Consumer Scan
Consumer Scan
CROX/DECK ripping overbought on a broad consumer bounce; CRSR parabolic (RSI 87, +56% 7D); SBUX/DPZ/CMG in oversold watch zone while LULU/PYPL remain structurally broken.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟠 Mixed — selective strength in footwear/gaming; restaurants/payments still weak |
| Key insight | CRSR +56% 7D (RSI 87) is an extreme outlier; CROX +8.8% 7D testing all-time highs; SBUX fading back to oversold zone despite golden cross |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | 52wkHi% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRSR | $12.14 | 86.7 ↑ | +54.4% | +56.21% | +78.79% | +110.03% | -7.33% | up | ⚠️ Avoid |
| CROX | $118.67 | 74 ↑ | +13.0% | +8.79% | +16.37% | +36.64% | -2.14% | strong-up | ⚠️ Avoid |
| DECK | $113.85 | 67.2 | +12.2% | +12.17% | +11.4% | -0.58% | -10.0% | up | 🔍 Watch |
| XYZ | $75.72 | 63.3 | +6.2% | +9.14% | +7.39% | +17.49% | -8.22% | up | 🔒 Hold |
| XLY | $120.87 | 59.6 | +1.7% | +2.42% | +2.13% | +4.93% | -3.31% | up | 🔒 Hold |
| HIMS | $26.15 | 55.0 | +3.5% | +4.57% | -3.75% | +58.68% | -62.87% | weak-up | 🔍 Watch |
| AS | $35.58 | 52.4 | +1.9% | +2.94% | +1.45% | -6.10% | -16.79% | weak-up | 🔍 Watch |
| NKE | $46.23 | 57.2 | +5.5% | +6.59% | +4.22% | -24.23% | -42.34% | weak-up | 🔍 Watch |
| LULU | $131.18 | 45.9 | +3.2% | +3.93% | -4.73% | -25.54% | -61.45% | strong-down | ❌ Don't Buy |
| PYPL | $44.75 | 42.7 | -1.5% | -0.29% | -10.75% | -1.63% | -43.71% | strong-down | ❌ Don't Buy |
| CMG | $31.86 | 41.2 | -2.3% | -0.37% | -6.27% | -13.16% | -45.46% | strong-down | 🔍 Watch |
| SBUX | $99.16 | 39.1 | -5.0% | -2.17% | -5.31% | +3.08% | -8.93% | strong-up | 🔍 Watch |
| DPZ | $310.58 | 36.0 ↓ | -1.9% | -1.14% | -8.50% | -22.23% | -37.38% | strong-down | 🔍 Watch |
Tier Analysis
Parabolic / Overbought (RSI 70+): CRSR (RSI 87) is in blow-off territory — +56% 7D is a squeeze or event-driven pop, not a thesis entry. CROX (RSI 74) is strong-up + golden cross but 13% above SMA20 and near 52-week high; extended. DECK (RSI 67) is approaching overbought but not extreme yet.
Neutral / Recovering (RSI 40-70): XLY/XYZ/HIMS/AS/NKE all bouncing off recent lows. NKE is notable — +6.6% 7D but still -42% from 52-week high, -24% 3M. HIMS +58.7% 3M is a multi-month thesis playing out but -63% from peak leaves structural overhang.
Oversold Watch (RSI 25-40): SBUX (RSI 39.1, -5% vs SMA20) pulled back despite golden cross — quality franchise on a dip. DPZ (RSI 36, -22% 3M, -37% from high) is the deepest restaurant drawdown. CMG (RSI 41.2) is approaching watch zone.
Structurally Broken (RSI below SMA50/200, no near-term floor visible): LULU (-61% from high, death cross, -25.5% 3M) and PYPL (-43.7% from high, strong-down, -10.8% 30D) show no recovery setup yet.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBUX | $99.16 | 39.1 ↓ | -5.31% | Golden cross intact, pullback to SMA20 — quality dip |
| DPZ | $310.58 | 36.0 ↓ | -8.50% | Franchise at 3-year valuation; oversold on no new thesis break |
| CMG | $31.86 | 41.2 | -6.27% | Not quite oversold yet; -45% from high, death cross still active |
| NKE | $46.23 | 57.2 | +4.22% | Bounce underway but -42% from high; wait for RSI to cool |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| ⚠️ AVOID | CRSR, CROX | RSI 87/74, parabolic — don't chase |
| 🔒 HOLD | XLY, XYZ, DECK | Sector ETF and momentum names holding up |
| 🔍 WATCH | SBUX, DPZ, CMG | Oversold/approaching oversold — set alerts |
| 🔍 RESEARCH | NKE, HIMS | Bounce in progress; worth sizing thesis |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | LULU, PYPL | No floor, broken structure, no catalyst |
What Changed
- CRSR went parabolic — +56% 7D pushed RSI to 87; extreme crowded position, not thesis-driven
- CROX near ATH — golden cross, RSI 74, +37% 3M; consumer-casual thesis working
- SBUX fading — pulled back from SMA20 despite golden cross; first real dip in the recovery; quality accumulate zone
- NKE bouncing — +6.6% 7D but still deeply underwater; 3M chart still bad
- LULU/PYPL no change — both remain structurally broken with no new signal
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.