1. The Read
The AI-infrastructure trade had its worst day since spring, and the index barely noticed. The S&P 500 closed at $767.45, down 0.68% and 1.53% off its high; the Nasdaq-100 fell 1.69%. Underneath, the whole AI hardware stack derated at once: the neocloud watchlist's median name fell 8.2% (CoreWeave −12.1%, Cipher −13.0%, CBRS −12.7%, Nebius −7.6%), the optical supply chain's median fell 9.0% (Fabrinet −19.4%, Applied Optoelectronics −15.2%, Coherent −12.8%, Lumentum −9.9%), memory gave back Monday's headline (SanDisk −9.0% after a +27.9% week, Micron −7.0%, Seagate −9.2%), and the semis ETF lost 4.96% with the leveraged version down 14.8%. Seven hundred and sixty-two of the 1,087 tracked names fell (median −1.2%), and 105 moved 7% or more on real volume — a heavy tape for a day the index called quiet.
What set it off
Fabrinet. The optical assembler beat its quarter (revenue $1.316B vs ~$1.27B expected, EPS $4.10 vs $3.81) and then guided the next quarter to $1.375–1.425B — a modest step after a 45% year-over-year quarter — with a $56.7M mark-down on non-marketable equity and negative free cash flow from capex; the stock fell 20% and took the group with it (Seeking Alpha, 24/7 Wall St, Investing.com; captured Aug 18). Into that came the second day of the global long-bond selloff — the 30-year U.S. Treasury printed 5.34% intraday, its highest since 2007, and Japan's 10-year a 30-year high (CNBC) — and the ECB's researchers publishing that an AI-led correction is "likely." A tape priced for perfection got a good-not-perfect print and a higher discount rate on the same morning. Anthropic's reported $65B revenue run rate (Bloomberg, Axios, Aug 17) circulated alongside; whether it helped or hurt the mood is not attributable from here.
Two things did NOT happen. Credit did not flinch — high-yield closed 0.41% off its high — and the long bond actually caught a small bid into the close (TLT +0.31%). That is the difference between a de-rating inside one crowded trade and a market event. Elsewhere the money went somewhere: healthcare made a fresh high (XLV +1.6%, J&J +3.33% to a record; the sector ETF's three-month total return is 15.6% vs 4.8% for the S&P, per CNBC), energy broke out (XLE +1.76%, RSI 72.7, at its high) and the refiners printed another leg (Phillips 66 RSI 81.1). Nike and Lululemon — Monday's two deep dives — bounced +2.48% and +2.83% on above-average volume; neither is a turn yet (both remain far under their 200-day averages).
What it means for the neocloud lane
A −8% median day across NBIS/CRWV/IREN/APLD/CORZ/WULF/HUT/CIFR/GLXY/CBRS on a Fabrinet guide is a positioning event, not a demand event: nothing about GPU demand changed between Monday and Tuesday. But it is the second reminder in a week that this lane's financing story runs through the long end — the AI capex bond wave (a separate note is coming) — and a rising 30-year is the one macro input that changes the math for the debt-heavy members. Read it as: hold the trend where it exists (NBIS still +39.8% over 30 days and $37 above its 20-day; CRWV +27.3% but sitting $0.60 above its 200-day at $93.17 — the member with the least room), do not add into a group-wide −8% day, and let the 20-day averages tell you whether this was one day or the start of the digestion phase this lane has been due.
Watch Wednesday: Analog Devices (the first big semis print after today's rout), Lowe's/Target/TJX after Home Depot held its guidance again, the FOMC minutes and the 20-year auction — a tail there is the rates leg of the monitor lighting; the semis ETF holding its 20-day ($528.71 — it closed $531.39, right on it) is the equity leg.
Extended analysis
Leaders and laggards
320 advancing 798 declining 69.5% above the 200-day Color is 7-day price direction, not a buy or sell call.
Leaders
top 7D gainersLaggards
top 7D losers2. What Changed Since the Last Brief
Screen CROSSINGS between the previous brief's close ( ) and this one — a name appears only on the session it crossed, not for as long as it stays there. Every name carries its before → after.
New oversold (4) — BIDU RSI 37.9 → 22.8, LION RSI 32.2 → 29.4, INVZ RSI 30.5 → 29.7, ENVX RSI 34.1 → 29.9.
New overbought (19) — HAE RSI 68.8 → 82.9, AMLX RSI 55.4 → 82.7, ABT RSI 68.9 → 73, XLE RSI 69.7 → 72.9, CLMT RSI 66.9 → 71.3, XOM RSI 66.3 → 71.3, RTXE RSI 66.9 → 71.1, RVMD RSI 68.8 → 71.1, CVE RSI 69.5 → 70.9, MDT RSI 67.3 → 70.9, MGNI RSI 69.5 → 70.9, ABNB RSI 68.2 → 70.6, CIB RSI 68.9 → 70.6, CMBT RSI 69.6 → 70.6, APA RSI 68.1 → 70.2, APPN RSI 67.2 → 70.2, +3 more.
Golden crossings (5) — ARQQ -0.73% → 0.74%, CRVL -0.28% → 0.02%, ESTC -0.2% → 0.53%, IGV -0.19% → 0%, TMO -0.35% → 0.05%.
Death crossings (2) — CNH 0.09% → 0%, TAN 0.49% → -0.02%.
New monsters (8) — 688017.SS 47.6% → 54.4%, HAE 29.6% → 49.6%, CNC 33.4% → 34.7%, ESTC 30.5% → 33%, APA 29.1% → 31.2%, GTLB 27.8% → 31%, TVE.TO 28.9% → 30.8%, DXCM 29% → 30.1%.
Newly near a 52-week high (20) — MAN -5.16% → -0.63% from high, AMLX -12.89% → -0.79% from high, LLY -5.31% → -1.9% from high, BMY -5.1% → -3.01% from high, ABBV -6.41% → -3.2% from high, SLDE -6.09% → -3.22% from high, VRTX -5.61% → -3.29% from high, CVX -5.59% → -4.18% from high, BBY -6.39% → -4.38% from high, TNET -8.13% → -4.43% from high, WCLD -5.51% → -4.47% from high, CHYM -5.87% → -4.49% from high, JAZZ -6.3% → -4.52% from high, COP -6.12% → -4.53% from high, MA -6.57% → -4.56% from high, MRX -5.24% → -4.67% from high, +4 more.
Newly in an entry zone (7) — AVGO $380 · $378–386 (SMA20 $382.58 retest) — add on the flag after the SMA200 reclaim, GEV $1004.53 · $960-$1010, IBM $232.67 · $231.80-$244.00, LITE $873.31 · $830-$890, MLM $522.81 · $510-$530, MU $940.76 · $920-$985, VICRE $242.41 · $215-$245.
