Brief — Aug 17, 2026

Brief Ticker Tape
Flagship 11 min read

Memory Gets Paid, Activewear Gets Marked Down

The desk's daily read: what changed, what matters, and where the tape is leaning.

Market pulse · 7D

Leaders and laggards

close

478 advancing 584 declining 72.4% above the 200-day Color is 7-day price direction, not a buy or sell call.

Leaders

top 7D gainers
FOMG+48.4%RAM+46.2%NBIS+46.1%SNDK+44.3%IBIDF+40.5% · as of 08-14AEHR+37.1%

Laggards

top 7D losers
MVIS-42.9%BYND-25.9%MAAS-19.6%ONON-19.3%KITT-18.1%NOPMF-16.6%

1. The Read

What last week added up to

The index went nowhere and everything under it moved — and Monday extended the pattern rather than breaking it. SPY closed Monday at $772.67, down 0.47% on the day and off 0.05% over seven sessions, RSI 61.6, still tagged breakout on the regime feed. Underneath that flat surface, last week produced exactly two moves that came with evidence: energy's sector-wide vault, and memory's synchronized run behind Sandisk's SEC-filed quarter and $14 billion repurchase authorization. Both kept going Monday. The energy fund added another 1.08% to a 69.7 RSI — confirmation stretching toward exhaustion — and memory refused to rest: Sandisk rose another 8.88% to $1,786.85 (a +44.29% seven-session move), Micron closed through the thousand-dollar line at $1,011.75, and the DRAM basket's week reached +21.7%. The 30-year Treasury told the other half of the story: long bonds fell again (the 20-year fund at $81.41, RSI 35.3, in a confirmed downtrend) with the 30-year yield reported at 5.31%, its highest in 19 years, per Bloomberg and CNBC — a market paying up for AI cash flows while repricing the risk-free leg underneath them.

Saturday's read left four moves unexplained; Monday answered one and a half. Fabrinet answered loudest — the first optical print since Coherent's quarter landed and the stock closed +4.97% at $598.58, +25.12% on the month, which reads as the optical-supercycle demand signal arriving on schedule. Broadcom and the China baskets merely stabilized (−0.14%, +0.6%, −0.22%) with still no driver on record for last week's damage — watch, not resolved. Atlassian stayed the puzzle: RSI 75.1 on a +69.73% month, cooling 2.39% Monday, its filings still unread here. And Unusual Machines — Saturday's do-not-touch — dropped 11.48% in a session, the parabola cracking exactly where the desk call said never to chase it.

Monday's own story: the activewear markdown

The day's real news was categorical. Nike fell 4.03% to $39.09 on 2.84 times average volume — a fresh multi-year low, 49.9% below its 52-week high, through the $40 floor its own volume profile had defended — and Lululemon fell 3.19% to $115.74, snuffing out the faint two-window turn it carried into the day. The rest of the complex went with them: Amer Sports −9.87% and Deckers −7.52% on the week, and On Holding — the share-taker the whole bear case cites — is itself down 19.3% over seven sessions and 38.7% from its high. When the winner deflates with the losers, the market is repricing the CATEGORY, not just re-ranking it. No single dated event drove Monday's leg on any of these names — the desk published full deep dives on both Nike and Lululemon today, and both land in the same place: quarantine names, watch for a confirmed base, never buy the cheapness. The timing is pointed: Home Depot, Lowe's, Target, TJX, and Walmart all report within the next 72 hours, and the week will say whether this is an activewear problem or a consumer one.

What's this week

The print calendar is heavy: Tuesday brings Home Depot, Keysight, Baidu, Amer Sports, Klarna, SQM, and Hesai; Wednesday Lowe's, Target, TJX, Analog Devices, and Wolfspeed; Thursday Walmart, Alibaba, Deere, and NetEase. Amer Sports Tuesday is the first activewear print inside the markdown; Keysight and Analog Devices carry the optical/semi read-through after Fabrinet's answer; the retail giants decide the consumer question. The rotation gauges enter the week tilted risk-on — the sector-rotation gauge flipped to cyclicals-leading-defensives at Monday's close, with early-turn probes in the CPU-shortage supply chain (+6.5 acceleration, led by IBIDF, Credo, and Amkor), AI power, and energy, while Government Compute — the summer's leader — fades from the front. No bench promotion triggers fired or armed at the close, and volatility never showed: VIX at 15.19, calm band.

Watch Tuesday: Home Depot before the open sets the consumer tape, Amer Sports is the first activewear print into the markdown, and Keysight opens the optical read-through week — with the memory complex's extension (Sandisk +44.29% in seven sessions) the chart most owed a rest.

2. What Changed Since the Last Brief

Screen CROSSINGS between the previous brief's close ( ) and this one — a name appears only on the session it crossed, not for as long as it stays there. Every name carries its before → after.

New oversold (1) — BYND RSI 33.8 → 28.6.

New overbought (6) — ATEYY RSI 69.7 → 71.8, IMVT RSI 64.3 → 71.2, AEHR RSI 67.5 → 71.1, IAG RSI 67.3 → 70.8, AVDV RSI 69.8 → 70.7, EAT RSI 68.8 → 70.7.

Golden crossings (2) — PINS -0.27% → 0.09%, U -0.03% → 0.82%.

Death crossings (6) — CENX 0.75% → -0.23%, DNA 0.12% → 0%, FSLR 0.62% → -0.16%, LYSDY 0.09% → -0.34%, NXT 0.65% → -0.29%, PL 0.49% → -1.21%.

New monsters (20) — SNDK 81.7% → 96.1%, SMTC 36.8% → 49.8%, U 46.2% → 43.5%, WYFI 33.7% → 37.6%, LRCX 33.3% → 37.4%, NBTX 25.4% → 37.1%, ALKS 34.7% → 36.5%, ARW 32% → 35.5%, SKM 29.6% → 34%, KALU 29.7% → 31.9%, ASML 29.5% → 31.8%, CGON 28.5% → 31.7%, COHR 22.7% → 31.7%, EQNR 28.5% → 31.4%, EWY 27.6% → 31%, APA 27.6% → 30.7%, +4 more.

Newly near a 52-week high (38) — AIR -5.68% → -0.19% from high, USA -8.45% → -1.14% from high, AEHR -9.05% → -1.21% from high, ARGX -10.73% → -1.43% from high, TWST -6.19% → -1.57% from high, HALO -5.84% → -1.7% from high, IESC -7.39% → -2.76% from high, EQNR -5.23% → -2.79% from high, CGON -5.49% → -2.87% from high, TVE.TO -5.5% → -3.22% from high, IBKR -5.91% → -3.59% from high, CXW -5.85% → -3.67% from high, XBI -5.01% → -3.73% from high, RGEN -5.09% → -3.83% from high, NVT -7.06% → -3.9% from high, IQV -5.85% → -4.03% from high, +22 more.

Newly in an entry zone (4) — COST $953.5 · $920-$960, MU $1011.75 · $1,000–$1,025 — a flag back toward the rising SMA20, NOC $570.2 · $550-$580, TSLA $339.3 · <$340.

3. Three Things

  1. Memory would not rest — Sandisk +8.88% Monday to $1,786.85 (+44.29% over seven sessions), Micron through $1,000, the DRAM basket +21.7% on the week: the one trade from last week that arrived with filings kept paying.
  2. The activewear complex got marked down as a category — Nike −4.03% to a multi-year low on 2.84x volume, Lululemon −3.19% with its nascent turn erased, and even On Holding −19.3% on the week: winner and losers repriced together, two deep dives on the desk today.
  3. Fabrinet answered the optical question — +4.97% on the first optical print since Coherent, +25.12% on the month, while the 30-year yield's reported 19-year high (5.31%) quietly repriced the other side of the AI trade.

4. The Big Picture

Act 1 — Rotation without advance, week two. SPY −0.47% Monday inside an intact breakout; equal-weight −0.89% and itself just 0.97% off its 52-week high; 279 confirmed uptrends against 133 downtrends across the tracked tape, 41 state flips in the latest batch. The index continues to do nothing while leadership churns beneath it — last week's script, unbroken.

Act 2 — The paid trades extend. Energy held its +7.67% week and added to it (RSI 69.7 — confirmation, not entry). Memory extended on real receipts. The rotation map's early-turn strip — CPU-shortage supply chain, AI power, energy — says the market keeps hunting the physical layer of the AI trade, and Fabrinet's print day was the cleanest new evidence in the stack.

Act 3 — The consumer bill comes due this week. The activewear markdown, the credit-sensitive retail tape's softness, and five giant retail prints inside 72 hours make this the week the consumer question stops being deferrable. The desk's read going in: category repricing (everything fell together, including the winner) rather than share-shift — Tuesday through Thursday will grade it.

5. Focus List

IONQ / RGTI / QBTS / QUBT / INFQ / XNDU / HQ / ARQQ / LAES — the quantum sleeve did it again: double-digit weekly gains on several names, regime tags still downtrend-or-collapse across the board; today's board read vetoed the entire sleeve as entries — price without structure, still.

