Biotech Scan

Scan

Biotech Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 56 rows · screens, not recommendations event statusscheduledprior scanresearch/scans/2026-08-28-biotech-scan.md

The cohort's overbought club is now fully empty for the first time this scan has tracked — $IQV, the last name standing at RSI 72.4, cooled to 69.6 — while $RARE crashed into extreme oversold territory (RSI 21.1, a 22.1-point single-scan drop) on elevated volume (3.2x average), the first name this cut has shown below 25. $ALNY and $LEGN both posted double-digit RSI surges (+15.0 and +9.7) that look like recoveries on the surface, but both remain below their 200-day average with deeply negative year-over-year returns — a clean example of why the RSI number alone can mislead. $ISRG continues its relapse for a fifth straight scan, unchanged as the cohort's most persistent structural concern alongside $ALNY and $LEGN.

Data as-of the 2026-09-04 close (Friday's settled session) — every name in this cut carries a fresh bar this scan.

Source: biotech-scan.json. Prior scan: 2026-08-28-biotech-scan.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 A third straight cooldown scan — the overbought club is now empty and $RARE crashed into extreme oversold — but the broad cohort's long-trend picture is unchanged
Leaders $IQV (RSI 69.6, the cut's highest print, no longer above 70); $SRPT (68.0, up 21.9% on the year)
Laggards $RARE (21.1, crashed into extreme oversold on 3.2x average volume); $COGT (38.8, still testing its 200-day from below); $IMVT (39.0)
Key insight $RARE's crash (43.2 → 21.1) has no cause established in this scan's checked sources — news was pulled 2026-09-04 with zero items, and no matching stock-event was found

What's Going On

$RARE is this scan's clearest casualty and its only extreme-oversold name: RSI fell from 43.2 to 21.1, a 22.1-point drop, on relative volume of 3.2x its average — a sharp, high-conviction move. The stock is down 40.3% for the week and 51.1% over the past year, 41.1% below its 200-day average, with a badly negative alpha of -69.7. News for $RARE was pulled on 2026-09-04 and returned zero items, and no matching event was found in the stock-events log — the cause of this move is not established in this scan's sources, and this scan does not speculate on one.

$ALNY and $LEGN both posted the cut's sharpest RSI gains this scan — $ALNY jumped 15.0 points (47.2 to 62.2) on a 12.2% weekly gain, and $LEGN gained 9.7 points (40.5 to 50.2) on an 8.2% weekly move. Read the RSI numbers alone and both look like recoveries. They aren't: $ALNY remains 17.1% below its 200-day average with a year-over-year return of -41.3% and an alpha of -60.0; $LEGN sits 7.0% below its 200-day with a year-over-year return of -38.5% and an alpha of -57.2. Both names are still failing the long-trend test even as their short-term RSI prints look mid-range — the same misleading-RSI signature this cut has flagged before, just with a different pair of names carrying it this scan.

$COGT continues to test its 200-day average from below after last scan's initial cross: RSI ticked up slightly (37.1 to 38.8) and it remains 5.9% below its 200-day, though its year-over-year return is still enormous (+168.6%, cooled from +187.0%). $IMVT also cooled (47.5 to 39.0, an 8.5-point drop on a flat week) but stays 28.4% above its 200-day with a year-over-year return of +143.5% — a deep pullback rather than a breakdown, unlike $COGT's more genuine 200-day test.

The cohort's overbought club is now empty for the first time this scan's tracking has shown — two scans ago it held nine names, last scan it held one ($IQV at 72.4), and this scan $IQV itself cooled to 69.6, just under the line. That's a third consecutive scan of broad cooling across the cut's hottest names. Despite the cooldown, the majority of the cohort — twenty-plus names including $ABBV, $BMRN, $INCY, $KYMR, $XBI, $BIIB, $ILMN, $GILD, $VRTX, $DHR, $AMGN, $SRPT, $TMO — remain above their 200-day averages with strongly positive year-over-year returns, unchanged from the prior two scans. $ISRG remains the cut's most persistent genuine breakdown, now a fifth straight scan below its 200-day (-20.9%) with a negative year-over-year return (-19.3%). $DNA, $IONS, $NVO, and $RXRX also continue to fail the long-trend test, the same smaller/speculative group flagged repeatedly.

