Biotech Scan
Biotech Scan
The cohort's overbought club is now fully empty for the first time this scan has tracked — $IQV, the last name standing at RSI 72.4, cooled to 69.6 — while $RARE crashed into extreme oversold territory (RSI 21.1, a 22.1-point single-scan drop) on elevated volume (3.2x average), the first name this cut has shown below 25. $ALNY and $LEGN both posted double-digit RSI surges (+15.0 and +9.7) that look like recoveries on the surface, but both remain below their 200-day average with deeply negative year-over-year returns — a clean example of why the RSI number alone can mislead. $ISRG continues its relapse for a fifth straight scan, unchanged as the cohort's most persistent structural concern alongside $ALNY and $LEGN.
Data as-of the 2026-09-04 close (Friday's settled session) — every name in this cut carries a fresh bar this scan.
Source: biotech-scan.json. Prior scan: 2026-08-28-biotech-scan.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 A third straight cooldown scan — the overbought club is now empty and $RARE crashed into extreme oversold — but the broad cohort's long-trend picture is unchanged |
| Leaders | $IQV (RSI 69.6, the cut's highest print, no longer above 70); $SRPT (68.0, up 21.9% on the year) |
| Laggards | $RARE (21.1, crashed into extreme oversold on 3.2x average volume); $COGT (38.8, still testing its 200-day from below); $IMVT (39.0) |
| Key insight | $RARE's crash (43.2 → 21.1) has no cause established in this scan's checked sources — news was pulled 2026-09-04 with zero items, and no matching stock-event was found |
What's Going On
$RARE is this scan's clearest casualty and its only extreme-oversold name: RSI fell from 43.2 to 21.1, a 22.1-point drop, on relative volume of 3.2x its average — a sharp, high-conviction move. The stock is down 40.3% for the week and 51.1% over the past year, 41.1% below its 200-day average, with a badly negative alpha of -69.7. News for $RARE was pulled on 2026-09-04 and returned zero items, and no matching event was found in the stock-events log — the cause of this move is not established in this scan's sources, and this scan does not speculate on one.
$ALNY and $LEGN both posted the cut's sharpest RSI gains this scan — $ALNY jumped 15.0 points (47.2 to 62.2) on a 12.2% weekly gain, and $LEGN gained 9.7 points (40.5 to 50.2) on an 8.2% weekly move. Read the RSI numbers alone and both look like recoveries. They aren't: $ALNY remains 17.1% below its 200-day average with a year-over-year return of -41.3% and an alpha of -60.0; $LEGN sits 7.0% below its 200-day with a year-over-year return of -38.5% and an alpha of -57.2. Both names are still failing the long-trend test even as their short-term RSI prints look mid-range — the same misleading-RSI signature this cut has flagged before, just with a different pair of names carrying it this scan.
$COGT continues to test its 200-day average from below after last scan's initial cross: RSI ticked up slightly (37.1 to 38.8) and it remains 5.9% below its 200-day, though its year-over-year return is still enormous (+168.6%, cooled from +187.0%). $IMVT also cooled (47.5 to 39.0, an 8.5-point drop on a flat week) but stays 28.4% above its 200-day with a year-over-year return of +143.5% — a deep pullback rather than a breakdown, unlike $COGT's more genuine 200-day test.
The cohort's overbought club is now empty for the first time this scan's tracking has shown — two scans ago it held nine names, last scan it held one ($IQV at 72.4), and this scan $IQV itself cooled to 69.6, just under the line. That's a third consecutive scan of broad cooling across the cut's hottest names. Despite the cooldown, the majority of the cohort — twenty-plus names including $ABBV, $BMRN, $INCY, $KYMR, $XBI, $BIIB, $ILMN, $GILD, $VRTX, $DHR, $AMGN, $SRPT, $TMO — remain above their 200-day averages with strongly positive year-over-year returns, unchanged from the prior two scans. $ISRG remains the cut's most persistent genuine breakdown, now a fifth straight scan below its 200-day (-20.9%) with a negative year-over-year return (-19.3%). $DNA, $IONS, $NVO, and $RXRX also continue to fail the long-trend test, the same smaller/speculative group flagged repeatedly.
What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-08-28)
- $RARE crashed into extreme oversold territory. RSI 43.2 → 21.1 (-22.1), price down 40.3% for the week on 3.2x average volume — the first sub-25 print this cut has tracked, and no cause established in checked news/events.
- $ALNY posted the cut's largest positive RSI move. RSI 47.2 → 62.2 (+15.0), price up 12.2% for the week — still 17.1% below its 200-day with a -41.3% year-over-year return.
- $LEGN also surged on the RSI. RSI 40.5 → 50.2 (+9.7) — still 7.0% below its 200-day with a -38.5% year-over-year return, the same misleading-RSI pattern as $ALNY.
