1. The Read
What last week added up to
The index went nowhere and everything under it moved — and Monday extended the pattern rather than breaking it. SPY closed Monday at $772.67, down 0.47% on the day and off 0.05% over seven sessions, RSI 61.6, still tagged breakout on the regime feed. Underneath that flat surface, last week produced exactly two moves that came with evidence: energy's sector-wide vault, and memory's synchronized run behind Sandisk's SEC-filed quarter and $14 billion repurchase authorization. Both kept going Monday. The energy fund added another 1.08% to a 69.7 RSI — confirmation stretching toward exhaustion — and memory refused to rest: Sandisk rose another 8.88% to $1,786.85 (a +44.29% seven-session move), Micron closed through the thousand-dollar line at $1,011.75, and the DRAM basket's week reached +21.7%. The 30-year Treasury told the other half of the story: long bonds fell again (the 20-year fund at $81.41, RSI 35.3, in a confirmed downtrend) with the 30-year yield reported at 5.31%, its highest in 19 years, per Bloomberg and CNBC — a market paying up for AI cash flows while repricing the risk-free leg underneath them.
Saturday's read left four moves unexplained; Monday answered one and a half. Fabrinet answered loudest — the first optical print since Coherent's quarter landed and the stock closed +4.97% at $598.58, +25.12% on the month, which reads as the optical-supercycle demand signal arriving on schedule. Broadcom and the China baskets merely stabilized (−0.14%, +0.6%, −0.22%) with still no driver on record for last week's damage — watch, not resolved. Atlassian stayed the puzzle: RSI 75.1 on a +69.73% month, cooling 2.39% Monday, its filings still unread here. And Unusual Machines — Saturday's do-not-touch — dropped 11.48% in a session, the parabola cracking exactly where the desk call said never to chase it.
Monday's own story: the activewear markdown
The day's real news was categorical. Nike fell 4.03% to $39.09 on 2.84 times average volume — a fresh multi-year low, 49.9% below its 52-week high, through the $40 floor its own volume profile had defended — and Lululemon fell 3.19% to $115.74, snuffing out the faint two-window turn it carried into the day. The rest of the complex went with them: Amer Sports −9.87% and Deckers −7.52% on the week, and On Holding — the share-taker the whole bear case cites — is itself down 19.3% over seven sessions and 38.7% from its high. When the winner deflates with the losers, the market is repricing the CATEGORY, not just re-ranking it. No single dated event drove Monday's leg on any of these names — the desk published full deep dives on both Nike and Lululemon today, and both land in the same place: quarantine names, watch for a confirmed base, never buy the cheapness. The timing is pointed: Home Depot, Lowe's, Target, TJX, and Walmart all report within the next 72 hours, and the week will say whether this is an activewear problem or a consumer one.
What's this week
The print calendar is heavy: Tuesday brings Home Depot, Keysight, Baidu, Amer Sports, Klarna, SQM, and Hesai; Wednesday Lowe's, Target, TJX, Analog Devices, and Wolfspeed; Thursday Walmart, Alibaba, Deere, and NetEase. Amer Sports Tuesday is the first activewear print inside the markdown; Keysight and Analog Devices carry the optical/semi read-through after Fabrinet's answer; the retail giants decide the consumer question. The rotation gauges enter the week tilted risk-on — the sector-rotation gauge flipped to cyclicals-leading-defensives at Monday's close, with early-turn probes in the CPU-shortage supply chain (+6.5 acceleration, led by IBIDF, Credo, and Amkor), AI power, and energy, while Government Compute — the summer's leader — fades from the front. No bench promotion triggers fired or armed at the close, and volatility never showed: VIX at 15.19, calm band.
Watch Tuesday: Home Depot before the open sets the consumer tape, Amer Sports is the first activewear print into the markdown, and Keysight opens the optical read-through week — with the memory complex's extension (Sandisk +44.29% in seven sessions) the chart most owed a rest.
Extended analysis
Leaders and laggards
478 advancing 584 declining 72.4% above the 200-day Color is 7-day price direction, not a buy or sell call.
Leaders
top 7D gainersLaggards
top 7D losers2. What Changed Since the Last Brief
Screen CROSSINGS between the previous brief's close ( ) and this one — a name appears only on the session it crossed, not for as long as it stays there. Every name carries its before → after.
New oversold (3) — PDI RSI 34.8 → 28, BYND RSI 34.7 → 29.5, APP RSI 30.4 → 29.9.
New overbought (14) — SEA RSI 69.3 → 76.7, 688825.SS RSI 64.1 → 73, GLNK RSI 65 → 72, EWS RSI 69.7 → 71.6, LINK-USD RSI 64.6 → 71.3, TBBB RSI 69.7 → 71, AEHR RSI 67.6 → 70.9, IMVT RSI 64 → 70.9, IAG RSI 67.1 → 70.8, WPM RSI 68.6 → 70.6, EAT RSI 68.7 → 70.5, AVDV RSI 69.4 → 70.4, HCC RSI 69.8 → 70.3, 2383.TW RSI 68.1 → 70.2.
Golden crossings (4) — BLK -0.06% → 0.17%, ELF -1.2% → 0.17%, PINS -0.27% → 0.09%, U -0.03% → 0.82%.
Death crossings (7) — CENX 0.75% → -0.23%, DNA 0.12% → 0%, FSLR 0.62% → -0.16%, FTAI 0.11% → -0.19%, LYSDY 0.09% → -0.34%, NXT 0.65% → -0.29%, PL 0.49% → -1.21%.
New monsters (28) — SNDK 81.7% → 96.1%, 3436.T 63.4% → 68.4%, SMTC 36.8% → 49.8%, U 46.2% → 43.5%, AIS 36.5% → 39.2%, WYFI 33.7% → 37.6%, LRCX 33.2% → 37.3%, ZCSH 29.5% → 37.2%, NBTX 25.4% → 37.1%, ALKS 34.7% → 36.5%, ARW 32% → 35.5%, SKM 29.6% → 34%, NVT 29.9% → 33.9%, ECO 28.9% → 33.6%, CGAU 29.8% → 31.9%, CGON 28.5% → 31.7%, +12 more.
Newly near a 52-week high (44) — AIR -5.68% → -0.19% from high, 3037.TW -9.55% → -0.68% from high, SM -5.94% → -1.11% from high, AEHR -9.05% → -1.21% from high, ARGX -10.73% → -1.43% from high, TWST -6.19% → -1.57% from high, UGP -6.53% → -1.67% from high, HALO -5.84% → -1.7% from high, DK -5.02% → -2.5% from high, IESC -7.39% → -2.76% from high, CGON -5.49% → -2.87% from high, TVE.TO -5.52% → -3.23% from high, RSW.L -5.74% → -3.46% from high, IBKR -5.91% → -3.59% from high, CXW -5.85% → -3.67% from high, XOP -5.18% → -3.68% from high, +28 more.