The desk's takes cover 8 of 24 names; the rest show the mechanical tape state. 1 authored take matched no row (AAPL/GOOGL/AMZN/TSLA/PL/ILMN/NTR/HQ/INFQ/LAES/XNDU) — kept in the chapter text above.
4. Sector Scorecard
AI infrastructure (neoclouds / optical / memory / semis) — the day's loser by a mile: medians −8.2% / −9.0% / −8.1% / −4.3%. FN-led, rates-amplified; positioning, not demand. Watch the 20-day averages, not the headlines. Energy / refiners — XLE broke out (+1.76%, RSI 72.7, at the high); VLO/PSX RSI 76/81. The diesel-crack trade is fully priced; do not chase. Rates / long duration — TLT +0.31% on a day the 30-year touched 5.34% intraday: the first sign of a bid, not a turn (RSI 38.7, still under its 20-day $82.52). Gold / miners — GLD −1.71%, GDX −3.20%: the safe-haven bid faded with the yen; the miners are still +24.7% over 30 days. Japan — EWJ −2.85% as JGB yields ran; the yen sat at ~159.5.
ETF tape · 42 funds
The desk's curated ETF read — one fund per lane it tracks, not every fund on the watchlists — grouped by what the fund is exposed to, and where each closed on the issue date. The big number and the tile's shade are that session's move (1D); 7D and 30D are the trailing windows behind it, and RSI is the 14-day reading (above 70 is stretched, below 30 washed out). Shades near flat stay gray — a ±0.25% day is not a color.
Index & international · 9 funds
Tech, AI & cloud · 9 funds
Health & biotech · 3 funds
Commodities, energy & metals · 7 funds
Rates, credit, dollar & vol · 6 funds
Crypto · 2 funds
Income & real assets · 3 funds
The desk's assessments cover 2 of 122 lanes. 5 authored assessments matched no lane (ai infrastructure (neoclouds / optical / memory / semis), energy / refiners, rates / long duration, gold / miners, japan) — kept in the chapter text above.
5. Insider Tape
Insiders are not adding at these prices. Across the 861 U.S. filers the desk follows, the 90-day Form 4 picture is: 3,705 open-market sales worth $59.8B against 295 purchases worth $261M — roughly 230:1 by dollars — and 374 sell clusters against 24 buy clusters (a cluster = two or more insiders on the same side inside 14 days). The last 30 days alone: $15.7B sold, $61M bought.
That ratio is structurally lopsided (compensation is stock; 10b5-1 plans sell on autopilot), so the sell side is weather. What is worth reading is the two tails. Recent sell clusters worth naming: Blackstone ($1.16B, five insiders, Aug 4–13), Life Time ($709M, seven insiders), Airbnb ($451M incl. the CEO), Amphenol ($180M, CFO and general counsel), Chevron ($161M incl. the CEO), Schwab ($84M, seven insiders), Cloudflare ($64.7M — CEO, CFO and three others, Aug 4–11), KLA ($53M incl. the CEO), Thermo Fisher ($39M incl. the CEO). And the rare buy clusters — the informative side: AbCellera (CFO plus two directors bought ~$1M Aug 14–18, at the top of a +73%/30-day run), Pfizer (CEO Bourla plus two directors, $3.0M), On Holding (two co-CEO-level buys, $4.0M on Aug 17), Elanco (CFO plus two directors — the livestock-disease lane's pick), Chemours (seven insiders), Celanese, Galaxy, Bitdeer. Insider buying at highs is rare enough that the AbCellera cluster is a real data point against the "it has run too far to touch" read; it does not change the entry discipline, but it belongs on the record. The other side of the ledger, for balance: hedge funds bought U.S. equities in every session last week — their second-largest weekly purchase in twelve months, ~70% in single stocks (The Kobeissi Letter, Aug 18) — so the people who know the businesses were selling to the people who trade the tape. That is a late-cycle pairing, not a signal with a date on it.
6. Rates & Macro
The four-leg collapse monitor: all dark at the close. Equity leg: S&P $767.45 vs its 200-day $703.64 — 9% of room. Credit leg: high-yield $79.53 vs its 200-day $78.36 — 1.5% of room, and it did not widen today. Yield-peak leg: TLT $81.66 still under its 20-day $82.52 — the peak is not in. Oil leg: Brent front-month ~$91 on the latest print (BNO $52.11 vs the ~$57 ≈ Brent-$100 line). Nothing lit; nothing to do.
What the day added: the 30-year printed 5.34% intraday and traded ~5.30% into the afternoon (CNBC) — the highest since 2007 and the second day of a global long-end selloff (Bund 15-year high, French 30-year post-2008, JGB 10-year 30-year high). The 2-year eased to ~4.17%: a bear steepener, the shape in which weak data (July retail sales −0.6%) fails to rally the long end because supply and energy dominate. Corporate fundamentals are the opposite of weak — S&P Q2 earnings growth ~50% blended, ~32% ex-Alphabet/Amazon, revenue +15% (FactSet) — which is why today's damage stayed inside the most crowded, most rate-sensitive trade rather than spreading. Leverage is the amplifier to respect — and the newest number cuts the other way: FINRA margin debt hit a record ~$1.5T in June (+49% year over year, Advisor Perspectives) and then fell $85B in July to $1.42T, the largest monthly drop on record (FINRA via The Kobeissi Letter). Deleveraging has started; that is what keeps a −10% dip from becoming a −20% one, and it is why the credit leg matters more than the equity leg.
7. The Wild & Whacky
- Amylyx +63.8% on positive Phase 3 avexitide results (55% fewer severe hypoglycemic episodes vs placebo; NDA planned by year-end — Benzinga, Investing.com), RSI 82.8, 11.7× normal volume — the biotech tape's version of a moonshot landing.
- Haemonetics +15.9% (RSI 83.1) on the same day the whole AI complex bled — blood-management equipment as a momentum stock is a sentence nobody wrote in June.
- Klarna −22.8% on 8.9× volume, RSI 30.8, 74% below its high — the buy-now-pay-later IPO now pays later (no attribution in the desk's pulls).
- SOXS +15.2% / SOXL −14.8% — the leveraged semis pair moved more today than the S&P has all month.
