Consumer Scan — July 17, 2026 Close

Scan

Consumer Scan — July 17, 2026 Close

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 27 rows · screens, not recommendations prior scanresearch/scans/2026-07-11-consumer-scan.md

PYPL went fully parabolic this week — RSI rocketed from 61.3 to 80.3 on a +22.11% 7-day pop (+33.05% 30D) — the single most extended print anywhere on this board and a clear chase-risk signal, not an entry. Everything else in the group cooled off: CROX, SBUX, and CMG all backed off their prior RSI readings, and HIMS's "digestion" call from last scan turned into a real reversal — its 30-day change flipped from +19.09% to -7.41%. The legacy laggards, NKE and LULU, stayed rangebound with no basing evidence.

Data as-of 2026-07-17 close. All numbers from precomputed summaries/consumer.json. Prior scan: 2026-07-11-consumer-scan (2026-07-11, data as-of 2026-07-10 close).

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 One name went parabolic while the rest of the group cooled — no oversold entries anywhere on the board this scan.
Key insight PYPL's RSI jumped from 61.3 to 80.3 in a week (+22.11% 7D, +33.05% 30D) — the most extended print in the entire consumer scan.

What's Going On

PYPL is the whole story this week. It carried a constructive RSI of 61.3 last scan; it now sits at 80.3, deep into overbought territory, after a +22.11% weekly pop that pushed the 30-day change to +33.05%. That is the sharpest single-name move on this board by a wide margin, and it puts PYPL squarely in chase-risk territory rather than an entry zone. HIMS moved the other direction: last scan flagged its RSI cooling from a parabolic 70.6 to 56.0 as "digestion, not a reversal" — that digestion has since become an actual decline, with RSI down to 48.4 and the 30-day change flipping from +19.09% to -7.41%. CROX, SBUX, and CMG all backed off their prior RSI highs modestly (65.2, 54.6, and 53.4 respectively) while staying constructive. NKE, LULU, and XLY remain the flattest names in the group, with no reversal evidence in either direction. DPZ was the other notable mover, strengthening from RSI 45.3 to 57.5 on a +7.59% week.

What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-07-11 → 2026-07-17)

  • PYPL went parabolic: RSI 61.3→80.3, price $46.32→$56.56, 7D +4.68%→+22.11%, 30D +12.32%→+33.05% — now the most overbought print in the scan.
  • HIMS's digestion became a real decline: RSI 56.0→48.4, 30D flipped from +19.09% to -7.41%.
  • DPZ strengthened: RSI 45.3→57.5, 7D -0.97%→+7.59%.
  • CROX, SBUX, CMG all cooled a touch from last scan's highs (RSI 64.4→65.2 roughly flat for CROX; SBUX 60.8→54.6; CMG 61.2→53.4).
  • AS ticked up: RSI 51.0→59.8, 7D -0.06%→+4.71%.
  • NKE, LULU, XLY: essentially unchanged in structure — no new signal either way.

How To Read The Board

"Golden cross" (SBUX, DECK, CROX, XYZ, CRSR, XLY) means the 50-day average sits above the 200-day — a longer-term uptrend confirmation, not a buy signal on its own. "Death cross" (AS, LULU, NKE, CMG, DPZ, HIMS, PYPL) means the opposite, and a bounce inside one should be read as counter-trend until the cross actually flips. RSI above 70 flags a name getting extended — PYPL at 80.3 is now well past that line, the clearest overbought read on the board this scan.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI 7D 30D vs SMA20 Trend From 52wk Hi
PYPL $56.56 80.3 +22.11% +33.05% +22.5% up -28.86%
CROX $137.13 65.2 +3.28% +9.66% +8.1% strong-up -2.34%
AS $36.44 59.8 +4.71% -1.06% +4.8% up -14.78%
XYZ $79.94 58.9 +3.42% +6.90% +3.3% strong-up -4.92%
CRSR $9.75 57.9 +0.93% +8.94% +6.0% strong-up -25.57%
DPZ $322.18 57.5 +7.59% +3.11% +6.1% weak-up -35.04%
SBUX $105.49 54.6 -0.49% +4.81% +1.4% strong-up -3.42%
CMG $34.44 53.4 -2.30% +6.00% +1.8% weak-up -36.56%
NKE $43.76 51.6 -1.37% -3.19% +2.0% weak-up -45.42%
DECK $106.49 50.7 +0.47% -2.40% +1.5% strong-up -15.82%
HIMS $32.84 48.4 -4.48% -7.41% -5.8% up -53.37%
LULU $116.33 46.2 -2.46% +4.08% +1.1% strong-down -50.07%
XLY $115.44 46.0 -1.54% -1.27% -0.7% down -7.66%

Tier Analysis

No names in Capitulation (RSI<25) or Oversold (25-40) this scan — every ticker sits at RSI 46+ or higher.

OVERBOUGHT: PYPL ($56.56, RSI 80.3, +33.05% 30D) is deep into extended territory — the clearest "don't chase" signal on the board.

STRONG (55-70): CROX (65.2), AS (59.8), XYZ (58.9), CRSR (57.9), DPZ (57.5) all sit in constructive RSI ranges with positive 30D momentum.

NEUTRAL (40-55): SBUX, CMG, NKE, DECK, HIMS, LULU, XLY round out the middle of the board — mixed 30D reads, no clean setups either way. HIMS is the one to watch here: its 30D flipped negative this week after last scan's parabolic run.

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 30D% Setup
PYPL $56.56 80.3 +33.05% Avoid — deep overbought, chasing here is a momentum bet, not a value entry
CROX, SBUX $137.13 / $105.49 65.2 / 54.6 +9.66% / +4.81% Track, don't chase — golden cross, structure intact
HIMS $32.84 48.4 -7.41% Digestion turned decline; wait for RSI to base before treating as a dip-buy
NKE, LULU $43.76 / $116.33 51.6 / 46.2 -3.19% / +4.08% Death-cross regimes; no reversal evidence this window

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
⚠️ AVOID PYPL RSI 80.3, deeply overbought after a +22.11% week — chase risk, not an entry
🔒 HOLD CROX, SBUX, XYZ, CRSR, DECK Golden/constructive cross, strong-up, RSI not extreme
📈 ACCUMULATE DPZ, AS Improving momentum, RSI not extended
🔍 WATCH HIMS Digestion turned into an actual decline; needs to base before the "healthy pullback" read still applies
⚠️ AVOID NKE, LULU Death-crossed, 45-50% off highs, no reversal evidence

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
PYPL's RSI direction At 80.3, the next print determines whether this cools into a healthy pullback or keeps extending into a blow-off
HIMS's 30D trend Now negative after a hot run — confirm whether this is a deeper rollover or a normal reset
NKE/LULU death crosses Still no name in the legacy trio has flipped back to golden cross — the trigger the desk needs before calling either a recovery

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-07-17 close — *.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.