Etf Universe

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Etf Universe

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2026-08-22 ETF Universe Scan — Broad-Market/Tech Sleeve Cools Hard On RSI But Stays Deep Inside An Intact Uptrend, SOXL's -25% Month Sits Against A +375.93% Year, GDX/GLD/NUGT Push Deeper Into Parabolic, DUST Falls To The Universe's Lowest RSI

The broad-market and tech sleeve cooled sharply on the short-window read this cycle — QQQM's RSI fell to 50.2 from 59.7 and its 7-day print flipped negative to -2.42% from +1.11% — but every name in that sleeve remains comfortably above its 200-day average with a strongly positive one-year return: QQQM is still +26.66% over the past year and +9.3% above its 200-day, VOO is +20.44%/+8.2%, VTI +20.94%/+8.4%, and IWM +33.8%/+11.1%. This is a deep pullback inside an intact secular uptrend, not a breakdown. SOXL crashed further this cycle — RSI down to 42 from 49.4, its 30-day print widening to -25.09% from -12.44% and its 3-month print to -36.71% — yet its one-year return sits at +375.93% and it remains +14.5% above its 200-day, the same intact-trend pattern at leveraged-fund scale (decay risk still applies to any leveraged/inverse holding period). The gold complex pushed deeper into overbought territory: GDX's RSI climbed to 75.3 from 66.4 (regime now parabolic, vs-SMA200 +16.1% up from +2.4%), NUGT to 75.6 from 65.6 (30D +74.02%, was +43.88%), and GLD's price crossed back above its 200-day this cycle (vs-SMA200 +2.4%, was -2.6%) after last cycle flagged the cushion as its closest-ever flip. DUST, the inverse-gold-miner fund, fell to RSI 26.3 — the lowest reading anywhere in this 68-name universe this cycle — but this is a decaying leveraged short fund losing to a raging gold bull market (30D -48.87%, one-year -83.57%), not an oversold buy signal. SSPC and SPCQ both deepened their slide further — SSPC's 30-day print widened to -45.62% from -29.17%, SPCQ's to -47.64% from -31.09%. FXI partially recovered (RSI 57.9, was 46.4) while KWEB stayed soft (RSI 43.7, was 46.0) and remains the genuinely broken name of the pair — KWEB's one-year return is -28.72% with alpha1y at -50.53%, still below its 200-day at -14.0%, versus FXI's smaller -6.54% one-year deficit and narrower -2.9% 200-day gap. The income sleeve broadly cooled off its prior extension — JEPI's RSI fell to 61.5 from 73.5, XYLD to 65.2 from 72.3, VYM to 56.1 from 69.0 — while SCHD held roughly flat at 71 (was 72.6).

Data as-of the 2026-08-21 close. Source: etf-ideas, read directly — no computed math. Prior scan: 2026-08-14-etf-universe (2026-08-14 close).


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Sharp short-window cooling across the broad-market/tech sleeve set against fully intact one-year trends — the read depends entirely on which window you're looking through
Broad market cools on RSI, not on trend QQQM RSI 59.7→50.2, 7D flipped to -2.42% — but change1y +26.66%, vs-SMA200 +9.3%; same pattern across VOO/VTI/IWM/VGT/XLK/FTEC
SOXL's violent month vs. its year 30D -25.09% (was -12.44%), 3M -36.71% — yet change1y +375.93%, still +14.5% above its 200-day
Gold complex extends deeper into parabolic GDX RSI 66.4→75.3, NUGT 65.6→75.6, GLD's price crossed back above its 200-day (+2.4%, was -2.6%)
DUST hits the universe low, but it's decay, not a discount RSI 26.3 (was 32.7) — inverse-leveraged fund losing to the gold bull, one-year -83.57%
SSPC/SPCQ deepen further SSPC 30D -29.17%→-45.62%, SPCQ -31.09%→-47.64% — continued deterioration
Key insight This cycle is a textbook case for reading both windows: the short-term cooldown is real and broad, but nothing in the core broad-market/tech/semis complex has broken its one-year uptrend or fallen below its 200-day