- $DHR cooled sharply. RSI 63.6 → 50.5 (-13.1), still up 4.3% over the year and 2.4% above its 200-day.
- $DXCM cooled hard. RSI 63.5 → 52.9 (-10.6), still up 8.8% on the year.
- $RXRX gained on elevated volume. RSI 51.1 → 59.7 (+8.6), relative volume 2.0x average — still 19.7% down on the year and just below its 200-day.
- The overbought club emptied for the first time this scan has tracked. $IQV was the last name above RSI 70 last scan (72.4); it cooled to 69.6 this scan.
- $ISRG continues its relapse for a fifth straight scan — year-over-year return -21.4% → -19.3% (slightly better), vs-200-day -20.5% → -20.9% (slightly worse) — essentially unchanged at a persistent breakdown level.
- No stale bars this scan — every name carries a fresh 2026-09-04 close.
- Universe unchanged. Same 40 tickers as the prior scan.
How To Read The Board
RSI measures how stretched a stock is over the past 14 sessions — under 30 signals oversold, over 70 signals overbought/extended. vs SMA20 is the price gap to the 20-day average; a large negative number means a fast recent decline. 1Y% and vs SMA200 are the two numbers that matter most for judging whether a cooldown is a breakdown or a pullback: a name trading above its 200-day average with a solidly positive year-over-year return is in a pullback inside an intact multi-year trend even after a sharp RSI move — $COGT and $IMVT both fit that read this scan. A name trading below its 200-day average with a flat-to-negative year, like $ISRG, $ALNY, $LEGN, and now $RARE, is the one genuinely under structural test — this scan is a clean example of why a rising RSI ($ALNY +15.0, $LEGN +9.7) doesn't clear that test on its own.
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RARE | $15.30 | 21.1 | $25.03 | -38.9% | -40.3% | -38.6% | -30.2% | -51.1% | -41.1% | 🔴 Extreme oversold, breakdown |
| COGT | $34.76 | 38.8 | $36.70 | -5.3% | +0.3% | -17.8% | +12.1% | +168.6% | -5.9% | 🟡 Testing 200-day, still +169% 1Y |
| IMVT | $39.25 | 39.0 | $42.15 | -6.9% | -4.7% | -0.1% | +26.2% | +143.5% | +28.4% | 🟡 Cooled further, still intact |
| LLY | $1,149.36 | 41.3 | $1,202.60 | -4.4% | -2.1% | -1.8% | +1.6% | +54.7% | +8.1% | 🟡 Deep pullback, intact |
| ISRGE | $366.70 | 43.0 | $381.71 | -3.9% | -1.6% | -2.3% | -13.1% | -19.3% | -20.9% | 🔴 Breakdown, 5th straight scan |
| DNA | $6.95 | 44.3 | $7.12 | -2.4% | -0.4% | -25.8% | -15.5% | -40.5% | -16.4% | 🔴 Breakdown, speculative |
| IONS | $58.09 | 44.8 | $59.49 | -2.4% | -4.8% | +7.2% | -22.0% | -2.1% | -20.9% | 🔴 Weak, near-flat 1Y |
| NVO | $46.60 | 49.1 | $46.49 | +0.2% | +2.2% | +4.7% | +8.5% | -17.0% | +0.6% | 🔴 Flat-to-down 1Y, weak alpha |
| PTGX | $145.72 | 49.4 | $150.91 | -3.4% | +0.8% | +6.1% | +49.6% | +144.5% | +37.4% | 🟡 Cooled, uptrend intact |
| ABBV | $256.46 | 50.2 | $257.54 | -0.4% | +0.3% | +4.2% | +12.9% | +20.4% | +12.3% | 🟡 Uptrend |
| LEGN | $21.52 | 50.2 | $21.12 | +1.9% | +8.2% | +13.0% | -34.0% | -38.5% | -7.0% | 🔴 RSI surged, still breakdown |
| DHR | $207.66 | 50.5 | $210.23 | -1.2% | -3.9% | +4.0% | +12.7% | +4.3% | +2.4% | 🟡 Modest uptrend |
| CRSP | $55.79 | 50.7 | $56.55 | -1.4% | -3.4% | +6.4% | +7.6% | +5.8% | +4.8% | 🟡 Pullback, intact |