SparkTake
MSFT $480.35 62 +5.8% -5.0% +22.0% up $480.35, −3.04% Monday and −5.01% on the week; the rest that last week's +25% month was asking for has arrived — regime tag now pullback, structure unchanged.
TSLA $339.30 47 +3.6% +2.5% -10.9% strong-down +2.54% on the week but the regime tag still reads collapse at 31.98% off the high; repaired sentiment, unrepaired structure.
NVDA $225.01 62 +6.4% +3.4% +10.9% strong-up quiet inside the basing tag; the cohort's calm one.
AAPL $305.59 44 -3.7% -0.8% -8.4% weak-down −0.83% on the week, 11.24% off the high; the mild pullback stays mild.
GOOGL $344.00 46 -0.6% -3.8% -0.8% weak-down −3.76% on the week; the cohort's orderliest cooling continues.
AMZN $261.31 52 +1.6% -6.0% +5.7% strong-up −6.02% on the week, worst of the mega-caps, but the uptrend tag and golden cross both held.
NET $307.01 60 +6.4% -1.1% +10.6% strong-up −1.1% on the week, 7.59% off the high; leadership resting, not breaking.
ARM $271.43 48 +1.8% +1.4% +1.6% weak-down +1.36%, still 40.04% off the high inside its support band; the consolidation thesis needs a catalyst it did not get this week.
NTR $68.29 55 +0.8% +3.0% +1.5% up the fertilizer split extended; Nutrien holding its gains while Mosaic's month stays negative.
MU $1011.75 60 +12.7% +17.5% +19.2% strong-up +17.47% on the week through the $1,000 line to $1,011.75; the memory run's steadier half, 19.37% off its high — recovery still, breakout soon if it holds.
SNDK $1786.85 61 +30.1% +44.3% +31.9% strong-up +44.29% in seven sessions to $1,786.85, RSI 61.1; the loudest chart on the desk and the one most owed a give-back; the filed buyback is why it earns patience anyway.
OUST $48.13 58 +16.5% +14.4% +29.9% strong-up +14.38% week, 24.55% off the high; lidar's run continues but the desk read keeps it in the narrative-momentum bucket, not the durable one.
IONQ $46.84 60 +19.3% +10.2% +34.7% strong-up strong-up · pullback
RGTI $18.67 59 +13.9% +5.8% +32.3% weak-up weak-up · downtrend
QBTS $20.87 54 +8.3% +3.4% +24.8% strong-down strong-down · downtrend
QUBT $9.05 54 +7.0% +1.0% +16.0% weak-up weak-up · downtrend
INFQ $13.41 64 +23.4% +14.4% +47.5% weak-up weak-up · downtrend
XNDU $11.25 52 +4.4% +6.7% +12.6% strong-down strong-down · collapse
HQ $16.80 53 +20.0% +32.5% -24.7% neutral neutral · too-young
ARQQ $24.35 62 +20.2% +8.9% +39.8% up up · pullback
LAES $2.90 60 +13.6% +13.2% +14.2% weak-up weak-up · downtrend
PL $24.38 51 +8.7% +5.6% +8.5% strong-down collapse regime, 52.9% off the high; a bounce inside damage, thesis still flagged broken.
ARGX $987.84 68 +12.7% +14.1% +14.8% strong-up +14.08% on the week to 1.43% off its 52-week high; the focus list's quietest real breakout.
ILMN $193.14 53 -0.9% +0.7% +3.5% strong-up 6.7% off its high after a +0.66% week, uptrend intact; boring in the good way, still.

The desk's takes cover 15 of 24 names; the rest show the mechanical tape state. 1 authored take matched no row (IONQ / RGTI / QBTS / QUBT / INFQ / XNDU / HQ / ARQQ / LAES) — kept in the chapter text above.

6. Sector Scorecard

Memory / semis — The week's paid trade kept paying; Sandisk, Micron, and the DRAM basket all extended. The custom-silicon lane stays the split story: Broadcom stabilized Monday but its −7.07% week still has no driver on record. Optical — Fabrinet +4.97% on print day, +25.12% on the month; the supply-chain lane leads the rotation map's early-turn strip via Credo and Amkor. Consumer / retail — The activewear complex repriced as a category (Nike, Lululemon, Amer Sports, Deckers, and On all down together); the answer arrives this week with five giant retail prints. China — The baskets stabilized (+0.6%, −0.22%) after last week's 18-point RSI collapses, still driverless; the domestic chip-revenue datapoint (+22% year over year to a record $245 billion, per The Kobeissi Letter) is the structural context under the tactical fog. Bonds — The long end broke lower again; TLT RSI 35.3 in a confirmed downtrend with the 30-year's reported 19-year-high yield. The risk-free leg of every duration trade got more expensive this week. Gold — +10.06% on the month with the metal's death-cross gap nearly closed; the miners' juniors ran +31% — the flip, if it completes, was pre-announced.

ETF tape · 42 funds

The desk's curated ETF read — one fund per lane it tracks, not every fund on the watchlists — grouped by what the fund is exposed to, and where each closed on the issue date. The big number and the tile's shade are that session's move (1D); 7D and 30D are the trailing windows behind it, and RSI is the 14-day reading (above 70 is stretched, below 30 washed out). Shades near flat stay gray — a ±0.25% day is not a color.

Index & international · 9 funds

EEM Emerging markets +1.1%1D 7D +3.3% · 30D +6.4% · RSI 59 FXI China large caps +0.6%1D 7D -3.8% · 30D +2.8% · RSI 49 QQQ Nasdaq 100 -0.2%1D 7D +1.3% · 30D +5.0% · RSI 59 KWEB China internet -0.2%1D 7D -7.4% · 30D +0.5% · RSI 45 IWM US small caps -0.3%1D 7D +1.4% · 30D +3.4% · RSI 61 INDA India -0.4%1D 7D -1.1% · 30D +1.4% · RSI 51 VTI Total US market -0.5%1D 7D +0.1% · 30D +4.1% · RSI 63 SPY S&P 500 -0.5%1D 7D -0.1% · 30D +4.0% · RSI 62 MAGS Magnificent Seven -1.3%1D 7D -2.4% · 30D +0.7% · RSI 51

Tech, AI & cloud · 9 funds

DRAM Memory and HBM makers +5.4%1D 7D +21.7% · 30D +14.6% · RSI 57 SOXX Semiconductors (broad) +1.6%1D 7D +5.6% · 30D +7.2% · RSI 55 SMH Semiconductors +1.1%1D 7D +4.3% · 30D +6.8% · RSI 56 ARKK Ark high-growth innovation +0.8%1D 7D +1.6% · 30D +8.7% · RSI 61 BOTZ Robotics and automation +0.2%1D 7D +1.1% · 30D +9.9% · RSI 61 XLK US tech sector +0.2%1D 7D +2.1% · 30D +8.4% · RSI 61 QTUM Quantum computing -0.3%1D 7D +4.2% · 30D +11.7% · RSI 61 SKYY Cloud computing -1.9%1D 7D +0.8% · 30D +19.2% · RSI 68 IGV Software -2.0%1D 7D -2.9% · 30D +9.9% · RSI 59

Health & biotech · 3 funds

IBB Biotech (large cap) +1.9%1D 7D +0.9% · 30D +6.4% · RSI 68 ARKG Ark genomics +1.4%1D 7D -0.7% · 30D +10.5% · RSI 64 XBI Biotech (equal weight) +1.4%1D 7D +1.0% · 30D +3.4% · RSI 61

Commodities, energy & metals · 7 funds

USO Oil +2.9%1D 7D +3.5% · 30D +5.1% · RSI 57 GDX Gold miners +2.1%1D 7D +1.5% · 30D +28.8% · RSI 68 COPX Copper miners +1.9%1D 7D -2.4% · 30D +19.1% · RSI 61 SLV Silver +1.9%1D 7D +0.2% · 30D +17.3% · RSI 62 LIT Lithium and battery tech +1.3%1D 7D +1.8% · 30D +11.5% · RSI 62 GLD Gold +1.0%1D 7D +0.7% · 30D +10.1% · RSI 65 URA Uranium and nuclear fuel +0.7%1D 7D +1.9% · 30D +16.8% · RSI 61

Rates, credit, dollar & vol · 6 funds

VIXY Volatility +1.0%1D 7D -3.9% · 30D -13.1% · RSI 35 UUP US dollar +0.0%1D 7D -0.1% · 30D -0.8% · RSI 42 HYG High-yield credit -0.1%1D 7D +0.2% · 30D +0.4% · RSI 57 BUFR Buffered S&P 500 -0.2%1D 7D +0.1% · 30D +2.2% · RSI 66 LQD Investment-grade credit -0.4%1D 7D -0.2% · 30D -1.3% · RSI 40 TLT 20+yr Treasuries -0.8%1D 7D -0.8% · 30D -3.3% · RSI 35

Crypto · 2 funds

WGMI Bitcoin miners +3.1%1D 7D +10.3% · 30D +5.4% · RSI 48 IBIT Spot bitcoin +2.2%1D 7D +0.5% · 30D +0.2% · RSI 50

Income & real assets · 3 funds

JEPI Covered-call income on the S&P 500 -0.4%1D 7D +0.2% · 30D +2.8% · RSI 65 SCHD US dividend growth -0.7%1D 7D +0.3% · 30D +4.2% · RSI 66 VNQ REITs -0.9%1D 7D +0.9% · 30D -2.0% · RSI 48