What's Going On

The broad-market and tech sleeve cooled sharply on the short window this cycle, with every name still comfortably above its 200-day and posting a strongly positive one-year return. QQQM ($293.76, RSI 50.2, was 59.7; 7D -2.42%, was +1.11%; 30D +1.15%) and QQQ ($713.44, RSI 50.1, was 59.6) both cooled from last cycle's mild extension — but QQQM's one-year return is +26.66% and it sits +9.3% above its 200-day; QQQ is +27.13%/+9.3%. VOO ($703.71, RSI 54.1, was 66.0) and VTI ($378.24, RSI 54.2, was 66.9) show the same pattern — change1y +20.44%/+20.94%, vs-SMA200 +8.2%/+8.4%. IWM ($299.96, RSI 52.6, was 63.7; change1y +33.8%, vs-SMA200 +11.1%) and the tech-sector trio VGT/XLK/FTEC (RSI 50.6/49.5/50.6, all down from the low-60s; change1y +38.89%/+42.18%/+39.28%, vs-SMA200 +15.5%/+15.7%/+15.5%) all cooled the same way. Per the desk's long-horizon read: this is a deep pullback inside intact secular uptrends across the entire core sleeve, not a breakdown — the short-window (7D/30D/RSI) deterioration is real, but change1y and vs-SMA200 both confirm the underlying trend hasn't turned.

SOXL crashed further this cycle on the short window while its one-year return stayed enormous. SOXL ($120.60, RSI 42, was 49.4; 30D -25.09%, was -12.44%; 3M -36.71%) deepened its near-term drawdown sharply — but its one-year return is +375.93% and it remains +14.5% above its 200-day, the same intact-trend pattern the broad market shows at leveraged-fund scale. Its inverse counterpart SOXS ($47.03, RSI 50, was 26.9 — no longer the universe's lowest RSI) recovered off last cycle's extreme, 7D +17.01%, though its one-year return of -96.84% confirms this fund's structural decay independent of any single cycle's move. SMH ($560.42, RSI 45.7, was 54.2; 30D -4.51%) cooled modestly, still +95.56% on the year and +20.0% above its 200-day. TECL ($194.81, RSI 47.6, was 58.8) and TNA ($73.12, RSI 51.2, was 62.6) both cooled from prior extensions, both still deeply positive on change1y (+112.44%/+96.24%) and well above their 200-days (+30.2%/+27.0%). LABU ($317.20, RSI 61.8, was 56.9; 30D +25.04%, was -0.36%) extended sharply the other direction, now +354.7% on the year.

The gold complex pushed deeper into overbought/parabolic territory, with GLD's price crossing back above its 200-day. GDX ($102.83, RSI 75.3, was 66.4; regime now parabolic, was pullback) extended its vs-SMA200 cushion to +16.1% from +2.4%, 30D climbing to +34.1% from +21.58%. NUGT ($207.88, RSI 75.6, was 65.6; 30D +74.02%, was +43.88%) extended further still. GLD ($423.36, RSI 71.2, was 63.3) saw its price cross back above its 200-day this cycle — vs-SMA200 +2.4%, up from -2.6% — after last scan flagged that cushion as the closest it had come to flipping in this tracked window; the flip has now happened on the raw price-vs-200-day basis. DUST ($30.61, RSI 26.3, was 32.7) fell to the lowest RSI reading anywhere in this 68-name universe — but this is the inverse-leveraged gold-miner fund losing hard to the sector's own strength, 30D -48.87% and one-year -83.57%; a low RSI here reflects continued fund decay, not a discount to buy.

FXI partially recovered while KWEB stayed soft — and the one-year data shows these two are not in the same shape. FXI ($35.86, RSI 57.9, was 46.4; 30D +4.15%, was +1.78%) climbed back out of the mid-40s, its 200-day gap narrowing to -2.9% from -5.1% and its one-year return improving to -6.54%. KWEB ($26.66, RSI 43.7, was 46.0) stayed soft, its one-year return sitting at -28.72% with alpha1y at -50.53% and its 200-day gap still at -14.0% — a trend genuinely under test, not a name recovering alongside FXI. EWZ ($35.06, RSI 51.4, was 36.6) and INDA ($49.64, RSI 51.6, was 53.7) both sit modestly below their 200-days (-1.9%/-2.0%), roughly flat on the year.

