Airlines Scan — July 6, 2026 Close
Airlines Scan — July 6, 2026 Close
The sector released RSI froth over the past eight sessions without giving back the underlying gain — RSI cooled from 71-78 (06-26) to 58-74 today while prices held roughly flat. DAL and AAL both now clear the monster threshold (vsSma200 >30%, golden cross, strong-up) for the first time. JETS is the lone holdout still pinned near RSI 74, lagging the cooldown in every individual carrier. ALK is the sole name getting worse on both price and distance-from-high.
Data as-of 2026-07-06 close. All numbers from precomputed summaries/airlines.json. Prior scan: 2026-06-26-airlines (2026-06-26).
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Digesting, not topping — RSI cooled sector-wide (58-74 vs 71-78 on 06-26) while prices held roughly flat. DAL and AAL crossed into monster territory. ALK is the sole structural laggard, worsening on both counts. |
| Key insight | DAL (+34.9% vs SMA200) and AAL (+32.7% vs SMA200) both now meet full monster criteria (strong-up, golden cross, vsSma200 >30%) — a promotion candidate for monster-scan tracking. JETS held at RSI 74.4 (was 75.6) even as every underlying carrier cooled into the 60s. |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | Trend | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs SMA20 | 52wkHi% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JETS | $33.34 | 74.4 | strong-up | -0.21% | +20.36% | +34.49% | +7.7% | -1.88% | 🟠 Still extended — lagging the cooldown |
| AAL | $17.75 | 72.5 | strong-up | -0.33% | +30.51% | +64.20% | +10.3% | -5.53% | 🔥 Monster (vsSma200 +32.7%) |
| DAL | $91.68 | 68.1 | strong-up | +0.21% | +17.22% | +40.08% | +6.2% | -4.18% | 🔥 Monster (vsSma200 +34.9%), cleanest structure |
| UAL | $132.50 | 68.0 | strong-up | -1.91% | +25.81% | +48.39% | +8.7% | -4.52% | 🔒 Hold — near monster (vsSma200 +28%) |
| LUV | $50.81 | 67.9 | strong-up | -2.88% | +24.41% | +34.74% | +6.8% | -7.80% | 🔒 Hold — near monster (vsSma200 +26.9%) |
| ALK | $50.41 | 58.5 | up | -2.50% | +19.34% | +36.50% | +3.4% | -23.48% | ⚠️ Rollover risk — death cross deepening |
Tier Analysis
NEW MONSTERS — vsSma200 >30% with golden cross + strong-up: DAL ($91.68, RSI 68.1, -4.18% from 52wk high) and AAL ($17.75, RSI 72.5, -5.53% from 52wk high) both clear the monster screen for the first time in this cluster. Both cooled meaningfully from the 06-26 RSI 74-78 extreme without giving back the underlying gain — DAL is still +17.2% 30D, AAL +30.5% 30D. That's the healthy way for an extended trend to reset: RSI releases froth while price holds. Worth flagging to monster-scan tracking.
COOLING, ONE STEP FROM MONSTER: UAL ($132.50, RSI 68.0) and LUV ($50.81, RSI 67.9) both eased from the RSI 75-76 zone into the high-60s, still strong-up/golden-cross, vsSma200 at 28% and 26.9% respectively — just shy of the 30% monster line. One more push qualifies either.
LAGGING ETF SIGNAL: JETS ($33.34, RSI 74.4) barely cooled from 75.6 on 06-26 and is now the single most overbought name in the cluster even though every underlying carrier eased into the 60s. Worth watching whether that's rebalancing flow or a broader-basket effect masking one carrier's continued strength.
LAGGARD / ROLLOVER RISK: ALK ($50.41, RSI 58.5, up trend, death cross, -23.48% from 52wk high) is the only name moving the wrong direction on both counts — price down ~6.4% since 06-26 and distance-from-high widened from -18.25% to -23.48%. The death cross persists. This has graduated from "laggard with room" to the clearest rollover-risk name in the group.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL, AAL | $91.68 / $17.75 | 68.1 / 72.5 | +17.2% / +30.5% | Already monster-tier — hold, no fresh entry at current extension |
| UAL, LUV | $132.50 / $50.81 | 68.0 / 67.9 | +25.8% / +24.4% | Cooling toward monster tier; hold, watch vsSma200 cross 30% |
| ALK | $50.41 | 58.5 | +19.3% | Most room (-23.5% from high) but death cross deepening — needs golden-cross confirmation, situation has worsened, not improved |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | DAL, AAL, UAL, LUV | Strong-up/golden-cross intact, RSI released froth without giving back the 30D gain — no reason to trim structurally sound names |
| 🟠 WATCH (extended) | JETS | Still RSI 74, lagging the cooldown seen in every individual carrier |
| ⚠️ AVOID / ROLLOVER WATCH | ALK | Death cross deepening, distance-from-high widening — getting worse, not better |
What Changed Since Prior Scan (06-26 → 07-06)
- Sector-wide RSI compression: 71-78 (06-26) → 58-74 (07-06) over roughly eight sessions, while prices were flat to slightly down — a time correction, not a price correction.
- DAL and AAL crossed into monster criteria (vsSma200 >30%) for the first time this cluster has shown.
- ALK deteriorated on both price (-6.4%) and distance from high (-18.25% → -23.48%); its death cross remains unresolved.
- JETS's RSI barely moved (75.6 → 74.4), lagging the cooldown seen in individual carriers.
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| DAL and AAL now meet full monster criteria (vsSma200 >30%, golden cross, strong-up) | First time either has structurally qualified — candidates for monster-scan tracking |
| Airlines RSI released froth (71-78 → 58-74) without giving back the 30D gain | Healthy digestion pattern, not a topping signal |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| Reading cooling RSI as bearish | In a strong-up/golden-cross structure, RSI easing from 75 to 65 while price holds is bullish digestion, not weakness |
Open Questions
Related
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