Themes · 3 funds

ICLN Clean energy -0.8%1D 7D +0.2% · 30D -1.6% · RSI 45 TAN Solar -2.0%1D 7D -2.1% · 30D -5.5% · RSI 43 JETS Airlines -2.3%1D 7D -1.9% · 30D +1.3% · RSI 45
FundsAssessment
Government Compute 57–74 inflow +20.4% — —
Optical Supply Chain 41–72 inflow +18.5% LAZR —
Web Cloud 48–76 inflow +15.3% SKYY —
Space 50–67 inflow +14.0% ARKX —
Copper 54–67 inflow +13.8% COPX —
Quantum Computing 48–64 inflow +12.7% CQTMQTUMWQTM —
Nuclear Fuel Cycle 41–61 inflow +11.2% URA —
Cloud ETFS 59–68 inflow +10.9% WCLDIGVCLOU —
Cloud SAAS 48–75 inflow +10.8% WCLDCLOUSKYY —
Drone Defense 41–67 inflow +10.3% — —
Neoclouds 43–63 inflow +9.2% — —
Memory 49–64 inflow +9.2% DRAMDISK —
Adtech 30–79 inflow +9.1% — —
Nearline Storage 54–64 inflow +8.4% DISK —
Humanoid Robotics 41–66 inflow +6.7% BOTZ —
Tech Insider Buys 42–76 inflow +6.5% — —
Alt Managers 44–65 inflow +6.3% — —
Ark 58–64 inflow +5.6% ARKKARKWARKG —
AI 34–73 inflow +5.1% SMHBOTZROBO —
Defense Contractors 42–67 inflow +4.8% — —
Geopolitical 35–80 inflow +4.8% USOGLDSLV —
Trace Iran War Second And Third Order Effects 45–64 inflow +4.6% — —
Spacex S1 Supply Chain 42–72 inflow +4.3% ARKX —
AI Infra 46–82 inflow +4.2% SMH —
Canadian OG 57–74 inflow +3.5% — —
AI Infrastructure 35–73 inflow +3.3% SMH —
Supply Chain Traces 44–72 inflow +3.2% — —
Trace Lng Liquefaction Shipping And Regasification 43–66 inflow +3.1% — —
WFE Test Metrology 50–65 inflow +3.1% — —
Lazarus 32–71 inflow +3.0% — —
Robotics 22–75 inflow +3.0% BOTZROBO —
ETF Ideas 31–71 inflow +2.9% QQQMQQQVOO —
Volume Setups 41–69 inflow +2.7% USO —
Semis 45–62 inflow +2.4% SMHSOXX —
Biotech 50–68 inflow +2.2% XBIIBB —
Bargain Bin 32–71 neutral +1.9% — —
IBB 39–81 neutral +1.6% — —
Trace Glp1 Manufacturing 49–73 neutral +1.5% — —
Biotech Capital Cycle 22–81 neutral +1.5% XBI —
CPU Shortage Supply Chain 49–72 neutral +1.5% SMH —
Biotech Scan 36–77 neutral +1.5% XBIIBBLABU —
Healthcare Scan 35–72 neutral +1.3% — —
Travel Leisure 42–68 neutral +1.2% JETS —
Cybersec 46–71 neutral +0.8% — —
Watching 45–63 neutral +0.5% — —
Escalation 34–72 neutral +0.1% — —
Macro Commodities 37–68 neutral +0.0% USOGLDSLV —
Healthcare 35–72 neutral +0.0% — —
Chemicals 34–61 neutral -0.6% — —
AI Power 38–72 neutral -0.8% WGMI —
Financials 39–73 neutral -0.8% — —
War Sensitivity 36–66 neutral -1.4% COPXJETSUSO —
Tech 42–62 neutral -1.5% XLK —
Energy 44–70 neutral -1.6% — Held last week's vault and extended (+1.08% Monday, RSI 69.7); refiners remain overbought and at highs. Confirmation everywhere, entries nowhere.
Grid Buildout 40–64 neutral -1.9% — —
China Tech 35–56 outflow -2.3% KWEBFXI —
Defensive 40–63 outflow -2.9% — —
Consumer Staples 41–64 outflow -3.5% — —
Crypto 36–71 outflow -4.0% IBITGBTC —
Mag7 42–62 outflow -4.0% MAGS —
Retail 34–63 outflow -4.6% — —
EV Clean Energy 34–62 outflow -4.7% LITTANICLN —
Watchlist n/a outflow -4.8% — —
Faang 42–55 outflow -4.8% — —
Airlines 38–48 outflow -4.9% JETS —
Livestock Disease 29–67 outflow -4.9% — —
Consumer 34–69 outflow -5.2% — —
Peptide Economy 38–72 outflow -7.2% — —
Food Security 36–59 outflow -7.2% — —
Cultural Thesis 33–59 outflow -11.9% — —

The desk's assessments cover 1 of 70 lanes. 6 authored assessments matched no lane (memory / semis, optical, consumer / retail, china, bonds, gold) — kept in the chapter text above.

7. The Wild & Whacky

  • Micron closed at $1,011.75 — through the thousand-dollar line, up more than 8x over the trailing year (+720.09%); the memory supercycle now has a four-digit poster child.
  • Unusual Machines dropped 11.48% in one session and is STILL up 78.09% on the month; the desk call's "never the parabola" line needed exactly one trading day to prove itself.
  • Seven of the week's thirty biggest unclaimed movers were application-software names (Atlassian, Unity, Workday, MongoDB, SAP, Elastic, UiPath) — the re-rate everyone attributed to AI infrastructure is quietly migrating up the stack.
  • On Holding — the company supposedly eating Nike's lunch — has now fallen 19.3% in seven sessions, nearly three times Nike's weekly decline. Even the cannibal is on the menu.

8. What I'd Tell a Friend

Nothing on the board says chase. The two trades that worked — energy and memory — both arrive at RSI levels where confirmation and exhaustion look identical, and the discount rack stays almost bare: five names under RSI 30 on the whole tracked tape at Monday's close, none of them quality. If you must act, the conditions are all waits: Micron on any hold above $1,000 that bases rather than gaps, Fabrinet's lane on the Keysight/ADI read-throughs Wednesday, Lululemon only if both trailing windows re-turn positive and $120 holds, Nike not before a weekly close back above $42.90 — and the quantum sleeve not at all, per today's board read. The one thing to watch: Home Depot's Tuesday open. If the consumer holds, the rotation broadens; if it cracks, the activewear markdown was the warning shot.

9. Market Vibe

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Flat index, churning insides — SPY −0.47% Monday inside an intact breakout tag while memory extended and consumer discretionary broke lower.
Risk appetite 🟢 tilting on — the rotation gauge flipped to cyclicals-leading-defensives and VIX sits at 15.19, but the long bond's slide (TLT RSI 35.3) is the tightening undertow.
Key insight The paid trades (energy, memory) both extended into overbought while the discount rack holds just five sub-30 RSI names — chase or wait is the whole decision space.

10. Scan Dashboard

Scan / read Ran on Verdict
Settled sweep + summaries Monday 2026-08-17 close 1,862 rows Monday-fresh; 8 thin OTC stragglers labeled Friday
Rotation map Monday close Cyclicals leading; CPU-shortage chain, AI power, energy probing turns
Monster / climber tiers Monday close 482 qualifying names; 96 steady climbers (the trend-hold pool)
Washout-turn screen Monday close 69 turns; IREN the pedigreed standout
Stretch / exhaustion Monday close Refiners (RSI ~73–80) and Target still the stretched tier
Miss screen Monday close 77 movers ≥+30%/30d; 50 unclaimed — software cluster the pattern
Bench triggers Monday close None fired, none armed
News + social pass Monday evening 25 symbols + macro lanes; 5 curated finds shipped

11. Front Page

Two full company deep dives shipped today, both born from the tape's ugliest corner: Nike — a franchise still in decline at a multi-year low, with the case for why $39 is quarantine territory rather than a bargain, and the exact level ($42.90) where that changes — and Lululemon — nine times trailing earnings, a halved operating margin, a founder proxy fight, and the turn signature that flickered out at Monday's close. Alongside them, the weekend's two reader pieces — the drone-trade-versus-defense-trade map and the End of Armor follow-up — carried their first live test Monday when Unusual Machines cracked 11.48% exactly where those pages said never to chase.

Monster Watch · 240 of 1092 tracked names

AEHR+151% vs 200dABCL+141% vs 200dTXG+127% vs 200dTWST+117% vs 200dORKA+112% vs 200dIBIDF+109% vs 200d · as of 08-14DELL+108% vs 200dCDNA+104% vs 200dIOVA+103% vs 200dDFTX+98% vs 200d

Sector Rotation Radar · 70 themes

Flow means 30-day relative strength versus SPY, not dollars moving: Inflow beat SPY by more than 2 points, Outflow trailed by more than 2, and Neutral stayed inside that band.

