WFE / Test & Metrology Scan
WFE / Test & Metrology Scan
Every single name in this 14-name equipment book gained RSI this cycle — a clean sweep, led by KLAC (+11.5 points) and CAMT (+10.0) — but the advance came on ordinary volume across the board, and RSI still tops out at 49.6. This is the honest read: a one-session bounce in a group that's still 26-51% off its 52-week highs, not a breakout. The trailing-year check is unambiguous in the other direction, though — all 14 names carry a strongly positive 1-year return and a strongly positive alpha, five of them even while sitting below their 200-day. That combination is the textbook deep-pullback-in-an-intact-trend case, not a broken group.
Data as-of the 2026-09-04 close for all 14 names. Comparison baseline is the August 28 scan.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 A clean sweep — all 14 names gained RSI this cycle — but on ordinary volume, and none cleared 50. Every name remains strongly positive on the trailing year |
| Leaders | CAMT (RSI 49.6), LRCX (48.9), ENTG (48.7), ASML (48.3) — all cooling short-term but +74% to +206% on the trailing year |
| Laggards | AMAT (39.8), ACLS (39.7), MKSI (39.7) — the lowest readings, though ACLS and MKSI still carry +46% and +156% trailing-year returns respectively |
| The named gate | AMAT's next earnings print is scheduled for 2026-11-12 (2026-11-12-amat-earnings) — a provider-estimated date, not yet reported |
What's Going On
Every name in this book — all 14 — gained RSI ground on September 4, the cleanest same-direction move of any book in this batch. KLAC led at +11.5 points (35.9 → 47.4), followed by CAMT at +10.0 (39.6 → 49.6). But volume tells the more cautious half of the story: relative volume across the book ran between 0.44x (BESIY) and 1.55x (ACLS), with most names clustered near 1.0x — LRCX 1.13x, ASML 1.12x, KLAC 1.44x, TER 0.93x, AMAT 0.82x. None of that is the volume signature of a conviction breakout; it's a one-session bounce on ordinary participation. No name in the book cleared RSI 50, and the book remains 26% to 51% below its 52-week high (CAMT -32.53%, AMKR -50.5%, ACLS -40.61%, MKSI -41.85%).
The trailing-year check, though, argues strongly against reading this as a broken group. All 14 names carry a positive alpha1y, ranging from ACLS's +27.41 to FORM's +240.24, and all 14 carry a positive change1y, from ACLS's +46.06% to FORM's +258.89%. Five names — CAMT (-4.2%), AMKR (-14.6%), BESIY (-4.7%), ACLS (-1.4%), MKSI (-0.8%) — sit below their 200-day even after this cycle's bounce, but every one of those five still shows a strongly positive trailing-year return and alpha. That's the textbook case for reading a name below its 200-day as a trend genuinely under test rather than a verdict already rendered — the horizon evidence doesn't support "breakdown" language for any of these five.
AMAT is the name to watch for a named catalyst: its next earnings print is scheduled for November 12, 2026, per the desk's calendar (a provider-estimated date, not yet confirmed reported). That is roughly two months out — not an imminent print, but the gate the desk is watching for this specific name and, by extension, read-through for the broader wafer-fab-equipment complex.
What Changed Since August 28
- KLAC: RSI 35.9 → 47.4 (+11.5), the largest move in the book; regime held pullback.
- CAMT: RSI 39.6 → 49.6 (+10.0), the highest reading in the book; still death-cross and below its 200-day.
- MKSI: RSI 33.9 → 39.7 (+5.8).
- BESIY: RSI 35.6 → 40.7 (+5.1); ASML: RSI 43.4 → 48.3 (+4.9); ENTG: RSI 43.8 → 48.7 (+4.9); FORM: RSI 40.2 → 44.9 (+4.7).
- LRCX: RSI 44.4 → 48.9 (+4.5); KLIC: RSI 36.1 → 40.2 (+4.1); ACLS: RSI 36.8 → 39.7 (+2.9).
- AMAT: RSI 37.6 → 39.8 (+2.2); AMKR: RSI 39.3 → 41.3 (+2.0); TER: RSI 43.8 → 46.9 (+3.1); ONTO: RSI 42.7 → 44.3 (+1.6).
- Every name in the book gained RSI ground this cycle — no exceptions.
