Drone & Defense Scan

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Drone & Defense Scan

Scan symbols 19
AMPXAVAVAVEXAXONDFENDRSHFEOPSFESLTITAKRKNFKTOSLASRLMTNOCONDSPLRCATRTXUMAC
Watchlists 1
@drone-defense
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 34 rows · screens, not recommendations ported fromresearch/classic/scans/2026-05-29-drone-defense.md

Drone small-caps exploded this week — UMAC +88% 7D (RSI 83), RCAT +52% 7D, AVEX +54% 7D, ONDS +43% 7D — while legacy primes LMT, RTX, NOC continue grinding weak-down; the bifurcation between drone-native and legacy-defense has never been wider.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟠 Bifurcated — drone small-caps parabolic, legacy primes in downtrend
Leaders UMAC (RSI 83, +88% 7D, +118% 30D), RCAT (RSI 69, +52% 7D), AVEX (RSI 65, +54% 7D), ONDS (RSI 69, +43% 7D), PL (RSI 73, +15% 7D)
Laggards NOC (strong-down, RSI 42, -27% 3M), LMT (weak-down, -22% 3M), KTOS (strong-down, -29% 3M), DRSHF (-9% 3M)
Key insight UMAC RSI 82.6 with +91.5% above SMA20 is the most extreme reading in the cohort — parabolic drone momentum. ITA ETF (RSI 64, +8% from SMA20) staying strong confirms sector tailwind despite prime weakness.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% 52wkHi Trend Signal
AVAV $207.24 63.9 +19.4% +28.12% +6.27% -0.52% -50.40% weak-up 🔍 Watch
AVEX $38.47 65.3 +38.4% +53.62% +27.17% +42.85% -9.14% neutral ⚠️ Overbought
KTOS $64.13 56.1 +11.4% +17.95% +1.71% -29.31% -52.14% strong-down ⚠️ Caution
EOPSF $7.85 65.9 +19.1% +8.24% +19.48% +11.35% -6.44% neutral 🔍 Watch
LASR $74.12 49.8 -1.7% +3.39% +6.11% +9.50% -14.76% strong-up 🔒 Hold
ESLT $880.89 60.4 +9.2% +16.86% +4.95% +6.33% -13.30% strong-up 🔒 Hold
LMT $530.45 45.3 +1.7% +1.97% +2.41% -21.61% -23.35% weak-down 🔍 Watch
RTX $179.66 50.9 +2.3% +1.77% +2.46% -14.97% -16.24% weak-down 🔍 Watch
NOC $563.68 42.2 +1.6% +1.15% -2.73% -26.61% -27.17% strong-down ❌ Avoid
DFEN $75.07 62.8 +15.2% +14.60% +22.20% -22.95% -23.20% up 🔍 Watch
ITA $235.44 64.4 +5.2% +4.76% +7.72% -5.98% -6.07% strong-up 🔒 Hold
KRKNF $5.47 47.4 +1.2% +3.67% -5.03% -18.84% -32.72% weak-down 🔍 Watch
ONDS $13.22 68.6 +32.7% +43.18% +31.67% +23.90% -40.71% strong-up ⚠️ Overbought
DRSHF $2.44 52.0 +2.4% +6.39% -3.94% -8.96% -44.42% down 🔍 Watch
RCAT $14.50 68.9 +38.8% +51.77% +23.72% +6.07% -22.79% strong-up ⚠️ Overbought
AMPX $20.28 57.9 +12.6% +31.68% -3.70% +74.98% -11.05% strong-up 🔒 Hold
UMAC $31.78 82.6 ↑ +91.5% +88.41% +117.82% +123.65% -1.79% strong-up ⚠️ Overbought
PL $51.14 73.4 ↑ +20.5% +15.01% +38.33% +94.01% -1.20% strong-up ⚠️ Overbought
AXON $448.72 64.5 +12.6% +11.91% +11.69% -21.56% -49.35% weak-up 🔍 Watch

Tier Analysis

Tier 0 — Extreme Overbought (RSI >70) — Do Not Chase

  • UMAC (RSI 82.6, +91.5% above SMA20, +88% 7D, +118% 30D) — Unusual Machines, US-made drone manufacturer. Most extreme reading in cohort. Momentum event — do not enter here.
  • PL (RSI 73.4, +20.5% above SMA20, +94% 3M) — Planet Labs satellite imagery. Near 52wk high (-1.2%).

