Supply Chain Traces Scan
Supply Chain Traces Scan
AMKR is the standout move this cycle — a single-day drop of -24.74% on nearly 4x average volume dragged its RSI from 42.4 to 27.4 and crossed its regime into collapse, a name that had held a non-collapse tag through last cycle. TER gave back all of its flagged reversal (30-day loss deepened from -18.09% to -30.78%), and WOLF and ALM both kept deteriorating further inside their existing too-young and collapse tags. CRS and BESIY are still carrying bars dated 2026-07-24, now four sessions stale.
Data as-of the 2026-07-28 close for most of the book. CRS and BESIY both carry bars still dated 2026-07-24 — their readings are unchanged from last cycle and should be read as frozen. AMVMF's newest bar is dated 2026-07-27 (one session behind), still on effectively no volume. Prior scan: 2026-07-25-supply-chain-traces (data as-of the 2026-07-24 close).
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🔴 AMKR's single-day collapse is the headline; the broad book cooled with TER's flagged reversal giving back entirely |
| Key insight | AMKR fell -24.74% in a single session on 3.99x average volume, crossing its regime into collapse |
What's Going On
AMKR is the clearest single event in this book this cycle. It fell -24.74% in one session on relative volume of nearly 4x its average, dragging RSI from 42.4 to 27.4 and pushing its regime into collapse for the first time this cycle — last cycle it held a non-collapse tag alongside TER, KEYS, and ASX. TER's own flagged reversal from last cycle reversed right back: RSI fell from 45.3 to 40.7 and its 30-day loss deepened from -18.09% to -30.78%, giving back the entire stabilization that had been the standout read two cycles ago. The rest of the cooling pocket followed the same pattern — ASX, ATEYY, KEYS, and KLIC all posted lower RSI and deeper 30-day losses than last cycle. KMT is the one name that kept extending strength, RSI up from 54.3 to 56.3 on its strong-up trend upgrade from last cycle. TDY, the steadiest hold in the book, cooled only slightly (RSI 60.1 to 57.5). CRS, last cycle's clearest confirmed strength (RSI 61.9, uptrend), still carries a bar dated 2026-07-24 — its numbers are unchanged and cannot be read as a fresh signal this cycle. BESIY, the one thesis-intact name, is in the same position: frozen at its 07-24 print. WOLF deepened further inside its still-too-young regime (30-day loss now -50.54%, from -49.66%), and ALM — added to this watchlist just last cycle already carrying a collapse tag — deepened again (30-day loss -24.23%, from -18.96%). AMVMF's bar moved from 2026-07-23 to 2026-07-27, one session fresher but still not current, and its collapse regime is unchanged.
What Changed Since 2026-07-25
- AMKR: regime downgraded to collapse (was non-collapse); RSI 42.4 → 27.4, -24.74% single-day move on 3.99x average volume — the standout event in the book; 30-day deepened to -44.51% (was -21.51%).
- TER: RSI 45.3 → 40.7; 30-day deepened to -30.78% (was -18.09%), 7-day flipped from +8.55% to -14.27% — the flagged reversal from last cycle fully reversed.
- KMT: RSI 54.3 → 56.3, extending its strong-up trend upgrade from last cycle.
- TDY: RSI 60.1 → 57.5, roughly flat, still basing — the steadiest hold in the book.
- ASX: RSI 43.7 → 38.1; 30-day deepened to -18.65% (was -9.99%).
- ATEYY: RSI 44.6 → 38.5; 30-day deepened to -24.74% (was -10.93%).
- KEYS: RSI 44.7 → 39.2; 7-day flipped from +0.88% to -6.99%.
- KLIC: RSI 43.0 → 36.5; 30-day deepened to -29.58% (was -17.80%); thesis still rated intact-but-priced.
- ALM: RSI 38.7 → 34.7; 30-day deepened to -24.23% (was -18.96%); -49.9% from 52-week high (was -41.91%); regime still collapse.
- WOLF: 30-day deepened to -50.54% (was -49.66%); -72.93% from high (was -67.88%); regime still too-young.
- CRS / BESIY: both still carry bars dated 2026-07-24 — no fresh print this cycle, readings unchanged.
- AMVMF: bar now dated 2026-07-27 (was 2026-07-23), regime still collapse; RSI roughly flat at 29.2.
How To Read The Board
Regime labels describe chart structure, not a buy/sell call. AMKR's crossing into collapse this cycle is the sharpest single-name event in either book this week — a one-day, high-volume drop, not a slow drift. TER's full reversal is the mirror image of last cycle's headline: a stabilization that didn't hold past one print. CRS and BESIY remain frozen on 07-24 data; neither should be read as confirming or denying anything until a fresh bar arrives.