How To Read The Board
Treat this cycle's clean sweep as a bounce, not a breakout — every gain came on ordinary volume, and the whole book remains a quarter to half off its highs. The trailing-year and alpha checks are what actually matter for this group: with all 14 names strongly positive on both, this reads as a genuinely intact multi-year trend digesting a rough quarter, not a group breaking down. The five names below their 200-day (CAMT, AMKR, BESIY, ACLS, MKSI) deserve the "trend under test" framing, not "breakdown" — their own trailing-year numbers argue against the stronger label. AMAT's scheduled November earnings print is the next confirmed catalyst on the calendar for this book; nothing sooner is on file.
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAMT | $145.72 | 49.6 | $149.99 | -2.8% | +7.76% | -1.27% | pullback (below 200-day, alpha1y +67.69) |
| LRCX | $307.65 | 48.9 | $312.76 | -1.6% | +1.9% | +0.07% | pullback |
| ENTG | $138.74 | 48.7 | $144.62 | -4.1% | +2.91% | -4.68% | pullback |
| ASML | $1,714.88 | 48.3 | $1,752.62 | -2.2% | +1.1% | +2.18% | pullback |
| KLAC | $185.60 | 47.4 | $187.87 | -1.2% | +5.68% | -3.73% | pullback |
| TER | $357.03 | 46.9 | $375.33 | -4.9% | +0.64% | -8.31% | pullback |
| FORM | $103.90 | 44.9 | $113.09 | -8.1% | +2.27% | -9.21% | pullback |
| ONTO | $268.01 | 44.3 | $295.23 | -9.2% | -0.93% | -2.89% | pullback |
| AMKR | $47.77 | 41.3 | $51.28 | -6.8% | -0.04% | -11.14% | collapse (below 200-day, alpha1y +78.01) |
| BESIY | $228.15 | 40.7 | $243.52 | -6.3% | +0.96% | -7.87% | collapse (below 200-day, thesis: intact) |
| KLIC | $81.61 | 40.2 | $86.73 | -5.9% | +0.63% | -13.03% | pullback (thesis: intact-but-priced) |
| AMAT | $454.71 | 39.8 | $489.24 | -7.1% | -1.51% | -14.8% | pullback (next print scheduled 2026-11-12) |
| ACLS | $115.08 | 39.7 | $126.01 | -8.7% | -0.22% | -15.8% | collapse (below 200-day, alpha1y +27.41) |
| MKSI | $260.31 | 39.7 | $278.81 | -6.6% | +1.75% | -16.86% | downtrend (below 200-day, alpha1y +137.26) |
Tier Analysis
Tier A — RSI 45+, cooling but leading (7): CAMT, LRCX, ENTG, ASML, KLAC, TER, FORM.
Tier B — Mid-book, RSI 40-45 (3): ONTO, AMKR (below 200-day), BESIY (below 200-day, thesis intact).
Tier C — Weakest, RSI <40 (4): KLIC (thesis intact-but-priced), AMAT (scheduled print in November), ACLS (below 200-day), MKSI (below 200-day).
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAMT, AMKR, BESIY, ACLS, MKSI | — | 40-50 | -1% to -17% | The five names below their 200-day, but every one carries a strongly positive trailing-year return and alpha — the horizon math argues pullback, not breakdown |
| AMAT | $454.71 | 39.8 | -14.8% | Lowest reading among the majors in this book; next earnings print scheduled November 12, still two months out |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔍 RESEARCH | CAMT, LRCX, ENTG, ASML, KLAC | Leading this cycle's bounce, but on ordinary volume — worth confirming with a real-volume follow-through before treating as a resumption |
| 🔍 WATCH | AMKR, BESIY, ACLS, MKSI | Below their 200-day, but every one carries a strongly positive trailing-year return and alpha — trend under test, not broken |
| 🔍 RESEARCH | AMAT | Weakest reading among the group's majors; next confirmed catalyst is the scheduled November 12 earnings print |
| 🔒 HOLD | TER, FORM, ONTO, KLIC | Solid trailing-year and alpha backing even with this cycle's mid-40s-and-below RSI |
What To Watch Next
| Watch | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| Whether this cycle's clean-sweep bounce gets a real-volume follow-through | Every name gained RSI on ordinary volume this cycle — a genuine breakout needs the opposite |
| AMAT's scheduled November 12 earnings print | The next confirmed catalyst on the calendar for this book |
| The five names below their 200-day (CAMT, AMKR, BESIY, ACLS, MKSI) | All five still carry strongly positive trailing-year and alpha readings — worth tracking whether that continues to hold as the trend-under-test framing |
| Whether any name in this book breaks above RSI 50 | None did this cycle despite the universal gain |
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns/1-year, SMA200, volume): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-04 close — wfe-test-metrology.
- AMAT scheduled earnings: 2026-11-12-amat-earnings.
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.