Government Compute Inflow +24.4% 30D Federal IT and mission-software contractors spanning data platforms, consulting, cybersecurity, and defense intelligence. Optical Supply Chain Inflow +22.5% 30D Optical/photonics supply chain — AI optical supercycle plays. Laser sources (LITE, COHR), optical networking (CIEN), silicon photonics (ALAB, SMTC), foundry (TSEM), next-gen modulators (LWLG, SIVEF/Sivers Semiconductors… Web Cloud Inflow +19.2% 30D Web/Cloud Infrastructure - Edge computing, CDN, databases, data platforms, observability Space Inflow +17.9% 30D Space plays — expanded 2026-05-27 for SpaceX IPO catalyst (debut 2026-06-12 NASDAQ:SPCX, $1.75T-$2T target, $40-80B raise, largest IPO ever). Originally only RKLB / ARKX / GSAT (3 names). Launch / rockets: RKLB… Copper Inflow +17.8% 30D Copper miners and broad copper funds tracking electrification, grid, construction, and data-center demand. Quantum Computing Inflow +16.7% 30D Quantum-compute pure-plays. Gate/trapped-ion (IONQ), superconducting (RGTI/Rigetti), annealing (QBTS/D-Wave), photonic (QUBT/Quantum Computing Inc, XNDU/Xanadu — de-SPAC 2026-03), cold-atom/Rydberg (INFQ/Infleqtion —… Nuclear Fuel Cycle Inflow +15.1% 30D Nuclear fuel cycle — AI-DRIVEN nuclear-demand thesis (sibling to ai-power-bottleneck, NOT a rotation away from AI; the mechanism is COMPLEMENTARY — hyperscaler data-center power demand pulls through the entire nuclear… Cloud ETFS Inflow +14.9% 30D Cloud ETFs - contrarian SaaS thesis. AI accelerates SaaS, survivors will consolidate. Cloud SAAS Inflow +14.8% 30D Cloud/SaaS survivors - AI monetization plays. Profitable leaders + high-growth candidates. Drone Defense Inflow +14.3% 30D Drone & counter-drone defense — offense (AVAV AeroVironment, AVEX AEVEX Corp — newly-public April 2026 full-stack drone + AI ISR, KTOS Kratos, RCAT Red Cat — small-cap manufacturer), counter-drone (EOPSF Electro Optic… Neoclouds Inflow +13.1% 30D GPU cloud and AI infrastructure providers, including power-rich data-center and former crypto-mining operators. Memory Inflow +13.1% 30D Memory & Storage - HBM/DRAM (MU), HDDs/SSDs (STX, WDC), thematic ETF (DRAM Roundhill Memory ETF — added 2026-05-06 after launching ~April 2026; note refresh 2026-05-10: now +101.9% off $26.14 low to $52.80 ATH, +13.4%… Adtech Inflow +13.0% 30D Ad-tech lane: independent SSP/DSP (MGNI PUBM TTD), performance/open-web (APP CRTO TBLA), verification (DV), data (ZETA), CTV (ROKU MNTN). Added 2026-08-06 on user request; IAS excluded (Novacap take-private, delisted… Nearline Storage Inflow +12.3% 30D High-capacity storage makers and upstream media and component suppliers serving hyperscale and AI data centers. Humanoid Robotics Inflow +10.6% 30D Humanoid robotics components — sensors and motion control for the 2027-2028 humanoid wave. Component layer: VPG (Vishay Precision Group — strain gauges and force/torque sensors), MOG-A (Moog — precision motion… Tech Insider Buys Inflow +10.4% 30D Tech-centric insider buying monitor. Combines our tech universe tickers with Finviz insider buying discovery. Goal: find tech names where insiders are putting their own money in — the strongest conviction signal. Run… Alt Managers Inflow +10.2% 30D Publicly-traded alternative asset managers — fee-related-earnings cohort plus the Brookfield parent. Brookfield axis: BAM (Brookfield Asset Management — fee-light spinout, ~$540B FBE AUM, FRE-growth thesis), BN… Ark Inflow +9.6% 30D ARK Invest ETFs - tracking Cathie Wood's funds AI Inflow +9.0% 30D AI scan - full universe. ETFs (SMH semis, BOTZ robotics/AI, ROBO robotics, AIQ global AI). Big Tech (NVDA, AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL, META, TSLA — TSLA for FSD/Optimus/Dojo AI exposure), Chips (AMD, AVGO, MRVL, ARM, SMCI, QCOM,… Defense Contractors Inflow +8.7% 30D Defense contractors - ETFs (ITA aerospace/defense, PPA aerospace/defense, DFEN 3x defense). Lockheed Martin, RTX (Raytheon), Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, L3Harris, Boeing. Geopolitical Inflow +8.7% 30D Geopolitical risk watchlist - defense contractors (LMT/RTX/NOC/GD/LHX/BA), oil producers (XOM/CVX/OXY/COP/SLB/HAL/DVN/EOG — XOM absorbed PXD/Pioneer via 2024 acquisition), energy ETFs (USO/UNG/XLE/OIH/XOP), safe havens… Trace Iran War Second And Third Order Effects Inflow +8.6% 30D Second- and third-order Iran-war exposures across shipping, insurance, pharmaceutical inputs, rare earths, and fertilizer. Research trace from 2026-04-12 with 1 unanimous and 3 strong-convergence findings. Spacex S1 Supply Chain Inflow +8.3% 30D SpaceX S-1 picks-and-shovels + space peers screen (2026-06-04): AI-compute/power/optical supply chain, space industrial base, disrupted incumbents, holders. Tied to spacex-s1 investigations. AI Infra Inflow +8.2% 30D AI Infrastructure - hyperscalers (AMZN), GPUs (NVDA), lithography (ASML), power generation (TAC — TransAlta, Canadian IPP: hydro/wind/solar/battery/gas, NOT nuclear; label corrected 2026-06-19 from 'nuclear'), foundry… Canadian OG Inflow +7.5% 30D Canadian oil & gas — ATH (Athabasca), TVE (Tamarack Valley), WCP (Whitecap), BTE (Baytex), GTE (Gran Tierra). Theo Loveday picks. EWC (Canada ETF) and XLE (Energy sector) as benchmarks. NNRG (Ninepoint Energy Fund, Eric… AI Infrastructure Inflow +7.3% 30D Complete AI Infrastructure - power, cooling, electrical, construction, data/optical connectivity (NOK Nokia), manufacturing, power connectors, REITs, materials, backup, water, AI compute providers (NBIS Nebius, OSS One… Supply Chain Traces Inflow +7.2% 30D Supply chain trace discoveries — tickers found by our autonomous research agents across all traces. Tungsten (KMT Kennametal, CRS Carpenter; Almonty Layer-1 pure-play pending correct-ticker re-add — was wrongly tracked… Trace Lng Liquefaction Shipping And Regasification Inflow +7.1% 30D LNG supply-chain bottlenecks across liquefaction, shipping, and regasification. Research trace from 2026-04-12 with 2 unanimous and 2 strong-convergence findings. WFE Test Metrology Inflow +7.1% 30D Semiconductor wafer-fab equipment, process control, metrology, test, packaging, and materials suppliers. Lazarus Inflow +7.0% 30D Fallen-quality WATCH list (NOT buys): former leaders down 40-80% held in quarantine until they prove a trend reversal — the 'Lazarus signal' (pop -> flag -> breakout / life pouring in). Entry only on confirmation, never… Robotics Inflow +6.9% 30D Robotics & physical-AI across the stack — seeded 2026-06-27 from @mkfilko + @MMatters22596 robotics baskets (live rotation theme). Layers: brain/compute (NVDA Isaac/GR00T, BB/QNX OS), vision (CGNX, AMBA), lidar/sensors… ETF Ideas Inflow +6.8% 30D ETF Ideas - Index (QQQM, QQQ, VOO, VTI), 3x Leveraged (TQQQ, SOXL, SPXL, TECL, LABU), Inverse (SQQQ, SOXS), Income/Covered Call (JEPQ, JEPI, SCHD, VYM, QYLD, XYLD, DOGG), Sector (VGT, SMH), Cloud/SaaS (WCLD, CLOU, SKYY,… Volume Setups Inflow +6.6% 30D Stocks in established uptrends that remain near a volume shelf and are showing constructive participation. Refreshed on demand and merged across runs. Semis Inflow +6.3% 30D Semiconductors - GPUs (NVDA, AMD), foundry (TSM), networking chips (AVGO, MRVL), architecture (ARM), mobile (QCOM), equipment (ASML, AMAT), packaging (AMKR), analog/power (ON), programmable-logic (LSCC - added… Biotech Inflow +6.2% 30D Biotech - pharma innovation (LLY), lab tools (TMO), mRNA (MRNA), gene editing (CRSP, NTLA, VRTX), immunotherapy (IBRX) Bargain Bin Neutral +5.8% 30D Bargain Bin - Great companies at bad prices. 70 quality mega/large-caps filtered for oversold conditions (RSI < 30, below SMA). The scan finds which ones are currently on sale. Sectors: big tech, SaaS, healthcare,… IBB Neutral +5.6% 30D Biotechnology cohort spanning large-cap therapeutics, rare disease, gene editing, diagnostics, life-science tools, and CROs. Trace Glp1 Manufacturing Neutral +5.5% 30D GLP-1 / peptide manufacturing supply chain — from research-trace blind test (2026-04-12) + research-picks refresh (2026-05-05). HPLC purification (WAT 3/3 unanimous), chromatography resins (DHR/Cytiva 3/3), injectable… Biotech Capital Cycle Neutral +5.5% 30D AI-bio platforms + lab-tools/consumables + CROs — biotech capital-cycle / IPO-window-levered picks-and-shovels (perspective: biotech-capital-cycle) CPU Shortage Supply Chain Neutral +5.5% 30D AI compute shortage supply chain across CPUs, high-speed connectivity, assembly and test, and semiconductor baskets. Biotech Neutral +5.5% 30D Biotech scan - broader universe for opportunity discovery. ETFs (XBI, IBB, IBBQ, LABU 3x bull), Large cap pharma (ABBV, GILD, AMGN, LLY, VRTX, REGN), GLP-1 (NVO, LLY), mRNA (BNTX, MRNA), gene editing (CRSP, BEAM, EDIT,… Healthcare Neutral +5.2% 30D Healthcare sector scan - Medical devices (SYK, ISRG, MDT, DXCM, ABT), pharma (PFE, MRK, LLY, GILD, AMGN, BIIB, VRTX, MRNA), healthcare services (JNJ, UNH, CVS, GRDN specialty pharmacy), lab/diagnostics (TMO), life… Travel Leisure Neutral +5.2% 30D Travel & leisure — war-ends playbook beneficiary. Oil drop → travel cost reduction, pent-up demand, cruise recovery. Cybersec Neutral +4.8% 30D Cybersecurity & Networking - firewall/SASE (FTNT, PANW — PANW absorbed CYBR via 2025 acquisition), endpoint (CRWD, S), zero-trust (ZS, OKTA), edge/CDN (NET), embedded/automotive QNX + cybersec (BB BlackBerry — surfaced… Watching Neutral +4.5% 30D Watching/Learning - curious but not trading. KOPN added 2026-05-10 from @JasonL_Capital 2026-05-06 'under $10' tweet (reference_jasonl_capital_kopn_check.md). Kopin Corporation, $3.97 microcap. Claimed: MicroLED… Escalation Neutral +4.1% 30D Escalation scenario watchlist — Gulf infrastructure strike / Iran retaliation plays. US LNG exporters (LNG/CQP/VG), industrial gas/helium (LIN/APD), NGL midstream (TRGP/EPD/ET/OKE), nat gas (UNG/FCG/BOIL), LNG shipping… Macro Commodities Neutral +4.0% 30D Macro & commodities - oil (USO/BNO), natgas (UNG), gold (GLD/GDX/GDXJ/GDRZF), silver (SLV/SIL), copper (COPX), agriculture (DBA/WEAT/CORN/SOYB/AGRO), specialty chemicals (CE), uranium (URA), dollar (UUP), euro (FXE),… Healthcare Neutral +4.0% 30D Healthcare/Pharma/Medical Devices - Medical devices (SYK, ISRG, MDT, DXCM, ABT), pharma (PFE, MRK, LLY, GILD, AMGN, BIIB, VRTX, MRNA), healthcare services (JNJ, UNH, CVS), lab/diagnostics (TMO), life sciences software… Chemicals Neutral +3.4% 30D Chemicals & specialty materials — industrial cycle, energy input costs, diversified chemical producers. AI Power Neutral +3.2% 30D AI Power Bottleneck — Leopold Aschenbrenner's watts-per-rack thesis. Fuel cells (BE), distributed power (PSIX, BW), nat gas (EQT, LBRT, PUMP), BTC miners pivoting to AI compute (CORZ, IREN, APLD, CIFR, HUT, BTDR, CLSK,… Financials Neutral +3.1% 30D Financials - Banks/Investment firms (JPM, BAC, GS, MS, BLK), brokers (SCHW, HOOD), insurance (AMP, PGR, MET, BDN), fintech (FIS, FISV), card-network (COF — absorbed Discover/DFS via 2025 acquisition), exchanges (CME),… War Sensitivity Neutral +2.5% 30D War-sensitivity watchlist — stocks ranked by their reaction to ceasefire fake-outs (TACO trades). Tier 1 fast movers: COPX/JETS/UAE (5-9% pops). Tier 2 hidden oil-sensitive: W/RH/ATZ/AS (heavy-goods shipping costs).… Tech Neutral +2.5% 30D Big Tech Energy Neutral +2.4% 30D Energy - data center power (BE, EOSE, TAC, CEG, GEV, TLN), nuclear (CEG), solar (FSLR, ENPH), utilities (NEE). Overlaps with ai-infra for power plays. Grid Buildout Neutral +2.0% 30D Transformer, switchgear, electrical-equipment, and engineering contractors exposed to transmission and data-center grid buildout. China Tech Outflow +1.7% 30D Chinese internet and platform leaders with broad mainland, Hong Kong, and technology ETF exposure. Defensive Outflow +1.1% 30D Defensive/Value - ETFs (XLP consumer staples, XLU utilities). Telecom (T, VZ), consumer staples (WMT, MCD, COST, SBUX, TGT), food/protein (HRL, TSN, PPC), industrial (ECL), home improvement (HD, LOW). Rotation… Consumer Staples Outflow +0.4% 30D Consumer staples - Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, Colgate, Clorox, Mondelez, General Mills. Recession-proof dividend plays. BALL = Ball Corp aluminum packaging (KO/PEP customer supply-chain… Crypto Outflow 0.0% 30D Crypto: BTC, ETH, SOL, major alts (via yfinance -USD tickers), spot ETFs (IBIT, GBTC, ETHE, BITO), crypto equities (MSTR, COIN, miners), crypto ETF (BITQ) Mag7 Outflow -0.1% 30D Magnificent 7 - The seven largest US tech companies Retail Outflow -0.7% 30D Retail/Consumer - ETFs (XRT retail). Home Improvement (HD, LOW), E-commerce (SHOP), Athletic/Apparel (AS, LULU, NKE, DECK, CROX, ANF), Food/Beverage (SBUX, MCD, CMG, DPZ, YUM), General Retail (COST, WMT, TGT, TJX) EV Clean Energy Outflow -0.7% 30D EV makers + clean energy + related ETFs. Solar tracking (NXT Nextracker), industrial energy storage/batteries (ENS EnerSys). Lithium pure-plays added 2026-05-10 from… Watchlist Outflow -0.8% 30D Faang Outflow -0.8% 30D FAANG - Facebook (Meta), Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google Airlines Outflow -1.0% 30D Airlines — war-ends playbook beneficiary. Oil drop → margin expansion, leisure travel recovery. JETS ETF for broad exposure. (Removed 2026-05-04: HA absorbed by ALK via 2024 acquisition; SAVE bankrupt + delisted… Livestock Disease Outflow -1.0% 30D Livestock-disease / beef supply-shock — single consolidated watchlist + alert hub for the New World Screwworm → cattle-supply thesis (first US case 2026-06-03; US herd 75-yr low; record beef). ROLES: (A) Animal-health… Consumer Outflow -1.2% 30D Consumer brands - ETFs (XLY consumer discretionary). Athleisure (AS, LULU, NKE, DECK, CROX), food/beverage (SBUX, CMG, DPZ), health/wellness (HIMS), payments (PYPL, XYZ — Block Inc, ticker renamed from SQ in 2025),… Peptide Economy Outflow -3.2% 30D Peptide / GLP-1 economy — principals + next-gen pipeline + consumer/distribution layer. Surfaced 2026-05-05 as a coverage gap: no focused lens existed despite GLP-1s being the largest pharma run of the past 18 months.… Food Security Outflow -3.3% 30D Food security — geopolitical energy shock cascade play. Fertilizer (NTR Nutrien, MOS Mosaic, CF Industries), farm equipment (DE Deere), grain trading (ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland, BG Bunge Global — added 2026-05-10, $24B… Cultural Thesis Outflow -7.9% 30D Cultural thesis watchlist — stocks driven by consumer behavior shifts, social arbitrage signals, and cultural cascades. HIMS = telehealth / GLP-1 cultural arbitrage (replaced BRBR as the protein-economy vehicle…

