Reason: All four names are flat-to-negative on change1y with negative alpha1y - this is the genuinely broken cohort on the desk this cycle, not a deep-pullback story. WMT, COST, and TJX have all fallen below their 200-day (vsSma200 -12.5%, -1.2%, -9.5% respectively); TJX is RSI 25.4, deeply oversold, on a change1y of only +2.2% and alpha1y -19.62.

Tape Read

$TJX: price $140.53, RSI 25.4 (deeply oversold), golden-cross despite the weakness, trend down, regime basing, thesis unrated, 7D -7.61%, 30D -9.57%, -17.34% off its 52-week high — 9.5% below its 200-day average (vsSma200 -9.5), change1y only +2.2%, alpha1y -19.62: near-flat over the year with negative alpha, a genuinely weak name at its 200-day level of $155.23. $WMT: price $103.7, RSI 29.6 (oversold), death-crossed, trend strong-down, regime pullback, thesis unrated, 7D -10.03%, -23.28% off its high — 12.5% below its 200-day (vsSma200 -12.5), change1y +5.86%, alpha1y -15.96: watch $118.52 (its 200-day). $COST: price $947.74, RSI 49, death-crossed, trend strong-down, regime pullback, thesis unrated, 7D -1.37%, -13.57% off its high — 1.2% below its 200-day (vsSma200 -1.2), change1y -2.26%, alpha1y -24.08: flat/negative year, sitting right at its 200-day of $959.29. $YUM: price $152.99, RSI 54.3, death-crossed, trend strong-down, regime basing, thesis unrated, 7D +3.28%, -10.08% off its high — 1.1% below its 200-day (vsSma200 -1.1), change1y +3.36%, alpha1y -18.45: near-flat and lagging the market despite the positive week. Source: full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-21 close — retail.

• $TJX — PASS: RSI 25.4 (deeply oversold), 9.5% below its 200-day, change1y +2.2%, alpha1y -19.62 — genuinely weak, not a deep pullback; watch $155.23.
• $WMT — PASS: RSI 29.6 (oversold), 12.5% below its 200-day, change1y +5.86%, alpha1y -15.96 — trend under test; watch $118.52.
• $COST — PASS: change1y -2.26%, alpha1y -24.08, sitting right at its 200-day ($959.29) — a genuinely flat/negative year.
• $YUM — PASS: change1y +3.36%, alpha1y -18.45 — near-flat and lagging despite a positive week.

Lead pick: No name in this basket clears a promote. Unlike the memory or web-cloud cohorts, this group is the desk's actually-broken case per the long-horizon rule: every name is flat-to-negative on change1y with a materially negative alpha1y, and three of the four (WMT, COST, TJX) have fallen below their 200-day average. This is genuine structural weakness, not a violent pullback inside an otherwise intact uptrend.

Sources

• Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns/change1y/alpha1y): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-21 close — retail.