ETF Universe Scan

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ETF Universe Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 89 rows · screens, not recommendations event statusconfirmeddata as of2026-09-25prior scanresearch/scans/2026-09-23-etf-universe.md

Cloud and software's two-week reversal cooled this session — every fund in that group lost momentum and cushion at once — while the core kept extending and two of last week's newly-oversold income names climbed back out. The broad market notched a positive Friday (the S&P 500 proxy up 0.54%, the Nasdaq-100 proxy up 0.46%, per the desk's summaries), and the growth core rode it higher, but the picture underneath is mixed: bonds sank deeper into oversold territory even as dividend funds partly repaired.

Data as of the settled 2026-09-25 close, per the desk's summaries. Prior comparison numbers are from the September 23 edition of this scan.


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Core still extending; cloud/software's reversal stalled; bonds and gold showed no repair while some income names bounced
Leaders SMH (1Y +89.51%, 23.0% above its 200-day, still the strongest long trend here), the two newest funds IGPT (1Y +93.22%) and AIS (1Y +119.48%), IBB (1Y +50.84%, up sharply from +44.99%)
Laggards KWEB (1Y -41.03%, deepened again), TAN (1Y +0.80%, down hard from +6.33% — its year edge nearly gone), FXI (1Y -16.50%, deepened), HYG (RSI 26.5, deepest oversold reading in this universe)
Biggest single change Cloud/software's two-week reversal stalled — WCLD, CLOU, SKYY and IGV all lost momentum and 200-day cushion this session after two straight weeks of repair
Caveat TQQQ, SPXL, UPRO, SOXL, SOXS, TECL and TNA are leveraged or inverse legacy coverage. They are shown for transparency and are never an entry-zone pick or a proposal on this desk
Key insight VYM and SCHD both climbed back above RSI 30 this session after crossing into oversold territory last week — a partial repair in the income sleeve even as the bond proxies HYG and LQD sank further into it

What's Going On

The core extended again through a positive Friday. The S&P 500 proxy closed up 0.54% and the Nasdaq-100 proxy up 0.46% today, per the desk's summaries. QQQM closed $306.54 (RSI 64.7, 200-day cushion +11.9% from +11.5% a week ago, 1-year return +25.46% from +23.91%), QQQ $744.50 (same shape). VOO ($710.79, RSI 57.1) and VTI ($379.77, RSI 55.1) kept improving too, cushions widening to +7.6%/+7.2% from +7.2%/+6.8% and one-year returns rising to +17.18%/+16.80%. IWM's momentum is still stuck in the mid-30s — RSI 34.9 this week versus 34.4 last — with its 200-day cushion essentially unchanged at +2.3% (from +2.4%); the one-year return, now +17.84%, keeps this a deep-pullback read rather than a breakdown, but the cushion remains thin enough that it stays a name to watch.

Cloud and software's reversal — which had held for two straight weeks — lost ground across every name in the group this session. WCLD closed $40.28, RSI 49.8 (down from 57.5), its 200-day cushion compressing to +23.8% from +28.0% and its one-year return slipping to +13.11% from +14.54%. CLOU ($28.39, RSI 54.0 from 61.6, cushion +24.7% from +28.3%), SKYY ($164.68, RSI 55.7 from 61.6, cushion +24.8% from +27.3%) and IGV ($106.01, RSI 53.7 from 59.0, cushion +13.2% from +15.4%, one-year deficit still -6.93%) all moved the same direction. None of these names broke their 200-day averages — the cushions are still double digits across the board — but the question flagged last scan, whether a third week would confirm the bounce, reads no this week. Chips did not follow the same pattern: SMH closed $606.56 (RSI 62.7, cushion +23.0% from +22.5%, one-year return +89.51% from +86.95%), still extending and still the strongest long trend on this board.

The income sleeve partially repaired even as bonds sank further. VYM closed $157.68, RSI 31.8 — back above the 30 line it crossed below last week (28.5) — with its cushion essentially unchanged at +1.4%. SCHD closed $33.21, RSI 33.6, also climbing back from last week's 32.8 after three straight weeks of deepening; its one-year return improved to +23.05% from +21.46%. JEPI's one-year return crossed back to positive territory, +0.19% from -0.46%, on a price essentially flat at $56.76. The bond proxies moved the opposite way: HYG closed $77.86, RSI 26.5 — deeper into oversold than last week's 29.5 and the lowest reading in this entire universe — while LQD closed $103.21, RSI 30.3, sitting right at the oversold line after last week's 34.2. Neither bond fund shows any price repair; both remain below their 200-day averages with negative one-year returns.