Newly in an entry zone (4) — COST $953.5 · $920-$960, MU $1011.75 · $1,000–$1,025 — a flag back toward the rising SMA20, NOCE $570.2 · $550-$580, TSLA $339.3 · <$340.
3. Three Things
- Memory would not rest — Sandisk +8.88% Monday to $1,786.85 (+44.29% over seven sessions), Micron through $1,000, the DRAM basket +21.7% on the week: the one trade from last week that arrived with filings kept paying.
- The activewear complex got marked down as a category — Nike −4.03% to a multi-year low on 2.84x volume, Lululemon −3.19% with its nascent turn erased, and even On Holding −19.3% on the week: winner and losers repriced together, two deep dives on the desk today.
- Fabrinet answered the optical question — +4.97% on the first optical print since Coherent, +25.12% on the month, while the 30-year yield's reported 19-year high (5.31%) quietly repriced the other side of the AI trade.
4. The Big Picture
Act 1 — Rotation without advance, week two. SPY −0.47% Monday inside an intact breakout; equal-weight −0.89% and itself just 0.97% off its 52-week high; 279 confirmed uptrends against 133 downtrends across the tracked tape, 41 state flips in the latest batch. The index continues to do nothing while leadership churns beneath it — last week's script, unbroken.
Act 2 — The paid trades extend. Energy held its +7.67% week and added to it (RSI 69.7 — confirmation, not entry). Memory extended on real receipts. The rotation map's early-turn strip — CPU-shortage supply chain, AI power, energy — says the market keeps hunting the physical layer of the AI trade, and Fabrinet's print day was the cleanest new evidence in the stack.
Act 3 — The consumer bill comes due this week. The activewear markdown, the credit-sensitive retail tape's softness, and five giant retail prints inside 72 hours make this the week the consumer question stops being deferrable. The desk's read going in: category repricing (everything fell together, including the winner) rather than share-shift — Tuesday through Thursday will grade it.
The desk's takes cover 15 of 24 names; the rest show the mechanical tape state. 1 authored take matched no row (IONQ / RGTI / QBTS / QUBT / INFQ / XNDU / HQ / ARQQ / LAES) — kept in the chapter text above.
6. Sector Scorecard
Memory / semis — The week's paid trade kept paying; Sandisk, Micron, and the DRAM basket all extended. The custom-silicon lane stays the split story: Broadcom stabilized Monday but its −7.07% week still has no driver on record. Optical — Fabrinet +4.97% on print day, +25.12% on the month; the supply-chain lane leads the rotation map's early-turn strip via Credo and Amkor. Consumer / retail — The activewear complex repriced as a category (Nike, Lululemon, Amer Sports, Deckers, and On all down together); the answer arrives this week with five giant retail prints. China — The baskets stabilized (+0.6%, −0.22%) after last week's 18-point RSI collapses, still driverless; the domestic chip-revenue datapoint (+22% year over year to a record $245 billion, per The Kobeissi Letter) is the structural context under the tactical fog. Bonds — The long end broke lower again; TLT RSI 35.3 in a confirmed downtrend with the 30-year's reported 19-year-high yield. The risk-free leg of every duration trade got more expensive this week. Gold — +10.06% on the month with the metal's death-cross gap nearly closed; the miners' juniors ran +31% — the flip, if it completes, was pre-announced.
ETF tape · 42 funds
The desk's curated ETF read — one fund per lane it tracks, not every fund on the watchlists — grouped by what the fund is exposed to, and where each closed on the issue date. The big number and the tile's shade are that session's move (1D); 7D and 30D are the trailing windows behind it, and RSI is the 14-day reading (above 70 is stretched, below 30 washed out). Shades near flat stay gray — a ±0.25% day is not a color.
Index & international · 9 funds
Tech, AI & cloud · 9 funds
Health & biotech · 3 funds
Commodities, energy & metals · 7 funds
Rates, credit, dollar & vol · 6 funds
Crypto · 2 funds
Income & real assets · 3 funds
The desk's assessments cover 1 of 70 lanes. 6 authored assessments matched no lane (memory / semis, optical, consumer / retail, china, bonds, gold) — kept in the chapter text above.
7. The Wild & Whacky
- Micron closed at $1,011.75 — through the thousand-dollar line, up more than 8x over the trailing year (+720.09%); the memory supercycle now has a four-digit poster child.
- Unusual Machines dropped 11.48% in one session and is STILL up 78.09% on the month; the desk call's "never the parabola" line needed exactly one trading day to prove itself.
- Seven of the week's thirty biggest unclaimed movers were application-software names (Atlassian, Unity, Workday, MongoDB, SAP, Elastic, UiPath) — the re-rate everyone attributed to AI infrastructure is quietly migrating up the stack.
- On Holding — the company supposedly eating Nike's lunch — has now fallen 19.3% in seven sessions, nearly three times Nike's weekly decline. Even the cannibal is on the menu.
8. What I'd Tell a Friend
Nothing on the board says chase. The two trades that worked — energy and memory — both arrive at RSI levels where confirmation and exhaustion look identical, and the discount rack stays almost bare: five names under RSI 30 on the whole tracked tape at Monday's close, none of them quality. If you must act, the conditions are all waits: Micron on any hold above $1,000 that bases rather than gaps, Fabrinet's lane on the Keysight/ADI read-throughs Wednesday, Lululemon only if both trailing windows re-turn positive and $120 holds, Nike not before a weekly close back above $42.90 — and the quantum sleeve not at all, per today's board read. The one thing to watch: Home Depot's Tuesday open. If the consumer holds, the rotation broadens; if it cracks, the activewear markdown was the warning shot.