8. What I'd Tell a Friend
Today was a de-rating inside one crowded trade, not a market event: credit held, the long bond bounced, healthcare and energy made highs while AI hardware fell 8–20%. If you own the AI-infra trend, the level that matters is each name's 20-day average (NBIS/CRWV/MU/SNDK are all still above theirs) — a second day like this that breaks them is the digestion signal; one day is noise you were warned about. Do not buy the dip in the group on day one, and do not sell the trend on day one either. The thing to watch tomorrow is not a stock: it is the 20-year auction and the FOMC minutes — a bad tail is the rates leg of the monitor lighting up, and that is the one that would make this an index story.
9. The Front Page
Monster Watch · 205 of 1135 tracked names
Sector Rotation Radar · 122 themes
Flow means 30-day relative strength versus SPY, not dollars moving: Inflow beat SPY by more than 2 points, Outflow trailed by more than 2, and Neutral stayed inside that band.
reference_jasonl_capital_kopn_check.md). Kopin Corporation, $3.97 microcap. Claimed: MicroLED… Thebuildout High Speed Pcbs Server Networking Outflow +0.5% 30D TheBuildout · High-Speed PCBs (Server/Networking Grade) — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/high-speed-pcbs-server-networking), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice =… Defensive Outflow +0.5% 30D Defensive/Value - ETFs (XLP consumer staples, XLU utilities). Telecom (T, VZ), consumer staples (WMT, MCD, COST, SBUX, TGT), food/protein (HRL, TSN, PPC), industrial (ECL), home improvement (HD, LOW). Rotation… Thebuildout Data Center Power Semiconductors Outflow +0.3% 30D TheBuildout · Data Center Power Semiconductors — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/data-center-power-semiconductors), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice =… War Sensitivity Outflow +0.2% 30D War-sensitivity watchlist — stocks ranked by their reaction to ceasefire fake-outs (TACO trades). Tier 1 fast movers: COPX/JETS/UAE (5-9% pops). Tier 2 hidden oil-sensitive: W/RH/ATZ/AS (heavy-goods shipping costs).… Thebuildout Advanced Packaging Equipment Outflow +0.1% 30D TheBuildout · Advanced Packaging Equipment — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/advanced-packaging-equipment), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice = US-listed/ADR lines… Thebuildout Glass Core Panel Level Packaging Outflow +0.1% 30D TheBuildout · Glass Core & Panel-Level Packaging — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/glass-core-panel-level-packaging), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice =… Crypto Outflow 0.0% 30D Crypto: BTC, ETH, SOL, major alts (via yfinance -USD tickers), spot ETFs (IBIT, GBTC, ETHE, BITO), crypto equities (MSTR, COIN, miners), crypto ETF (BITQ) CPU Shortage Supply Chain Outflow -0.1% 30D AI compute shortage supply chain across CPUs, high-speed connectivity, assembly and test, and semiconductor baskets. Thebuildout Power Distribution Pdus Busways Outflow -0.1% 30D TheBuildout · Power Distribution (PDUs, Busways, Switchgear) — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/power-distribution-pdus-busways), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice =… Retail Outflow -0.3% 30D Retail/Consumer - ETFs (XRT retail). Home Improvement (HD, LOW), E-commerce (SHOP), Athletic/Apparel (AS, LULU, NKE, DECK, CROX, ANF), Food/Beverage (SBUX, MCD, CMG, DPZ, YUM), General Retail (COST, WMT, TGT, TJX) Mag7 Outflow -0.5% 30D Magnificent 7 - The seven largest US tech companies Peptide Economy Outflow -0.6% 30D Peptide / GLP-1 economy — principals + next-gen pipeline + consumer/distribution layer. Surfaced 2026-05-05 as a coverage gap: no focused lens existed despite GLP-1s being the largest pharma run of the past 18 months.… Thebuildout Ups Energy Storage Data Centers Outflow -0.6% 30D TheBuildout · UPS & Energy Storage for Data Centers — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/ups-energy-storage-data-centers), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice =… Watchlist Outflow -0.7% 30D Faang Outflow -0.7% 30D FAANG - Facebook (Meta), Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google Thebuildout AI Sensors Perception Hardware Outflow -1.0% 30D TheBuildout · AI Sensors & Perception Hardware — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/ai-sensors-perception-hardware), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice = US-listed/ADR… Livestock Disease Outflow -1.2% 30D Livestock-disease / beef supply-shock — single consolidated watchlist + alert hub for the New World Screwworm → cattle-supply thesis (first US case 2026-06-03; US herd 75-yr low; record beef). ROLES: (A) Animal-health… Thebuildout Autonomous Vehicles Self Driving Outflow -1.4% 30D TheBuildout · Autonomous Vehicles & Self-Driving — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/autonomous-vehicles-self-driving), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice =… Thebuildout Deposition Equipment Outflow -1.4% 30D TheBuildout · Deposition Equipment — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/deposition-equipment), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice = US-listed/ADR lines of the free-tier… Thebuildout Natural Gas Turbines Dc Power Outflow -1.6% 30D TheBuildout · Natural Gas Turbines & DC Power Generation — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/natural-gas-turbines-dc-power), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice =… Consumer Outflow -1.7% 30D Consumer brands - ETFs (XLY consumer discretionary). Athleisure (AS, LULU, NKE, DECK, CROX), food/beverage (SBUX, CMG, DPZ), health/wellness (HIMS), payments (PYPL, XYZ — Block Inc, ticker renamed from SQ in 2025),… Thebuildout Grid Infrastructure Transmission Outflow -2.5% 30D TheBuildout · Grid Infrastructure & Transmission — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/grid-infrastructure-transmission), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice =… Food Security Outflow -2.7% 30D Food security — geopolitical energy shock cascade play. Fertilizer (NTR