| KYMR | $117.39 | 51.8 | $118.91 | -1.3% | -0.5% | +11.3% | +58.4% | +178.2% | +31.8% | 🟡 Uptrend |
| NTLA | $12.74 | 52.1 | $12.55 | +1.5% | -1.0% | +16.1% | -5.9% | +9.6% | +1.5% | 🟡 Deep pullback, intact |
| DXCM | $87.90 | 52.9 | $89.89 | -2.2% | -3.2% | +6.3% | +20.6% | +8.8% | +24.0% | 🟡 Pullback, intact |
| NKTR | $74.19 | 53.0 | $74.11 | +0.1% | +2.1% | +1.5% | +29.4% | +106.2% | +14.3% | 🟡 Uptrend, intact |
| LABU | $303.55 | 53.3 | $302.98 | +0.2% | +2.6% | +18.7% | +89.4% | +291.6% | +52.0% | 🟡 3x-leveraged, not a hold |
| A | $150.86 | 54.0 | $152.12 | -0.8% | -1.9% | +6.9% | +11.4% | +17.4% | +14.6% | 🟡 Uptrend |
| BNTX | $103.76 | 54.0 | $102.77 | +1.0% | +1.6% | +12.6% | +17.8% | +0.3% | +6.2% | 🔴 Flat 1Y, weak alpha |
| BEAM | $29.66 | 54.3 | $28.56 | +3.9% | +1.2% | +9.6% | +0.9% | +60.0% | +4.0% | 🟡 Deep pullback, intact |
| XBI | $163.81 | 55.1 | $162.99 | +0.5% | +0.9% | +7.1% | +27.3% | +75.3% | +21.0% | 🟡 Cohort ETF, uptrend |
| INCY | $126.75 | 56.2 | $125.21 | +1.2% | +1.9% | +5.8% | +23.8% | +48.4% | +21.0% | 🟡 Uptrend |
| BMRN | $66.53 | 56.3 | $66.93 | -0.6% | +2.9% | +11.1% | +17.2% | +17.2% | +15.0% | 🟡 Uptrend |
| TMO | $613.78 | 57.4 | $611.93 | +0.3% | -1.3% | +6.2% | +29.8% | +25.4% | +14.5% | 🟡 Cooled, healthy |
| EDIT | $3.23 | 57.5 | $3.03 | +6.4% | +2.2% | +17.5% | +19.2% | +28.2% | +23.6% | 🟡 Pullback, intact |
| BIIB | $220.83 | 58.0 | $215.77 | +2.3% | +1.1% | +6.9% | +13.1% | +57.8% | +15.6% | 🟢 Healthy uptrend |
| ILMN | $218.22 | 58.6 | $208.52 | +4.7% | +1.2% | +9.2% | +34.4% | +123.4% | +43.7% | 🟢 Healthy uptrend, cooled |
| VRTX | $546.12 | 59.4 | $538.78 | +1.4% | +0.8% | +12.6% | +22.2% | +37.6% | +17.2% | 🟢 Healthy |
| RXRX | $3.63 | 59.7 | $3.36 | +8.0% | +8.7% | +14.5% | +9.3% | -19.7% | -0.5% | 🔴 Breakdown, speculative |
| IBBQ | $36.05 | 60.3 | $35.46 | +1.7% | +1.6% | +9.5% | +23.9% | +51.5% | +18.9% | 🟡 Cohort ETF, uptrend |
| IBB | $211.92 | 60.5 | $208.59 | +1.6% | +1.4% | +10.5% | +25.8% | +51.0% | +19.4% | 🟡 Cohort ETF, uptrend |
| REGN | $827.72 | 60.5 | $817.75 | +1.2% | +4.2% | +7.7% | +30.3% | +45.9% | +13.0% | 🟡 Cooled, uptrend intact |
| ALNY | $266.11 | 62.2 | $237.64 | +12.0% | +12.2% | +16.4% | -12.2% | -41.3% | -17.1% | 🔴 RSI surged, still breakdown |
| AMGN | $437.23 | 62.5 | $430.34 | +1.6% | +1.1% | +7.8% | +25.8% | +56.1% | +23.4% | 🟢 Breakout |
| MRNA | $145.55 | 63.2 | $117.96 | +23.4% | +5.5% | +158.7% | +206.8% | +499.5% | +165.5% | 🟠 Extreme move, high-variance |
| MDT | $94.17 | 64.5 | $91.73 | +2.7% | +3.3% | +9.5% | +15.3% | +1.4% | +5.0% | 🔴 Flat 1Y, weak alpha |
| GILD | $151.00 | 67.7 | $144.35 | +4.6% | +3.6% | +14.6% | +16.9% | +33.9% | +12.4% | 🟢 Healthy uptrend |
| SRPT | $22.50 | 68.0 | $19.71 | +14.1% | +7.9% | +41.2% | +42.9% | +21.9% | +17.3% | 🟠 Extended, healthy |
| IQV | $267.77 | 69.6 | $254.01 | +5.4% | +2.3% | +13.4% | +46.0% | +45.5% | +32.6% | 🟠 Extended, cooled off overbought |
Tier Analysis
Extreme Oversold (RSI < 25)
$RARE (21.1) — the first name this cut has shown below 25, on 3.2x average volume with no cause established in checked news/events. Down 51.1% over the year and 41.1% below its 200-day, this is a genuine breakdown, not a bounce setup.
