Supply Chain Traces Scan

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Supply Chain Traces Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 30 rows · screens, not recommendations event statusscheduledprior scanresearch/scans/2026-07-25-supply-chain-traces.md

AMKR is the standout move this cycle — a single-day drop of -24.74% on nearly 4x average volume dragged its RSI from 42.4 to 27.4 and crossed its regime into collapse, a name that had held a non-collapse tag through last cycle. TER gave back all of its flagged reversal (30-day loss deepened from -18.09% to -30.78%), and WOLF and ALM both kept deteriorating further inside their existing too-young and collapse tags. CRS and BESIY are still carrying bars dated 2026-07-24, now four sessions stale.

Data as-of the 2026-07-28 close for most of the book. CRS and BESIY both carry bars still dated 2026-07-24 — their readings are unchanged from last cycle and should be read as frozen. AMVMF's newest bar is dated 2026-07-27 (one session behind), still on effectively no volume. Prior scan: 2026-07-25-supply-chain-traces (data as-of the 2026-07-24 close).

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 AMKR's single-day collapse is the headline; the broad book cooled with TER's flagged reversal giving back entirely
Key insight AMKR fell -24.74% in a single session on 3.99x average volume, crossing its regime into collapse

What's Going On

AMKR is the clearest single event in this book this cycle. It fell -24.74% in one session on relative volume of nearly 4x its average, dragging RSI from 42.4 to 27.4 and pushing its regime into collapse for the first time this cycle — last cycle it held a non-collapse tag alongside TER, KEYS, and ASX. TER's own flagged reversal from last cycle reversed right back: RSI fell from 45.3 to 40.7 and its 30-day loss deepened from -18.09% to -30.78%, giving back the entire stabilization that had been the standout read two cycles ago. The rest of the cooling pocket followed the same pattern — ASX, ATEYY, KEYS, and KLIC all posted lower RSI and deeper 30-day losses than last cycle. KMT is the one name that kept extending strength, RSI up from 54.3 to 56.3 on its strong-up trend upgrade from last cycle. TDY, the steadiest hold in the book, cooled only slightly (RSI 60.1 to 57.5). CRS, last cycle's clearest confirmed strength (RSI 61.9, uptrend), still carries a bar dated 2026-07-24 — its numbers are unchanged and cannot be read as a fresh signal this cycle. BESIY, the one thesis-intact name, is in the same position: frozen at its 07-24 print. WOLF deepened further inside its still-too-young regime (30-day loss now -50.54%, from -49.66%), and ALM — added to this watchlist just last cycle already carrying a collapse tag — deepened again (30-day loss -24.23%, from -18.96%). AMVMF's bar moved from 2026-07-23 to 2026-07-27, one session fresher but still not current, and its collapse regime is unchanged.

What Changed Since 2026-07-25

  • AMKR: regime downgraded to collapse (was non-collapse); RSI 42.4 → 27.4, -24.74% single-day move on 3.99x average volume — the standout event in the book; 30-day deepened to -44.51% (was -21.51%).
  • TER: RSI 45.3 → 40.7; 30-day deepened to -30.78% (was -18.09%), 7-day flipped from +8.55% to -14.27% — the flagged reversal from last cycle fully reversed.
  • KMT: RSI 54.3 → 56.3, extending its strong-up trend upgrade from last cycle.
  • TDY: RSI 60.1 → 57.5, roughly flat, still basing — the steadiest hold in the book.
  • ASX: RSI 43.7 → 38.1; 30-day deepened to -18.65% (was -9.99%).
  • ATEYY: RSI 44.6 → 38.5; 30-day deepened to -24.74% (was -10.93%).
  • KEYS: RSI 44.7 → 39.2; 7-day flipped from +0.88% to -6.99%.
  • KLIC: RSI 43.0 → 36.5; 30-day deepened to -29.58% (was -17.80%); thesis still rated intact-but-priced.
  • ALM: RSI 38.7 → 34.7; 30-day deepened to -24.23% (was -18.96%); -49.9% from 52-week high (was -41.91%); regime still collapse.
  • WOLF: 30-day deepened to -50.54% (was -49.66%); -72.93% from high (was -67.88%); regime still too-young.
  • CRS / BESIY: both still carry bars dated 2026-07-24 — no fresh print this cycle, readings unchanged.
  • AMVMF: bar now dated 2026-07-27 (was 2026-07-23), regime still collapse; RSI roughly flat at 29.2.