9. Market Vibe
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Flat index, churning insides — SPY −0.47% Monday inside an intact breakout tag while memory extended and consumer discretionary broke lower. |
| Risk appetite | 🟢 tilting on — the rotation gauge flipped to cyclicals-leading-defensives and VIX sits at 15.19, but the long bond's slide (TLT RSI 35.3) is the tightening undertow. |
| Key insight | The paid trades (energy, memory) both extended into overbought while the discount rack holds just five sub-30 RSI names — chase or wait is the whole decision space. |
10. Scan Dashboard
| Scan / read | Ran on | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| Settled sweep + summaries | Monday 2026-08-17 close | 1,862 rows Monday-fresh; 8 thin OTC stragglers labeled Friday |
| Rotation map | Monday close | Cyclicals leading; CPU-shortage chain, AI power, energy probing turns |
| Monster / climber tiers | Monday close | 482 qualifying names; 96 steady climbers (the trend-hold pool) |
| Washout-turn screen | Monday close | 69 turns; IREN the pedigreed standout |
| Stretch / exhaustion | Monday close | Refiners (RSI ~73–80) and Target still the stretched tier |
| Miss screen | Monday close | 77 movers ≥+30%/30d; 50 unclaimed — software cluster the pattern |
| Bench triggers | Monday close | None fired, none armed |
| News + social pass | Monday evening | 25 symbols + macro lanes; 5 curated finds shipped |
11. Front Page
Two full company deep dives shipped today, both born from the tape's ugliest corner: Nike — a franchise still in decline at a multi-year low, with the case for why $39 is quarantine territory rather than a bargain, and the exact level ($42.90) where that changes — and Lululemon — nine times trailing earnings, a halved operating margin, a founder proxy fight, and the turn signature that flickered out at Monday's close. Alongside them, the weekend's two reader pieces — the drone-trade-versus-defense-trade map and the End of Armor follow-up — carried their first live test Monday when Unusual Machines cracked 11.48% exactly where those pages said never to chase.
Monster Watch · 240 of 1092 tracked names
Sector Rotation Radar · 70 themes
Flow means 30-day relative strength versus SPY, not dollars moving: Inflow beat SPY by more than 2 points, Outflow trailed by more than 2, and Neutral stayed inside that band.
reference_jasonl_capital_kopn_check.md). Kopin Corporation, $3.97 microcap. Claimed: MicroLED… Escalation Neutral +4.1% 30D Escalation scenario watchlist — Gulf infrastructure strike / Iran retaliation plays. US LNG exporters (LNG/CQP/VG), industrial gas/helium (LIN/APD), NGL midstream (TRGP/EPD/ET/OKE), nat gas (UNG/FCG), LNG shipping… Macro Commodities Neutral +4.0% 30D Macro & commodities - oil (USO/BNO), natgas (UNG), gold (GLD/GDX/GDXJ/GDRZF), silver (SLV/SIL), copper (COPX), agriculture (DBA/WEAT/CORN/SOYB/AGRO), specialty chemicals (CE), uranium (URA), dollar (UUP), euro (FXE),… Healthcare Neutral +4.0% 30D Healthcare/Pharma/Medical Devices - Medical devices (SYK, ISRG, MDT, DXCM, ABT), pharma (PFE, MRK, LLY, GILD, AMGN, BIIB, VRTX, MRNA), healthcare services (JNJ, UNH, CVS), lab/diagnostics (TMO), life sciences software… Chemicals Neutral +3.4% 30D Chemicals & specialty materials — industrial cycle, energy input costs, diversified chemical producers. AI Power Neutral +3.2% 30D AI Power Bottleneck — Leopold Aschenbrenner's watts-per-rack thesis. Fuel cells (BE), distributed power (PSIX, BW), nat gas (EQT, LBRT, PUMP), BTC miners pivoting to AI compute (CORZ, IREN, APLD, CIFR, HUT, BTDR, CLSK,… Financials Neutral +3.1% 30D Financials - Banks/Investment firms (JPM, BAC, GS, MS, BLK), brokers (SCHW, HOOD), insurance (AMP, PGR, MET, BDN), fintech (FIS, FISV), card-network (COF — absorbed Discover/DFS via 2025 acquisition), exchanges (CME),… War Sensitivity Neutral +2.5% 30D War-sensitivity watchlist — stocks ranked by their reaction to ceasefire fake-outs (TACO trades). Tier 1 fast movers: COPX/JETS/UAE (5-9% pops). Tier 2 hidden oil-sensitive: W/RH/ATZ/AS (heavy-goods shipping costs).… Tech Neutral +2.5% 30D Big Tech Energy Neutral +2.4% 30D Energy - data center power (BE, EOSE, TAC, CEG, GEV, TLN), nuclear (CEG), solar (FSLR, ENPH), utilities (NEE). Overlaps with ai-infra for power plays. Grid Buildout Neutral +2.0% 30D Transformer, switchgear, electrical-equipment, and engineering contractors exposed to transmission and data-center grid buildout. China Tech Outflow +1.7% 30D Chinese internet and platform leaders with broad mainland, Hong Kong, and technology ETF exposure. Defensive Outflow +1.1% 30D Defensive/Value - ETFs (XLP consumer staples, XLU utilities). Telecom (T, VZ), consumer staples (WMT, MCD, COST, SBUX, TGT), food/protein (HRL, TSN, PPC), industrial (ECL), home improvement (HD, LOW). Rotation… Consumer Staples Outflow +0.4% 30D Consumer staples - Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, Colgate, Clorox, Mondelez, General Mills. Recession-proof dividend plays. BALL = Ball Corp aluminum packaging (KO/PEP customer supply-chain… Crypto Outflow 0.0% 30D Crypto: BTC, ETH, SOL, major alts (via yfinance -USD tickers), spot ETFs (IBIT, GBTC, ETHE, BITO), crypto equities (MSTR, COIN, miners), crypto ETF (BITQ) Mag7 Outflow -0.1% 30D Magnificent 7 - The seven largest US tech companies Retail Outflow -0.7% 30D Retail/Consumer - ETFs (XRT retail). Home Improvement (HD, LOW), E-commerce (SHOP), Athletic/Apparel (AS, LULU, NKE, DECK, CROX, ANF), Food/Beverage (SBUX, MCD, CMG, DPZ, YUM), General Retail (COST, WMT, TGT, TJX) EV Clean Energy Outflow -0.7% 30D EV makers + clean energy + related ETFs. Solar tracking (NXT Nextracker), industrial energy storage/batteries (ENS EnerSys). Lithium pure-plays added 2026-05-10 from… Watchlist Outflow -0.8% 30D Faang Outflow -0.8% 30D FAANG - Facebook (Meta), Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google Airlines Outflow -1.0% 30D Airlines — war-ends playbook beneficiary. Oil drop → margin expansion, leisure travel recovery. JETS ETF for broad exposure. (Removed 2026-05-04: HA absorbed by ALK via 2024 acquisition; SAVE bankrupt + delisted… Livestock Disease Outflow -1.0% 30D Livestock-disease / beef supply-shock — single consolidated watchlist + alert hub for the New World Screwworm → cattle-supply thesis (first US case 2026-06-03; US herd 75-yr low; record beef). ROLES: (A) Animal-health… Consumer Outflow -1.2% 30D Consumer brands - ETFs (XLY consumer discretionary). Athleisure (AS, LULU, NKE, DECK, CROX), food/beverage (SBUX, CMG, DPZ), health/wellness (HIMS), payments (PYPL, XYZ — Block Inc, ticker renamed from SQ in 2025),… Peptide Economy Outflow -3.2% 30D Peptide / GLP-1 economy — principals + next-gen pipeline + consumer/distribution layer. Surfaced 2026-05-05 as a coverage gap: no focused lens existed despite GLP-1s being the largest pharma run of the past 18 months.… Food Security Outflow -3.3% 30D Food security — geopolitical energy shock cascade play. Fertilizer (NTR Nutrien, MOS Mosaic, CF Industries), farm equipment (DE Deere), grain trading (ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland, BG Bunge Global — added 2026-05-10, $24B… Cultural Thesis Outflow -7.9% 30D Cultural thesis watchlist — stocks driven by consumer behavior shifts, social arbitrage signals, and cultural cascades. HIMS = telehealth / GLP-1 cultural arbitrage (replaced BRBR as the protein-economy vehicle… 12. Key Signals
- Rotation gauge flipped to cyclicals-leading-defensives at Monday's close — the week opens with a mild risk-on tilt.
