Airlines Scan

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Airlines Scan

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raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 17 rows · screens, not recommendations

EOW close confirms the extension — RSI 71-78 across all six names, UAL flipped to parabolic, AAL deepened to RSI 78.2 (+73.5% 3M), JETS pinned at -1.1% from its 52wk high. The cyclical bid held through Friday's close but this is a "hold existing, don't initiate" sector — nothing oversold, no fresh entries.

Latest bar 2026-06-26. All numbers from precomputed summaries/airlines.json.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 EXTENDED — RSI 71-78 across all six, five within 6% of 52wk highs, UAL/AAL both parabolic. No pullback entries available; sector bid held through EOW close
Key insight UAL flipped regime to parabolic (+53.9% 3M, RSI 75.7) and AAL deepened its extension (RSI 78.2, +73.5% 3M). DAL held structural lead (strong-up, golden cross) but is now -2.7% from high and +37.9% vs SMA200. ALK is sole laggard (-18.25% from high) but regime shifted to pullback with death cross — wait for golden-cross confirmation before treating as a trend-hold entry

Price Table

Stock Price RSI Trend 7D% 30D% 3M% vs SMA20 52wkHi% Signal
AAL $17.87 78.2 strong-up +8.00% +19.77% +73.50% +18.5% -0.94% ⚠️ Extended (parabolic, deepening)
LUV $51.91 75.9 strong-up +7.38% +19.36% +39.54% +14.5% -5.81% ⚠️ Extended
UAL $136.11 75.7 strong-up +13.24% +20.86% +53.90% +17.8% -1.68% ⚠️ Extended (parabolic flip)
JETS $33.28 75.6 strong-up +5.87% +14.44% +37.92% +11.7% -1.13% ⚠️ Extended (ETF at high)
DAL $92.57 74.3 strong-up +8.16% +13.17% +43.16% +11.3% -2.70% 🔒 Hold (cleanest structure)
ALK $53.86 71.9 up +7.98% +17.16% +48.95% +14.9% -18.25% 🔍 Watch (death cross, pullback regime)

Tier Analysis

EXTENDED / PARABOLIC (RSI 74-78, near highs): AAL (RSI 78.2, parabolic, +73.5% 3M, -0.94% from high — the most extended and most fragile), UAL (RSI 75.7, flipped to parabolic this session, +53.9% 3M, +20.9% 30D, -1.68% from high), LUV (RSI 75.9, +19.4% 30D, +39.5% 3M, -5.81% from high), JETS (RSI 75.6, breakout regime, ETF pinned at -1.13% from high — broad sector bid confirmed). Four of six are RSI > 74 and within 6% of highs. Buying here is buying the top of a 3M vertical.

STRONG-UP LEADER: DAL ($92.57, RSI 74.3, strong-up, golden cross, uptrend regime, +43.2% 3M, +37.9% vs SMA200) — textbook structural leader but extended. The name to re-enter on a pullback toward SMA20 ($83.20) with RSI cooling to 45-55, not at current levels. It's the cleanest trend-hold candidate in the group when it eventually pulls back.

LAGGARD / WATCH: ALK ($53.86, RSI 71.9, up trend, death cross, pullback regime, -18.25% from high) — most recovery room in the group but the pullback regime + death cross make it unconfirmed. SMA20 ($46.86) is now below SMA200 ($46.44) — the golden cross flip is the setup trigger, not now.

OVERSOLD-QUALITY: None. Lowest RSI is ALK at 71.9.

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 30D% Setup
DAL $92.57 74.3 +13.17% Best-structure name for a trend-hold re-entry on pullback. Wait for SMA20 ($83.20) / SMA50 ($76.17) retest with RSI cooling toward 45-55. No buy here
ALK $53.86 71.9 +17.16% Most room (-18.25% from high) but death cross + pullback regime. Entry trigger = golden cross flip + RSI cooling to 50 + hold above SMA50 ($42.99)

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD DAL Strongest structure (strong-up, golden cross, uptrend); hold existing, don't add at RSI 74 and +37.9% vs SMA200
⚠️ AVOID / TRIM AAL, UAL, LUV, JETS RSI 75-78, parabolic/breakout regimes, +14-21% 30D, within 1-6% of highs — extension, not entry
🔍 WATCH ALK Sole laggard with room (-18.25% from high), but death cross + pullback regime needs to resolve before acting

What Changed This Week (EOW vs 2026-06-25)

  • UAL flipped to parabolic (was breakout 06-25): RSI 74.7 → 75.7, price $134.60 → $136.11, +13.2% on the week alone — the strongest 7D gain in the group.
  • AAL deepened its extension: RSI 76.9 → 78.2, price $17.61 → $17.87, -0.94% from 52wk high — still the most stretched name.
  • JETS pushed to -1.1% from its 52wk high (was -2.0% 06-25): RSI 74.3 → 75.6; the broad ETF is at a new effective high, confirming the sector-wide bid is real and not isolated.
  • DAL and LUV held steady: DAL $92.86 → $92.57 (marginal red), LUV $51.84 → $51.91; RSI barely moved. They are the "holding extension" names vs the parabolic leg in UAL/AAL.
  • ALK continued its run: $52.65 → $53.86, RSI 69.7 → 71.9, regime shifted to pullback (the intraday structure) — still the weakest but rode the sector bid another +7.98% on the week.
  • Rotation angle: This is a cyclical sector in full-melt-up mode through EOW. The move is synchronized with broader small/mid cyclical bids (vs mega-cap softness this week). Airlines are benefiting from summer-demand narrative + favorable capacity guidance; the JETS ETF confirming the breadth of the move.

The Gold

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
UAL flipped to parabolic on the EOW close Parabolic + RSI 75.7 = first to stall; watch UAL for early reversal signal in the sector
JETS ETF at -1.13% from 52wk high (was -2.0% yesterday) Sector-wide ETF at effective high = broad bid confirmed, but also a natural point for institutional rebalancing
ALK's death cross persists despite +49% 3M gain The structural lag is real; recovery room exists but golden cross is the gate — don't front-run

Mistakes (Don't Repeat)

Mistake Lesson
Reading a parabolic regime flip as a continuation buy UAL going parabolic = momentum peak risk, not acceleration buy; it's the regime announcing extension

Open Questions

  • What drove UAL's +13.2% 7D vs DAL's +8.2%? Guidance, capacity, fuel differential, or pure momentum?
  • Is ALK's death cross structural (SMA200 at $46.44, SMA20 at $46.86 — nearly equal) or about to golden-cross?
9 events

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