raw scan snapshot Feb 5, 2026 — prices as of scan date, not live 116 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-04-26-defensive-scan ported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-02-05-defensive-scan.md scan slugdefensive-scan source typescan-archive
Comprehensive defensive/value scan with FULL watchlist backing: defensive (16), defense-contractors (6), consumer-staples (8). Total 30 tickers across telecom, pharma, food, retail, home improvement, defense contractors, and staples. Previously-missing sectors now covered.
Quick Snapshot Signal Reading Overall 🔴 SPLIT - Three distinct tiers: staples/telecom/pharma extreme overbought (RSI 80-93), defense contractors healthy/value (RSI 30-65), home improvement neutral (RSI 49-53). Key insight The crowded trade is in STAPLES and TELECOM, NOT defense contractors. GD RSI 36 and BA RSI 30 are the real opportunities in the defensive universe. Defense contractors are the uncrowded part of the rotation. Rotation driver Japan bond crisis + yen carry trade unwind + AI disruption fears = flight to safety, dividends, tangible earnings. Previous gaps ✅ CLOSED - Defense contractors (6) and consumer staples (8) now have full data coverage. 14 new tickers added.
Action Matrix Action Stocks Why ⚠️ TAKE PROFIT GILD, VZ, JNJ, KO RSI 90-93 extreme overbought. Reversal imminent. Trim if holding. ⚠️ AVOID (new buys) T, PEP, CL, PG, MCD, PPC, WMT, BIIB RSI 72-87 overbought/extended. Late to the party. ✅ STRONG BUY BA RSI 30 defense contractor at deep value. Restructuring + defense spending surge. 📈 ACCUMULATE GD, RTX RSI 36/44 -- defense contractors in pullback. Only red/flat names in entire defensive universe. 🔍 WATCH LOW, TGT, HD, LHX, SBUX, HRL, NOC RSI 49-65, reasonable levels for selective entries. 🔒 HOLD TSN, ECL, CLX, MDLZ, GIS, LMT, COST Running but thesis intact.
Data (Validated 2026-02-05) - Sorted by RSI Descending Stock Sector Price 30D RSI Status Action GILD Pharma $149.37 +23.1% 93 ↑ 🔴 EXTREME ⚠️ Take profit VZ Telecom $47.10 +18.9% 92 ↑ 🔴 EXTREME ⚠️ Take profit JNJ Healthcare/Staples $237.79 +16.1% 91 ↑ 🔴 EXTREME ⚠️ Take profit KO Beverage/Staples $78.51 +15.7% 90 ↑ 🔴 EXTREME ⚠️ Take profit PEP Beverage/Staples $167.53 +20.6% 87 ↑ 🔴 OVERBOUGHT ⚠️ Don't chase CL Personal Care $94.88 +23.7% 85 ↑ 🔴 OVERBOUGHT ⚠️ Don't chase T Telecom $27.31 +13.5% 84 ↑ 🔴 OVERBOUGHT ⚠️ Don't chase PG Consumer Staples $158.61 +14.2% 83 ↑ 🔴 OVERBOUGHT ⚠️ Don't chase AMGN Pharma $367.80 +11.4% 75 ↑ 🟠 Overbought ⚠️ Don't chase MCD QSR/Food $323.48 +6.8% 74 ↑ 🟠 Overbought ⚠️ Don't chase BIIB Pharma $185.36 +1.5% 73 🟠 Near overbought 🔒 Hold PPC Food/Poultry $43.46 +15.7% 72 ↑ 🟠 Near overbought ⚠️ Extended WMT Retail/Staples $126.94 +11.0% 72 ↑ 🟠 Extended ⚠️ Don't chase CLX Cleaning/Household $117.61 +18.2% 71 🟠 Near boundary 🔒 Hold TSN Food/Protein $65.20 +16.5% 71 🟠 Near boundary 🔒 Hold MDLZ Snacks/Staples $60.31 +14.4% 69 🟢 Strong 🔒 Hold GIS Food/Staples $48.37 +11.9% 67 🟢 Strong 🔒 Hold ECL Industrial $287.19 +5.8% 66 🟢 Healthy 🔒 Hold NOC Defense/Aerospace $696.50 +14.1% 65 🟢 Healthy 🔍 Watch COST Retail/Warehouse $989.29 +11.4% 63 🟢 Healthy 🔒 Hold LMT Defense/Aerospace $609.18 +16.7% 62 🟢 Healthy 🔒 Hold SBUX Food/Coffee $96.07 +7.4% 58 🟢 Healthy 🔍 Watch HRL Food/Packaged $25.09 +11.2% 55 🟢 Healthy 🔍 Watch HD Home Improvement $382.37 +9.5% 53 🟢 Neutral 🔍 Watch LHX Defense/Comms $342.22 +8.8% 51 🟢 Neutral 🔍 Watch TGT Retail $110.85 +6.3% 50 🟢 Neutral 🔍 Watch LOW Home Improvement $274.89 +12.0% 49 🟢 Neutral 🔍 Best entry RTX Defense/Missiles $195.97 +2.9% 44 🟡 Lagging 📈 Accumulate GD Defense/Submarines $352.05 -2.0% 36 ↓ 🟡 Pullback 📈 Accumulate BA Defense/Commercial $236.95 +3.1% 30 ↓ 🟡 Oversold ✅ Strong Buy
Category Analysis Pharma / Healthcare Stock Price 30D RSI Thesis Action GILD $149.37 +23.1% 93 ↑ HIV/HCV franchise, defensive cash flow ⚠️ Extreme -- take profit, reversal imminent JNJ $237.79 +16.1% 91 ↑ Healthcare + consumer, ultimate defensive ⚠️ Extreme -- parabolic move AMGN $367.80 +11.4% 75 ↑ Obesity pipeline + stable biologics ⚠️ Overbought, wait for pullback BIIB $185.36 +1.5% 73 Alzheimer's pipeline, slower mover 🔒 Hold, least extended pharma
Telecom / Dividends Stock Price 30D RSI Thesis Action VZ $47.10 +18.9% 92 ↑ 5G + dividend yield (~6%) ⚠️ Extreme overbought, take profit T $27.31 +13.5% 84 ↑ Dividend yield (~5%), fiber buildout ⚠️ Overbought, don't chase
Consumer Staples (NEW -- Previously Missing) Stock Price 30D RSI Thesis Action KO $78.51 +15.7% 90 ↑ Buffett holding, global distribution, dividend aristocrat ⚠️ Extreme -- reversal imminent PEP $167.53 +20.6% 87 ↑ Beverages + Frito-Lay snacks, diversified ⚠️ Extreme -- +21% in 30D is parabolic CL $94.88 +23.7% 85 ↑ Colgate personal care, pricing power ⚠️ Extreme -- +24% in 30D is unsustainable PG $158.61 +14.2% 83 ↑ Consumer staples king, P&G brands ⚠️ Overbought CLX $117.61 +18.2% 71 Cleaning/household, recession-proof 🔒 Hold, at boundary MDLZ $60.31 +14.4% 69 Oreo, Cadbury, global snacks 🔒 Hold, still reasonable GIS $48.37 +11.9% 67 Cheerios, Betty Crocker, staple brands 🔒 Hold, most reasonable staple
Analysis: Consumer staples are the MOST crowded sector in the market. 4 of 7 are RSI 83+. Average RSI: 78.9. Average 30D gain: +16.3%. CL at +23.7% and PEP at +20.6% are parabolic moves for consumer staples. Only GIS (67) and MDLZ (69) have reasonable RSI. When this trade reverses, it will be violent.