- Early-turn probes: CPU-shortage supply chain (+6.5 acceleration; IBIDF, Credo, Amkor lead), AI power, and energy — the physical-AI layer keeps leading the map.
- Bench promotion triggers: none fired, none armed at Monday's close.
- Tripwires: two since Saturday, both triaged — the rotation-gauge flip above (verified against the fresh map) and CBRS raised to three convergence bells (noted on the board read; entry would be chasing a 14% gap past its trigger).
- Volatility: VIX 15.19, calm band; the volatility products sit at the macro board's lowest readings.
- Washout-turn watch: 69 names met the turn screen on Monday's close — IREN the standout with secular pedigree (+16.07% week, 41.59% off its high) — a watch class, not an entry pool.
Recorded signals · 52
13. Paper Trade Report Card
The systematic paper book ran its daily cycle and chose to do nothing: no fills, with the regime gates blocking all three entries the style rules wanted (the DRAM basket, tech, and oil) — the verification pass confirmed decision-for-decision parity. The book's one open position, a cloud-ETF stake from early August, rides at +4.03% (+$748.51) with its reference stop at $145.16. The conviction ladder recorded two documented passes today: CBRS (its early-August entry flag sat unhandled while the name ran 14% past the trigger — passing beats chasing) and AbCellera (flagged in-zone a week ago, now RSI 81.4 after a +73% month — the flagged entry is gone). Both re-arm on the next base. The persona books ran their scheduled daily pass this morning.
yolo $112,176 +12.2% 8 open · updated 2026-08-17
claude trader $109,798 +9.8% 22 open · updated 2026-08-17
dip buyer $100,000 0.0% 0 open · updated n/a
momentum trader $100,000 0.0% 0 open · updated n/a
bench signals $55,325 n/a 53 open · updated 2026-08-14
14. Active Perspectives
- Memory supercycle — strengthened. The complex extended on Sandisk's filed buyback week (+44.29% over seven sessions) and Micron's close through $1,000; the sold-out-2027-capacity claims circulating socially are flagged for primary-source verification, not yet treated as fact.
- Optical supercycle — strengthened. Fabrinet's +4.97% print day answered the lane's open question, and the supply chain leads the rotation map's early-turn strip; AAOI ran +51% on the month unclaimed — the lane's bench (Lumentum, Credo, AXT) caught three of its four runners.
- AI power bottleneck — intact, warming. The lane sits in the rotation map's probe strip; CoreWeave +20.16% and IREN +16.07% on the week.
- Cultural signals / consumer — damaged. The activewear complex repriced as a category with the winner (On) falling hardest; two deep dives now anchor the lane's read.
- China tech — unresolved. The baskets stabilized without a driver ever surfacing for last week's slide; the +22% domestic chip-revenue datapoint argues the structural story is intact underneath the tactical fog.
- Biotech capital cycle — watch the grade. AbCellera's +73% month is the lane's loudest print; the desk's own handling of its entry flag is graded in this week's internal accountability note.
AI Power Bottleneck — Watts Per Rack + Generation-Side active high latest 2026-08-14
AI Power Delivery — The 30% Parasitic Loss active high latest 2026-08-14
Gulf Infrastructure Strike Scenario monitoring low latest 2026-08-14
Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle monitoring low latest 2026-08-14
The Gold Anomaly — Broken Safe Haven monitoring low latest 2026-08-14
AI Optical Supercycle — Wave-Curve Rotation monitoring high latest 2026-08-14
US Energy Dominance — Blockade as Leverage (absorbed iran-war-oil) monitoring critical latest 2026-08-14
Memory Supercycle — DRAM/NAND/HBM Structural Tightness active high latest 2026-08-14
SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 monitoring high latest 2026-08-14
Nearline HDD Storage — Density-Led Oligopoly (allocated through 2027) monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14
Livestock Disease — New World Screwworm → Cattle-Supply Shock & Protein Rotation monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14
Biotech Capital Cycle — AI-Bio Platforms & Lab-Tools/CRO Picks-and-Shovels (IPO-Window Levered) monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14
Nuclear Fuel Cycle — AI-Driven Nuclear Demand (enrichment chokepoint + utility cash-flow) active medium latest 2026-08-14
CPU Shortage Supply Chain — Datacenter CPU Allocation + ABF Substrate Bottleneck monitoring high latest 2026-08-14
China Structural Discount — Multiple-Capped, Not Earnings-Capped (VIE / CCP / Macro Triptych) monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14
AI Capex Digestion — the Crowded-Trade Unwind active high latest 2026-08-14
Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) active medium latest 2026-08-14
Quantum Computing — The Sovereign-Catalyst Trade (Basket-First, Lottery Underneath) monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14
AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell monitoring medium latest 2026-08-14
Trump Policy Ticker Catalysts — Source-Tier Event Study monitoring low latest 2026-08-14
The Midterm Window — Q4 Turn Watch active medium latest 2026-08-14
Drone Defense — The Budget Line Item That Reshores active medium latest 2026-08-14
15. Scan Summary
The full settled sweep ran on Monday's close — 1,058 US names through the primary feed with fallbacks covering the residual; a handful of thin OTC mirrors could not be freshened and carry Friday's last-good data, labeled as such. On top of the sweep: the daily news pass (25 symbols plus the macro lanes), the social captures (including the day's five curated finds — the Anthropic run-rate report, the China chip-revenue datapoint, an AppLovin channel check, the memory capacity chatter, and a TPU-interconnect explainer), the monster and washout tier reads, the standing screener suite, the congressional disclosure pull (12 new July filings across two tracked members, including a Fabrinet sale disclosed the month it printed), and the weekly accountability review (internal). Fifty unclaimed +30% movers came out of the miss screen; the software-re-rate cluster among them is named above.