Oversold (RSI 25-40)
$COGT (38.8), $IMVT (39.0) — two names, down from three (RARE, COGT, and none else were near this band before, but $COGT alone occupied 25-40 last scan). $IMVT is still 28.4% above its 200-day with a huge year-over-year return; $COGT continues testing its 200-day from below after a 168.6% one-year run.
RSI 40+ (everyone else)
- Genuine breakdown (below 200-day, negative 1-year, established names): $ISRG, $ALNY, $LEGN — the same three names flagged across multiple scans; $ALNY and $LEGN both posted large RSI gains this scan without clearing the long-trend test.
- Weak/speculative, below 200-day: $DNA, $IONS, $RXRX — smaller or pre-profitability names that also fail the long-trend test but don't carry the size to drive the cohort's story.
- Flat 1-year despite mid-range RSI: $NVO, $BNTX, $MDT — all technically at or near their 200-day but with a near-flat or negative year and weak alpha.
- Deep pullback, long trend intact: $PTGX, $DHR, $CRSP, $KYMR, $NTLA, $DXCM, $NKTR, $A, $BEAM, $EDIT, $REGN — mixed short-term RSI reads but each sits above its 200-day with a positive year.
- Confirmed uptrend/breakout: $ABBV, $BMRN, $INCY, $XBI, $TMO, $BIIB, $ILMN, $VRTX, $IBBQ, $IBB, $AMGN, $GILD — the bulk of the cut, all with a strongly positive year and price above the 200-day.
- Extended, healthy: $SRPT, $IQV — the cut's highest RSI prints, both still comfortably above their 200-day with strong year-over-year returns.
- Extreme, high-variance move: $MRNA — up 499.5% over the year, still a distinct situation from the rest of the cut.
- Leveraged, not a durable hold: $LABU — a 3x-leveraged ETF regardless of its RSI reading.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | Zone | RSI | 1Y% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COGT | $34.76 | Watch $36.70 (its 200-day) | 38.8 | +168.6% | Still testing its long-term average from below after a huge run |
| NKTR | $74.19 | <$70.13 (support shelf) | 53.0 | +106.2% | Steady pullback inside a strong multi-year uptrend |
| BEAM | $29.66 | <$28.53 (support shelf) | 54.3 | +60.0% | Still well off its 52-week high but above its 200-day |
| GILD | $151.00 | <$135.93 (support shelf) | 67.7 | +33.9% | Not extended despite the RSI; tight to its own shelf |
| RARE | $15.30 | No support shelf identified | 21.1 | -51.1% | Just crashed into extreme oversold with no confirmed floor; no cause established in checked sources |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | ABBV, BMRN, INCY, XBI, TMO, BIIB, ILMN, VRTX, IBBQ, IBB, AMGN, GILD | Confirmed uptrend/breakout regime, long trend intact on the 1-year/200-day check |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | PTGX, DHR, CRSP, KYMR, NTLA, DXCM, NKTR, A, BEAM, EDIT, REGN | Deep pullback this scan but still above the 200-day with a positive year |
| 🔍 WATCH | COGT, IMVT | Names testing key levels — $COGT crossing its 200-day, $IMVT cooling off a strong run |
| ⚠️ AVOID / DON'T CHASE | SRPT, IQV, MRNA | Extended prints; $MRNA in particular is still unwinding an extreme multi-quarter move |
| ❌ AVOID / BREAKDOWN WATCH | RARE, ISRG, ALNY, LEGN, DNA, IONS, RXRX | Below the 200-day with a negative or lagging year-over-year return; $RARE and $ALNY/$LEGN show a rising or crashing RSI can mask the same underlying trend failure |
| ⚠️ FLAT-1Y, WEAK ALPHA | NVO, BNTX, MDT | Technically at or above the 200-day but near-flat or negative on the year with badly lagging alpha |
| ⚠️ SPECULATIVE, NOT CORE | LABU | 3x-leveraged ETF, not a durable holding regardless of its RSI |
What To Watch Next
- $RARE crashed into extreme oversold on 3.2x average volume with no cause established in checked news or stock-events — does a cause surface, or does this remain an unexplained capitulation?
- $ALNY and $LEGN both posted double-digit RSI surges without clearing the long-trend test — does the price action eventually pull the year-over-year return and alpha up with it, or does this stay a mask over the same breakdown?
- The overbought club is empty for the first time this scan's tracking has shown — is this the bottom of a three-scan cooldown, or does the pullback have further to run?
- $ISRG is now five straight scans below its 200-day with a negative year — does the relapse finally break, or continue a sixth time?
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-04 close — biotech-scan.
- News check for $RARE: latest (fetched 2026-09-04, ok, 0 items) and
research/stock-events/(no matching event found). - Prior scan for comparison: 2026-08-28-biotech-scan.
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.