Food / Consumer Retail Stock Price 30D RSI Thesis Action MCD $323.48 +6.8% 74 ↑ QSR king, value menu driving traffic ⚠️ Don't chase PPC $43.46 +15.7% 72 ↑ Poultry pricing power, inflation hedge ⚠️ Extended WMT $126.94 +11.0% 72 ↑ Trade-down beneficiary, e-commerce ⚠️ Extended TSN $65.20 +16.5% 71 Protein diversified (chicken, beef, pork) 🔒 Hold, at boundary COST $989.29 +11.4% 63 Membership model, inflation resilient 🔒 Hold, quality name SBUX $96.07 +7.4% 58 Turnaround story, Niccol era 🔍 Watch, best food entry HRL $25.09 +11.2% 55 Packaged foods, Skippy, Spam, stable 🔍 Watch, reasonable TGT $110.85 +6.3% 50 Value retail, recovery play 🔍 Watch, neutral
Home Improvement Stock Price 30D RSI Thesis Action HD $382.37 +9.5% 53 Home improvement leader, housing cycle 🔍 Watch, neutral RSI LOW $274.89 +12.0% 49 Home improvement, most neutral RSI 🔍 Best risk/reward in sector
Analysis: HD and LOW are the sweet spot -- defensive exposure without overbought risk. Both at RSI 49-53, well below the 70+ crowding of staples/telecom. If you want defensive exposure, start here.
Defense Contractors (NEW -- Previously Missing) Stock Price 30D RSI Thesis Action NOC $696.50 +14.1% 65 B-21 bomber, space systems, Northrop Grumman 🔍 Watch, healthy uptrend LMT $609.18 +16.7% 62 F-35, missile defense, largest defense contractor 🔒 Hold, steady climb LHX $342.22 +8.8% 51 L3Harris comms, sensors, electronic warfare 🔍 Watch, neutral RTX $195.97 +2.9% 44 Raytheon missiles, radar, Pratt & Whitney engines 📈 Lagging peers, value entry GD $352.05 -2.0% 36 ↓ General Dynamics -- Gulfstream, submarines, IT 📈 Only negative name in 30 stocks! BA $236.95 +3.1% 30 ↓ Boeing defense + commercial, restructuring ✅ Cheapest RSI in entire defensive universe
Analysis: THIS IS THE KEY FINDING. Defense contractors are the uncrowded part of the defensive trade. While staples/telecom average RSI 82, defense contractors average RSI 48. GD is the ONLY stock in the entire 30-ticker defensive universe that is RED (-2.0%). BA at RSI 30 is approaching oversold territory in a sector where everything else is overbought.
Defense spending is surging globally (Japan rearming, NATO expansion, Middle East tensions). These names have fundamental tailwinds AND reasonable valuations. GD and BA represent genuine value in a sector where value has disappeared.
Industrial Stock Price 30D RSI Thesis Action ECL $287.19 +5.8% 66 Cleaning/sanitation, recurring revenue 🔒 Hold, healthy
Rotation Analysis The Three Tiers of Defensives Tier RSI Zone Count Avg 30D Stocks Signal Tier 1: Extreme RSI > 80 8 +18.5% GILD, VZ, JNJ, KO, PEP, CL, T, PG 🔴 Take profit / don't touch Tier 2: Extended RSI 65-79 10 +12.2% AMGN, MCD, BIIB, PPC, WMT, CLX, TSN, MDLZ, GIS, NOC 🟠 Hold, don't add Tier 3: Value RSI < 65 12 +7.0% COST, LMT, ECL, SBUX, HRL, HD, LHX, TGT, LOW, RTX, GD, BA 🟢 The only entries worth considering
18 of 30 defensives are RSI 65+. But Tier 3 still has 12 names with reasonable entry points, concentrated in home improvement, defense contractors, and select food names.
