions
Related
9 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.