Recorded coverage: 2 required scans complete, 29 without a dated artifact. The complete receipt is under All Scans below.
Today's Actions · 42 NKE $39.09 · APP $311.98 · FSLR $217.85
exit · 3
entry · 39
MPC breaking out 1.4% off its 52-week high after a +11.9% week — a +39% three-month run, not a one-week pop trend-hold
PSX breaking out at a fresh 52-week high after a +11.6% week — a +34% three-month run, not a one-week pop
EQIX breaking out 2.4% off its 52-week high after a +5.2% week
GLD coming into play — 20.4% off its 52-week high with the tape turning up (+0.7% this week)
CEG coming into play — 32.3% off its 52-week high with the tape turning up (+2.9% this week) trend-hold
CME $280 coming into play — 16.2% off its 52-week high with the tape turning up (+1.6% this week) · in its $280 buy zone
ABCL $8.45 watch-grade call — 3 of 5 bells lit (research, trigger, advisory); trigger at $8.45 · overbought stretch trend-hold
CBRS $221.30 watch-grade call — 3 of 5 bells lit (research, trigger, tape); trigger at $221.30 trend-hold
LEU $177 watch-grade call — 3 of 5 bells lit (research, trigger, tape); trigger at $177 trend-hold
AOSL $30.00–34.50 in its $30.00–34.50 buy zone
BESIY $260–280 in its $260–280 buy zone
IBIT $42 in its $42 buy zone
NOCE $550–580 in its $550–580 buy zone
URA $52 in its $52 buy zone
DRAM $60.39 vwap reclaim — new this week
HIVE $3.07 bottom pop — new this week
KEEL $3.77 bottom pop — new this week
AAPL no setup today — drifting down, -0.8% this week, 11.2% off its 52-week high
AMZN no setup today — still in trend, -6.0% this week, 9.0% off its 52-week high
ARGX no setup today — still in trend, +14.1% this week, 1.4% off its 52-week high
ARM no setup today — drifting down, +1.4% this week, 40.0% off its 52-week high trend-hold
ARQQ no setup today — moving sideways, +8.9% this week, 60.7% off its 52-week high
GOOGL no setup today — drifting down, -3.8% this week, 15.8% off its 52-week high
HQ no setup today — moving sideways, +32.5% this week, 62.7% off its 52-week high
ILMN no setup today — still in trend, +0.7% this week, 6.7% off its 52-week high
INFQ no setup today — drifting up, +14.4% this week, 51.2% off its 52-week high
IONQ no setup today — still in trend, +10.2% this week, 44.7% off its 52-week high
LAES no setup today — drifting up, +13.2% this week, 66.7% off its 52-week high
MSFT no setup today — moving sideways, -5.0% this week, 12.7% off its 52-week high trend-hold
MU no setup today — still in trend, +17.5% this week, 19.4% off its 52-week high
NET no setup today — still in trend, -1.1% this week, 7.6% off its 52-week high
OUST no setup today — still in trend, +14.4% this week, 24.6% off its 52-week high
PL no setup today — under pressure, +5.6% this week, 52.9% off its 52-week high trend-hold
QBTS no setup today — under pressure, +3.4% this week, 55.4% off its 52-week high
QUBT no setup today — drifting up, +1.0% this week, 65.0% off its 52-week high
RGTI no setup today — drifting up, +5.8% this week, 67.9% off its 52-week high
SNDK no setup today — still in trend, +44.3% this week, 24.1% off its 52-week high
TSLA no setup today — under pressure, +2.5% this week, 32.0% off its 52-week high
XNDU no setup today — under pressure, +6.7% this week, 73.5% off its 52-week high
All Scans 2 complete · 29 without a dated artifact
market pulse missing
ai scan missing
ai infrastructure missing
biotech scan missing
nvda ecosystem missing
defensive scan missing
healthcare scan missing
consumer scan missing
retail scan missing
cloud etfs missing
cybersec missing
ev clean energy missing
etf universe missing
insider scan missing
bargain bin missing
tech insider buys missing
crypto scan missing
macro commodities missing
defense contractors missing
geopolitical risk missing
optical supply chain missing
drone defense missing
supply chain traces missing
wfe test metrology missing
food security missing
cultural thesis missing
airlines missing
chemicals missing
travel leisure missing
The desk's frozen record The machine-built sections as this issue recorded them — the tape, calls, and wires that were true on this date (desk plumbing and file-path lines removed for reading).
1 machine source could not be read when this issue was built — its record shows a partially degraded day.
Regime State
- State counts: collapse: 96, pullback: 358, uptrend: 279, downtrend: 133.
- Latest transition batch: 2026-08-17 vs 2026-08-14; 41 confirmed state-to-state flips, 0 entries, 0 exits.
- Confirmed flips: $AR pullback -> basing; $ARKQ pullback -> uptrend; $AXIA pullback -> too-young; $BDN pullback -> basing; $BUZZ pullback -> uptrend; $CENX pullback -> collapse.
Cross-sector Rotation
- Money rotating INTO Government Compute (RS +20.4, 17% strong-up), Optical Supply Chain (RS +18.5, 59% strong-up), Web Cloud (RS +15.3, 67% strong-up) — OUT OF Cultural Thesis (RS -11.9), Food Security (RS -7.2), Peptide Economy (RS -7.2). Benchmark SPY +4.0% 30d. ◔ EARLY TURN (accelerating, breadth unconfirmed — probe, not a call): CPU Shortage Supply Chain (accel +6.5, 44% up, led by IBIDF/CRDO/AMKR), AI Power (accel +4.5, 32% up, led by WYFI/VICR/CRWV), Energy (accel +3.2, 42% up, led by BE/GEV/CMBT). Fading leaders: Government Compute (accel -6.9), Copper (accel -7.1), Cloud ETFS (accel -4.3), Cloud SAAS (accel -4.3), Drone Defense (accel -4.4), Defense Contractors (accel -3.1).
- ⚡ Front-run: no emerging sectors clearing the acceleration + breadth bar this run.
Volatility Gate
- VIX 15.19 (CALM) · 1d +6.6%. 😴 VIX CALM — 15.19 (<16). Complacent; no fear discount available.
- No fire-sale trigger (rule: >=30% one-day spike is the trigger; the level alone is context).
- Credit tape (7d): HYG +0.2% · LQD -0.2% · IEF +0.1% — the flush-vs-break discriminator: orderly credit means the selling is positioning, not a credit event.