12. Key Signals

  • Rotation gauge flipped to cyclicals-leading-defensives at Monday's close — the week opens with a mild risk-on tilt.
  • Early-turn probes: CPU-shortage supply chain (+6.5 acceleration; IBIDF, Credo, Amkor lead), AI power, and energy — the physical-AI layer keeps leading the map.
  • Bench promotion triggers: none fired, none armed at Monday's close.
  • Tripwires: two since Saturday, both triaged — the rotation-gauge flip above (verified against the fresh map) and CBRS raised to three convergence bells (noted on the board read; entry would be chasing a 14% gap past its trigger).
  • Volatility: VIX 15.19, calm band; the volatility products sit at the macro board's lowest readings.
  • Washout-turn watch: 69 names met the turn screen on Monday's close — IREN the standout with secular pedigree (+16.07% week, 41.59% off its high) — a watch class, not an entry pool.

Recorded signals · 52

AR: pullback → basingARKQ: pullback → uptrendAXIA: pullback → too-youngBDN: pullback → basingBUZZ: pullback → uptrendCENX: pullback → collapseCEPL: too-young → collapseCHRN: pullback → too-youngCOF: pullback → breakoutCOGT: breakout → pullbackCOKE: basing → pullbackCSCO: uptrend → basingCTOS: uptrend → pullbackDAR: basing → uptrendDHC: pullback → basingDOGG: basing → uptrendESTC: pullback → parabolicEWJ: basing → breakoutFROG: pullback → uptrendGKOS: parabolic → uptrendHII: pullback → basingHIMS: pullback → downtrendIBIDF: pullback → uptrendIMO: uptrend → basing

Insider filings · 88

DDOG2026-08-17DDOG2026-08-17INFQ2026-08-14AOSL2026-08-14BE2026-08-14AAPL2026-08-13INTU2026-08-13INTU2026-08-13INTU2026-08-13INTU2026-08-13MPWR2026-08-13TMO2026-08-13NVDA2026-08-12ILMN2026-08-12

13. Paper Trade Report Card

The systematic paper book ran its daily cycle and chose to do nothing: no fills, with the regime gates blocking all three entries the style rules wanted (the DRAM basket, tech, and oil) — the verification pass confirmed decision-for-decision parity. The book's one open position, a cloud-ETF stake from early August, rides at +4.03% (+$748.51) with its reference stop at $145.16. The conviction ladder recorded two documented passes today: CBRS (its early-August entry flag sat unhandled while the name ran 14% past the trigger — passing beats chasing) and AbCellera (flagged in-zone a week ago, now RSI 81.4 after a +73% month — the flagged entry is gone). Both re-arm on the next base. The persona books ran their scheduled daily pass this morning.

yolo $112,176 +12.2% 8 open · updated 2026-08-17

claude trader $109,798 +9.8% 22 open · updated 2026-08-17

dip buyer $100,000 0.0% 0 open · updated n/a

momentum trader $100,000 0.0% 0 open · updated n/a

bench signals $55,325 n/a 53 open · updated 2026-08-14

14. Active Perspectives

  • Memory supercycle — strengthened. The complex extended on Sandisk's filed buyback week (+44.29% over seven sessions) and Micron's close through $1,000; the sold-out-2027-capacity claims circulating socially are flagged for primary-source verification, not yet treated as fact.
  • Optical supercycle — strengthened. Fabrinet's +4.97% print day answered the lane's open question, and the supply chain leads the rotation map's early-turn strip; AAOI ran +51% on the month unclaimed — the lane's bench (Lumentum, Credo, AXT) caught three of its four runners.
  • AI power bottleneck — intact, warming. The lane sits in the rotation map's probe strip; CoreWeave +20.16% and IREN +16.07% on the week.
  • Cultural signals / consumer — damaged. The activewear complex repriced as a category with the winner (On) falling hardest; two deep dives now anchor the lane's read.
  • China tech — unresolved. The baskets stabilized without a driver ever surfacing for last week's slide; the +22% domestic chip-revenue datapoint argues the structural story is intact underneath the tactical fog.
  • Biotech capital cycle — watch the grade. AbCellera's +73% month is the lane's loudest print; the desk's own handling of its entry flag is graded in this week's internal accountability note.