Gold held roughly flat while a thematic fund's one-year edge nearly vanished. GLD closed $393.41, RSI 45.2, still 5.5% below its 200-day (from -5.6%) with its one-year return ticking up slightly to +14.11% from +13.4% — no meaningful change from last week's flagged deterioration. TAN is the more notable mover: its one-year return fell to +0.80% from +6.33%, the sharpest year-over-year decline on this board, while its 200-day gap widened to -19.9% from -18.1%. URA held roughly flat on structure (1-year -16.80% from -16.62%, cushion -15.4% from -13.3%). JETS crossed back above its 200-day average this week, +1.5% from -1.0%, with its one-year return improving to +17.04% from +10.05%.

International names mostly cooled. EWZ closed $36.82, RSI 48.0 (from 53.0), its cushion compressing to +1.5% from +3.2%. FXI ($33.96, RSI 39.9, one-year deficit deepening to -16.50% from -14.31%) and KWEB ($24.58, RSI 39.1, one-year deficit deepening to -41.03% from -38.82%) both worsened, KWEB remaining the most structurally broken name on this board. INDA held roughly steady (-8.82% year from -9.44%, -4.3% cushion from -4.0%).


What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-09-23 → 2026-09-25)

No membership changes this week — the universe holds at 50 names.

Change Read
Cloud/software's two-week reversal stalled — WCLD RSI 57.5 → 49.8, cushion +28.0% → +23.8%; CLOU, SKYY, IGV all moved the same direction Answers last scan's "does a third week confirm" question — no, this week it gave ground
VYM and SCHD climbed back above RSI 30 — VYM 28.5 → 31.8, SCHD 32.8 → 33.6 Partial repair in the income sleeve after last week's flagged deepening
HYG and LQD sank further into oversold — HYG 29.5 → 26.5, LQD 34.2 → 30.3 HYG is now the lowest RSI reading in this entire universe; neither bond fund shows price repair
TAN's one-year edge nearly disappeared — +6.33% → +0.80% The sharpest single-week year-over-year decline on this board
JETS crossed back above its 200-day — vs SMA200 -1.0% → +1.5% One-year return improved to +17.04% from +10.05%
JEPI's one-year return turned positive — -0.46% → +0.19% Small but real; price essentially flat
IWM's momentum still stuck near mid-30s — 34.4 → 34.9 200-day cushion essentially unchanged at +2.3%; year still +17.84%
IGPT and AIS both extended further in their second tracked week — IGPT 1Y +88.04% → +93.22%; AIS +114.66% → +119.48% Both intact since first appearing in coverage

How To Read The Board

Everything here is raw screen evidence: price, momentum, moving-average position and return windows, nothing else. A low momentum reading inside this universe describes the recent tape, not a recommendation — the question is always whether the long trend underneath it is intact, under test, or broken, and the one-year and 200-day columns are how this board answers that. A fund above its 200-day with a large positive one-year return is in a deep pullback (IWM, XBI, SMH); a fund below its 200-day with a negative one-year return has a real trend problem (KWEB, URA, TAN, LQD, HYG, FXI). DRAM, RONB, CQTM, DISK and LAZR still don't have enough price history for a full one-year read and are marked as such. The leveraged and inverse block is legacy coverage carried for transparency only and is never proposed. No cause is attached to any move in this scan beyond what is dated on the record.