Nutrien, MOS Mosaic, CF Industries), farm equipment (DE Deere), grain trading (ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland, BG Bunge Global — added 2026-05-10, $24B… Energy Outflow -2.8% 30D Energy - data center power (BE, EOSE, TAC, CEG, GEV, TLN), nuclear (CEG), solar (FSLR, ENPH), utilities (NEE). Overlaps with ai-infra for power plays. EV Clean Energy Outflow -3.1% 30D EV makers + clean energy + related ETFs. Solar tracking (NXT Nextracker), industrial energy storage/batteries (ENS EnerSys). Lithium pure-plays added 2026-05-10 from… Thebuildout Dram Memory Outflow -3.3% 30D TheBuildout · DRAM Memory — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/dram-memory), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice = US-listed/ADR lines of the free-tier visible head: 4… Airlines Outflow -3.3% 30D Airlines — war-ends playbook beneficiary. Oil drop → margin expansion, leisure travel recovery. JETS ETF for broad exposure. (Removed 2026-05-04: HA absorbed by ALK via 2024 acquisition; SAVE bankrupt + delisted… Thebuildout Nuclear Energy Data Centers Outflow -3.4% 30D TheBuildout · Nuclear Energy for Data Centers — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/nuclear-energy-data-centers), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice = US-listed/ADR… Thebuildout Trailing Edge Logic Specialty Foundries Outflow -3.5% 30D TheBuildout · Trailing-Edge Logic & Specialty Foundries — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/trailing-edge-logic-specialty-foundries), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our… AI Power Outflow -3.7% 30D AI Power Bottleneck — Leopold Aschenbrenner's watts-per-rack thesis. Fuel cells (BE), distributed power (PSIX, BW), nat gas (EQT, LBRT, PUMP), BTC miners pivoting to AI compute (CORZ, IREN, APLD, CIFR, HUT, BTDR, CLSK,… Thebuildout Fuel Cells Alternative Dc Power Outflow -4.3% 30D TheBuildout · Fuel Cells & Alternative DC Power — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/fuel-cells-alternative-dc-power), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice =… Thebuildout Renewable Energy Hyperscaler Ppas Outflow -4.4% 30D TheBuildout · Renewable Energy Developers (Hyperscaler PPAs) — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/renewable-energy-hyperscaler-ppas), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice… Grid Buildout Outflow -5.0% 30D Transformer, switchgear, electrical-equipment, and engineering contractors exposed to transmission and data-center grid buildout. Thebuildout Semiconductor Ip Licensors Outflow -5.2% 30D TheBuildout · Semiconductor IP Licensors — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/semiconductor-ip-licensors), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice = US-listed/ADR lines of… Cultural Thesis Outflow -7.3% 30D Cultural thesis watchlist — stocks driven by consumer behavior shifts, social arbitrage signals, and cultural cascades. HIMS = telehealth / GLP-1 cultural arbitrage (replaced BRBR as the protein-economy vehicle… Thebuildout Humanoid Robots Embodied AI Outflow -7.8% 30D TheBuildout · Humanoid Robots & Embodied AI — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/humanoid-robots-embodied-ai), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice = US-listed/ADR lines… 10. Key Signals
Recorded signals · 33
11. Paper Trade Report Card
yolo $111,254 +11.3% 8 open · updated 2026-08-18
claude trader $109,943 +9.9% 22 open · updated 2026-08-18
dip buyer $100,000 0.0% 0 open · updated n/a
momentum trader $100,000 0.0% 0 open · updated n/a
bench signals $54,227 n/a 52 open · updated 2026-08-17
12. Active Perspectives
AI Power Bottleneck — Watts Per Rack + Generation-Side active high latest 2026-08-14
AI Power Delivery — The 30% Parasitic Loss active high latest 2026-08-14
Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario monitoring low latest 2026-08-14
Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle monitoring low latest 2026-08-14
The Gold Anomaly — Broken Safe Haven monitoring low latest 2026-08-14
AI Optical Supercycle — Wave-Curve Rotation monitoring high latest 2026-08-14
US Energy Dominance — Blockade as Leverage (absorbed iran-war-oil) monitoring critical latest 2026-08-14
Memory Supercycle — DRAM/NAND/HBM Structural Tightness active high latest 2026-08-14
SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 monitoring high latest 2026-08-14
Nearline HDD Storage — Density-Led Oligopoly (allocated through 2027) monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14
Livestock Disease — New World Screwworm → Cattle-Supply Shock & Protein Rotation monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14
Biotech Capital Cycle — AI-Bio Platforms & Lab-Tools/CRO Picks-and-Shovels (IPO-Window Levered) monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14
Nuclear Fuel Cycle — AI-Driven Nuclear Demand (enrichment chokepoint + utility cash-flow) active medium latest 2026-08-14
CPU Shortage Supply Chain — Datacenter CPU Allocation + ABF Substrate Bottleneck monitoring high latest 2026-08-14
China Structural Discount — Multiple-Capped, Not Earnings-Capped (VIE / CCP / Macro Triptych) monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14
AI Capex Digestion — the Crowded-Trade Unwind active high latest 2026-08-14
Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) active medium latest 2026-08-14
Quantum Computing — The Sovereign-Catalyst Trade (Basket-First, Lottery Underneath) monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14
AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14
Trump Policy Ticker Catalysts — Source-Tier Event Study monitoring low latest 2026-08-14
The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch active medium latest 2026-08-14
Drone Defense — The Budget Line Item That Reshores active medium latest 2026-08-14
Today's Actions · 41 META $543.82 · FN $482.59 · BIDU $90.87
exit · 3
entry · 38
AMLX breaking out 0.8% off its 52-week high after a +48.6% week — a +176% three-month run, not a one-week pop · overbought stretch
PSX breaking out at a fresh 52-week high after a +8.4% week — a +34% three-month run, not a one-week pop