AI Power Bottleneck — Watts Per Rack + Generation-Side active high latest 2026-08-14

AI Power Delivery — The 30% Parasitic Loss active high latest 2026-08-14

Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario monitoring low latest 2026-08-14

Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle monitoring low latest 2026-08-14

The Gold Anomaly — Broken Safe Haven monitoring low latest 2026-08-14

AI Optical Supercycle — Wave-Curve Rotation monitoring high latest 2026-08-14

US Energy Dominance — Blockade as Leverage (absorbed iran-war-oil) monitoring critical latest 2026-08-14

Memory Supercycle — DRAM/NAND/HBM Structural Tightness active high latest 2026-08-14

SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 monitoring high latest 2026-08-14

Nearline HDD Storage — Density-Led Oligopoly (allocated through 2027) monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14

Livestock Disease — New World Screwworm → Cattle-Supply Shock & Protein Rotation monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14

Biotech Capital Cycle — AI-Bio Platforms & Lab-Tools/CRO Picks-and-Shovels (IPO-Window Levered) monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14

Nuclear Fuel Cycle — AI-Driven Nuclear Demand (enrichment chokepoint + utility cash-flow) active medium latest 2026-08-14

CPU Shortage Supply Chain — Datacenter CPU Allocation + ABF Substrate Bottleneck monitoring high latest 2026-08-14

China Structural Discount — Multiple-Capped, Not Earnings-Capped (VIE / CCP / Macro Triptych) monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14

AI Capex Digestion — the Crowded-Trade Unwind active high latest 2026-08-14

Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) active medium latest 2026-08-14

Quantum Computing — The Sovereign-Catalyst Trade (Basket-First, Lottery Underneath) monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14

AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14

Trump Policy Ticker Catalysts — Source-Tier Event Study monitoring low latest 2026-08-14

The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch active medium latest 2026-08-14

Drone Defense — The Budget Line Item That Reshores active medium latest 2026-08-14

15. Scan Summary

The full settled sweep ran on Monday's close — 1,058 US names through the primary feed with fallbacks covering the residual; a handful of thin OTC mirrors could not be freshened and carry Friday's last-good data, labeled as such. On top of the sweep: the daily news pass (25 symbols plus the macro lanes), the social captures (including the day's five curated finds — the Anthropic run-rate report, the China chip-revenue datapoint, an AppLovin channel check, the memory capacity chatter, and a TPU-interconnect explainer), the monster and washout tier reads, the standing screener suite, the congressional disclosure pull (12 new July filings across two tracked members, including a Fabrinet sale disclosed the month it printed), and the weekly accountability review (internal). Fifty unclaimed +30% movers came out of the miss screen; the software-re-rate cluster among them is named above.

Recorded coverage: 2 required scans complete, 29 without a dated artifact. The complete receipt is under All Scans below.

Today's Actions · 42 NKE $39.09 · APP $311.98 · FSLR $217.85

All Scans 2 complete · 29 without a dated artifact

monster scan Read full scan → washout scan Read full scan →

market pulse missing

ai scan missing

ai infrastructure missing

biotech scan missing

nvda ecosystem missing

defensive scan missing

healthcare scan missing

consumer scan missing

retail scan missing

cloud etfs missing

cybersec missing

ev clean energy missing

etf universe missing

insider scan missing

bargain bin missing

tech insider buys missing

crypto scan missing

macro commodities missing

defense contractors missing

geopolitical risk missing

optical supply chain missing

drone defense missing

supply chain traces missing

wfe test metrology missing

food security missing

cultural thesis missing

airlines missing

chemicals missing

travel leisure missing

The Desk Issue published . Modules read the latest available projections; each states its own data as-of where the source carries one.

Conditions

The market climate this issue was written in — frozen from its own date by design. Every day's card, in order, is on Conditions.

Indexes · 7d
SPY-0.1%QQQ+1.3%IWM+1.4%RSP+0.3%
Volatility
VIX 15.19CALM · 1d +6.6%No fire-sale trigger — needs a ≥30% one-day spike
Rotation · 30d strength
35 in / 15 outInGovernment Compute+20.4Optical Supply Chain+18.5Web Cloud+15.3Space+14.0Copper+13.8OutCultural Thesis-11.9Food Security-7.2Peptide Economy-7.2Consumer-5.2Livestock Disease-4.9Each side counts the desk's tracked theme watchlists (70 ranked) by 30-day median relative strength vs SPY — shown in RS points.
Credit · 7d
HYG+0.2%LQD-0.2%IEF+0.1%Orderly credit = the selling is positioning, not a credit event
Hard assets · 7d
GLD+0.7%USO+3.5%COPX-2.4%Gold · oil · copper miners

Frozen snapshot — numbers are as of 2026-08-17 by design; the dated strip of these cards is the climate history.

Today's Considerations

The top of today's board — the strongest entries and anything weak, each with its why-now, trend state, and tactic (hover the tag for its horizon). The full board, the folds, and the filtered names are on Today.

Entries

MPC+11.9% desk caution in trend day 3

breaking out 1.4% off its 52-week high after a +11.9% week — a +39% three-month run, not a one-week pop

trend-hold
PSX+11.6% desk caution in trend

breaking out at a fresh 52-week high after a +11.6% week — a +34% three-month run, not a one-week pop

EQIX+5.2% desk ✓ coming into play

breaking out 2.4% off its 52-week high after a +5.2% week

GLD+0.7% desk ✓ coming into play day 13

coming into play — 20.4% off its 52-week high with the tape turning up (+0.7% this week)

CEG+2.9% just flippeddesk ✓ retreating day 15

coming into play — 32.3% off its 52-week high with the tape turning up (+2.9% this week)

trend-hold

Exits · what's weak

NKE-7.2% desk ✓ retreating

breaking down — -7.2% this week, 49.9% off its 52-week high and still falling

APP-8.0% desk ✓ retreating day 12

breaking down — -8.0% this week, 58.2% off its 52-week high and still falling

FSLR-8.9% desk ✓ coming into play

breaking down — -8.9% this week, 32.1% off its 52-week high and still falling

Outliers & Movers

Server-tagged outlier buckets from the latest tape snapshot — 30D surge/dip, 1D spike/drop, oversold/overbought. Data as-of .

AXTI 30D Surge AXTI $95.97 +17.6% 1d +109.3% 30d RSI 66 AEHR 30D Surge AEHR $145.61 +8.6% 1d +79.7% 30d RSI 71 ITGR Overbought ITGR $125.08 -0.1% 1d +31.1% 30d RSI 82 CRNX Overbought CRNX $84.75 +0.1% 1d +1.1% 30d RSI 90 ARGX 1D Spike ARGX $987.84 +16.0% 1d +14.8% 30d RSI 68 CBRS 1D Spike CBRS $251.98 +15.1% 1d +45.8% 30d RSI 58 MVIS 30D Dip MVIS $2.14 -4.0% 1d -52.4% 30d RSI 33 NAUT 30D Dip NAUT $0.88 -1.1% 1d -49.4% 30d RSI 22 DVA Oversold DVA $176.7 -1.9% 1d -25.4% 30d RSI 25 BBAR Oversold BBAR $15.26 -0.5% 1d -21.5% 30d RSI 30 BYND 1D Drop BYND $11.63 -13.7% 1d -34.4% 30d RSI 29 UMAC 1D Drop UMAC $30.15 -11.5% 1d +78.1% 30d RSI 62

This Week's Catalysts

Recent prints come from this issue's frozen record; upcoming rows are calendar entries dated 2026-08-17 through 2026-08-23. Curated big events and tracked earnings are visible; the full print calendar stays behind the fold.

No curated big-event catalysts on file for this week.

Tracked earnings · 1

Focus-list and tape-moving names. All 34 earnings and dividend prints remain available below.