Price Table

Broad Market

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y vs SMA200 Signal
QQQM $306.54 64.7 $296.82 +3.3% +3.24% +4.66% +25.46% +11.9% 🟢 Intact, cushion widened
QQQ $744.50 64.7 $720.87 +3.3% +3.19% +4.66% +25.44% +11.9% 🟢 Intact, cushion widened
VOO $710.79 57.1 $704.06 +1.0% +1.28% +0.94% +17.18% +7.6% 🟢 Improving, trend intact
VTI $379.77 55.1 $377.05 +0.7% +1.16% +0.41% +16.80% +7.2% 🟢 Improving, trend intact
IWM $281.97 34.9 $288.61 -2.3% -0.75% -5.67% +17.84% +2.3% 🟡 Momentum still stuck, thin cushion

Semis / Chips / Quantum

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y vs SMA200 Signal
SMH $606.56 62.7 $568.83 +6.6% +5.86% +9.14% +89.51% +23.0% 🟢 Strongest long trend here, extending
QTUM $153.72 59.0 $147.93 +3.9% +4.01% +3.32% +46.47% +14.9% 🟢 Intact
WQTM $32.69 52.7 $31.90 +2.5% +2.64% +1.14% n/a +6.2% 🟡 Too young for a full 1Y read
CQTM $24.26 53.5 $23.21 +4.5% +5.99% -0.41% n/a n/a 🟡 Too young for a structural read

Tech Sector

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y vs SMA200 Signal
VGT $126.17 65.0 $121.65 +3.7% +3.16% +6.93% +36.99% +19.3% 🟢 Intact, improving
XLK $196.27 65.4 $188.42 +4.2% +3.52% +7.35% +41.20% +19.9% 🟢 Intact, improving
FTEC $301.22 65.2 $290.31 +3.8% +3.25% +6.94% +37.35% +19.3% 🟢 Intact, improving

Cloud / Software

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y vs SMA200 Signal
WCLD $40.28 49.8 $40.89 -1.5% +0.10% +0.47% +13.11% +23.8% 🟡 Two-week reversal stalled
CLOU $28.39 54.0 $28.16 +0.8% +2.05% +3.31% +21.38% +24.7% 🟡 Lost ground this session
SKYY $164.68 55.7 $162.85 +1.1% +1.64% +3.01% +22.87% +24.8% 🟡 Lost ground this session
IGV $106.01 53.7 $105.51 +0.5% +1.59% +3.54% -6.93% +13.2% 🟡 Year still negative, cushion compressed

Gold / Metals

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y vs SMA200 Signal
GLD $393.41 45.2 $399.34 -1.5% -1.93% -6.62% +14.11% -5.5% 🔴 Still below its 200-day
GDX $92.87 47.0 $96.29 -3.5% -2.73% -9.32% +26.99% +2.0% 🟡 Cushion compressed further

Income / Dividend

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y vs SMA200 Signal
JEPQ $61.24 64.1 $60.01 +2.1% +1.66% +2.43% +7.25% +4.0% 🟢 Intact
JEPI $56.76 48.4 $56.74 0.0% +0.92% -2.41% +0.19% -0.9% 🟡 Year turned positive
SCHD $33.21 33.6 $34.16 -2.8% -1.40% -5.25% +23.05% +5.1% 🟡 Climbing back out of oversold
VYM $157.68 31.8 $161.45 -2.3% -0.99% -4.43% +12.77% +1.4% 🟡 Back above RSI 30
QYLD $18.55 62.6 $18.38 +0.9% 0.00% +2.20% +10.02% +3.8% 🟢 Intact
XYLD $41.66 55.1 $41.54 +0.3% -0.14% +0.68% +6.88% +2.4% 🟢 Intact
DOGG $21.27 34.7 $21.81 -2.5% -0.93% -5.34% +8.08% -2.0% 🟡 Weak, below its 200-day

Bonds / Credit

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y vs SMA200 Signal
HYG $77.86 26.5 $78.76 -1.1% -0.85% -2.55% -3.78% -2.6% 🔴 Deepest oversold reading here
LQD $103.21 30.3 $104.85 -1.6% -1.42% -3.34% -7.07% -5.0% 🔴 Sitting right at the oversold line

Biotech

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y vs SMA200 Signal
XBI $155.03 44.2 $159.17 -2.6% -1.08% -7.93% +61.73% +12.3% 🟢 Deep pullback, strong long trend
IBB $209.77 55.8 $207.55 +1.1% +2.55% -2.54% +50.84% +16.5% 🟢 Deep pullback, strengthening

