Airlines Scan — July 10, 2026 Close

Scan

Airlines Scan — July 10, 2026 Close

Scan symbols 6
Watchlists 1
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 17 rows · screens, not recommendations prior scanresearch/scans/2026-07-07-airlines.md

The sector-wide RSI cooldown flagged last scan kept going, and it cost DAL and AAL their monster status — both slipped back under the 30% vsSma200 threshold after briefly clearing it. All six carriers fell 3-7% this week even as 30D gains stayed positive, a broad-based pullback rather than an isolated name breaking down. DAL reported Q2 earnings on July 10 and closed down 1.81% that session — a mild negative reaction, no sign of structural damage. ALK remains the one name getting worse on both price and distance-from-high.

Data as-of 2026-07-10 close. All numbers from precomputed summaries/airlines.json. Prior scan: 2026-07-07-airlines (2026-07-07, data as-of 2026-07-06 close).

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Sector-wide pullback — RSI compressed from monster-adjacent levels (68-74) to a neutral mid-50s band (54-58) as all six names fell 3-7% this week. 30D gains are still intact, but DAL and AAL both slipped back out of monster territory.
Key insight DAL and AAL's vsSma200 both fell back under the 30% monster line (DAL 34.9%→27.8%, AAL 32.7%→25.9%) one scan after qualifying — the sector's extension was fragile. DAL, which reported earnings on 07-10, closed that session down just 1.81%, a mild reaction that didn't dent the uptrend.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI Trend 7D% 30D% 3M% vs SMA20 52wkHi% Signal
AAL $16.95 58.5 strong-up -5.20% +15.70% +50.93% +1.2% -9.79% 🟡 Cooled out of monster tier (vsSma200 25.9%, was 32.7%)
JETS $32.09 58.1 strong-up -4.24% +10.77% +24.33% +0.8% -5.56% 🟡 Cooled with the sector — no longer the lagging name
UAL $126.00 55.2 strong-up -6.63% +11.89% +32.35% -0.2% -9.20% 🔒 Hold — structure intact, extension faded (vsSma200 21.2%)
LUV $48.43 54.2 strong-up -4.83% +9.35% +23.29% -1.3% -12.12% 🔒 Hold — structure intact, extension faded (vsSma200 19.9%)
DAL $87.39 53.9 strong-up -6.56% +7.06% +31.00% -0.6% -8.66% 🔥 Earnings day -1.81%; fell out of monster tier (vsSma200 27.8%, was 34.9%)
ALK $49.42 53.6 up -3.12% +5.92% +23.64% -1.1% -24.98% ⚠️ Rollover risk deepening — death cross persists, further from high

Tier Analysis

MONSTER TIER LOST — DAL AND AAL BOTH SLIP BACK: DAL ($87.39, RSI 53.9, strong-up, golden cross) and AAL ($16.95, RSI 58.5, strong-up, golden cross) both fell out of monster criteria this week. DAL's vsSma200 compressed from +34.9% (07-06) to +27.8% (07-10); AAL's from +32.7% to +25.9% — both now below the 30% threshold that qualified them last scan. RSI dropped in step (DAL 68.1→53.9, AAL 72.5→58.5) and prices eased (DAL -4.68% for the week to $87.39; AAL -4.51% to $16.95). This reads as a broad releasing of froth across the sector, not an isolated problem with either name.

UAL AND LUV — SLIPPED FURTHER FROM MONSTER, NOT CLOSER: UAL ($126.00, RSI 55.2, vsSma200 21.2%) and LUV ($48.43, RSI 54.2, vsSma200 19.9%) were flagged last scan as "one push from monster" (vsSma200 28% and 26.9%). Instead of pushing higher, both slipped back — the underlying strong-up/golden-cross structure is intact, but the extension faded rather than resolved.

DAL EARNINGS REACTION: DAL reported Q2 earnings on 07-10, the session captured in this scan's close. The stock fell 1.81% that day — a mild negative tape reaction, not a breakdown; RSI (53.9) and the 30D trend (+7.06%) show no structural damage from the print.

JETS NO LONGER THE LAGGARD: JETS ($32.09, RSI 58.1) cooled right along with the underlying carriers this time — last scan it was the outlier holding RSI 74 while every individual carrier eased into the 60s. That divergence has closed.

ALK — STILL THE STRUCTURAL LAGGARD: ALK ($49.42, RSI 53.6, up trend, death cross unresolved, pullback regime) is now -24.98% from its 52-week high, worse than the -23.48% flagged last scan. The death cross remains unresolved; this is the clearest weak name in the group two scans running.

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 30D% Setup
DAL, AAL $87.39 / $16.95 53.9 / 58.5 +7.06% / +15.70% Fell out of monster tier this week; hold, the pullback hasn't reached a clean discount yet
UAL, LUV $126.00 / $48.43 55.2 / 54.2 +11.89% / +9.35% Structure intact, extension faded; hold, no fresh entry signal
JETS $32.09 58.1 +10.77% No longer the lagging name; trading in line with the sector
ALK $49.42 53.6 +5.92% Most room to 52wk high (-25%) but death cross deepening — avoid until confirmed

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD DAL, UAL, LUV, JETS, AAL Strong-up/golden-cross intact; RSI cooled from monster-adjacent to neutral on a broad pullback, not a breakdown
⚠️ AVOID / ROLLOVER WATCH ALK Death cross persists, distance-from-high still widening

What Changed Since Prior Scan (07-07 → 07-10)

  • Sector-wide RSI compression continued: 68-74 (07-06 close) → 54-58.5 (07-10 close) as all six names fell 3-7% this week (DAL -6.56%, UAL -6.63%, LUV -4.83%, JETS -4.24%, AAL -5.2%, ALK -3.12% 7D).
  • DAL and AAL both fell out of monster criteria — vsSma200 dropped back under the 30% threshold (DAL 34.9%→27.8%; AAL 32.7%→25.9%) — reversing last scan's flagged promotion.
  • UAL and LUV, flagged last scan as "one push from monster," instead slipped further from the line (vsSma200 28%→21.2% and 26.9%→19.9%).
  • DAL reported Q2 earnings on 07-10; the stock closed that session down 1.81%.
  • JETS's RSI lag closed — it cooled in step with the underlying carriers rather than staying stuck near 74.
  • ALK worsened again on distance-from-high (-23.48%→-24.98%); death cross remains unresolved.

The Gold

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
DAL and AAL both fell out of monster tier (vsSma200 back under 30%) one scan after qualifying The sector's extension was fragile — a single down week erased both promotions
DAL's earnings-day reaction was mild (-1.81%) on the same close this scan captures The print didn't break the uptrend structurally

Mistakes (Don't Repeat)

Mistake Lesson
None repeated this round Last scan correctly hedged UAL/LUV as "one push from monster" rather than calling it done — both slipped back instead

Open Questions

  • Does DAL's earnings-call content (not visible in this price data) explain the broader sector pullback, or is this a market-wide risk-off week?
  • Will ALK's death cross ever resolve, or is this now a genuine structural laggard three scans running?
8 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.