Aug 20
WMTE
All earnings & dividend prints this week (34)
  • Aug 17 earnings BHPE BHP earnings — 2026-08-17
  • Aug 17 earnings BTDR BTDR earnings — 2026-08-17
  • Aug 17 earnings ELMT ELMT earnings — 2026-08-17
  • Aug 17 earnings FNE FN earnings — 2026-08-17
  • Aug 18 earnings ASE AS earnings — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 18 dividend BG BG dividend — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 18 earnings BIDUE BIDU earnings — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 18 earnings ESLT ESLT earnings — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 18 earnings HDE HD earnings — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 18 earnings HSAIE HSAI earnings — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 18 earnings KEYSE KEYS earnings — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 18 earnings KLARE KLAR earnings — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 18 earnings MDT MDT earnings — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 18 earnings NESR NESR earnings — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 18 earnings PANW PANW earnings — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 18 earnings SQME SQM earnings — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 18 earnings XPEV XPEV earnings — 2026-08-18
  • Aug 19 earnings ADIE ADI earnings — 2026-08-19
  • Aug 19 earnings FLNGE FLNG earnings — 2026-08-19
  • Aug 19 earnings LOWE LOW earnings — 2026-08-19
  • Aug 19 earnings TGTE TGT earnings — 2026-08-19
  • Aug 19 earnings TJXE TJX earnings — 2026-08-19
  • Aug 19 earnings WOLFE WOLF earnings — 2026-08-19
  • Aug 20 earnings BABAE BABA earnings — 2026-08-20
  • Aug 20 earnings DEE DE earnings — 2026-08-20
  • Aug 20 earnings INTU INTU earnings — 2026-08-20
  • Aug 20 earnings KRKNF KRKNF earnings — 2026-08-20
  • Aug 20 earnings NTESE NTES earnings — 2026-08-20
  • Aug 20 earnings WDAY WDAY earnings — 2026-08-20
  • Aug 20 earnings WMTE WMT earnings — 2026-08-20
  • Aug 20 earnings ZM ZM earnings — 2026-08-20
  • Aug 21 earnings PHGE PHGE earnings — 2026-08-21
  • Aug 21 earnings RR RR earnings — 2026-08-21
  • Aug 21 earnings UI UI earnings — 2026-08-21

What Moved & Why

Universe internals from the shared tape snapshot, data as-of . Each block heading names its metric and window. These are CURRENT states — the crossings that made them new are in the section above.

1072 tracked names: 661 up vs 406 down over 7 days; 70% above their 200-day.

Overbought now (RSI ≥ 70) · 61

CRNXRSI 90ITGRRSI 82PRSI 82ABCLRSI 81CBZRSI 81URSI 80PSXRSI 80AVAHRSI 79ROKURSI 79CRLRSI 79HPRSI 78ATRCRSI 78HALORSI 78REGNRSI 77

Oversold now (RSI ≤ 30) · 4

NAUTRSI 22DVARSI 25BYNDRSI 29BBARRSI 30

Near 52-week high (within 5%) · 229

CRNX-0.0%IBB-0.0%PSX-0.1%AVAH-0.1%CVE-0.1%WCP.TO-0.1%IBBQ-0.1%ROKU-0.1%OGN-0.1%OKE-0.2%HP-0.2%AIR-0.2%PTGX-0.2%AVDV-0.2%

Approaching the 200-day from below · 54

FXE-0% vs 200dALMU-0% vs 200dHOCPY-0% vs 200dFANUY-0% vs 200dTEL-0% vs 200dARKF-0% vs 200dCOST-0% vs 200dXLU-0% vs 200dBCE-0% vs 200dVKTX-0% vs 200dNTESE-0% vs 200dCIFR-1% vs 200dBND-1% vs 200dITB-1% vs 200d

Monster board (≥ 30% above the 200-day) · top 10

AEHR+151% vs 200dABCL+141% vs 200dTXG+127% vs 200dTWST+117% vs 200dORKA+112% vs 200dDELL+108% vs 200dCDNA+104% vs 200dIOVA+103% vs 200dDFTX+98% vs 200dSNDK+96% vs 200d

Golden cross intact · 737

MGNIPUBMCRTODVZETAROKUTBLAAMZNNVDAASMLTSMMRVLARMPAIQSMHTLNNEEVRTTTMODETNONWOLFE

Death cross · 306

TTDAPPMNTNTACPLTRCEGVSTOKLOSMRFSLRVMCMLMTELAMTXYLERICCRWVIRENEQTPSIXLBRTCLFITRIFLNC

Regime flips · batch 2026-08-17 vs 2026-08-14

ARpullback → basingARKQpullback → uptrendAXIApullback → too-youngBDNpullback → basingBUZZpullback → uptrendCENXpullback → collapseCEPLtoo-young → collapseCHRNpullback → too-youngCOFpullback → breakoutCOGTbreakout → pullbackCOKEbasing → pullbackCSCOuptrend → basingCTOSuptrend → pullbackDARbasing → uptrendDHCpullback → basingDOGGbasing → uptrendESTCpullback → parabolicEWJbasing → breakoutFROGpullback → uptrendGKOSparabolic → uptrend

Stars Aligned

Calls where at least 3 of 5 independent signal families agree (research, trigger, tape, advisory, regime). A score such as 3/5 means three families are active; 5/5 is the loudest the machine gets. Board as-of .

LitMissing
3/5 ABCL watch research, trigger, advisory tape, regime
3/5 CBRS watch research, trigger, tape advisory, regime
3/5 LEU watch research, trigger, tape advisory, regime

Desk Calls

Open authored calls from published reports — entry condition, 30-day vs-SPY excess, and review date. “Not due” means the call is less than 30 calendar days old. The full ledger lives at /calls. Projection as-of .