Tier 1 — Approaching Overbought (RSI 65-70)

  • RCAT (RSI 68.9, +38.8% above SMA20, +52% 7D) — Red Cat Holdings, drone components. Flash move.
  • ONDS (RSI 68.6, +32.7% above SMA20, +43% 7D) — Ondas Holdings, railroad/drone AI. Parabolic move with wide drawdown (-41% from 52wk high still).
  • AVEX (RSI 65.3, +38.4% above SMA20, +54% 7D) — Newly listed drone play, neutral trend (limited SMA history).
  • EOPSF (RSI 65.9, +19.1% above SMA20) — Elbit Systems Options, small. Near 52wk high.
  • AVAV (RSI 63.9, +19.4% above SMA20, +28% 7D) — AeroVironment, rebounding strongly but -50% from 52wk high; death cross still active.
  • AXON (RSI 64.5, +11.69% 30D) — Axon Enterprise, recovering from -22% 3M; still -49% from high.
  • ITA (RSI 64.4) — iShares Aerospace & Defense ETF. Sector ETF holding strong-up trend.

Tier 2 — Neutral/Strong (RSI 40-65)

  • DFEN (RSI 62.8, +22% 30D, up trend) — Direxion 3x Defense ETF. Recovering from -23% 3M hole.
  • ESLT (RSI 60.4, +16.86% 7D) — Elbit Systems (Israel), strong-up.
  • KTOS (RSI 56.1, but strong-down trend, -29% 3M) — Kratos Defense. Bounce within downtrend; death cross active.
  • AMPX (RSI 57.9, +75% 3M) — Amprius Technologies batteries.
  • LASR (RSI 49.8, strong-up) — nLIGHT laser systems.
  • RTX (RSI 50.9, weak-down, -15% 3M) — Raytheon. Recovering slightly but weak-down trend.
  • DRSHF (RSI 52.0, down trend) — DroneShield (Australia). Flat 7D, down trend.
  • KRKNF (RSI 47.4, weak-down, -19% 3M) — Kraken Robotics. Pulling back.

Tier 3 — Weak/Broken (RSI < 45, downtrend)

  • LMT (RSI 45.3, weak-down, -22% 3M) — Lockheed Martin. Stabilizing but trend broken.
  • NOC (RSI 42.2, strong-down, -27% 3M) — Northrop Grumman. Death cross, worst prime.

Entry Zones

Stock Price Zone RSI 30D% Setup
LMT $530.45 $510-540 45.3 +2.41% Near SMA20, -22% 3M drawdown; prime thesis intact for patient entry
RTX $179.66 $170-182 50.9 +2.46% Near SMA20 support; defense cycle thesis if macro stabilizes
LASR $74.12 $70-76 49.8 +6.11% At SMA20; strong-up 1y trend, laser weapons angle
ESLT $880.89 $840-890 60.4 +4.95% +9% above SMA20; Israeli defense systems, +16.86% 7D spike
KRKNF $5.47 $4.90-5.60 47.4 -5.03% Pulling back in weak-down; -33% from high; entry only on confirmed base
AVAV $207.24 wait 63.9 +6.27% +28% spike this week; -50% from high; wait for consolidation before entry

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
⚠️ OVERBOUGHT / DON'T CHASE UMAC (RSI 83), PL (RSI 73), RCAT (RSI 69), ONDS (RSI 69), AVEX (RSI 65) Parabolic drone small-cap moves this week; pullback expected
🔒 HOLD ESLT, LASR, ITA, AMPX Trend intact, no extreme readings
📈 ACCUMULATE LMT, RTX Primes bottoming; patience required; -15 to -22% 3M creates patient entry
🔍 WATCH AVAV, AXON, KTOS, DFEN, DRSHF, KRKNF Various states of recovery — monitor for confirmation
❌ AVOID NOC Strong-down with death cross; -27% 3M and no catalyst yet

What Changed (directional)

  • Drone small-caps had a catalytic week — UMAC +88%, RCAT +52%, AVEX +54%, ONDS +43% all in 7D. Clear event-driven momentum (policy/contract catalyst).
  • Legacy primes still bleeding — LMT, RTX, NOC all weak-down with -15 to -27% 3M. The big-prime contract cycle is being re-priced.
  • KTOS bouncing +18% 7D but trend remains strong-down — -29% 3M, death cross still active. Bounce within downtrend, not thesis reversal.
  • ITA ETF staying resilient — strong-up trend, RSI 64, near 52wk high. The broader sector is outperforming vs the primes alone.
  • PL (Planet Labs) accelerating — +94% 3M, RSI 73, near 52wk high. Satellite imagery demand is a separate supercycle.
  • AMPX +75% 3M — drone battery/energy storage thesis gaining traction alongside the drone platforms.
9 events
DateTypeEvent
Jun 16 ScanDrone & Defense Scan Jun 20 ScanDrone / Defense Scan Jun 25 ScanDrone Defense Scan Jun 26 ScanDrone Defense Scan Jul 7 ScanDrone Defense Scan Jul 11 ScanDrone Defense Scan Jul 17 ScanDrone Defense Scan Jul 25 ScanDrone Defense Scan Jul 28 ScanDrone Defense Scan

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