SSPC and SPCQ both deepened their slide well past last cycle's already-sharp deterioration. SSPC ($11.30, RSI 42.8, was 40.4; 30D -45.62%, was -29.17%) and SPCQ ($13.95, RSI 42.4, was 40.5; 30D -47.64%, was -31.09%) both extended their losses further, now -54.18%/-55.71% off their 52-week highs. Elsewhere in the too-young cohort, moves were mixed: MRVU and MVLL both fell sharply on the day (-11.26%/-11.05% 1D) after a strong 7D (+11.4%/+10.71%) — this desk has no corpus source identifying a driver for either single-day move. FOMG (7D -23.33%) and ENTL (7D -21.96%) both dropped sharply on the week. CDNG (RSI 34.9, was 35.1) held near the bottom of the universe's RSI range. CQTM popped +6.15% on the day. DRAM, RONB, DISK, and LAZR all cooled modestly from prior cycles without a sharp move either way.

The income sleeve broadly cooled off its prior extension. SCHD ($35.11, RSI 71, was 72.6) held roughly flat, still the most extended of the group. JEPI ($57.92, RSI 61.5, was 73.5), XYLD ($41.64, RSI 65.2, was 72.3), and VYM ($164.97, RSI 56.1, was 69.0) all cooled meaningfully from last cycle's push into the low-to-mid 70s. LQD ($105.92, RSI 42.4, was 45.1) stayed negative on the year (-3.13%).


What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-08-14 → 2026-08-21)

Change Read
Broad-market/tech sleeve cooled hard on RSI — QQQM/QQQ/VOO/VTI/IWM all fell from the high-50s/60s into the low-to-mid 50s Change1y and vs-SMA200 stayed strongly positive across every one of these names — a deep pullback, not a trend break
SOXL's drawdown widened sharply — 30D -12.44%→-25.09%, 3M to -36.71% One-year return still +375.93%, still above its 200-day at +14.5%
SOXS recovered off the universe's prior lowest RSI — 26.9→50 No longer the extreme reading it was last cycle
GDX and NUGT both extended deeper into `parabolic` — GDX RSI 66.4→75.3, NUGT 65.6→75.6 GDX's vs-SMA200 cushion widened to +16.1% from +2.4%
GLD's price crossed back above its 200-day — vs-SMA200 -2.6%→+2.4% Answers last cycle's "watch whether the death cross flips" — the price-vs-200-day flip has happened
DUST fell to the universe's lowest RSI — 32.7→26.3 Decay-driven, not a discount — the inverse gold fund is losing to a raging sector move
FXI recovered while KWEB stayed soft — FXI RSI 46.4→57.9, KWEB 46.0→43.7 KWEB's one-year return (-28.72%) confirms it remains the genuinely broken name of the pair
SSPC/SPCQ both deepened further — SSPC 30D -29.17%→-45.62%, SPCQ -31.09%→-47.64% Continued deterioration, now the deepest 30-day prints in the universe outside the leveraged-inverse complex
Income sleeve cooled off its prior extension — JEPI RSI 73.5→61.5, XYLD 72.3→65.2, VYM 69.0→56.1 Broad de-extension in the low-vol sleeve; SCHD held roughly flat

How To Read The Board

Regime labels (uptrend/pullback/collapse/downtrend/too-young/breakout/basing/parabolic) describe each fund's structural state, not a trade recommendation. This cycle is the clearest illustration in this tracked window of why the window matters: RSI, 7D, and 30D are all showing a broad, real cooldown across the core broad-market/tech/semis complex — but change1y and vs-SMA200, read alongside those short windows, confirm none of it has broken the underlying uptrend. SOXL's near-40% three-month drawdown sitting on top of a 375.93% one-year gain is the sharpest version of that pattern in this universe, and it is read here as a deep pullback in an intact trend, not a breakdown — with the standing caveat that leveraged/inverse funds carry structural decay risk independent of any single cycle's direction (SOXS's -96.84% one-year return is the same mechanism working in reverse). DUST's low RSI is the same caveat in its purest form: the "cheapest" RSI reading in the universe belongs to a fund that is losing value by design because the sector it shorts is strong, not because it is oversold. GLD's price closing back above its 200-day resolves a multi-cycle "watch" item, though the fund's own golden/death-cross flag (a lagging 50-day-vs-200-day signal) has not yet relabeled — the two measures can diverge for a cycle or more.


