Consumer Discretionary — Sector broadly broken; death crosses dominate with RSI readings clustered 35–50. Two standouts: SBUX holding above SMA200 with golden cross, COST the lone strong-up name in the broader retail/consumer complex. HIMS volatile but near-term support holding.

Tier 1 — Relative Strength / Watchable

• SBUX $89.26 — The only name above SMA200 (+0.7%) with a golden cross intact. RSI 39.5 approaching oversold. 3M return +6.7% while sector peers are -10% to -27%. Turnaround story still structurally intact despite near-term softness.
• CROX $82.12 — RSI 49, sitting fractionally above SMA20 (+1.9%). Relative stability: -0.2% on the week vs sector average of -5%. Death cross present but price holding short-term support.

Tier 2 — Deteriorating but Watchable

• DECK $98.91 — Golden cross still alive despite down trend. RSI 41.3, -25.9% from 52wk high. The golden cross / RSI 41 combo makes this a contrarian watch once RSI stabilizes.
• PYPL $45.14 — RSI 49, flat on the week and month (-0.8% 30D). The 3M slide (-22.4%) represents the damage from earlier in the quarter; near-term price is stabilizing near SMA20 (-0.2%).
• HIMS $20.76 — Wild 30D swing: +26% last month, now -13.1% this week. Enormous volatility. RSI mid-range at 48.5. -70.5% from 52wk high. Speculative recovery play only.

Tier 3 — Avoid / Broken

• LULU $151.12 — Death cross, RSI 35, -27.3% in 3 months, -55.6% from 52wk high. Structural breakdown accelerating. -72.2 alpha vs SPY over 1yr.
• NKE $52.61 — Death cross, RSI 35.5, -34.4% from 52wk high. Secular brand deterioration story. No technical floor visible.
• CMG $31.93 — Death cross, RSI 37.6, -45.3% from 52wk high. Consumer trade-down narrative hitting premium QSR hard.
• DPZ $357.95 — Death cross, RSI 36.6, -28.3% from 52wk high. Delivery saturation + rising costs. No catalyst visible.
• XLY $108.57 — Sector ETF confirms the macro: death cross, -8.9% in 3 months, -13.2% from 52wk high.

• SBUX — Golden cross + above SMA200 = only structurally sound name. Entry zone $87–90 on weakness. Stop below $84 (SMA200 is $88.62).
• DECK — RSI 41 + golden cross intact. Entry $96–99 if RSI holds above 40 and price doesn't break SMA200 ($103.21). Tight stop $94.
• PYPL — Stabilizing near SMA20. Entry only on confirmed reversal + RSI push above 52. Current $45 is dead-cat risk.

Consumer discretionary is in broad retreat. The macro backdrop — tariff pressure, post-pandemic normalization, and consumer bifurcation — is punishing mid-premium brands (LULU, CMG, NKE) hardest. SBUX remains the cleanest structure in the group, benefiting from its turnaround narrative and defensive beverage exposure. The XLY ETF (-8.9% in 3M, death cross) confirms this is a sector-wide rotation out, not single-name idiosyncratic weakness. No aggressive longs warranted until RSI levels compress further and the sector ETF reclaims SMA50.

Data: 2026-03-31 pre-computed summaries.