What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-08-28)

  • $RARE crashed into extreme oversold territory. RSI 43.2 → 21.1 (-22.1), price down 40.3% for the week on 3.2x average volume — the first sub-25 print this cut has tracked, and no cause established in checked news/events.
  • $ALNY posted the cut's largest positive RSI move. RSI 47.2 → 62.2 (+15.0), price up 12.2% for the week — still 17.1% below its 200-day with a -41.3% year-over-year return.
  • $LEGN also surged on the RSI. RSI 40.5 → 50.2 (+9.7) — still 7.0% below its 200-day with a -38.5% year-over-year return, the same misleading-RSI pattern as $ALNY.
  • $DHR cooled sharply. RSI 63.6 → 50.5 (-13.1), still up 4.3% over the year and 2.4% above its 200-day.
  • $DXCM cooled hard. RSI 63.5 → 52.9 (-10.6), still up 8.8% on the year.
  • $RXRX gained on elevated volume. RSI 51.1 → 59.7 (+8.6), relative volume 2.0x average — still 19.7% down on the year and just below its 200-day.
  • The overbought club emptied for the first time this scan has tracked. $IQV was the last name above RSI 70 last scan (72.4); it cooled to 69.6 this scan.
  • $ISRG continues its relapse for a fifth straight scan — year-over-year return -21.4% → -19.3% (slightly better), vs-200-day -20.5% → -20.9% (slightly worse) — essentially unchanged at a persistent breakdown level.
  • No stale bars this scan — every name carries a fresh 2026-09-04 close.
  • Universe unchanged. Same 40 tickers as the prior scan.