Entry
Aug 15 AVAV watch a pullback that bases in the $163-$180 band — the reclaimed 20-day ($165.70), 50-day ($163.22) and the $176.42 shelf — not a chase into the $199.98 volume wall Not due Sep 15
Aug 15 AXON watch a pullback that holds the $576.14 shelf or the 20-day ($556.43) Not due Sep 30
Aug 15 ITA pass no entry 2.69% off a 52-week high with RSI 64.4; the wrapper prices the primes, not the drone chain Not due Sep 30
Aug 15 KTOS pass no entry while price sits 12.3% below the 200-day ($73.65) with a death cross intact and RSI at 70.9 Not due Sep 30
Aug 15 RCAT pass no entry after a +20.85% week that stalled at the anchored VWAP from the low ($12.25) with a death cross intact Not due Sep 30
Aug 15 UMAC watch a pullback that bases in $21-$24, where the value-area high ($21.09), 50-day ($22.47) and 20-day ($23.21) converge; never the parabola Not due Oct 9
Aug 8 DUST pass n/a — the inverse side of the same instrument problem Not due Sep 11
Aug 8 GDX watch don't chase RSI 70.3 after a +21.31% week — a first pullback that holds the 200-day ($87.37) and the $87.83 shelf is the entry the structure supports Not due Sep 11
Aug 8 GLD watch a close above the 200-day ($411.70) that holds with RSI above 55; $445 reopens the full recovery case Not due Sep 4
Aug 8 MU watch reclaims and holds the 20-day ($888.26) with RSI back above 50 Not due Sep 11
Aug 8 NUGT pass n/a — leveraged miner exposure compounds the whipsaw that already makes miners the wrong instrument for timing this trend Not due Sep 11
Aug 8 SIL watch above its 200-day by 2.4% but RSI 67.1 after +20.0% — same pullback discipline as GDX, entry on a hold of the 200-day ($86.39) Not due Sep 11
Aug 8 SIMO watch price back above the 20-day ($264.25) with the 30-day loss narrowing Not due Sep 11
Aug 8 SLV watch the laggard of the complex at 9.8% below its 200-day ($63.76) — a reclaim of that line is what would confirm bullion joining the miners Not due Sep 11
Aug 8 SNDK pass no entry while price sits 13.0% below the 20-day ($1,393.06) and 28.2% below the 50-day Not due Sep 11
Aug 8 STX watch holds the 20-day ($834.21) and turns RSI back above 50 Not due Sep 11
Aug 8 UUP watch n/a — the dollar at RSI 39.5 is the tailwind, not the trade Not due Sep 11
Aug 8 WDC watch not before the Aug 5 call's allocation and gross-margin language is public and read; then a reclaim of the 20-day ($511.47) Not due Sep 11
Aug 6 GLD watch a close above the 200-day ($411.72) that holds with RSI above 55; $445 reopens the full recovery thesis Not due Sep 4
Jul 31 CVX watch strongest RSI in the upstream cohort (67.2) — hold above the 20-day (~$185.34) to stay constructive Not due Sep 11
Jul 31 GLD watch this is a signal to watch, not a trade — a reclaim of the 20-day (~$373.15) would be the first sign of the safe-haven bid this week's tape didn't produce Not due Sep 11
Jul 31 HAL avoid not a trend-hold candidate yet — wait for a base and a reclaim of the 50-day (~$36.18) before treating any bounce as more than a dead-cat pop Not due Sep 11
Jul 31 PSX watch RSI is a hair under overbought (69.7) — wait for a pullback to the 20-day (~$200.76) rather than chasing the extended print Not due Sep 11
Jul 31 USO watch the -5.5% weekly pullback holds above the 20-day (~$121.96) — a normal pullback inside a strong-up trend, not a reversal Not due Sep 11
Jul 31 VLO watch same setup as PSX — a pullback to the 20-day (~$295.63); note this row is one session stale (2026-07-30 close), confirm Friday's print before acting Not due Sep 11
Jul 19 CEG watch reclaim the 20-day (~$256) with hyperscaler spending language intact on the Jul 29–30 prints Not due Aug 8 overdue
Jul 19 ELAN watch a volume-confirmed (at least average volume) close through the 52-week high (~$27.72), or a post-Q2-print hold above it — the breakout the caution-overridden board prompt has been flagging, finally confirmed instead of chased Not due Aug 14 overdue
Jul 19 GEV watch held the AI unwind at −5%; reclaim the 20-day (~$1,085) and print a higher low Not due Aug 8 overdue
Jul 19 LEU watch first higher low after a clean Jul 29–30 capex read — the −18% month is a beta markdown, and the entry is print-gated, not chart-gated Not due Aug 8 overdue
Jul 18 CLMT pass RSI 83 on 2.7x volume, +165% in a year — parabolic-chaser material, not trend-hold; reopen only on a first pullback that holds $36.99 (20-day) with volume drying up +7.2% Sep 4
Jul 18 DK pass reopen if it builds a multi-week base above the 20-day ($52.58) and resumes — a small refiner +53% in 30 days and +20% over its own 20-day is the gap, not the setup +0.2% Sep 4
Jul 18 MPC watch the lane's quality large-cap; interest begins on the first pullback that HOLDS the 20-day ($272.00) after the Aug 4 print validates Q2 margins — at +15% above the 20-day, buying today buys the gap +9.5% Aug 21
Jul 18 MU watch Friday printed a reversal bar (low $804, closed $848.95); a close above that bar's high ($903.93) confirms it — the trend-hold entry itself still needs the base and a 20-day reclaim ($1,023) +12.8% Aug 14 overdue
Jul 18 NVDA watch the general never broke (−3.7% in 30 days vs the ETF's −15.7%); a reclaim of its 50-day ($209.81) is the complex-repair signal — the leader turns first +6.6% Aug 14 overdue
Jul 18 PANW watch the lane's strongest structure (-2.7% from its 52-week high, +83% on the year); first pullback that holds the 20-day ($327.50) after this +10% week +3.6% Sep 4
Jul 18 PL watch untouchable while the knife falls (RSI 30, −14% on the week); interest begins when BOTH hold: a base that reclaims the 20-day (~$27.72 today) AND the latest quarter's net-loss spike (−$0.40 EPS vs −$0.04 a year ago) explained at the next print or in the filing — quality-on-sale requires the quality confirmed first +6.0% Sep 11
Jul 18 PSX watch the diversified laggard of the three (+70% on the year, midstream/chem mix dilutes the crack exposure); first 20-day hold ($181.86) after the Aug 5 print +11.1% Aug 21
Jul 18 S watch the laggard catching up (+30% in 30 days, still only +9% on the year and -8.6% from its high); after this week's +9.5% the entry is the first pullback that HOLDS the 20-day ($17.39) — chasing 12.5% above it buys the gap +8.0% Sep 10
Jul 18 SMH watch the complex switch: first close back above the 50-day ($597.33) after a higher low, confirmed through the 20-day ($610.93); until then every bounce is a bounce inside a downtrend +2.2% Aug 14 overdue
Jul 18 STX watch the complex's only accumulation-shaped bar: +5.7% on 1.35× volume, closed near the high after touching $700.39; above Friday's high ($808.65) with the July 28 print ahead, the bounce has legs +19.9% Aug 14 overdue
Jul 18 VLO watch best 12-month tape of the pure refiners (+117%); same frame — first 20-day hold ($271.29) after the Jul 30 print, the earliest verification event in the lane +7.1% Aug 21
Jul 17 ARM watch reclaim the pre-registered $270 line and hold it — the trigger the thesis flag broke this week, now the recovery tell -2.4% Aug 8 overdue
Jul 17 CCJ watch washed out at RSI 30 — wait for the $84 shelf to hold and a first higher low; the 50-day (~$105) reclaim is the confirmation, not the entry +11.2% Sep 15
Jul 17 CEG watch the merchant bellwether needs a turn signature, not a dip-buy — a base under the 50-day (~$269), then a reclaim that holds with a higher low +6.3% Sep 15
Jul 17 DUK watch the one working expression — regulated rate-base growth from the same demand; a close at a fresh 52-week high that holds confirms the leadership -5.1% Sep 15
Jul 17 LEU watch only after a full-quarter base — the enrichment monopoly story is intact but the stock is in a −68%-from-high collapse; a 50-day (~$177) reclaim after a multi-week base is the earliest signal worth acting on +14.0% Oct 1
Jul 17 MU watch gated on the prints, not the chart — a storage/memory print (STX Jul 28, WDC Jul 29, SNDK Aug 5) showing DRAM/NAND pricing intact, plus a first higher low +15.2% Aug 8 overdue
Jul 17 NVDA watch the R1 playbook leg — hold the 20-day retest (~$202) through the July 28–29 storage prints, then a higher low; the efficiency-scare component tends to mean-revert if the fundamentals hold +7.0% Aug 8 overdue
Jul 17 TLN watch the strongest tape of the merchants — hold the $360 shelf and the 200-day (~$371), then clear the 20-day (~$394) to signal the pullback resolved up -8.1% Sep 15
Jul 17 VST watch reclaim the 200-day (~$166) and hold it — first sign the derate is done -9.9% Sep 15
Jul 9 ABCL watch the pop already happened (Feb low $2.78 to a $8.44 high) — this is the first flag; interest is the 52-week-high reclaim above $8.45, which would say the pullback was digestion, not distribution +25.3% Aug 31
Jul 9 CBRS watch a close above the post-flush bounce high ($221.30) confirms the higher low and resolves the debut range up — the first clean post-debut base signal, not the open +13.0% Aug 31
Jul 9 META watch second reclaim attempt off a higher low — buy interest is a close above ~$665, through the falling 200-day ($642) and the year's volume shelf ($662) together -8.6% Aug 31
Jul 9 MSFT watch no turn signature yet — interest begins at the 200-day reclaim (~$442) after a base; until then this is a falling mega-cap, not a setup +28.8% Oct 1
Jul 9 NTLA watch golden cross, +31% month, and a fresh impulse into $18.48 on July 2 — buy interest is the breakout above that swing high while still ~40% below the 52-week high -25.0% Aug 31
Jul 9 ORCL pass reopen when the knife stops: the February low ($136) holds on this retest AND a +7% week prints off it — the bottom-pop signature the desk buys, instead of the falling edge it doesn't +2.3% Oct 1
Jul 8 AXTI pass reopen only if it bases above its 200-day (~$42.55) for a full quarter AND revenue inflects — a collapsed 25x parabolic with sub-$100M revenue and operating losses is a lottery aftermath, not a trend +43.6% Oct 1
Jul 8 CIFR pass reopen only on revenue inflecting up AND visible de-leveraging of the $4.4B debt stack -25.1% Oct 1
Jul 8 CORZ pass reopen on a recapitalization that restores positive equity with the CoreWeave tenancy intact -14.3% Oct 1
Jul 8 CRDO buy elite fundamentals (33% operating margin on $1.34B FY26 revenue) with the least-damaged tape in the sweep — already flagging under its 20-day; buy the reclaim (~$255.50) -7.1% Sep 15
Jul 8 CRWV pass reopen only on a financing regime change — interest expense stabilizing while revenue keeps compounding, and a reclaimed $98–100 (the point-of-control / 200-day cluster) -3.0% Oct 1
Jul 8 EQT watch the fundamentals are the best in the sweep (net income nearly quadrupled in two quarters) but the tape trades below its 200-day — watch for the reclaim of the ~$55.60 cluster (50-day, 200-day, one-year VWAP) -2.4% Oct 1
Jul 8 HUT pass reopen on a financed capacity deal that closes the gap between $160M of cash and gigawatt-scale ambitions -20.3% Oct 1
Jul 8 KGS buy the sleeper — record Q1, raised full-year guidance to include the Distributed Power acquisition, and a 300–500MW/yr power-generation growth outlook through 2030; buy the 50-day reclaim (~$70) -18.0% Aug 15 overdue
Jul 8 MXL watch wire-flagged inflection but already a 4.5x over the year and −16% this week on no news we can find — needs the flag to hold; interest returns above the 20-day (~$91) -16.6% Aug 15 overdue
Jul 8 NBIS buy pullback within an intact uptrend — buy the 50-day reclaim at ~$217, which says the seven-day air pocket resolved -16.9% Aug 31
Jul 8 OKTA pass the rotation's confirming leader — but RSI 78 and 3% off its high is chasing; reopen on the first orderly pullback that holds the 50-day -2.7% Sep 15
Jul 8 TER buy the −21% week has no company event behind it — Q1 revenue rose 87% with a 21% EPS beat and the wire flagged the margin inflection; buy the 50-day reclaim (~$383), with the July 28 print as the catalyst +4.2% Aug 15 overdue
Jul 8 WDAY watch the earnings proof-point of the rotation (beat + raised subscription guide) but still in a downtrend, 43% off its high — watch for a base; this is a lane signal, not yet an entry +26.6% Sep 15
Jul 8 WULF watch the $2.63B war chest has to start converting into hosting revenue on the P&L — watch the Q2 print; a 50-day reclaim (~$24.30) alongside it upgrades this to a buy candidate -28.9% Aug 15 overdue
Jul 6 SKHY watch first clean post-debut base — not the open (debut ~2026-07-10) n/a Sep 1
Jul 6 ZM watch 2 consecutive quarters of accelerating revenue; base over $92 +16.0% Sep 1
Jul 5 MU buy own the up-cycle with cycle sizing — record DRAM/HBM pricing power, HBM booked through 2027; size so a 20-30pt margin reversion is survivable -12.0% Sep 1
Jul 5 SNDK watch only on evidence the +69% NAND operating margin is a baseline, not the peak — two more prints holding pricing -20.8% Sep 1
Jul 5 STX buy own the cleanest un-hyped inflection — nearline-HDD margins compounding 23%→32% over four consecutive quarters on AI data-storage demand -5.3% Sep 1
Jul 5 WDC buy same nearline thesis as STX — margins 10%→36% on the same AI storage driver, no hype premium -7.7% Sep 1