Consumer Scan — July 10, 2026 Close
Consumer Scan — July 10, 2026 Close
HIMS's overbought flag from the prior scan already resolved — RSI cooled from 70.6 to 56.0 after a -10.2% pullback this week, while CROX took over as the group's strongest name, now just -0.64% from a fresh 52-week high at RSI 64.4. SBUX and CMG both kept strengthening (RSI now 60.8 and 61.2), and the legacy trio NKE/LULU/DPZ remains stuck 40-53% below their highs with death crosses still in place. XLY, the sector ETF, eased to RSI 52.1 — the broad tape cooling slightly even as individual leadership rotated hard underneath it.
Data as-of 2026-07-10 close. All numbers from precomputed summaries/consumer.json. Prior scan: 2026-07-07-consumer-scan (2026-07-07, data as-of 2026-07-06 close).
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Leadership rotated, didn't break — HIMS's momentum spike cooled exactly as flagged last scan, while CROX stepped up as the new strongest name in the group. |
| Key insight | HIMS's RSI fell 70.6→56.0 in four trading sessions (7D flipped from +10.2% to -10.2%) — confirms last scan's "chase, not an entry" read. CROX is now the cleanest structure on the board: golden cross, RSI 64.4, -0.64% from a fresh high. |
What's Going On
The bifurcation story from the prior scan is intact, but the cast changed. HIMS ran too hot into last week's close (RSI 70.6, +40.9% 30D) and has since given back -10.2% over the past week, cooling its RSI to 56.0 while still sitting on a healthy +19.1% 30D gain — a normal digestion after a parabolic run, not a broken thesis. CROX and SBUX both kept climbing: CROX is now within 0.64% of a new 52-week high with RSI 64.4, and SBUX's RSI moved from 51.5 to 60.8 while holding its golden cross. CMG and PYPL also strengthened modestly. The legacy trio — NKE, LULU, DPZ — stays rangebound and death-crossed, 40-53% below their highs, with no reversal evidence in this window. XLY itself barely moved (RSI 55.0→52.1), which reads as the sector ETF absorbing the rotation underneath it rather than confirming any one direction.
What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-07-07 → 2026-07-10)
- HIMS's overbought flag resolved fast: RSI 70.6→56.0, 7D flipped from +10.2% to -10.2% — the "chase, not entry" call from last scan played out within days.
- CROX pushed closer to a new high: -3.1%→-0.64% from its 52-week high, RSI 58.2→64.4.
- SBUX and CMG both strengthened further: SBUX RSI 51.5→60.8, CMG RSI 57.6→61.2 — both holding their prior structural reads (golden cross for SBUX, weak-up for CMG).
- XYZ cooled slightly: RSI 61.8→56.8, 7D flipped from +0.8% to -0.66%, though 30D held near +11.9%.
- NKE, LULU, DPZ, DECK, AS: essentially unchanged in structure — still the group's laggards or basing names, no new signal.
How To Read The Board
Trend and cross labels describe chart structure, not a recommendation. "Golden cross" (SBUX, DECK, CROX, XYZ, CRSR, XLY) means the 50-day average sits above the 200-day — a longer-term uptrend confirmation, not a buy signal on its own. "Death cross" (AS, LULU, NKE, DPZ, HIMS, PYPL) means the opposite, and a bounce inside one should be read as counter-trend until the cross actually flips. RSI above 65 flags a name getting extended — CROX is closest to that line this scan — worth tracking, not chasing. "% From 52-week High" is the plainest read on how far a name has to run before it revisits its old highs, or how close it already is.