Upcoming Prints (next 72h)
- 2026-08-17 — $FN, $BHP
- 2026-08-18 — $HD, $KEYS, $BIDU, $AS, $KLAR, $SQM, $HSAI
- 2026-08-19 — $ADI, $TJX, $TGT, $LOW, $WOLF, $FLNG
- 2026-08-20 — $WMT, $BABA, $DE, $NTES
Tripwires
- Tripwires: no new trips since the 2026-08-17 duty pass.
Desk Calls
| Ticker | Stance | Entry | Review-by | 30d vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $AVAV | watch | a pullback that bases in the $163-$180 band — the reclaimed 20-day ($165.70), 50-day… | 2026-09-15 | pending |
| $AXON | watch | a pullback that holds the $576.14 shelf or the 20-day ($556.43) | 2026-09-30 | pending |
| $ITA | pass | no entry 2.69% off a 52-week high with RSI 64.4; the wrapper prices the primes, not… | 2026-09-30 | pending |
| $KTOS | pass | no entry while price sits 12.3% below the 200-day ($73.65) with a death cross intact… | 2026-09-30 | pending |
| $RCAT | pass | no entry after a +20.85% week that stalled at the anchored VWAP from the low… | 2026-09-30 | pending |
| $UMAC | watch | a pullback that bases in $21-$24, where the value-area high ($21.09), 50-day… | 2026-10-09 | pending |
| $DUST | pass | n/a — the inverse side of the same instrument problem | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $GDX | watch | don't chase RSI 70.3 after a +21.31% week — a first pullback that holds the 200-day… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $GLD | watch | a close above the 200-day ($411.70) that holds with RSI above 55; $445 reopens the… | 2026-09-04 | pending |
| $MU | watch | reclaims and holds the 20-day ($888.26) with RSI back above 50 | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $NUGT | pass | n/a — leveraged miner exposure compounds the whipsaw that already makes miners the… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $SIL | watch | above its 200-day by 2.4% but RSI 67.1 after +20.0% — same pullback discipline as… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $SIMO | watch | price back above the 20-day ($264.25) with the 30-day loss narrowing | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $SLV | watch | the laggard of the complex at 9.8% below its 200-day ($63.76) — a reclaim of that… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $SNDK | pass | no entry while price sits 13.0% below the 20-day ($1,393.06) and 28.2% below the… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $STX | watch | holds the 20-day ($834.21) and turns RSI back above 50 | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $UUP | watch | n/a — the dollar at RSI 39.5 is the tailwind, not the trade | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $WDC | watch | not before the Aug 5 call's allocation and gross-margin language is public and read;… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $GLD | watch | a close above the 200-day ($411.72) that holds with RSI above 55; $445 reopens the… | 2026-09-04 | pending |
| $CVX | watch | strongest RSI in the upstream cohort (67.2) — hold above the 20-day (~$185.34) to… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $GLD | watch | this is a signal to watch, not a trade — a reclaim of the 20-day (~$373.15) would be… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $HAL | avoid | not a trend-hold candidate yet — wait for a base and a reclaim of the 50-day… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $PSX | watch | RSI is a hair under overbought (69.7) — wait for a pullback to the 20-day (~$200.76)… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $USO | watch | the -5.5% weekly pullback holds above the 20-day (~$121.96) — a normal pullback… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $VLO | watch | same setup as PSX — a pullback to the 20-day (~$295.63); note this row is one… | 2026-09-11 | pending |
| $CEG | watch | reclaim the 20-day (~$256) with hyperscaler spending language intact on the Jul… | 2026-08-08 (overdue) | pending |
| $ELAN | watch (invalidation?) | a volume-confirmed (at least average volume) close through the 52-week high… | 2026-08-14 (overdue) | pending |
| $GEV | watch | held the AI unwind at −5%; reclaim the 20-day (~$1,085) and print a higher low | 2026-08-08 (overdue) | pending |
| $LEU | watch | first higher low after a clean Jul 29–30 capex read — the −18% month is a beta… | 2026-08-08 (overdue) | pending |
| $CLMT | pass | RSI 83 on 2.7x volume, +165% in a year — parabolic-chaser material, not trend-hold;… | 2026-09-04 | +7.2% |
| $DK | pass | reopen if it builds a multi-week base above the 20-day ($52.58) and resumes — a… | 2026-09-04 | +0.2% |
| $MPC | watch | the lane's quality large-cap; interest begins on the first pullback that HOLDS the… | 2026-08-21 | +9.5% |
| $MU | watch (in zone) | Friday printed a reversal bar (low $804, closed $848.95); a close above that bar's… | 2026-08-14 (overdue) | +12.8% |
| $NVDA | watch (in zone) | the general never broke (−3.7% in 30 days vs the ETF's −15.7%); a reclaim of its… | 2026-08-14 (overdue) | +6.6% |
| $PANW | watch | the lane's strongest structure (-2.7% from its 52-week high, +83% on the year);… | 2026-09-04 | +3.6% |
| $PL | watch (invalidation?) | untouchable while the knife falls (RSI 30, −14% on the week); interest begins when… | 2026-09-11 | +6.0% |
| $PSX | watch | the diversified laggard of the three (+70% on the year, midstream/chem mix dilutes… | 2026-08-21 | +11.1% |
| $S | watch | the laggard catching up (+30% in 30 days, still only +9% on the year and -8.6% from… | 2026-09-10 | +8.0% |
| $SMH | watch (invalidation?) | the complex switch: first close back above the 50-day ($597.33) after a higher low,… | 2026-08-14 (overdue) | +2.2% |
| $STX | watch (in zone) | the complex's only accumulation-shaped bar: +5.7% on 1.35× volume, closed near the… | 2026-08-14 (overdue) | +19.9% |
| $VLO | watch | best 12-month tape of the pure refiners (+117%); same frame — first 20-day hold… | 2026-08-21 | +7.1% |
| $ARM | watch (in zone) | reclaim the pre-registered $270 line and hold it — the trigger the thesis flag broke… | 2026-08-08 (overdue) | -2.4% |
| $CCJ | watch | washed out at RSI 30 — wait for the $84 shelf to hold and a first higher low; the… | 2026-09-15 | +11.2% |
| $CEG | watch (in zone) | the merchant bellwether needs a turn signature, not a dip-buy — a base under the… | 2026-09-15 | +6.3% |
| $DUK | watch (invalidation?) | the one working expression — regulated rate-base growth from the same demand; a… | 2026-09-15 | -5.1% |
| $LEU | watch (in zone) | only after a full-quarter base — the enrichment monopoly story is intact but the… | 2026-10-01 | +14.0% |
| $MU | watch | gated on the prints, not the chart — a storage/memory print (STX Jul 28, WDC Jul 29,… | 2026-08-08 (overdue) | +15.2% |