Price Table

Broad Market

Ticker Price RSI 7D 30D 1Y vs SMA200 Regime Note
QQQM $293.76 50.2 -2.42% +1.15% +26.66% +9.3% basing Cooled hard on RSI/7D; year intact
QQQ $713.44 50.1 -2.41% +1.15% +27.13% +9.3% basing Tracks QQQM
VOO $703.71 54.1 -1.38% +2.43% +20.44% +8.2% basing RSI cooled from 66.0
VTI $378.24 54.2 -1.45% +2.54% +20.94% +8.4% basing RSI cooled from 66.9
IWM $299.96 52.6 -1.68% +2.10% +33.8% +11.1% basing RSI cooled from 63.7
SMH $560.42 45.7 -4.66% -4.51% +95.56% +20.0% pullback Cooled further; year still nearly doubled
VGT $118.42 50.6 -3.39% +2.42% +38.89% +15.5% basing Cooled from RSI 62.4
XLK $183.31 49.5 -3.53% +1.69% +42.18% +15.7% basing Cooled from RSI 60.4
FTEC $282.62 50.6 -3.45% +2.31% +39.28% +15.5% basing Cooled from RSI 62.2

Leveraged / Inverse (decay risk — heat gauge only)

Ticker Price RSI 7D 30D 1Y vs SMA200 Regime Note
SOXL $120.60 42 -16.83% -25.09% +375.93% +14.5% pullback Violent 30D/3M drawdown, huge year intact
SOXS $47.03 50 +17.01% +5.64% -96.84% -84.6% downtrend Recovered off last cycle's universe-low RSI
TQQQ $71.17 48.4 n/a +1.27% +65.63% +17.3% pullback Cooled from RSI 58.2
QLD $89.53 49.1 n/a +1.42% +47.42% +14.6% pullback Cooled from RSI 58.8
SSO / SPXL / UPRO $70.15 / $286.64 / $149.88 52-53 n/a +4-6% +37-56% +14-20% basing Cooled from mid-60s
TECL $194.81 47.6 -10.69% +1.84% +112.44% +30.2% pullback Cooled sharply from RSI 58.8
TNA $73.12 51.2 -5.26% +4.92% +96.24% +27.0% uptrend Cooled from RSI 62.6
LABU $317.20 61.8 +14.7% +25.04% +354.7% +66.6% uptrend Extended sharply, reversed from -0.36%
NUGT $207.88 75.6 +29.18% +74.02% +120.21% +14.8% parabolic Extended deeper into parabolic
DUST $30.61 26.3 -26.19% -48.87% -83.57% -49.0% collapse Universe's lowest RSI — fund decay, not a discount
SQQQ $39.02 48.6 +7.67% -4.69% -58.02% -32.8% downtrend Recovered somewhat
LABD $6.29 34.2 -16.89% -25.91% -89.04% -61.0% collapse Deepened further negative
FNGU / FNGD $31.42 / $27.95 54.7 / 41.1 -4.94% / +4.71% +16.33% / -19.29% +31.96% / -56.53% +24.1% / -41.8% pullback / collapse FNGU cooled from RSI 61.5
TZA $38.25 47.1 +5.25% -6.02% -62.76% -33.5% collapse Roughly steady
TECS $64.84 47.9 +11.36% -8.66% -74.26% -51.9% collapse Roughly steady