MPC breaking out at a fresh 52-week high after a +8.9% week — a +40% three-month run, not a one-week pop · overbought stretch trend-hold
NFLXE coming into play — 38.6% off its 52-week high with the tape turning up (+4.0% this week)
BABA coming into play — 32.9% off its 52-week high with the tape turning up (+0.2% this week)
PEP coming into play — 16.7% off its 52-week high with the tape turning up (+1.2% this week)
ABCL $8.45 watch-grade call — 3 of 5 bells lit (research, trigger, advisory); trigger at $8.45 · overbought stretch trend-hold
NVDA $209.81 watch-grade call — 3 of 5 bells lit (research, trigger, advisory); trigger at $209.81 · a real base is forming — watch for the breakout trend-hold
CME $280 in its $280 buy zone · vwap reclaim — new this week
AVGO $378–386 in its $378–386 buy zone
IBIT $42 in its $42 buy zone
IBM $231.80–244.00 in its $231.80–244.00 buy zone
LITE $830–890 in its $830–890 buy zone
LULU $135 in its $135 buy zone
MLM $510–530 in its $510–530 buy zone
URA $52 in its $52 buy zone
VICRE $215–245 in its $215–245 buy zone
AAPL no setup today — still in trend, +1.7% this week, 9.9% off its 52-week high
AMZN no setup today — still in trend, -4.7% this week, 9.7% off its 52-week high
ARGX no setup today — still in trend, +15.0% this week, 1.7% off its 52-week high
ARM no setup today — drifting down, -5.8% this week, 44.0% off its 52-week high trend-hold
ARQQ no setup today — still in trend, -9.6% this week, 64.5% off its 52-week high
GOOGL no setup today — drifting down, +0.1% this week, 15.7% off its 52-week high
HQ no setup today — moving sideways, +34.0% this week, 62.7% off its 52-week high
INFQ no setup today — drifting up, +9.0% this week, 53.0% off its 52-week high
IONQ no setup today — moving sideways, +1.6% this week, 47.9% off its 52-week high
LAES no setup today — under pressure, +6.6% this week, 68.5% off its 52-week high
MSFT no setup today — moving sideways, -4.4% this week, 12.5% off its 52-week high trend-hold
MU no setup today — drifting down, +8.4% this week, 25.0% off its 52-week high
NET no setup today — still in trend, -1.8% this week, 9.3% off its 52-week high
OUST no setup today — still in trend, -4.6% this week, 32.6% off its 52-week high
PL no setup today — under pressure, -1.4% this week, 54.9% off its 52-week high trend-hold
QBTS no setup today — under pressure, -3.4% this week, 58.2% off its 52-week high
QUBT no setup today — under pressure, -4.8% this week, 67.1% off its 52-week high
RGTI no setup today — drifting up, -2.0% this week, 69.5% off its 52-week high
SNDK no setup today — drifting down, +27.9% this week, 30.9% off its 52-week high
TSLA no setup today — under pressure, +1.2% this week, 32.5% off its 52-week high
XNDU no setup today — under pressure, +1.1% this week, 75.3% off its 52-week high
All Scans 2 complete · 29 without a dated artifact
market pulse missing
ai scan missing
ai infrastructure missing
biotech scan missing
nvda ecosystem missing
defensive scan missing
healthcare scan missing
consumer scan missing
retail scan missing
cloud etfs missing
cybersec missing
ev clean energy missing
etf universe missing
insider scan missing
bargain bin missing
tech insider buys missing
crypto scan missing
macro commodities missing
defense contractors missing
geopolitical risk missing
optical supply chain missing
drone defense missing
supply chain traces missing
wfe test metrology missing
food security missing
cultural thesis missing
airlines missing
chemicals missing
travel leisure missing
The desk's frozen record The machine-built sections as this issue recorded them — the tape, calls, and wires that were true on this date (desk plumbing and file-path lines removed for reading).
Regime State
- State counts: collapse: 120, pullback: 366, uptrend: 255, downtrend: 131.
- Latest transition batch: 2026-08-18 vs 2026-08-17; 23 confirmed state-to-state flips, 0 entries, 0 exits.
- Confirmed flips: $A breakout -> uptrend; $ALM collapse -> pullback; $AMP breakout -> uptrend; $ATRC uptrend -> parabolic; $AVAH uptrend -> parabolic; $BN uptrend -> pullback.
Cross-sector Rotation
- Money rotating INTO Government Compute (RS +21.8, 17% strong-up), Web Cloud (RS +15.3, 67% strong-up), Copper (RS +12.8, 100% strong-up) — OUT OF Cultural Thesis (RS -10.6), Grid Buildout (RS -8.3), AI Power (RS -7.0). Benchmark SPY +3.3% 30d. ◔ EARLY TURN (accelerating, breadth unconfirmed — probe, not a call): Memory (accel +8.9, 8% up, led by SNDK/WDC/SIMO). Fading leaders: Government Compute (accel -7.6), Web Cloud (accel -5.4), Copper (accel -7.1), Cloud SAAS (accel -3.9), Space (accel -4.7), Cloud ETFS (accel -3.9), Drone Defense (accel -4.2), Adtech (accel -3.3), Nuclear Fuel Cycle (accel -7.2), Quantum Computing (accel -3.3), Optical Supply Chain (accel -3.9), Alt Managers (accel -6.1), Ark (accel -3.0), Trace Glp1 Manufacturing (accel -3.3).
- ⚡ Front-run: no emerging sectors clearing the acceleration + breadth bar this run.
Volatility Gate
- VIX 15.84 (CALM) · 1d +4.3%. 😴 VIX CALM — 15.84 (<16). Complacent; no fear discount available.
- No fire-sale trigger (rule: >=30% one-day spike is the trigger; the level alone is context).
- Credit tape (7d): HYG +0.1% · LQD -0.1% · IEF +0.1% — the flush-vs-break discriminator: orderly credit means the selling is positioning, not a credit event.
The Prints
- $HD — Reported EPS $4.92 versus analyst consensus of $4.73 (+4.0%).
- $BIDU — Reported EPS $7.22 versus analyst consensus of $9.84 (-26.6%).
- $KEYS — Reported EPS $3.07 versus analyst consensus of $2.48 (+23.7%).
- $KLAR — Reported EPS $0.03 versus analyst consensus of $-0.06 (+158.6%).
- $AS — Reported EPS $0.22 versus analyst consensus of $0.11 (+109.3%).
- $HSAI — Reported EPS $0.64 versus analyst consensus of $0.43 (+48.2%).
- ⚠ 1 print(s) in this window are still unread stubs — results landed but nobody has written them up yet.
Upcoming Prints (next 72h)
- 2026-08-18 — $SQM
- 2026-08-19 — $ADI, $TJX, $TGT, $LOW, $WOLF, $FLNG
- 2026-08-20 — $WMT, $BABA, $DE, $NTES
- 2026-08-21 — $UI, $RR, $PHGE
Tripwires
- Tripwires: no new trips since the 2026-08-18 duty pass.
