Drone & Defense Scan

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Drone & Defense Scan

Scan symbols 19
AMPXAVAVAVEXAXONDFENDRSHFEOPSFESLTITAKRKNFKTOSLASRLMTNOCONDSPLRCATRTXUMAC
Watchlists 1
@drone-defense
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 30 rows · screens, not recommendations

The cohort is deeply bifurcated: defense primes (RTX, LMT, ITA) are holding or recovering while pure-play drone names (AVAV, KTOS, RCAT, KRKNF, DRSHF) are in structural downtrends — 50-60% from highs, death-cross regimes, no near-term catalyst visible.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 Bearish — pure-play drone basket in collapse; defense ETF/primes diverging positively
Best positioned RTX (RSI 60.1, strong-up, +4.6% above SMA20), ITA (RSI 61.3, strong-up, near 52wk high -4.4%), DFEN (RSI 60.1, +12% above SMA20, +25.5% 30D)
Approaching oversold PL (RSI 33.9, -30% below SMA20, -32% 30D), AVEX (RSI 39.2, -30.6% 30D)
Key insight UMAC is the lone pure-play outlier with strong-up trend (+74% 30D, RSI 54.7); AXON down -44% 1Y and -51% from 52wk high — the biggest blue-chip breakdown in the cohort

Price Table

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% Signal
AVAV $166.71 42.0 -9.0% -4.34% +3.21% ❌ Don't Buy
AVEX $19.85 39.2 -26.5% -7.18% -30.55% 🔍 Watch
KTOS $56.34 44.0 -3.6% +0.56% +3.91% ❌ Don't Buy
EOPSF $6.65 43.8 -6.3% -14.67% +11.39% 🔍 Watch
LASR $66.26 43.6 -8.3% +3.60% -6.45% 🔍 Watch
ESLT $821.99 47.8 -1.1% -2.32% +8.07% 🔍 Watch
LMT $535.95 53.0 +1.8% +0.79% +2.11% 🔒 Hold
RTX $186.77 60.1 +4.6% +1.69% +6.59% 🔒 Hold
NOC $551.21 47.1 +0.7% -0.32% +0.66% 🔍 Watch
DFEN $77.78 60.1 +12.0% +8.05% +25.51% 🔒 Hold
ITA $239.52 61.3 +4.3% +2.96% +8.83% 🔒 Hold
KRKNF $5.01 42.0 -8.5% -2.85% -3.09% ❌ Don't Buy
ONDS $9.21 42.3 -13.1% -2.96% -5.05% ❌ Don't Buy
DRSHF $2.00 38.1 -6.7% +1.99% -11.89% ❌ Don't Buy
RCAT $10.90 45.2 -8.0% +2.13% +22.06% 🔍 Watch
AMPX $15.49 40.4 -15.1% -8.09% -2.39% 🔍 Watch
UMAC $25.20 54.7 +5.0% +1.65% +74.39% 🔒 Hold
PL $28.21 33.9 -29.9% -5.00% -32.20% 🔍 Watch
AXON $435.39 49.0 -1.2% -4.46% +9.02% 🔍 Watch

Tier Analysis

RSI < 25 — Extreme Oversold

None in this cohort.

RSI 25–40 — Approaching Oversold / Watch

  • PL (RSI 33.9, -29.9% below SMA20, -32.2% 30D, -45.5% from 52wk high) — Planet Labs satellite imaging. Approaching oversold but in weak-down trend; do not catch knife.
  • DRSHF (RSI 38.1, -6.7% below SMA20, -11.9% 30D, -54.4% from 52wk high) — Drone delivery/small UAS; strong-down trend, death cross.
  • AVEX (RSI 39.2, -26.5% below SMA20, -30.6% 30D) — Avelo/Electra Aero; too young for regime score; speculative.
  • AMPX (RSI 40.4, -15.1% below SMA20, -20% 3M) — Amprius Technologies battery; weak-down.