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | vs SMA20 | Trend | From 52wkHigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRS | $603.69 | 61.9 | +8.23% | +3.91% | +2.7% | strong-up | -3.91% (regime: uptrend; data 07-24, stale) |
| TDY | $649.67 | 57.5 | +0.34% | +1.32% | +1.2% | strong-up | -6.3% (regime: basing) |
| KMT | $35.61 | 56.3 | +3.55% | +2.27% | +4.0% | strong-up | -18.72% |
| TER | $320.65 | 40.7 | -14.27% | -30.78% | -11.1% | weak-down | -34.28% |
| SDVKY | $35.94 | 39.9 | +0.5% | -10.86% | -6.9% | down | -19.29% |
| KEYS | $305.17 | 39.2 | -6.99% | -10.28% | -5.3% | weak-down | -18.61% |
| ATEYY | $155.54 | 38.5 | -16.58% | -24.74% | -14.6% | weak-down | -30.08% |
| ELMT | $14.49 | 38.2 | -7.47% | -24.57% | -9.2% | neutral | -35.63% (regime: too-young) |
| ASX | $33.93 | 38.1 | -15.2% | -18.65% | -15.3% | weak-down | -25.46% |
| BESIY | $256.25 | 37.3 | -0.81% | -22.75% | -10.4% | weak-down | -30.54% (thesis: intact; data 07-24, stale) |
| KLIC | $90.93 | 36.5 | -16.22% | -29.58% | -17.4% | weak-down | -33.04% (thesis: intact-but-priced) |
| ALM | $12.23 | 34.7 | -18.47% | -24.23% | -16.8% | down | -49.9% (regime: collapse) |
| MP | $41.28 | 30.3 | -10.84% | -24.59% | -15.1% | strong-down | -58.82% (regime: collapse) |
| WOLF | $21.88 | 30.3 | -31.04% | -50.54% | -34.3% | down | -72.93% (regime: too-young) |
| AMVMF | $31.23 | 29.2 | -1.82% | -15.59% | -12.6% | down | -35.62% (regime: collapse; bar revised to 07-28 by the 07-29 refetch — this row updated to match) |
| AMKR | $45.69 | 27.4 | -31.53% | -44.51% | -32.0% | down | -52.74% (regime: collapse, newly tagged; -24.74% single-day move on 3.99x volume) |
Tier Analysis
Tier A — Confirmed strength, uptrend/basing: CRS (uptrend, but frozen 07-24 data), TDY (basing, steadiest hold in the book).
Tier B — Trend-upgraded strength, extending: KMT.
Tier C — Broad cooling, structure holding (6): TER (reversal fully unwound), ASX, ATEYY, KEYS, KLIC (thesis intact-but-priced), SDVKY.
Tier D — Thesis-intact pullback: BESIY (frozen 07-24 data).
Tier E — Structural avoid, regime collapse (4, up from 3): MP, AMVMF, ALM (carried from last cycle), AMKR (newly tagged this cycle after its single-day drop).
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BESIY | $256.25 | 37.3 | -22.75% | Thesis intact, but frozen on 2026-07-24 data — do not treat this as a fresh reading |
| TDY | $649.67 | 57.5 | +1.32% | Steadiest basing hold in the book, only a mild cooldown this cycle |
| KMT | $35.61 | 56.3 | +2.27% | Confirmed trend upgrade extending — the clearest fresh strength in the book |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | TDY, KMT | Confirmed basing/strong-up structure, extending this cycle |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | BESIY | Thesis-intact rating, though its data is frozen this cycle |
| 🔍 WATCH | CRS, TER, KEYS, ASX, ATEYY, KLIC, SDVKY | CRS frozen data; TER's reversal fully unwound; the rest cooling broadly |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | MP, AMVMF, ALM, AMKR, WOLF, ELMT | Collapse or too-young regime; AMKR is a fresh downgrade this cycle |
What To Watch Next
| Watch | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| AMKR's collapse-regime downgrade | A one-day, high-volume drop that crossed a structural line — worth understanding what drove it before the next print |
| TER's fully-unwound reversal | Last cycle's clearest stabilization gave back entirely — the next print should show whether this is a floor or continued deterioration |
| CRS/BESIY's next fresh print | Both still on 2026-07-24 data — the book's best strength read (CRS) and its one thesis-intact name (BESIY) can't be confirmed until a fresh bar arrives |
| WOLF's continued deepening | Now -50.54% on the month, still too-young regime |
| ALM's second cycle of deterioration | New to the watchlist as of last cycle, already deepening further inside a collapse tag |
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-07-28 close — supply-chain-traces.
Related
9 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.