How To Read The Board

RSI measures how stretched a stock is over the past 14 sessions — under 30 signals oversold, over 70 signals overbought/extended. vs SMA20 is the price gap to the 20-day average; a large negative number means a fast recent decline. 1Y% and vs SMA200 are the two numbers that matter most for judging whether a cooldown is a breakdown or a pullback: a name trading above its 200-day average with a solidly positive year-over-year return is in a pullback inside an intact multi-year trend even after a sharp RSI move — $COGT and $IMVT both fit that read this scan. A name trading below its 200-day average with a flat-to-negative year, like $ISRG, $ALNY, $LEGN, and now $RARE, is the one genuinely under structural test — this scan is a clean example of why a rising RSI ($ALNY +15.0, $LEGN +9.7) doesn't clear that test on its own.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% 1Y% vs SMA200 Signal
RARE $15.30 21.1 $25.03 -38.9% -40.3% -38.6% -30.2% -51.1% -41.1% 🔴 Extreme oversold, breakdown
COGT $34.76 38.8 $36.70 -5.3% +0.3% -17.8% +12.1% +168.6% -5.9% 🟡 Testing 200-day, still +169% 1Y
IMVT $39.25 39.0 $42.15 -6.9% -4.7% -0.1% +26.2% +143.5% +28.4% 🟡 Cooled further, still intact
LLY $1,149.36 41.3 $1,202.60 -4.4% -2.1% -1.8% +1.6% +54.7% +8.1% 🟡 Deep pullback, intact
ISRGE $366.70 43.0 $381.71 -3.9% -1.6% -2.3% -13.1% -19.3% -20.9% 🔴 Breakdown, 5th straight scan
DNA $6.95 44.3 $7.12 -2.4% -0.4% -25.8% -15.5% -40.5% -16.4% 🔴 Breakdown, speculative
IONS $58.09 44.8 $59.49 -2.4% -4.8% +7.2% -22.0% -2.1% -20.9% 🔴 Weak, near-flat 1Y
NVO $46.60 49.1 $46.49 +0.2% +2.2% +4.7% +8.5% -17.0% +0.6% 🔴 Flat-to-down 1Y, weak alpha
PTGX $145.72 49.4 $150.91 -3.4% +0.8% +6.1% +49.6% +144.5% +37.4% 🟡 Cooled, uptrend intact
ABBV $256.46 50.2 $257.54 -0.4% +0.3% +4.2% +12.9% +20.4% +12.3% 🟡 Uptrend
LEGN $21.52 50.2 $21.12 +1.9% +8.2% +13.0% -34.0% -38.5% -7.0% 🔴 RSI surged, still breakdown
DHR $207.66 50.5 $210.23 -1.2% -3.9% +4.0% +12.7% +4.3% +2.4% 🟡 Modest uptrend
CRSP $55.79 50.7 $56.55 -1.4% -3.4% +6.4% +7.6% +5.8% +4.8% 🟡 Pullback, intact
KYMR $117.39 51.8 $118.91 -1.3% -0.5% +11.3% +58.4% +178.2% +31.8% 🟡 Uptrend
NTLA $12.74 52.1 $12.55 +1.5% -1.0% +16.1% -5.9% +9.6% +1.5% 🟡 Deep pullback, intact
DXCM $87.90 52.9 $89.89 -2.2% -3.2% +6.3% +20.6% +8.8% +24.0% 🟡 Pullback, intact
NKTR $74.19 53.0 $74.11 +0.1% +2.1% +1.5% +29.4% +106.2% +14.3% 🟡 Uptrend, intact
LABU $303.55 53.3 $302.98 +0.2% +2.6% +18.7% +89.4% +291.6% +52.0% 🟡 3x-leveraged, not a hold
A $150.86 54.0 $152.12 -0.8% -1.9% +6.9% +11.4% +17.4% +14.6% 🟡 Uptrend
BNTX $103.76 54.0 $102.77 +1.0% +1.6% +12.6% +17.8% +0.3% +6.2% 🔴 Flat 1Y, weak alpha
BEAM $29.66 54.3 $28.56 +3.9% +1.2% +9.6% +0.9% +60.0% +4.0% 🟡 Deep pullback, intact
XBI $163.81 55.1 $162.99 +0.5% +0.9% +7.1% +27.3% +75.3% +21.0% 🟡 Cohort ETF, uptrend
INCY $126.75 56.2 $125.21 +1.2% +1.9% +5.8% +23.8% +48.4% +21.0% 🟡 Uptrend
BMRN $66.53 56.3 $66.93 -0.6% +2.9% +11.1% +17.2% +17.2% +15.0% 🟡 Uptrend
TMO $613.78 57.4 $611.93 +0.3% -1.3% +6.2% +29.8% +25.4% +14.5% 🟡 Cooled, healthy
EDIT $3.23 57.5 $3.03 +6.4% +2.2% +17.5% +19.2% +28.2% +23.6% 🟡 Pullback, intact
BIIB $220.83 58.0 $215.77 +2.3% +1.1% +6.9% +13.1% +57.8% +15.6% 🟢 Healthy uptrend
ILMN $218.22 58.6 $208.52 +4.7% +1.2% +9.2% +34.4% +123.4% +43.7% 🟢 Healthy uptrend, cooled
VRTX $546.12 59.4 $538.78 +1.4% +0.8% +12.6% +22.2% +37.6% +17.2% 🟢 Healthy
RXRX $3.63 59.7 $3.36 +8.0% +8.7% +14.5% +9.3% -19.7% -0.5% 🔴 Breakdown, speculative
IBBQ $36.05 60.3 $35.46 +1.7% +1.6% +9.5% +23.9% +51.5% +18.9% 🟡 Cohort ETF, uptrend
IBB $211.92 60.5 $208.59 +1.6% +1.4% +10.5% +25.8% +51.0% +19.4% 🟡 Cohort ETF, uptrend
REGN $827.72 60.5 $817.75 +1.2% +4.2% +7.7% +30.3% +45.9% +13.0% 🟡 Cooled, uptrend intact
ALNY $266.11 62.2 $237.64 +12.0% +12.2% +16.4% -12.2% -41.3% -17.1% 🔴 RSI surged, still breakdown
AMGN $437.23 62.5 $430.34 +1.6% +1.1% +7.8% +25.8% +56.1% +23.4% 🟢 Breakout
MRNA $145.55 63.2 $117.96 +23.4% +5.5% +158.7% +206.8% +499.5% +165.5% 🟠 Extreme move, high-variance
MDT $94.17 64.5 $91.73 +2.7% +3.3% +9.5% +15.3% +1.4% +5.0% 🔴 Flat 1Y, weak alpha
GILD $151.00 67.7 $144.35 +4.6% +3.6% +14.6% +16.9% +33.9% +12.4% 🟢 Healthy uptrend
SRPT $22.50 68.0 $19.71 +14.1% +7.9% +41.2% +42.9% +21.9% +17.3% 🟠 Extended, healthy
IQV $267.77 69.6 $254.01 +5.4% +2.3% +13.4% +46.0% +45.5% +32.6% 🟠 Extended, cooled off overbought

Tier Analysis

Extreme Oversold (RSI < 25)

$RARE (21.1) — the first name this cut has shown below 25, on 3.2x average volume with no cause established in checked news/events. Down 51.1% over the year and 41.1% below its 200-day, this is a genuine breakdown, not a bounce setup.

Oversold (RSI 25-40)

$COGT (38.8), $IMVT (39.0) — two names, down from three (RARE, COGT, and none else were near this band before, but $COGT alone occupied 25-40 last scan). $IMVT is still 28.4% above its 200-day with a huge year-over-year return; $COGT continues testing its 200-day from below after a 168.6% one-year run.