Desk Calls
| Ticker | Stance | Entry | Review-by | 30d vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $BNO | watch | not a trade — the oil leg of the monitor. BNO ~$57 is Brent ~$100 at the current… | 2026-09-19 | pending |
| $HYG | watch | not a trade — the tell. Credit at -0.31% from its high while the long bond makes… | 2026-09-19 | pending |
| $PSX | pass | same as VLO — RSI 80 at the high; nothing here to chase | 2026-09-19 | pending |
| $SPY | watch | no new entry — the trend is intact 0.86% off its high; hold it while the 200-day… | 2026-09-19 | pending |
| $TLT | watch | the historical equity low arrives AT the yield peak, so the long bond is only worth… | 2026-09-19 | pending |
| $VLO | pass | the diesel-crack trade is made — RSI 74.8, 0.96% off its high, +35.46% in three… | 2026-09-19 | pending |
| $AVAV | watch | a pullback that bases in the $163-$180 band — the reclaimed 20-day ($165.70), 50-day… | 2026-09-15 | pending |
| $AXON | watch | a pullback that holds the $576.14 shelf or the 20-day ($556.43) | 2026-09-30 | pending |
| $ITA | pass | no entry 2.69% off a 52-week high with RSI 64.4; the wrapper prices the primes, not… | 2026-09-30 | pending |
| $KTOS | pass | no entry while price sits 12.3% below the 200-day ($73.65) with a death cross intact… | 2026-09-30 | pending |
| $RCAT | pass | no entry after a +20.85% week that stalled at the anchored VWAP from the low… | 2026-09-30 | pending |
| $UMAC | watch | a pullback that bases in $21-$24, where the value-area high ($21.09), 50-day… | 2026-10-09 | pending |
| $DUST | pass | n/a — the inverse side of the same instrument problem | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $GDX | watch | don't chase RSI 70.3 after a +21.31% week — a first pullback that holds the 200-day… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $GLD | watch | a close above the 200-day ($411.70) that holds with RSI above 55; $445 reopens the… | 2026-09-04 | pending |
| $MU | watch | reclaims and holds the 20-day ($888.26) with RSI back above 50 | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $NUGT | pass | n/a — leveraged miner exposure compounds the whipsaw that already makes miners the… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $SIL | watch | above its 200-day by 2.4% but RSI 67.1 after +20.0% — same pullback discipline as… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $SIMO | watch | price back above the 20-day ($264.25) with the 30-day loss narrowing | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $SLV | watch | the laggard of the complex at 9.8% below its 200-day ($63.76) — a reclaim of that… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $SNDK | pass | no entry while price sits 13.0% below the 20-day ($1,393.06) and 28.2% below the… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $STX | watch | holds the 20-day ($834.21) and turns RSI back above 50 | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $UUP | watch | n/a — the dollar at RSI 39.5 is the tailwind, not the trade | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $WDC | watch | not before the Aug 5 call's allocation and gross-margin language is public and read;… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $GLD | watch | a close above the 200-day ($411.72) that holds with RSI above 55; $445 reopens the… | 2026-09-04 | pending |
| $CVX | watch | strongest RSI in the upstream cohort (67.2) — hold above the 20-day (~$185.34) to… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $GLD | watch | this is a signal to watch, not a trade — a reclaim of the 20-day (~$373.15) would be… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $HAL | avoid | not a trend-hold candidate yet — wait for a base and a reclaim of the 50-day… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $PSX | watch | RSI is a hair under overbought (69.7) — wait for a pullback to the 20-day (~$200.76)… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $USO | watch | the -5.5% weekly pullback holds above the 20-day (~$121.96) — a normal pullback… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $VLO | watch | same setup as PSX — a pullback to the 20-day (~$295.63); note this row is one… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $CEG | watch | reclaim the 20-day (~$256) with hyperscaler spending language intact on the Jul… | 2026-08-08 (overdue) | +1.8% |
| $ELAN | watch (invalidation?) | a volume-confirmed (at least average volume) close through the 52-week high… | 2026-08-14 (overdue) | -9.4% |
| $GEV | watch | held the AI unwind at −5%; reclaim the 20-day (~$1,085) and print a higher low | 2026-08-08 (overdue) | -10.3% |
| $LEU | watch | first higher low after a clean Jul 29–30 capex read — the −18% month is a beta… | 2026-08-08 (overdue) | +8.9% |
| $CLMT | pass | RSI 83 on 2.7x volume, +165% in a year — parabolic-chaser material, not trend-hold;… | 2026-09-04 | +7.2% |
| $DK | pass | reopen if it builds a multi-week base above the 20-day ($52.58) and resumes — a… | 2026-09-04 | +0.2% |
| $MPC | watch | the lane's quality large-cap; interest begins on the first pullback that HOLDS the… | 2026-08-21 | +9.5% |
| $MU | watch (in zone) | Friday printed a reversal bar (low $804, closed $848.95); a close above that bar's… | 2026-08-14 (overdue) | +12.8% |
| $NVDA | watch (in zone) | the general never broke (−3.7% in 30 days vs the ETF's −15.7%); a reclaim of its… | 2026-08-14 (overdue) | +6.6% |
| $PANW | watch | the lane's strongest structure (-2.7% from its 52-week high, +83% on the year);… | 2026-09-04 | +3.6% |
| $PL | watch (invalidation?) | untouchable while the knife falls (RSI 30, −14% on the week); interest begins when… | 2026-09-11 | +6.0% |
| $PSX | watch | the diversified laggard of the three (+70% on the year, midstream/chem mix dilutes… | 2026-08-21 | +11.1% |
| $S | watch | the laggard catching up (+30% in 30 days, still only +9% on the year and -8.6% from… | 2026-09-10 | +8.0% |
| $SMH | watch (invalidation?) | the complex switch: first close back above the 50-day ($597.33) after a higher low,… | 2026-08-14 (overdue) | +2.2% |
| $STX | watch (in zone) | the complex's only accumulation-shaped bar: +5.7% on 1.35× volume, closed near the… | 2026-08-14 (overdue) | +19.9% |
| $VLO | watch | best 12-month tape of the pure refiners (+117%); same frame — first 20-day hold… | 2026-08-21 | +7.1% |
| $ARM | watch (in zone) | reclaim the pre-registered $270 line and hold it — the trigger the thesis flag broke… | 2026-08-08 (overdue) | -2.4% |
| $CCJ | watch | washed out at RSI 30 — wait for the $84 shelf to hold and a first higher low; the… | 2026-09-15 | +11.2% |
| $CEG | watch (in zone) | the merchant bellwether needs a turn signature, not a dip-buy — a base under the… | 2026-09-15 | +6.3% |
| $DUK | watch (invalidation?) | the one working expression — regulated rate-base growth from the same demand; a… | 2026-09-15 | -5.1% |
| $LEU | watch (in zone) | only after a full-quarter base — the enrichment monopoly story is intact but the… | 2026-10-01 | +14.0% |
