Consumer Scan — July 10, 2026 Close

Scan

Consumer Scan — July 10, 2026 Close

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 26 rows · screens, not recommendations prior scanresearch/scans/2026-07-07-consumer-scan.md

HIMS's overbought flag from the prior scan already resolved — RSI cooled from 70.6 to 56.0 after a -10.2% pullback this week, while CROX took over as the group's strongest name, now just -0.64% from a fresh 52-week high at RSI 64.4. SBUX and CMG both kept strengthening (RSI now 60.8 and 61.2), and the legacy trio NKE/LULU/DPZ remains stuck 40-53% below their highs with death crosses still in place. XLY, the sector ETF, eased to RSI 52.1 — the broad tape cooling slightly even as individual leadership rotated hard underneath it.

Data as-of 2026-07-10 close. All numbers from precomputed summaries/consumer.json. Prior scan: 2026-07-07-consumer-scan (2026-07-07, data as-of 2026-07-06 close).

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Leadership rotated, didn't break — HIMS's momentum spike cooled exactly as flagged last scan, while CROX stepped up as the new strongest name in the group.
Key insight HIMS's RSI fell 70.6→56.0 in four trading sessions (7D flipped from +10.2% to -10.2%) — confirms last scan's "chase, not an entry" read. CROX is now the cleanest structure on the board: golden cross, RSI 64.4, -0.64% from a fresh high.

What's Going On

The bifurcation story from the prior scan is intact, but the cast changed. HIMS ran too hot into last week's close (RSI 70.6, +40.9% 30D) and has since given back -10.2% over the past week, cooling its RSI to 56.0 while still sitting on a healthy +19.1% 30D gain — a normal digestion after a parabolic run, not a broken thesis. CROX and SBUX both kept climbing: CROX is now within 0.64% of a new 52-week high with RSI 64.4, and SBUX's RSI moved from 51.5 to 60.8 while holding its golden cross. CMG and PYPL also strengthened modestly. The legacy trio — NKE, LULU, DPZ — stays rangebound and death-crossed, 40-53% below their highs, with no reversal evidence in this window. XLY itself barely moved (RSI 55.0→52.1), which reads as the sector ETF absorbing the rotation underneath it rather than confirming any one direction.

What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-07-07 → 2026-07-10)

  • HIMS's overbought flag resolved fast: RSI 70.6→56.0, 7D flipped from +10.2% to -10.2% — the "chase, not entry" call from last scan played out within days.
  • CROX pushed closer to a new high: -3.1%→-0.64% from its 52-week high, RSI 58.2→64.4.
  • SBUX and CMG both strengthened further: SBUX RSI 51.5→60.8, CMG RSI 57.6→61.2 — both holding their prior structural reads (golden cross for SBUX, weak-up for CMG).
  • XYZ cooled slightly: RSI 61.8→56.8, 7D flipped from +0.8% to -0.66%, though 30D held near +11.9%.
  • NKE, LULU, DPZ, DECK, AS: essentially unchanged in structure — still the group's laggards or basing names, no new signal.

How To Read The Board

Trend and cross labels describe chart structure, not a recommendation. "Golden cross" (SBUX, DECK, CROX, XYZ, CRSR, XLY) means the 50-day average sits above the 200-day — a longer-term uptrend confirmation, not a buy signal on its own. "Death cross" (AS, LULU, NKE, DPZ, HIMS, PYPL) means the opposite, and a bounce inside one should be read as counter-trend until the cross actually flips. RSI above 65 flags a name getting extended — CROX is closest to that line this scan — worth tracking, not chasing. "% From 52-week High" is the plainest read on how far a name has to run before it revisits its old highs, or how close it already is.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI 7D 30D vs SMA20 Trend From 52wk Hi
CROX $132.78 64.4 +8.82% +5.49% +6.5% strong-up -0.64%
PYPL $46.32 61.3 +4.68% +12.32% +6.4% weak-up -41.74%
CMG $35.25 61.2 +3.31% +12.80% +6.7% weak-up -36.77%
SBUX $106.01 60.8 +5.17% +3.65% +3.0% strong-up -2.64%
CRSR $9.66 58.2 +3.87% +7.93% +7.9% strong-up -26.26%
XYZ $77.30 56.8 -0.66% +11.88% +2.7% strong-up -6.30%
HIMS $34.38 56.0 -10.23% +19.09% +2.1% up -51.19%
NKE $44.37 55.6 +5.42% -3.46% +2.5% weak-up -44.66%
XLY $117.24 52.1 +0.61% +1.01% +0.8% strong-up -6.22%
LULU $119.26 51.4 +4.74% -2.12% +3.9% strong-down -49.51%
AS $34.80 51.0 -0.06% -2.25% -0.1% strong-down -18.62%
DECK $105.99 51.0 +2.60% -7.33% +0.1% strong-up -16.21%
DPZ $299.46 45.3 -0.97% -3.51% -1.4% strong-down -39.63%

Tier Analysis

COOLING LEADER: HIMS ($34.38, RSI 56.0, up trend, -51.2% from high) came off the boil exactly as last scan flagged — RSI 70.6→56.0, -10.2% 7D — but held +19.1% 30D. Treat this as digestion inside a momentum move, not a reversal, unless the 7D bleed continues.

NEW LEADERSHIP — NEAR HIGHS: CROX ($132.78, RSI 64.4, golden cross, -0.64% from high) is now the cleanest structure in the group and closing in on a fresh 52-week high. SBUX ($106.01, RSI 60.8, golden cross, -2.64% from high) is a close second — both are extended enough that fresh entries are chasing, not bargain-hunting.

MID-PACK STRENGTH: PYPL, CMG, CRSR, XYZ all sit RSI 56-61 with positive 30D momentum but carry a death cross (PYPL) or sit mid-structure (CMG, CRSR, XYZ) — constructive, not clean setups.

STILL BROKEN: NKE, LULU, DPZ remain death-crossed and 40-53% off their highs with no basing evidence this window — continued RSI-40s-to-50s bounces read as retests of the breakdown, not recoveries. AS and DECK are flat and unremarkable.

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 30D% Setup
CROX $132.78 64.4 +5.49% Track, don't chase — golden cross, near a fresh high
SBUX $106.01 60.8 +3.65% Cleanest carry-forward; golden cross, room before overbought
HIMS $34.38 56.0 +19.09% Digestion after a hot run; wait for RSI to stabilize before treating the pullback as a dip-buy
NKE, LULU, DPZ $44.37 / $119.26 / $299.46 55.6 / 51.4 / 45.3 -3.46% / -2.12% / -3.51% Death-cross regimes; don't treat chop as recovery until the cross flips

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD SBUX, CROX Golden cross, strong-up, near highs
📈 ACCUMULATE CMG, PYPL, XYZ Constructive momentum, RSI not extreme
🔍 WATCH HIMS Cooling off a parabolic run; wait for RSI to base before calling the pullback over
⚠️ AVOID NKE, LULU, DPZ Death-crossed, 40-53% off highs, no reversal evidence

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
HIMS's RSI base If RSI keeps falling below 50 alongside further 7D losses, the "digestion" read needs to flip to "rollover"
CROX vs. its 52-week high Only -0.64% away; a breakout would confirm the sector's new leadership name
NKE/LULU/DPZ death crosses No name in the group has flipped back to golden cross yet — the trigger the desk needs before calling any of them a recovery
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.