RSI 40+ (everyone else)

  • Genuine breakdown (below 200-day, negative 1-year, established names): $ISRG, $ALNY, $LEGN — the same three names flagged across multiple scans; $ALNY and $LEGN both posted large RSI gains this scan without clearing the long-trend test.
  • Weak/speculative, below 200-day: $DNA, $IONS, $RXRX — smaller or pre-profitability names that also fail the long-trend test but don't carry the size to drive the cohort's story.
  • Flat 1-year despite mid-range RSI: $NVO, $BNTX, $MDT — all technically at or near their 200-day but with a near-flat or negative year and weak alpha.
  • Deep pullback, long trend intact: $PTGX, $DHR, $CRSP, $KYMR, $NTLA, $DXCM, $NKTR, $A, $BEAM, $EDIT, $REGN — mixed short-term RSI reads but each sits above its 200-day with a positive year.
  • Confirmed uptrend/breakout: $ABBV, $BMRN, $INCY, $XBI, $TMO, $BIIB, $ILMN, $VRTX, $IBBQ, $IBB, $AMGN, $GILD — the bulk of the cut, all with a strongly positive year and price above the 200-day.
  • Extended, healthy: $SRPT, $IQV — the cut's highest RSI prints, both still comfortably above their 200-day with strong year-over-year returns.
  • Extreme, high-variance move: $MRNA — up 499.5% over the year, still a distinct situation from the rest of the cut.
  • Leveraged, not a durable hold: $LABU — a 3x-leveraged ETF regardless of its RSI reading.

Entry Zones

Stock Price Zone RSI 1Y% Setup
COGT $34.76 Watch $36.70 (its 200-day) 38.8 +168.6% Still testing its long-term average from below after a huge run
NKTR $74.19 <$70.13 (support shelf) 53.0 +106.2% Steady pullback inside a strong multi-year uptrend
BEAM $29.66 <$28.53 (support shelf) 54.3 +60.0% Still well off its 52-week high but above its 200-day
GILD $151.00 <$135.93 (support shelf) 67.7 +33.9% Not extended despite the RSI; tight to its own shelf
RARE $15.30 No support shelf identified 21.1 -51.1% Just crashed into extreme oversold with no confirmed floor; no cause established in checked sources

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD ABBV, BMRN, INCY, XBI, TMO, BIIB, ILMN, VRTX, IBBQ, IBB, AMGN, GILD Confirmed uptrend/breakout regime, long trend intact on the 1-year/200-day check
📈 ACCUMULATE PTGX, DHR, CRSP, KYMR, NTLA, DXCM, NKTR, A, BEAM, EDIT, REGN Deep pullback this scan but still above the 200-day with a positive year
🔍 WATCH COGT, IMVT Names testing key levels — $COGT crossing its 200-day, $IMVT cooling off a strong run
⚠️ AVOID / DON'T CHASE SRPT, IQV, MRNA Extended prints; $MRNA in particular is still unwinding an extreme multi-quarter move
❌ AVOID / BREAKDOWN WATCH RARE, ISRG, ALNY, LEGN, DNA, IONS, RXRX Below the 200-day with a negative or lagging year-over-year return; $RARE and $ALNY/$LEGN show a rising or crashing RSI can mask the same underlying trend failure
⚠️ FLAT-1Y, WEAK ALPHA NVO, BNTX, MDT Technically at or above the 200-day but near-flat or negative on the year with badly lagging alpha
⚠️ SPECULATIVE, NOT CORE LABU 3x-leveraged ETF, not a durable holding regardless of its RSI

What To Watch Next

  • $RARE crashed into extreme oversold on 3.2x average volume with no cause established in checked news or stock-events — does a cause surface, or does this remain an unexplained capitulation?
  • $ALNY and $LEGN both posted double-digit RSI surges without clearing the long-trend test — does the price action eventually pull the year-over-year return and alpha up with it, or does this stay a mask over the same breakdown?
  • The overbought club is empty for the first time this scan's tracking has shown — is this the bottom of a three-scan cooldown, or does the pullback have further to run?
  • $ISRG is now five straight scans below its 200-day with a negative year — does the relapse finally break, or continue a sixth time?

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-04 close — biotech-scan.
  • News check for $RARE: latest (fetched 2026-09-04, ok, 0 items) and research/stock-events/ (no matching event found).
  • Prior scan for comparison: 2026-08-28-biotech-scan.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.