Reason: Crypto equities took the week's damage while the coin held: $BTC-USD slipped 1.22% (an intraday snapshot of the 24/7 market, not a settled close) and stays 12.7% above its 200-day, but $RIOT fell 18.77% to RSI 25.4, $MSTR 11.35% and $HOOD 9.31%, and all 26 names on the crypto board fell on the week. The crypto equities tracked the Nasdaq-100 selloff more than Bitcoin did; no source on file names a crypto-specific cause. Every name here carries a negative one-year change and negative alpha.

Price/RSI Table

As of 2026-10-16. The two coin rows are an afternoon intraday snapshot of the 24/7 market on October 16, not a settled close; the equity rows are settled closes. Status reads the 200-day trend first and RSI second; Action is a trend-hold lens: a name below its 200-day with a negative year is not a dip.

What Changed Since 2026-10-09

• RIOT: down 18.77% on the week (11.48% on Friday) to RSI 25.4 (the crypto scan's miners read 22.9, 23.3 and 25.4), 29.6% under its 200-day ($19.50) on a −29.82% year. It was 13.2% under the line a week ago. News was last pulled October 9, so not pulled for this move; an 8-K filed October 14 (event dated October 7) is on file, contents unread.
• MSTR: down 11.35% (9.56% on Friday) to RSI 42.6, from 3.54% down last week; it now sits only 0.9% above its 200-day ($135.60) on a −51.79% year, with the month still +8.44%. News was last pulled September 18, so not pulled for this move; 8-Ks filed October 13 and October 16 are on file, contents unread. Speculative.
• HOOD: down 9.31% (4.92% on Friday) to RSI 36.8, 5.4% above its 200-day ($93.76) on a −24.78% year. Bloomberg's October 14 headline reads that the SEC approved Cboe's KPI prediction-market bets via Robinhood (options on company performance metrics); no source ties the week's price to it. Report listed for October 27 (provider estimate).
• BTC-USD: $81,541.67 in the afternoon snapshot, down 1.22% on the week and up 7.08% on the month, RSI 46.6, 12.7% above its 200-day ($72,360.15) on a −24.63% year. Bloomberg reported on October 14 that Bitcoin fell as much as 2.3% toward the lower end of its recent range in a broader retreat from risk assets. Its news was last pulled September 19.
• DOGE-USD: down 6.12% on the week, 8.3% under its 200-day on a −57.47% year, RSI 36.4. The summary stores its price at two decimals, so read direction from the percentage fields. News last pulled September 28.
• Group read: the crypto scan had all 26 rows down on the week, with the three miners at RSI 22.9 to 25.4 and Strategy 12.5% under its 20-day. Roster unchanged since October 9.

Watch

Bitcoin's 200-day is the lane's line; RIOT needs its own 200-day back before it is anything but a falling trend, and MSTR's 200-day ($135.60) is a few dollars below its price. Strategy and Riot are listed to report October 29 and Robinhood October 27 (provider dates). None of these is an intact long trend.

Sources

• Tape data (price, RSI, returns, one-year change, distance to the 200-day): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-10-16 settled close for equities and an October 16 intraday snapshot for the two coins, summaries (Massive/Polygon for HOOD and MSTR; Schwab for RIOT; yfinance for BTC-USD and DOGE-USD).
• Prior edition (format and roster only): 2026-10-09-crypto; lane counts from 2026-10-16-crypto-scan.
• Event checks: research/stock-events/ (Robinhood October 27, Riot and Strategy October 29, all provider dates), research/capture/ for October 12–16 (Riot 8-K stub of October 14, Strategy 8-K stubs of October 13 and 16, Robinhood Form 4 filings of October 13 and 15), the 2026-10-12 through 2026-10-15 market briefs under research/issues/; news receipts under stocks/news/latest.json` (RIOT 2026-10-09; HOOD 2026-10-07; DOGE-USD 2026-09-28; BTC-USD 2026-09-19; MSTR 2026-09-18).
• Primary links: Bloomberg, SEC approves Cboe's KPI prediction-market bets via Robinhood, October 14 — https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-14/sec-approves-cboe-s-kpi-prediction-market-bets-with-robinhood; Bloomberg, Bitcoin slides as Wall Street risk pullback tests bullish turn, October 14 — https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-14/bitcoin-hits-lower-end-of-trading-range-as-risk-appetite-wanes; Riot 8-K — https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1167419/000110465926115855/riot-20261007x8k.htm; Strategy 8-K, October 16 — https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1050446/000119312526423400/mstr-20261015.htm.