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D | 30D | vs SMA20 | Trend | From 52wk Hi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CROX | $132.78 | 64.4 | +8.82% | +5.49% | +6.5% | strong-up | -0.64% |
| PYPL | $46.32 | 61.3 | +4.68% | +12.32% | +6.4% | weak-up | -41.74% |
| CMG | $35.25 | 61.2 | +3.31% | +12.80% | +6.7% | weak-up | -36.77% |
| SBUX | $106.01 | 60.8 | +5.17% | +3.65% | +3.0% | strong-up | -2.64% |
| CRSR | $9.66 | 58.2 | +3.87% | +7.93% | +7.9% | strong-up | -26.26% |
| XYZ | $77.30 | 56.8 | -0.66% | +11.88% | +2.7% | strong-up | -6.30% |
| HIMS | $34.38 | 56.0 | -10.23% | +19.09% | +2.1% | up | -51.19% |
| NKE | $44.37 | 55.6 | +5.42% | -3.46% | +2.5% | weak-up | -44.66% |
| XLY | $117.24 | 52.1 | +0.61% | +1.01% | +0.8% | strong-up | -6.22% |
| LULU | $119.26 | 51.4 | +4.74% | -2.12% | +3.9% | strong-down | -49.51% |
| AS | $34.80 | 51.0 | -0.06% | -2.25% | -0.1% | strong-down | -18.62% |
| DECK | $105.99 | 51.0 | +2.60% | -7.33% | +0.1% | strong-up | -16.21% |
| DPZ | $299.46 | 45.3 | -0.97% | -3.51% | -1.4% | strong-down | -39.63% |
Tier Analysis
COOLING LEADER: HIMS ($34.38, RSI 56.0, up trend, -51.2% from high) came off the boil exactly as last scan flagged — RSI 70.6→56.0, -10.2% 7D — but held +19.1% 30D. Treat this as digestion inside a momentum move, not a reversal, unless the 7D bleed continues.
NEW LEADERSHIP — NEAR HIGHS: CROX ($132.78, RSI 64.4, golden cross, -0.64% from high) is now the cleanest structure in the group and closing in on a fresh 52-week high. SBUX ($106.01, RSI 60.8, golden cross, -2.64% from high) is a close second — both are extended enough that fresh entries are chasing, not bargain-hunting.
MID-PACK STRENGTH: PYPL, CMG, CRSR, XYZ all sit RSI 56-61 with positive 30D momentum but carry a death cross (PYPL) or sit mid-structure (CMG, CRSR, XYZ) — constructive, not clean setups.
STILL BROKEN: NKE, LULU, DPZ remain death-crossed and 40-53% off their highs with no basing evidence this window — continued RSI-40s-to-50s bounces read as retests of the breakdown, not recoveries. AS and DECK are flat and unremarkable.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CROX | $132.78 | 64.4 | +5.49% | Track, don't chase — golden cross, near a fresh high |
| SBUX | $106.01 | 60.8 | +3.65% | Cleanest carry-forward; golden cross, room before overbought |
| HIMS | $34.38 | 56.0 | +19.09% | Digestion after a hot run; wait for RSI to stabilize before treating the pullback as a dip-buy |
| NKE, LULU, DPZ | $44.37 / $119.26 / $299.46 | 55.6 / 51.4 / 45.3 | -3.46% / -2.12% / -3.51% | Death-cross regimes; don't treat chop as recovery until the cross flips |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | SBUX, CROX | Golden cross, strong-up, near highs |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | CMG, PYPL, XYZ | Constructive momentum, RSI not extreme |
| 🔍 WATCH | HIMS | Cooling off a parabolic run; wait for RSI to base before calling the pullback over |
| ⚠️ AVOID | NKE, LULU, DPZ | Death-crossed, 40-53% off highs, no reversal evidence |
What To Watch Next
| Watch | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| HIMS's RSI base | If RSI keeps falling below 50 alongside further 7D losses, the "digestion" read needs to flip to "rollover" |
| CROX vs. its 52-week high | Only -0.64% away; a breakout would confirm the sector's new leadership name |
| NKE/LULU/DPZ death crosses | No name in the group has flipped back to golden cross yet — the trigger the desk needs before calling any of them a recovery |
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.