Sector / Thematic

Ticker Price RSI 30D 1Y vs SMA200 Regime Note
XBI $165.73 63.4 +8.95% +84.97% +24.9% uptrend Extended further
JETS $29.57 38.6 -1.76% +18.56% +5.0% pullback Cooled meaningfully
QTUM $150.47 49.6 +3.89% +64.27% +16.7% pullback Cooled from RSI 61.5
WCLD $40.69 65.1 +26.17% +20.6% +28.1% uptrend Extended further, still elevated
CLOU $28.05 64.3 +21.06% +29.02% +26.6% uptrend Extended further
SKYY $161.23 64.5 +21.05% +35.54% +25.7% uptrend Cooled slightly from RSI 73.9
IGV $103.37 60.5 +16.12% -2.44% +10.2% pullback Year barely negative despite strong 30D
GLD $423.36 71.2 +11.67% +37.77% +2.4% basing Price crossed back above its 200-day
GDX $102.83 75.3 +34.1% +73.44% +16.1% parabolic Extended sharply from vs-SMA200 +2.4%
TAN $49.32 39 -8.19% +24.48% -10.6% collapse Below its 200-day despite a positive year
ICLN $17.59 39.4 -5.12% +24.05% -6.1% pullback Same pattern as TAN
URA $46.07 59.8 +12.45% +23.91% -5.1% downtrend Still below its 200-day
KWEB $26.66 43.7 +0.83% -28.72% -14.0% downtrend Genuinely broken long-term, not just soft short-term
FXI $35.86 57.9 +4.15% -6.54% -2.9% downtrend Recovered off last cycle's crash
INDA $49.64 51.6 +2.94% -7.34% -2.0% basing Modestly below its 200-day
EWZ $35.06 51.4 -4.26% +27.26% -1.9% basing Recovered from RSI 36.6
DRAM $57.68 53.2 -0.16% n/a n/a too-young Roughly flat
RONB $23.85 57.3 +10.78% n/a n/a too-young Cooled from RSI 59.8
IBB $213.56 70.7 +14.2% +54.27% +22.1% uptrend Extended further

Income / Bond

Ticker Price RSI 30D 1Y vs SMA200 Note
SCHD $35.11 71 +6.72% +27.58% +14.2% Held roughly flat, most extended of the group
JEPI $57.92 61.5 +2.24% +1.83% +1.1% Cooled sharply from RSI 73.5
JEPQ $59.84 52.9 +0.64% +8.92% +2.0% Roughly flat
XYLD $41.64 65.2 +1.68% +8.1% +2.8% Cooled from RSI 72.3
QYLD $18.32 62.3 +2.92% +11.3% +3.2% Roughly flat
VYM $164.97 56.1 +2.05% +20.24% +7.8% Cooled sharply from RSI 69.0
DOGG $22.58 64 +4.54% +12.62% +4.7% Roughly flat
HYG $79.61 50.7 +0.11% -0.74% -0.7% Flat, roughly unchanged on the year
LQD $105.92 42.4 -0.70% -3.13% -3.1% Still negative on the year

(Too-young cohort not in the tables above: RAM $13.15 RSI 48.5 30D -8.81%; SPCH $8.57 RSI 46.3 30D +27.91%; SSPC $11.30 RSI 42.8 30D -45.62% (deepened from -29.17%); SPCQ $13.95 RSI 42.4 30D -47.64% (deepened from -31.09%); MRVU $125.18 RSI 53.1, sharp -11.26% single-day drop, no known driver; MVLL $30.75 RSI 52.9, -11.05% 1D paired with MRVU; CDNG $9.59 RSI 34.9 30D -11.69%; FOMG $5.98 RSI 43.0, 7D -23.33%; ENTL $7.71 RSI 44.7, 7D -21.96%; CQTM $26.22 RSI 52.4, +6.15% 1D pop; WQTM $33.65 RSI 49.8; DISK $37.97 RSI 48.9; LAZR $43.85 RSI 48.1.)


Tier Analysis

Broad-market/tech sleeve cools hard on RSI/7D but stays intact on the year — QQQM, QQQ, VOO, VTI, IWM, VGT, XLK, FTEC all fell from the high-50s/60s RSI range into the low-to-mid 50s, while change1y stayed at +20% to +43% and vs-SMA200 stayed positive across the board.

SOXL's month-scale crash sits on top of a 375.93% year — the leveraged semis fund deepened its 30-day and 3-month drawdowns sharply while remaining above its 200-day; SOXS recovered off last cycle's universe-low RSI.