| $NVDA | watch | the R1 playbook leg — hold the 20-day retest (~$202) through the July 28–29 storage… | 2026-08-08 (overdue) | +7.0% |
| $TLN | watch (invalidation?) | the strongest tape of the merchants — hold the $360 shelf and the 200-day (~$371),… | 2026-09-15 | -8.1% |
| $VST | watch (invalidation?) | reclaim the 200-day (~$166) and hold it — first sign the derate is done | 2026-09-15 | -9.9% |
| $ABCL | watch (in zone) | the pop already happened (Feb low $2.78 to a $8.44 high) — this is the first flag;… | 2026-08-31 | +25.3% |
| $CBRS | watch (in zone) | a close above the post-flush bounce high ($221.30) confirms the higher low and… | 2026-08-31 | +13.0% |
| $META | watch (invalidation?) | second reclaim attempt off a higher low — buy interest is a close above ~$665,… | 2026-08-31 | -8.6% |
| $MSFT | watch (in zone) | no turn signature yet — interest begins at the 200-day reclaim (~$442) after a base;… | 2026-10-01 | +28.8% |
| $NTLA | watch (invalidation?) | golden cross, +31% month, and a fresh impulse into $18.48 on July 2 — buy interest… | 2026-08-31 | -25.0% |
| $ORCL | pass | reopen when the knife stops: the February low ($136) holds on this retest AND a +7%… | 2026-10-01 | +2.3% |
| $AXTI | pass | reopen only if it bases above its 200-day (~$42.55) for a full quarter AND revenue… | 2026-10-01 | +43.6% |
| $CIFR | pass | reopen only on revenue inflecting up AND visible de-leveraging of the $4.4B debt stack | 2026-10-01 | -25.1% |
| $CORZ | pass | reopen on a recapitalization that restores positive equity with the CoreWeave… | 2026-10-01 | -14.3% |
| $CRDO | buy (in zone) | elite fundamentals (33% operating margin on $1.34B FY26 revenue) with the… | 2026-09-15 | -7.1% |
| $CRWV | pass | reopen only on a financing regime change — interest expense stabilizing while… | 2026-10-01 | -3.0% |
| $EQT | watch | the fundamentals are the best in the sweep (net income nearly quadrupled in two… | 2026-10-01 | -2.4% |
| $HUT | pass | reopen on a financed capacity deal that closes the gap between $160M of cash and… | 2026-10-01 | -20.3% |
| $KGS | buy (invalidation?) | the sleeper — record Q1, raised full-year guidance to include the Distributed Power… | 2026-08-15 (overdue) | -18.0% |
| $MXL | watch (in zone) | wire-flagged inflection but already a 4.5x over the year and −16% this week on no… | 2026-08-15 (overdue) | -16.6% |
| $NBIS | buy (in zone) | pullback within an intact uptrend — buy the 50-day reclaim at ~$217, which says the… | 2026-08-31 | -16.9% |
| $OKTA | pass | the rotation's confirming leader — but RSI 78 and 3% off its high is chasing; reopen… | 2026-09-15 | -2.7% |
| $TER | buy (in zone) | the −21% week has no company event behind it — Q1 revenue rose 87% with a 21% EPS… | 2026-08-15 (overdue) | +4.2% |
| $WDAY | watch | the earnings proof-point of the rotation (beat + raised subscription guide) but… | 2026-09-15 | +26.6% |
| $WULF | watch (invalidation?) | the $2.63B war chest has to start converting into hosting revenue on the P&L — watch… | 2026-08-15 (overdue) | -28.9% |
| $SKHY | watch (in zone) | first clean post-debut base — not the open (debut ~2026-07-10) | 2026-09-01 | n/a |
| $ZM | watch (in zone) | 2 consecutive quarters of accelerating revenue; base over $92 | 2026-09-01 | +16.0% |
| $MU | buy | own the up-cycle with cycle sizing — record DRAM/HBM pricing power, HBM booked… | 2026-09-01 | -12.0% |
| $SNDK | watch | only on evidence the +69% NAND operating margin is a baseline, not the peak — two… | 2026-09-01 | -20.8% |
| $STX | buy | own the cleanest un-hyped inflection — nearline-HDD margins compounding 23%→32% over… | 2026-09-01 | -5.3% |
| $WDC | buy | same nearline thesis as STX — margins 10%→36% on the same AI storage driver, no hype… | 2026-09-01 | -7.7% |
A desk call is an authored stance from a published report; entry and invalidation conditions are human-read, and the full ledger lives at /calls.
30d vs SPY is the raw name-vs-SPY move since the call — for trim/sell calls a NEGATIVE number means the call worked (the name fell after it).
From the Feeds
Curated picks from the last 7 days of the X / Reddit / Discord / web sweep — items the desk read and kept, not the raw capture firehose. Source: -pick- (type: curated-find).
𝕏@IPONewsroom_ (via Bloomberg) — Anthropic run-rate passes $65B ahead of its IPO - up sevenfold in seven months · link- The single loudest AI-demand datapoint of the day: a $65B run-rate hit by end of July, shared with investors ahead of the IPO. Direct fuel for the ai-mega-ipo liquidity-regime thesis - the listing everyone is positioning around now has a revenue base to price.
𝕏@KobeissiLetter — Chinese chip industry revenue +22% YoY to a record $245B · link- The cartographer number of the day: domestic Chinese IC revenue nearly doubled since 2020. Context for every export-control debate and for the China-baskets selloff the desk has been tracking without a driver - the domestic substitution engine is not slowing.
𝕏@SemiAnalysis_ — SemiAnalysis on Google's TPU interconnect: 2D torus to 3D torus and what it buys · link- Same-day technical thread on the TPU interconnect lineage - the physical-layer detail behind the custom-silicon vs GPU debate, and context for the optical/ai-infra lane's read on where scale-up networks go next.
𝕏@amitisinvesting — APP channel check: a former AppLovin employee on the ad-model moat $APP $META $GOOGL · link- Qualitative channel check on a consider-board name from a followed account: former-employee color on whether AppLovin's targeting edge survives Meta/Google competition. Use the ping, verify the claims - it is one person's view of a former employer.
𝕏@ParadisLabs — Memory bull consolidation: 2027 DRAM and HBM capacity reportedly sold out $MU $SNDK · link- A tidy consolidation of the memory-supercycle case the week after Sandisk's +35% filed-buyback week: sold-out 2027 capacity claims across all three DRAM makers. Attributed to FundaAI/Digitimes - claims to verify against primary sources, but squarely on the desk's #1 lane.
webBloomberg — Chicago joins the data-center moratorium push · link- Chicago’s mayor is seeking a temporary data-center moratorium and new development rules. This is a second live state/local siting constraint after New York: useful evidence that power and permitting scarcity can raise the value of existing capacity while slowing greenfield delivery.
webVikram Sekar — Viks Newsletter — where copper and optics still contradict each other · link- A fresh physics-down field read from OCP APAC on where rack connectivity remains copper and where bandwidth, reach, and power force optics. It is useful for testing the optical-supercycle boundary conditions instead of assuming every link converts at once.