| $MU | watch | gated on the prints, not the chart — a storage/memory print (STX Jul 28, WDC Jul 29,… | 2026-08-08 (overdue) | +15.2% |
| $NVDA | watch | the R1 playbook leg — hold the 20-day retest (~$202) through the July 28–29 storage… | 2026-08-08 (overdue) | +7.0% |
| $TLN | watch (invalidation?) | the strongest tape of the merchants — hold the $360 shelf and the 200-day (~$371),… | 2026-09-15 | -8.1% |
| $VST | watch (invalidation?) | reclaim the 200-day (~$166) and hold it — first sign the derate is done | 2026-09-15 | -9.9% |
| $ABCL | watch (in zone) | the pop already happened (Feb low $2.78 to a $8.44 high) — this is the first flag;… | 2026-08-31 | +25.3% |
| $CBRS | watch (in zone) | a close above the post-flush bounce high ($221.30) confirms the higher low and… | 2026-08-31 | +13.0% |
| $META | watch (invalidation?) | second reclaim attempt off a higher low — buy interest is a close above ~$665,… | 2026-08-31 | -8.6% |
| $MSFT | watch (in zone) | no turn signature yet — interest begins at the 200-day reclaim (~$442) after a base;… | 2026-10-01 | +28.8% |
| $NTLA | watch (invalidation?) | golden cross, +31% month, and a fresh impulse into $18.48 on July 2 — buy interest… | 2026-08-31 | -25.0% |
| $ORCL | pass | reopen when the knife stops: the February low ($136) holds on this retest AND a +7%… | 2026-10-01 | +2.3% |
| $AXTI | pass | reopen only if it bases above its 200-day (~$42.55) for a full quarter AND revenue… | 2026-10-01 | +43.6% |
| $CIFR | pass | reopen only on revenue inflecting up AND visible de-leveraging of the $4.4B debt stack | 2026-10-01 | -25.1% |
| $CORZ | pass | reopen on a recapitalization that restores positive equity with the CoreWeave… | 2026-10-01 | -14.3% |
| $CRDO | buy (in zone) | elite fundamentals (33% operating margin on $1.34B FY26 revenue) with the… | 2026-09-15 | -7.1% |
| $CRWV | pass | reopen only on a financing regime change — interest expense stabilizing while… | 2026-10-01 | -3.0% |
| $EQT | watch | the fundamentals are the best in the sweep (net income nearly quadrupled in two… | 2026-10-01 | -2.4% |
| $HUT | pass | reopen on a financed capacity deal that closes the gap between $160M of cash and… | 2026-10-01 | -20.3% |
| $KGS | buy (invalidation?) | the sleeper — record Q1, raised full-year guidance to include the Distributed Power… | 2026-08-15 (overdue) | -18.0% |
| $MXL | watch (in zone) | wire-flagged inflection but already a 4.5x over the year and −16% this week on no… | 2026-08-15 (overdue) | -16.6% |
| $NBIS | buy (in zone) | pullback within an intact uptrend — buy the 50-day reclaim at ~$217, which says the… | 2026-08-31 | -16.9% |
| $OKTA | pass | the rotation's confirming leader — but RSI 78 and 3% off its high is chasing; reopen… | 2026-09-15 | -2.7% |
| $TER | buy (in zone) | the −21% week has no company event behind it — Q1 revenue rose 87% with a 21% EPS… | 2026-08-15 (overdue) | +4.2% |
| $WDAY | watch | the earnings proof-point of the rotation (beat + raised subscription guide) but… | 2026-09-15 | +26.6% |
| $WULF | watch (invalidation?) | the $2.63B war chest has to start converting into hosting revenue on the P&L — watch… | 2026-08-15 (overdue) | -28.9% |
| $SKHY | watch (in zone) | first clean post-debut base — not the open (debut ~2026-07-10) | 2026-09-01 | n/a |
| $ZM | watch (in zone) | 2 consecutive quarters of accelerating revenue; base over $92 | 2026-09-01 | +16.0% |
| $MU | buy | own the up-cycle with cycle sizing — record DRAM/HBM pricing power, HBM booked… | 2026-09-01 | -12.0% |
| $SNDK | watch | only on evidence the +69% NAND operating margin is a baseline, not the peak — two… | 2026-09-01 | -20.8% |
| $STX | buy | own the cleanest un-hyped inflection — nearline-HDD margins compounding 23%→32% over… | 2026-09-01 | -5.3% |
| $WDC | buy | same nearline thesis as STX — margins 10%→36% on the same AI storage driver, no hype… | 2026-09-01 | -7.7% |
A desk call is an authored stance from a published report; entry and invalidation conditions are human-read, and the full ledger lives at /calls.
30d vs SPY is the raw name-vs-SPY move since the call — for trim/sell calls a NEGATIVE number means the call worked (the name fell after it).
From the Feeds
Curated picks from the last 7 days of the X / Reddit / Discord / web sweep — items the desk read and kept, not the raw capture firehose. Source: -pick- (type: curated-find).
𝕏@ChurchillWw — Transmission is the binding constraint on new generation — Pepco's rights-of-way rebuild is the template · link- The grid-buildout lane's mechanism in one post: you cannot add generation faster than the wires that carry it, and reusing existing corridors (a 230 kV rebuild plus a new 500 kV circuit in the same right-of-way) is how the constraint gets relaxed without a decade of siting fights.
𝕏@KobeissiLetter — US margin debt fell $85B in July to $1.42T — the largest monthly drop on record $SPY · link- The leverage read flips: June's record $1.50T (+49% y/y) was the peak; July's -$85B is the biggest monthly deleveraging ever, bigger than January 2022's. Deleveraging into a rout is how corrections stay corrections — a datapoint for the four-leg monitor, not a bull or bear verdict.
𝕏@IPONewsroom_ — Anthropic's pre-IPO credit facility is set to top its $10B target — lead banks asked for ~$1.25B each · link- The AI-capex bond wave, one deal at a time: a $10B+ bank facility ahead of a fall IPO is the same savings pool the Treasury is competing for. Read next to the 30-year at 5.3% and the AI-issuance question the desk is running down.
𝕏@IPONewsroom_ (via Bloomberg) — Anthropic run-rate passes $65B ahead of its IPO - up sevenfold in seven months · link- The single loudest AI-demand datapoint of the day: a $65B run-rate hit by end of July, shared with investors ahead of the IPO. Direct fuel for the ai-mega-ipo liquidity-regime thesis - the listing everyone is positioning around now has a revenue base to price.
𝕏@KobeissiLetter — Chinese chip industry revenue +22% YoY to a record $245B · link- The cartographer number of the day: domestic Chinese IC revenue nearly doubled since 2020. Context for every export-control debate and for the China-baskets selloff the desk has been tracking without a driver - the domestic substitution engine is not slowing.
𝕏@SemiAnalysis_ — SemiAnalysis on Google's TPU interconnect: 2D torus to 3D torus and what it buys · link- Same-day technical thread on the TPU interconnect lineage - the physical-layer detail behind the custom-silicon vs GPU debate, and context for the optical/ai-infra lane's read on where scale-up networks go next.
𝕏@amitisinvesting — APP channel check: a former AppLovin employee on the ad-model moat $APP $META $GOOGL · link- Qualitative channel check on a consider-board name from a followed account: former-employee color on whether AppLovin's targeting edge survives Meta/Google competition. Use the ping, verify the claims - it is one person's view of a former employer.
