Airlines Scan — July 10, 2026 Close
Airlines Scan — July 10, 2026 Close
The sector-wide RSI cooldown flagged last scan kept going, and it cost DAL and AAL their monster status — both slipped back under the 30% vsSma200 threshold after briefly clearing it. All six carriers fell 3-7% this week even as 30D gains stayed positive, a broad-based pullback rather than an isolated name breaking down. DAL reported Q2 earnings on July 10 and closed down 1.81% that session — a mild negative reaction, no sign of structural damage. ALK remains the one name getting worse on both price and distance-from-high.
Data as-of 2026-07-10 close. All numbers from precomputed summaries/airlines.json. Prior scan: 2026-07-07-airlines (2026-07-07, data as-of 2026-07-06 close).
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Sector-wide pullback — RSI compressed from monster-adjacent levels (68-74) to a neutral mid-50s band (54-58) as all six names fell 3-7% this week. 30D gains are still intact, but DAL and AAL both slipped back out of monster territory. |
| Key insight | DAL and AAL's vsSma200 both fell back under the 30% monster line (DAL 34.9%→27.8%, AAL 32.7%→25.9%) one scan after qualifying — the sector's extension was fragile. DAL, which reported earnings on 07-10, closed that session down just 1.81%, a mild reaction that didn't dent the uptrend. |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | Trend | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs SMA20 | 52wkHi% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAL | $16.95 | 58.5 | strong-up | -5.20% | +15.70% | +50.93% | +1.2% | -9.79% | 🟡 Cooled out of monster tier (vsSma200 25.9%, was 32.7%) |
| JETS | $32.09 | 58.1 | strong-up | -4.24% | +10.77% | +24.33% | +0.8% | -5.56% | 🟡 Cooled with the sector — no longer the lagging name |
| UAL | $126.00 | 55.2 | strong-up | -6.63% | +11.89% | +32.35% | -0.2% | -9.20% | 🔒 Hold — structure intact, extension faded (vsSma200 21.2%) |
| LUV | $48.43 | 54.2 | strong-up | -4.83% | +9.35% | +23.29% | -1.3% | -12.12% | 🔒 Hold — structure intact, extension faded (vsSma200 19.9%) |
| DAL | $87.39 | 53.9 | strong-up | -6.56% | +7.06% | +31.00% | -0.6% | -8.66% | 🔥 Earnings day -1.81%; fell out of monster tier (vsSma200 27.8%, was 34.9%) |
| ALK | $49.42 | 53.6 | up | -3.12% | +5.92% | +23.64% | -1.1% | -24.98% | ⚠️ Rollover risk deepening — death cross persists, further from high |
Tier Analysis
MONSTER TIER LOST — DAL AND AAL BOTH SLIP BACK: DAL ($87.39, RSI 53.9, strong-up, golden cross) and AAL ($16.95, RSI 58.5, strong-up, golden cross) both fell out of monster criteria this week. DAL's vsSma200 compressed from +34.9% (07-06) to +27.8% (07-10); AAL's from +32.7% to +25.9% — both now below the 30% threshold that qualified them last scan. RSI dropped in step (DAL 68.1→53.9, AAL 72.5→58.5) and prices eased (DAL -4.68% for the week to $87.39; AAL -4.51% to $16.95). This reads as a broad releasing of froth across the sector, not an isolated problem with either name.
UAL AND LUV — SLIPPED FURTHER FROM MONSTER, NOT CLOSER: UAL ($126.00, RSI 55.2, vsSma200 21.2%) and LUV ($48.43, RSI 54.2, vsSma200 19.9%) were flagged last scan as "one push from monster" (vsSma200 28% and 26.9%). Instead of pushing higher, both slipped back — the underlying strong-up/golden-cross structure is intact, but the extension faded rather than resolved.
DAL EARNINGS REACTION: DAL reported Q2 earnings on 07-10, the session captured in this scan's close. The stock fell 1.81% that day — a mild negative tape reaction, not a breakdown; RSI (53.9) and the 30D trend (+7.06%) show no structural damage from the print.
JETS NO LONGER THE LAGGARD: JETS ($32.09, RSI 58.1) cooled right along with the underlying carriers this time — last scan it was the outlier holding RSI 74 while every individual carrier eased into the 60s. That divergence has closed.
ALK — STILL THE STRUCTURAL LAGGARD: ALK ($49.42, RSI 53.6, up trend, death cross unresolved, pullback regime) is now -24.98% from its 52-week high, worse than the -23.48% flagged last scan. The death cross remains unresolved; this is the clearest weak name in the group two scans running.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL, AAL | $87.39 / $16.95 | 53.9 / 58.5 | +7.06% / +15.70% | Fell out of monster tier this week; hold, the pullback hasn't reached a clean discount yet |
| UAL, LUV | $126.00 / $48.43 | 55.2 / 54.2 | +11.89% / +9.35% | Structure intact, extension faded; hold, no fresh entry signal |
| JETS | $32.09 | 58.1 | +10.77% | No longer the lagging name; trading in line with the sector |
| ALK | $49.42 | 53.6 | +5.92% | Most room to 52wk high (-25%) but death cross deepening — avoid until confirmed |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | DAL, UAL, LUV, JETS, AAL | Strong-up/golden-cross intact; RSI cooled from monster-adjacent to neutral on a broad pullback, not a breakdown |
| ⚠️ AVOID / ROLLOVER WATCH | ALK | Death cross persists, distance-from-high still widening |
What Changed Since Prior Scan (07-07 → 07-10)
- Sector-wide RSI compression continued: 68-74 (07-06 close) → 54-58.5 (07-10 close) as all six names fell 3-7% this week (DAL -6.56%, UAL -6.63%, LUV -4.83%, JETS -4.24%, AAL -5.2%, ALK -3.12% 7D).
- DAL and AAL both fell out of monster criteria — vsSma200 dropped back under the 30% threshold (DAL 34.9%→27.8%; AAL 32.7%→25.9%) — reversing last scan's flagged promotion.
- UAL and LUV, flagged last scan as "one push from monster," instead slipped further from the line (vsSma200 28%→21.2% and 26.9%→19.9%).
- DAL reported Q2 earnings on 07-10; the stock closed that session down 1.81%.
- JETS's RSI lag closed — it cooled in step with the underlying carriers rather than staying stuck near 74.
- ALK worsened again on distance-from-high (-23.48%→-24.98%); death cross remains unresolved.
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| DAL and AAL both fell out of monster tier (vsSma200 back under 30%) one scan after qualifying | The sector's extension was fragile — a single down week erased both promotions |
| DAL's earnings-day reaction was mild (-1.81%) on the same close this scan captures | The print didn't break the uptrend structurally |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| None repeated this round | Last scan correctly hedged UAL/LUV as "one push from monster" rather than calling it done — both slipped back instead |
Open Questions
Related
8 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.