𝕏Photon Capital — COHR’s AI mix and InP capacity ramp $COHR · link- A useful, explicitly secondary synthesis of Coherent’s quarter: AI infrastructure is becoming the revenue center while internal InP output remains the upstream capacity question. Read it as a map back to the company call, not as primary authority; it directly informs the optical-supercycle constraint watch.
web— The photonics desk's COHR scorecard: $2.05B at the top of guide $COHR $CIEN $NOK $LITE · [link](@crux_capital_ on X)- Coherent printed Q4 revenue of $2.05B, up 34% year over year and at the very top of its own guide, per @crux_capital_'s same-day read — and the account graded the print against the pre-earnings checklist it published hours before (6-inch InP ramp, gross-margin path toward 42%, the 1.6T transceiver ramp, the $4B+ OCS o…
𝕏— The Kobeissi Letter — memory is now the tape: NVDA, MU and SNDK are three of the four most-traded US stocks $NVDA $MU $TSLA $SNDK · link- One datapoint that shows how far the memory trade has come: Micron alone now turns over nearly as much notional as Nvidia, and SanDisk out-trades almost everything else on the tape. Crowding is the flip side — the lane's #1 risk has always been that everyone gets in.
𝕏— SemiAnalysis — TileRT compiles the whole model into one persistent GPU kernel, claiming 1.9x decode interactivity on the same Blackwell chips $NVDA · link- Software squeezing 2x more interactive inference out of the same NVIDIA silicon cuts at the core pitch of the dedicated inference-ASIC vendors (Groq, Cerebras, SambaNova) — and raises effective utilization per deployed GPU, which feeds the power-per-rack math the AI-power lane tracks.
Filings
- NEW: $NVDA 8-K filed 2026-08-17 (period 2026-08-17)
- NEW: $QBTS 8-K filed 2026-08-17 (period 2026-08-13)
- NEW: $ARGX 6-K filed 2026-08-17 (period 2026-08-17)
- NEW: $ILMN 8-K filed 2026-08-17 (period 2026-08-17)
- NEW: $DDOG 4 filed 2026-08-17 (period 2026-08-13)
- NEW: $DDOG 4 filed 2026-08-17 (period 2026-08-13)
- NEW: $LITE 10-K filed 2026-08-17 (period 2026-06-27)
- NEW: $MDT DEF 14A filed 2026-08-17 (period 2026-10-15)
- Last 14 days: $NVDA 8-K (2026-08-17); $QBTS 8-K (2026-08-17); $ARGX 6-K (2026-08-17); $ILMN 8-K (2026-08-17); $DDOG 4 (2026-08-17); $DDOG 4 (2026-08-17); $LITE 10-K (2026-08-17); $MDT DEF 14A (2026-08-17); ….
Breadth And Movers
Price truth: *; primary summary date 2026-08-17. Row dates: 2026-08-18: 14, 2026-08-17: 1863, 2026-08-14: 7.
- Summary coverage: 1863/1884 rows at 2026-08-17; 1072 unique symbols after de-duplication.
- Unique-symbol breadth: 478 up, 584 down, 10 flat; median 1D change -0.2%.
- Market-pulse breadth: 14 up, 28 down, 0 flat; median 1D change -0.2% from market-pulse.
Top gainers by 1D change (filtered to price >= $1, dollar volume >= $50M, finite RSI):
| Symbol | 1D | 7D | 30D | RSI | Signal | Price | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $AXTI | +17.6% | +30.0% | +109.3% | 65.6 | Overbought | $95.97 | monster-discoveries |
| $ARGX | +16.0% | +14.1% | +14.8% | 68.4 | Overbought | $987.84 | focus |
| $CBRS | +15.1% | +9.3% | +45.8% | 58.2 | neutral | $251.98 | neoclouds |
| $HIVE | +14.1% | +17.2% | +7.7% | 53.0 | weak-down | $3.07 | ai-power |
| $MVLL | +11.1% | +25.2% | +43.0% | 54.7 | weak-down | $30.76 | etf-ideas |
Top laggards by 1D change (same filter):
| Symbol | 1D | 7D | 30D | RSI | Signal | Price | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $UMAC | -11.5% | +11.3% | +78.1% | 61.9 | strong-up | $30.15 | drone-defense |
| $SSPC | -9.0% | -14.0% | -45.2% | 38.7 | neutral | $10.01 | etf-ideas |
| $WING | -8.3% | -1.6% | -18.7% | 38.7 | strong-down | $115.72 | livestock-disease |
| $RDDT | -7.6% | +3.6% | -9.2% | 48.4 | strong-down | $164.50 | watching |
| $AMPX | -7.4% | -2.2% | +14.0% | 50.2 | strong-down | $11.58 | monster-discoveries |
Targets In Zone
| Target | Anchor date | Tickers | Mechanical status | Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AOSL entry-zone — $30.00-$34.50 | 2026-08-14 | $AOSL | IN ZONE — $31.07 inside $30–$34.50, trend weak-down | $30.00-$34.50 |
| AVAV profit-target — $276.00 | 2026-08-14 | $AVAV | APPROACHING — $181.13 is 34.4% below the $276 target, trend weak-up | $276.00 |
| AVAV stop-loss — $158.00 | 2026-08-14 | $AVAV | HOLDING — $181.13 is 14.6% above the $158 stop | $158.00 |
| UMAC profit-target — $45.00 | 2026-08-14 | $UMAC | APPROACHING — $30.15 is 33.0% below the $45 target, trend strong-up | $45.00 |
| UMAC stop-loss — $18.50 | 2026-08-14 | $UMAC | HOLDING — $30.15 is 63.0% above the $18.50 stop | $18.50 |
| GDX profit-target — $115.00 | 2026-08-08 | $GDX | APPROACHING — $91.89 is 20.1% below the $115 target, trend up | $115.00 |
| GDX stop-loss — $85.00 | 2026-08-08 | $GDX | HOLDING — $91.89 is 8.1% above the $85 stop | $85.00 |
| NVTS entry-zone — $8-$10 | 2026-07-31 | $NVTS | APPROACHING — $14.58 is 45.8% above $8–$10; waiting for the pullback | $8-$10 |
Convergence Leaders
- Stocks in projection: 762;
convergentCount9;divergentCount21.