International

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y vs SMA200 Signal
EWZ $36.82 48.0 $37.57 -2.0% -1.87% +3.08% +20.84% +1.5% 🟢 Intact, cushion thinned
FXI $33.96 39.9 $34.78 -2.3% -1.05% -4.47% -16.50% -6.6% 🔴 Long trend under test, deepened
INDA $47.86 40.7 $48.64 -1.6% -0.33% -3.80% -8.82% -4.3% 🔴 Long trend under test
KWEB $24.58 39.1 $25.08 -2.0% -1.01% -6.47% -41.03% -16.6% 🔴 Most broken name here, deepened again

Thematic / Energy / Other

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y vs SMA200 Signal
TAN $44.06 36.3 $46.55 -5.3% -3.50% -9.68% +0.80% -19.9% 🔴 One-year edge nearly gone
ICLN $17.21 42.6 $17.58 -2.1% -1.99% -2.66% +13.52% -8.5% 🟡 Choppy, below its 200-day
URA $40.91 40.5 $43.71 -6.4% -1.78% -14.86% -16.80% -15.4% 🔴 Still deepening
JETS $28.98 50.4 $28.37 +2.1% +2.69% -2.62% +17.04% +1.5% 🟢 Crossed back above its 200-day
DRAM $61.91 57.6 $58.61 +5.6% +3.86% +9.79% n/a n/a 🟡 Too young for a structural read
RONB $23.47 48.4 $23.71 -1.0% -0.51% -2.00% n/a n/a 🟡 Too young for a structural read
DISK $39.91 54.5 $38.14 +4.6% +1.04% +9.37% n/a n/a 🟡 Too young for a structural read
LAZR $44.89 53.3 $43.24 +3.8% +1.08% +1.68% n/a n/a 🟡 Too young for a structural read

Recently Added Coverage (IGPT, AIS — added 2026-09-22)

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y vs SMA200 Signal
IGPT $103.47 66.8 $96.33 +7.4% +5.79% +12.76% +93.22% +31.0% 🟢 Intact, extending
AIS $75.94 60.9 $70.66 +7.5% +5.09% +10.01% +119.48% +30.5% 🟢 Intact, extending

Leveraged / Inverse (legacy coverage — reported only, never a pick)

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y vs SMA200 Signal
TQQQ $79.60 63.4 $72.83 +9.3% +9.58% +12.96% +59.10% +26.4% ⚠️ Avoid (leveraged)
SPXL $291.28 55.2 $284.83 +2.3% +3.54% +1.62% +42.39% +17.7% ⚠️ Avoid (leveraged)
UPRO $152.20 55.0 $148.98 +2.2% +3.40% +1.49% +41.34% +17.4% ⚠️ Avoid (leveraged)
SOXL $151.45 61.6 $121.55 +24.6% +22.46% +29.89% +347.42% +31.8% ⚠️ Avoid (leveraged), still extending hard
SOXS $32.43 34.9 $44.30 -26.8% -21.84% -32.56% -96.96% -85.5% ⚠️ Avoid (inverse, structural decay)
TNA $60.36 33.9 $64.90 -7.0% -2.52% -16.55% +37.59% +0.2% ⚠️ Avoid (leveraged), cushion nearly gone
TECL $234.50 64.6 $208.78 +12.3% +10.93% +21.69% +96.42% +47.3% ⚠️ Avoid (leveraged)

Tier Analysis

Capitulation (RSI below 25): None this week.

Oversold (RSI 25-40): HYG (26.5), LQD (30.3), VYM (31.8), SCHD (33.6), TNA (33.9, leveraged), IWM (34.9), SOXS (34.9, inverse), DOGG (34.7), TAN (36.3), KWEB (39.1), FXI (39.9). Eleven names, up from nine last week. Of these, the same four names as last week — VYM, SCHD, TNA, IWM — still carry positive one-year returns and sit above their 200-day averages, so they remain oversold inside an intact trend rather than damage. The rest (HYG, LQD, DOGG, TAN, KWEB, FXI, SOXS) sit below their 200-day averages or carry structural decay by design.

Neutral / Strong (RSI 40+): The remaining 39 funds, topped by IGPT (66.8), XLK (65.4), FTEC (65.2), VGT (65.0) and TECL (64.6, leveraged). Nothing on this board is overbought — the highest reading in the universe is 66.8, and no fund reached 70.


Entry Zones

Conditions, not advice. Each line states what would have to be true, not what to do.