𝕏@ParadisLabs — Memory bull consolidation: 2027 DRAM and HBM capacity reportedly sold out $MU $SNDK · link- A tidy consolidation of the memory-supercycle case the week after Sandisk's +35% filed-buyback week: sold-out 2027 capacity claims across all three DRAM makers. Attributed to FundaAI/Digitimes - claims to verify against primary sources, but squarely on the desk's #1 lane.
webBloomberg — Chicago joins the data-center moratorium push · link- Chicago’s mayor is seeking a temporary data-center moratorium and new development rules. This is a second live state/local siting constraint after New York: useful evidence that power and permitting scarcity can raise the value of existing capacity while slowing greenfield delivery.
webVikram Sekar — Viks Newsletter — where copper and optics still contradict each other · link- A fresh physics-down field read from OCP APAC on where rack connectivity remains copper and where bandwidth, reach, and power force optics. It is useful for testing the optical-supercycle boundary conditions instead of assuming every link converts at once.
𝕏Photon Capital — COHR’s AI mix and InP capacity ramp $COHR · link- A useful, explicitly secondary synthesis of Coherent’s quarter: AI infrastructure is becoming the revenue center while internal InP output remains the upstream capacity question. Read it as a map back to the company call, not as primary authority; it directly informs the optical-supercycle constraint watch.
web— The photonics desk's COHR scorecard: $2.05B at the top of guide $COHR $CIEN $NOK $LITE · [link](@crux_capital_ on X)- Coherent printed Q4 revenue of $2.05B, up 34% year over year and at the very top of its own guide, per @crux_capital_'s same-day read — and the account graded the print against the pre-earnings checklist it published hours before (6-inch InP ramp, gross-margin path toward 42%, the 1.6T transceiver ramp, the $4B+ OCS o…
Filings
- NEW: $AMZN 424B3 filed 2026-08-18
- NEW: $NET 4 filed 2026-08-18 (period 2026-08-15)
- NEW: $NET 4 filed 2026-08-18 (period 2026-08-15)
- NEW: $NET 4 filed 2026-08-18 (period 2026-08-15)
- NEW: $NET 4 filed 2026-08-18 (period 2026-08-15)
- NEW: $NET 4 filed 2026-08-18 (period 2026-08-15)
- NEW: $ARM 4 filed 2026-08-18 (period 2026-08-17)
- NEW: $QBTS 4 filed 2026-08-18 (period 2026-08-17)
- NEW: $QBTS 4 filed 2026-08-18 (period 2026-08-17)
- NEW: $LAES 6-K filed 2026-08-18 (period 2026-08-18)
- NEW: $BE 4 filed 2026-08-18 (period 2026-08-17)
- NEW: $BE 4 filed 2026-08-18 (period 2026-08-14)
- …and 284 more in the source JSON.
- Last 14 days: $AMZN 424B3 (2026-08-18); $NET 4 (2026-08-18); $NET 4 (2026-08-18); $NET 4 (2026-08-18); $NET 4 (2026-08-18); $NET 4 (2026-08-18); $ARM 4 (2026-08-18); $QBTS 4 (2026-08-18); ….
Breadth And Movers
Price truth: *; primary summary date 2026-08-18. Row dates: 2026-08-18: 1878, 2026-08-17: 6.
- Summary coverage: 1878/1884 rows at 2026-08-18; 1087 unique symbols after de-duplication.
- Unique-symbol breadth: 314 up, 762 down, 11 flat; median 1D change -1.2%.
- Market-pulse breadth: 13 up, 29 down, 0 flat; median 1D change -0.4% from market-pulse.
Top gainers by 1D change (filtered to price >= $1, dollar volume >= $50M, finite RSI):
| Symbol | 1D | 7D | 30D | RSI | Signal | Price | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $AMLX | +63.8% | +48.6% | +97.8% | 82.8 | Extreme overbought | $35.11 | monster-discoveries |
| $HAE | +15.9% | +20.0% | +34.4% | 83.1 | Extreme overbought | $104.65 | monster-discoveries |
| $SOXS | +15.2% | +0.3% | -19.4% | 47.3 | strong-down | $44.19 | etf-ideas |
| $TRGP | +7.1% | +12.2% | +5.8% | 67.8 | Overbought | $297.77 | escalation |
| $LEGN | +6.2% | +0.6% | -1.5% | 50.1 | down | $21.92 | biotech-scan |
Top laggards by 1D change (same filter):
| Symbol | 1D | 7D | 30D | RSI | Signal | Price | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $KLAR | -22.8% | -20.9% | -19.7% | 30.8 | Oversold | $15.06 | watching |
| $FN | -19.4% | -8.2% | +0.9% | 44.1 | strong-down | $482.59 | monster-discoveries |
| $RAM | -17.3% | +14.3% | -0.7% | 45.1 | neutral | $12.07 | etf-ideas |
| $KEEL | -16.2% | -3.6% | -20.0% | 38.9 | down | $3.16 | ai-power |
| $MVLL | -15.7% | +2.0% | +20.5% | 47.6 | weak-down | $25.92 | etf-ideas |
Targets In Zone
| Target | Anchor date | Tickers | Mechanical status | Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAV profit-target — $276.00 | 2026-08-14 | $AVAV | APPROACHING — $174.14 is 36.9% below the $276 target, trend weak-up | $276.00 |
| AVAV stop-loss — $158.00 | 2026-08-14 | $AVAV | HOLDING — $174.14 is 10.2% above the $158 stop | $158.00 |
| UMAC profit-target — $45.00 | 2026-08-14 | $UMAC | APPROACHING — $30.58 is 32.0% below the $45 target, trend strong-up | $45.00 |
| UMAC stop-loss — $18.50 | 2026-08-14 | $UMAC | HOLDING — $30.58 is 65.3% above the $18.50 stop | $18.50 |
| GDX profit-target — $115.00 | 2026-08-08 | $GDX | APPROACHING — $88.95 is 22.7% below the $115 target, trend up | $115.00 |
| GDX stop-loss — $85.00 | 2026-08-08 | $GDX | HOLDING — $88.95 is 4.6% above the $85 stop | $85.00 |
| NVTS entry-zone — $8-$10 | 2026-07-31 | $NVTS | APPROACHING — $13.17 is 31.7% above $8–$10; waiting for the pullback | $8-$10 |
| NVTS profit-target — $16.00 | 2026-07-31 | $NVTS | APPROACHING — $13.17 is 17.7% below the $16 target, trend weak-down | $16.00 |
Convergence Leaders
- Stocks in projection: 723;
convergentCount9;divergentCount23.