How To Read The Board

Regime labels describe chart structure, not a buy/sell call. AMKR's crossing into collapse this cycle is the sharpest single-name event in either book this week — a one-day, high-volume drop, not a slow drift. TER's full reversal is the mirror image of last cycle's headline: a stabilization that didn't hold past one print. CRS and BESIY remain frozen on 07-24 data; neither should be read as confirming or denying anything until a fresh bar arrives.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI 7D% 30D% vs SMA20 Trend From 52wkHigh
CRS $603.69 61.9 +8.23% +3.91% +2.7% strong-up -3.91% (regime: uptrend; data 07-24, stale)
TDY $649.67 57.5 +0.34% +1.32% +1.2% strong-up -6.3% (regime: basing)
KMT $35.61 56.3 +3.55% +2.27% +4.0% strong-up -18.72%
TER $320.65 40.7 -14.27% -30.78% -11.1% weak-down -34.28%
SDVKY $35.94 39.9 +0.5% -10.86% -6.9% down -19.29%
KEYS $305.17 39.2 -6.99% -10.28% -5.3% weak-down -18.61%
ATEYY $155.54 38.5 -16.58% -24.74% -14.6% weak-down -30.08%
ELMT $14.49 38.2 -7.47% -24.57% -9.2% neutral -35.63% (regime: too-young)
ASX $33.93 38.1 -15.2% -18.65% -15.3% weak-down -25.46%
BESIY $256.25 37.3 -0.81% -22.75% -10.4% weak-down -30.54% (thesis: intact; data 07-24, stale)
KLIC $90.93 36.5 -16.22% -29.58% -17.4% weak-down -33.04% (thesis: intact-but-priced)
ALM $12.23 34.7 -18.47% -24.23% -16.8% down -49.9% (regime: collapse)
MP $41.28 30.3 -10.84% -24.59% -15.1% strong-down -58.82% (regime: collapse)
WOLF $21.88 30.3 -31.04% -50.54% -34.3% down -72.93% (regime: too-young)
AMVMF $31.23 29.2 -1.82% -15.59% -12.6% down -35.62% (regime: collapse; bar revised to 07-28 by the 07-29 refetch — this row updated to match)
AMKR $45.69 27.4 -31.53% -44.51% -32.0% down -52.74% (regime: collapse, newly tagged; -24.74% single-day move on 3.99x volume)

Tier Analysis

Tier A — Confirmed strength, uptrend/basing: CRS (uptrend, but frozen 07-24 data), TDY (basing, steadiest hold in the book).

Tier B — Trend-upgraded strength, extending: KMT.

Tier C — Broad cooling, structure holding (6): TER (reversal fully unwound), ASX, ATEYY, KEYS, KLIC (thesis intact-but-priced), SDVKY.

Tier D — Thesis-intact pullback: BESIY (frozen 07-24 data).

Tier E — Structural avoid, regime collapse (4, up from 3): MP, AMVMF, ALM (carried from last cycle), AMKR (newly tagged this cycle after its single-day drop).

Tier F — Data caveat, too-young regime: WOLF, ELMT.

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 30D% Setup
BESIY $256.25 37.3 -22.75% Thesis intact, but frozen on 2026-07-24 data — do not treat this as a fresh reading
TDY $649.67 57.5 +1.32% Steadiest basing hold in the book, only a mild cooldown this cycle
KMT $35.61 56.3 +2.27% Confirmed trend upgrade extending — the clearest fresh strength in the book

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD TDY, KMT Confirmed basing/strong-up structure, extending this cycle
📈 ACCUMULATE BESIY Thesis-intact rating, though its data is frozen this cycle
🔍 WATCH CRS, TER, KEYS, ASX, ATEYY, KLIC, SDVKY CRS frozen data; TER's reversal fully unwound; the rest cooling broadly
❌ DON'T BUY MP, AMVMF, ALM, AMKR, WOLF, ELMT Collapse or too-young regime; AMKR is a fresh downgrade this cycle

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
AMKR's collapse-regime downgrade A one-day, high-volume drop that crossed a structural line — worth understanding what drove it before the next print
TER's fully-unwound reversal Last cycle's clearest stabilization gave back entirely — the next print should show whether this is a floor or continued deterioration
CRS/BESIY's next fresh print Both still on 2026-07-24 data — the book's best strength read (CRS) and its one thesis-intact name (BESIY) can't be confirmed until a fresh bar arrives
WOLF's continued deepening Now -50.54% on the month, still too-young regime
ALM's second cycle of deterioration New to the watchlist as of last cycle, already deepening further inside a collapse tag

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-07-28 close — supply-chain-traces.
9 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.