Stock Entry Zone Thesis
SMH Current $606.56; 20-day $568.83, 200-day $493.28 Strongest long trend here (+89.51% 1Y); no discount at this price, only interesting on a pullback toward the 20-day
XBI Current $155.03; 200-day $137.99, support shelf $128.18 Down 7.93% on the month inside a +61.7% year and a 12.3% cushion — still the cleanest discount-with-trend name on this board
IWM Current $281.97; 200-day $275.68, support shelf $262.27 Momentum stuck in the mid-30s for a third week with a +17.84% year and a cushion still near 2%; the 200-day is the line that decides this read
VYM / SCHD VYM $157.68 (200-day $155.44, shelf $155.66); SCHD $33.21 (200-day $31.59, shelf $32.50) Both climbed back above RSI 30 this week after last week's cross into oversold; the 200-day lines remain the things to watch
HYG / LQD HYG $77.86 (200-day $79.97); LQD $103.21 (200-day $108.62) Both sank further into oversold this week with no price repair; negative years, below their 200-days
GLD Current $393.41; 200-day $416.44, support shelf $387.76 Still below the 200-day; the reclaim of $416.44 is the line to watch
TAN Current $44.06; 200-day $54.98 (per its vs-SMA200 gap) One-year edge nearly gone this week (+6.33% → +0.80%); not a zone, still deepening
JETS Current $28.98; 200-day $28.55, support shelf $28.58 Crossed back above its 200-day this week; the reclaim is fresh, not yet confirmed over multiple sessions

Action Matrix

Stock Signal Action Notes
SMH, XLK, VGT, FTEC 🟢 🔒 Hold Strongest intact trends on the board; extending further
XBI, IBB 🟢 📈 Accumulate Deep monthly pullbacks inside strong multi-year trends
IWM 🟡 🔍 Watch Momentum stuck near mid-30s for a third week
WCLD, CLOU, SKYY, IGV 🟡 🔍 Watch Two-week reversal stalled this session
QQQM, QQQ, VOO, VTI 🟢 🔒 Hold Core intact; extending through a positive session
VYM, SCHD 🟡 🔍 Watch Climbing back out of oversold; underlying trend still intact
HYG, LQD 🔴 ⚠️ Avoid Deeper into oversold, no price repair
DOGG 🟡 🔍 Watch Weak, below its 200-day
JEPI 🟡 🔍 Watch One-year return turned positive on a flat price
GLD, GDX 🔴 ⚠️ Avoid Still below the 200-day
URA, TAN 🔴 ❌ Don't buy Structural damage; TAN's year edge nearly gone this week
KWEB, FXI, INDA 🔴 ⚠️ Avoid Negative years below their 200-days
EWZ 🟢 🔍 Watch Cushion thinned this week, year still intact
JETS 🟡 🔍 Watch Crossed back above its 200-day; fresh, unconfirmed
IGPT, AIS 🟢 🔒 Hold Extended further in their second tracked week
DRAM, RONB, DISK, LAZR, CQTM, WQTM 🟡 🔍 Watch Insufficient history for a long-trend verdict
TQQQ, SPXL, UPRO, SOXL, SOXS, TECL, TNA ⚠️ ⚠️ Avoid Leveraged and inverse legacy coverage; never a pick on this desk

What To Watch Next

  • Does cloud/software's stall extend into a genuine pullback, or was this one soft session inside a still-intact reversal? All four names — WCLD, CLOU, SKYY, IGV — lost RSI and cushion together; none broke their 200-day.
  • HYG's $79.97 (its 200-day) and LQD's $108.62. Both bond proxies are now deeper into oversold than last week with no price repair — the deepest reading in this entire universe belongs to HYG at RSI 26.5.
  • IWM still holding just above its 200-day at $275.68. A third straight week with momentum stuck in the mid-30s and a cushion near 2%.
  • TAN's vanished one-year edge. The return fell from +6.33% to +0.80% in one week; nothing on this board explains the size of that move.
  • Whether VYM and SCHD's bounce back above RSI 30 holds, or reverses like cloud/software did this week.

Sources: etf-ideas (all 50 rows, latest bar 2026-09-25); market-pulse (today's broad-market reference); 2026-09-23-etf-universe (prior-edition comparison values); avoid-instruments (leveraged/inverse policy).

10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.