RSI 40–60 — Neutral / Consolidating

  • AVAV (RSI 42.0, strong-down, death cross, -60.1% from 52wk high) — AeroVironment. Structural breakdown despite RSI neutral; avoid.
  • KTOS (RSI 44.0, strong-down, death cross, -41% 3M, -58% from 52wk high) — Kratos. Same pattern as AVAV; defense spending rotation isn't lifting pure-plays.
  • RCAT (RSI 45.2, -36% 3M) — Red Cat Holdings; +22% 30D bounce within a downtrend; watch for real reversal signal.
  • LASR (RSI 43.6, -8.3% below SMA20) — nLIGHT, solid 1Y history, fading 3M.
  • ESLT (RSI 47.8, -19% 3M) — Elbit Systems; Israeli defense prime; pullback in solid long-term compounder.
  • NOC (RSI 47.1, strong-down, death cross) — Northrop Grumman; prime under pressure despite sector rally.
  • AXON (RSI 49.0, -44% 1Y, -51% from 52wk high, death cross) — Axon Enterprise; major blue-chip breakdown; not in the "recovery" camp yet.

RSI 40+ — Holding / Recovery

  • RTX (RSI 60.1, strong-up, +4.6% above SMA20) — Raytheon; steady compounder; primes are working.
  • ITA (RSI 61.3, strong-up, -4.4% from 52wk high) — Defense ETF; the cleanest long exposure; diversified.
  • DFEN (RSI 60.1, +12% above SMA20, +25.5% 30D) — Leveraged defense ETF; momentum is real but death cross caution.
  • LMT (RSI 53.0, -22.6% from 52wk high) — Lockheed; recovering but still in consolidation.
  • UMAC (RSI 54.7, strong-up, +74.4% 30D) — Unusual Machines; the lone pure-play drone name with positive momentum.

Entry Zones

Stock Price Zone RSI 30D% Setup
ITA $239.52 $228–242 61.3 +8.83% Defense ETF; cleanest sector exposure; -4.4% from 52wk high; strong-up
RTX $186.77 $178–190 60.1 +6.59% Raytheon; steady earnings, dividend, strong-up; pull to SMA20 = buy zone
ESLT $821.99 $800–840 47.8 +8.07% Elbit Systems; -19% 3M reset in a long-term compounder; strong long-term alpha
PL $28.21 wait 33.9 -32.20% Approaching oversold; do NOT enter until trend inflects — satellite imaging speculative

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD RTX, ITA, LMT, DFEN, UMAC Defense primes/ETF holding trend; sector bid intact
🔍 WATCH ESLT, NOC, RCAT, LASR, PL, AVEX, EOPSF, AMPX, AXON Various reasons: pullback within compounder, oversold bounce, speculative
❌ DON'T BUY AVAV, KTOS, KRKNF, ONDS, DRSHF Strong-down trends, death crosses, -40 to -60% from highs; structural breakdown

What Changed

  • Primes/ETF are the winning lane — RTX, ITA, DFEN all RSI 60+, strong-up. The "buy defense" thesis is working only in the large-cap/ETF layer.
  • KTOS and AVAV remain in freefall — KTOS -41% 3M, AVAV -25% 3M; both death cross. The "drone spending" narrative hasn't translated into price recovery.
  • UMAC is the divergent outlier — +74% 30D, strong-up. Domestic drone manufacturing thesis may be capturing a niche bid others miss.
  • AXON is a new blue-chip breakdown — -44% 1Y, -51% from 52wk high, death cross. Law enforcement tech spending not translating.
  • PL is the most oversold — RSI 33.9, -32% 30D; watch for base formation but don't front-run.
10 events
DateTypeEvent
Jun 20 ScanDrone / Defense Scan Jun 25 ScanDrone Defense Scan Jun 26 ScanDrone Defense Scan May 29 ScanDrone & Defense Scan Jul 7 ScanDrone Defense Scan Jul 11 ScanDrone Defense Scan Jul 17 ScanDrone Defense Scan Jul 25 ScanDrone Defense Scan Jul 28 ScanDrone Defense Scan Jul 31 ScanDrone Defense Scan

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