Gold complex extends deeper into parabolic — GDX and NUGT both pushed further into overbought, and GLD's price crossed back above its 200-day for the first time in this tracked window.

DUST's low RSI is fund decay, not a discount — the inverse-leveraged gold-miner fund sits at the universe's lowest RSI purely because the sector it shorts is strong; its one-year return is -83.57%.

FXI recovers, KWEB stays genuinely broken — FXI's one-year deficit (-6.54%) and 200-day gap (-2.9%) are both far shallower than KWEB's (-28.72%/-14.0%).

SSPC/SPCQ deepen further — both funds extended their already-sharp 30-day losses; the rest of the too-young cohort showed mixed single-name moves with no clear driver identified.

Income sleeve cools off its prior extension — JEPI, XYLD, and VYM all pulled back from last cycle's push into the low-to-mid 70s RSI range; SCHD held roughly flat.


Entry Zones

Ticker Price Zone RSI vs SMA200 Setup
SOXL $120.60 Extended drawdown inside an intact one-year trend 42 +14.5% -25.09% 30D against +375.93% 1Y — deep pullback, not a broken trend; leveraged-fund decay still applies
DUST $30.61 Not a discount — fund decay 26.3 -49.0% Universe's lowest RSI belongs to a decaying inverse fund in a strong gold market
KWEB $26.66 Trend genuinely under test 43.7 -14.0% -28.72% 1Y and below its 200-day — not the same setup as FXI's recovery
GDX / NUGT $102.83 / $207.88 Extended — confirm before adding 75.3 / 75.6 +16.1% / +14.8% Both pushed deeper into `parabolic`; GLD's price flip above its 200-day is the structural tell to watch
SSPC / SPCQ $11.30 / $13.95 Avoid until the slide stops 42.8 / 42.4 n/a Both deepened their 30-day losses well past last cycle's already-sharp level

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD — DEEP PULLBACK, TREND INTACT QQQM, QQQ, VOO, VTI, IWM, VGT, XLK, FTEC, SMH, SOXL Short-window cooldown across the board; change1y and vs-SMA200 confirm the underlying trend hasn't broken
⚠️ EXTENDED — DON'T CHASE GDX, NUGT, LABU, SCHD, IBB Pushed further into overbought/parabolic this cycle
⚠️ DECAY, NOT DISCOUNT DUST, SOXS, TZA, TECS, SQQQ, LABD Low RSI or negative one-year return reflects leveraged-fund structural decay, not an oversold entry
🔍 TREND UNDER TEST KWEB, TAN, ICLN, URA, INDA Below their 200-day with weak or negative one-year returns
🔍 RECOVERING FXI, EWZ, SOXS Bounced meaningfully off last cycle's low
⚠️ SHARP CONTINUED DECLINE SSPC, SPCQ, CDNG Deepened losses rather than stabilizing this cycle
🔍 NO BASELINE / MIXED DRAM, RONB, RAM, SPCH, MRVU, MVLL, FOMG, ENTL, CQTM, WQTM, DISK, LAZR Too-young; mixed single-name moves, no clear driver identified

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
Whether the broad-market/tech sleeve's RSI cooldown extends into an actual 200-day test Currently a deep pullback with every name still 8%+ above its 200-day
Whether SOXL's near-term drawdown stabilizes or the 375.93% one-year cushion keeps eroding The gap between the 3-month (-36.71%) and one-year (+375.93%) reads is the widest in this universe
Whether GDX/NUGT's push into `parabolic` cools or extends a further cycle Both at their highest RSI readings in this tracked window
Whether GLD's golden/death-cross flag catches up to the price-vs-200-day flip Price crossed back above its 200-day this cycle; the lagging cross indicator has not yet relabeled
Whether SSPC/SPCQ find a floor Both deepened well past last cycle's already-sharp deterioration
Whether KWEB narrows its one-year deficit toward FXI's, or the gap between the pair widens further KWEB remains the structurally weaker of the two on every long-horizon field

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns/change1y/alpha1y): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-21 close — etf-ideas.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.