Defense Contractors: The Overlooked Opportunity Metric Staples/Telecom (14) Defense Contractors (6) Average RSI 82 48 Average 30D% +16.8% +7.3% RSI > 70 11 stocks 0 stocks RSI < 50 0 stocks 3 stocks Negative 30D 0 stocks 1 stock (GD)
Defense contractors have not participated in the crowded defensive rotation. This makes them both:
Less risky (not overbought, room to run)Better risk/reward (buying near fair value, not at stretched multiples)
Tech vs Defensive Divergence (Updated) Metric Tech/AI (from AI scan) Defensives (this scan) RSI < 30 count 21 stocks 1 stock (BA) RSI > 70 count 0 stocks 18 stocks Avg 30D change Deeply negative +12.8% average Sentiment Panic selling Crowded buying
Actionable Signals Signal Stock Current RSI Action ✅ BA deep value BA $236.95 30 Cheapest RSI in ALL 30 defensives. Defense spending tailwind + restructuring catalyst. 📈 GD only negative GD $352.05 36 Only stock in red (-2.0%). Gulfstream + submarines. Genuine pullback. 📈 RTX lagging RTX $195.97 44 Cheapest defense contractor by RSI. Missiles/radar demand secular. 🔍 LOW best defensive entry LOW $274.89 49 Most neutral RSI in defensive universe. Quality name, no overbought risk. 🔍 SBUX turnaround SBUX $96.07 58 Niccol turnaround + defensive bid. Healthiest RSI among food names. ⚠️ GILD/VZ/JNJ/KO trim Multiple Various 90-93 Extreme -- trim positions. These will give back gains.
The Gold Key Discoveries Discovery Implication Defense contractors avg RSI 48 vs staples avg RSI 82 The UNCROWDED defensive trade. Best risk/reward in the entire defensive universe. GD is the ONLY negative name (-2.0%) in 30 stocks Everything else is green. GD pullback = genuine value in a sea of overbought names. BA RSI 30 in a sector averaging RSI 82 Defense contractor at oversold levels while peers are overbought. Extreme dislocation. 8 stocks RSI >80 (all staples/telecom/pharma) The rotation is concentrated and crowded. Not broadly distributed. Consumer staples avg +16.3% in 30 days Parabolic for defensive names. CL +24%, PEP +21% are unsustainable. HD/LOW RSI 49-53 = hidden gems Defensive exposure without overbought risk. Overlooked in the rush to staples.
Mistakes (Don't Repeat) Mistake Lesson Running defensive scan without proper watchlists v1 scraped tickers from other lists. Always create dedicated watchlists first. Missing defense contractors for weeks LMT, RTX, NOC, GD, LHX, BA should have been tracked from day 1. Missing consumer staples data JNJ, PG, KO, PEP are rotation 101. Treating all defensives as one trade Three distinct tiers with very different risk profiles. Chasing overbought defensives RSI >80 entries historically give back 50-70% of gains within 2 weeks.
What Changed from v1 Area v1 (Original) v2 (This Version) Ticker count 16 30 (+14 new) Defense contractors Listed as "CRITICAL GAP" ✅ Full coverage, 6 tickers Consumer staples Listed as "CRITICAL GAP" ✅ Full coverage, 7 tickers (excl JNJ counted in pharma) Key finding "Rotation crowded" "Defense contractors are the UNCROWDED opportunity" Watchlist backing None (scraped from other lists) ✅ 3 proper watchlists
Open Questions
Will defense contractor spending accelerate further with Japan rearming?
Is BA 's restructuring real or will it take years?
When does the staples rotation end? Watch for RSI 90+ names to break 20-day SMA.
Should we add utilities (SO, DUK ) to the defensive watchlist?
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Legend Symbol Meaning ✅ Strong buy / entry zone 📈 Accumulate / add to position 🔒 Hold existing position 🔍 Watch / research further ⚠️ Caution / avoid new entries / take profit ❌ Don't buy / falling knife ↑ Trending up ↓ Trending down 🔴 Overbought or extreme condition 🟠 Warning zone 🟡 Mixed / neutral 🟢 Healthy / positive