Biotech Scan
Biotech Scan
The whole cohort rolled over this week — every name in the cut is now below RSI 62, versus a top end near 70 last scan, and the oversold band went from empty to three names deep ($RARE 20.2, $AMGN 31.5, $IMVT 31.8). $AMGN is the scan's biggest surprise: RSI collapsed from 62.5 to 31.5 on a 13.7% weekly decline, yet it's still up 33.5% over the year and 5% above its 200-day — a sharp pullback inside an intact trend, not a breakdown, and no cause is established in this scan's checked sources. $RARE kept sliding deeper into its own hole (RSI 21.1 to 20.2, now down 54.2% on the year), while $ISRG's relapse continues for a sixth straight scan.
Data as-of the 2026-09-11 close (Friday's settled session) — every name in this cut carries a fresh bar this scan.
Source: biotech-scan.json. Prior scan: 2026-09-04-biotech-scan.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🔴 A broad cohort-wide cooldown — the entire cut sits below RSI 62 for the first time this scan has tracked, and the oversold band went from empty to three names |
| Leaders | $MRNA (RSI 61.2, the cut's highest print, still up 467.0% on the year); $IQV (60.7, cooled off overbought but still up 37.3% on the year) |
| Laggards | $RARE (20.2, extreme oversold, now -54.2% on the year); $AMGN (31.5, crashed from 62.5, still +33.5% 1Y); $IMVT (31.8, crashed from a healthy read, still +122.4% 1Y) |
| Key insight | $AMGN's 31-point RSI collapse has no established cause — news pulled 2026-09-09 shows only routine earnings/index coverage, and no matching stock-event was found for this week's move |
What's Going On
The cohort turned over completely this scan. Two scans ago the overbought club held nine names; last scan it was empty and the cut's top RSI was $IQV at 69.6. This scan the entire universe sits below 62 — $MRNA (61.2) is now the highest print in the cut, a level that would have been mid-pack two scans back.
$AMGN is the sharpest single-name move: RSI fell from 62.5 to 31.5, a 31-point drop, on a 13.7% weekly decline that pushed it into the oversold band. But the long-trend numbers haven't broken — $AMGN is still 5.0% above its 200-day average with a 33.5% year-over-year return and a positive alpha of 17.3. That combination (oversold RSI, intact long trend) reads as a deep pullback, not a breakdown. News for $AMGN was pulled 2026-09-09 and returned only routine coverage (a Yahoo/CNBC quote page, a Simply Wall St valuation piece, an Aug 4 earnings recap, and a Sept 9 "earnings beat" wire summarizing the already-known August print) — nothing that explains a fresh 13.7% weekly decline, and no matching stock-event was found for this window. The cause of this move is not established in this scan's sources.
$RARE continued deteriorating rather than stabilizing: RSI ticked down further from 21.1 to 20.2, now the cut's only extreme-oversold name, with the year-over-year return worsening to -54.2% (from -51.1%) and the price now 44.2% below its 200-day. The news receipt checked for $RARE (fetched 2026-09-04) predates this week's continued slide and shows nothing new; no matching stock-event was found. This remains an unexplained, deepening capitulation.
$IMVT also crashed into the oversold band this scan (RSI 39.0 to 31.8) on a 4.8% weekly decline, but like $AMGN it still clears the long-trend test — up 122.4% over the year and 21% above its 200-day, with a positive alpha of 106.2. $LEGN posted the cut's largest weekly decline (-13.4%) and remains a genuine breakdown, now down 44.9% on the year and 18.8% below its 200-day — worse than last scan's already-negative read, despite the RSI surge that scan flagged as misleading.
$ISRG continues its relapse for a sixth straight scan, essentially unchanged (-19.0% 1Y, -19.7% vs its 200-day). $COGT is still testing its 200-day from below after its huge multi-year run (+160.8% 1Y, -9.6% vs SMA200). The universe also lost one member this scan: $LABU, the leveraged biotech ETF flagged as "not a durable hold" last scan, is no longer tracked — it sits on the desk's avoid list for leveraged/inverse products and was retired from coverage.
What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-09-04)
- The entire cohort cooled below RSI 62 — last scan's top print was $IQV at 69.6; this scan's top print is $MRNA at 61.2. No name in the cut is above 62.
- $AMGN crashed into the oversold band. RSI 62.5 → 31.5 (-31.0), price down 13.7% for the week — still +33.5% 1Y and +5.0% vs its 200-day, so a pullback, not a breakdown. No cause established in checked news/events.
- $IMVT also fell newly into the oversold band. RSI 39.0 → 31.8 (-7.2), price down 4.8% for the week — still +122.4% 1Y and +21.0% vs its 200-day.
- $RARE deteriorated further, still the cut's only extreme-oversold name. RSI 21.1 → 20.2 (-0.9), 1Y return worsened to -54.2% (from -51.1%).
- $LEGN posted the cut's largest weekly decline. -13.4% for the week, RSI 35.6 (from 50.2) — still a genuine breakdown, now -44.9% 1Y.
- $ALNY cooled sharply from last scan's surge. RSI 62.2 → 50.3 (-11.9) — still -46.9% 1Y and -21.6% vs its 200-day, the same breakdown flagged last scan.
- $IQV cooled further off its overbought read. RSI 69.6 → 60.7 (-8.9) — still +37.3% 1Y.
- The oversold band grew from empty to three names. $RARE, $AMGN, $IMVT.
- No stale bars this scan — every name carries a fresh 2026-09-11 close.
- Universe shrank by one. $LABU (leveraged 3x biotech ETF) dropped from the cut — retired to the avoid-instruments list; 39 tickers versus 40 last scan.
How To Read The Board
RSI measures how stretched a stock is over the past 14 sessions — under 30 signals oversold, over 70 signals overbought/extended. vs SMA20 is the price gap to the 20-day average; a large negative number means a fast recent decline. 1Y% and vs SMA200 are the two numbers that separate a pullback from a breakdown: $AMGN and $IMVT both crashed on the RSI this scan but remain above their 200-day with strongly positive years — deep pullbacks inside intact trends, not breakdowns. $RARE, $ISRG, $LEGN, $ALNY, $DNA, $IONS, $RXRX, and $BNTX are the names actually below their 200-day with a flat-to-negative year — that's the group under genuine structural test regardless of this week's broad RSI cooldown.
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RARE | $14.30 | 20.2 | $22.58 | -36.7% | -6.5% | -46.8% | -54.2% | -44.2% | 🔴 Deepening breakdown |
| AMGN | $377.35 | 31.5 | $425.38 | -11.3% | -13.7% | -9.3% | +33.5% | +5.0% | 🟡 Sharp pullback, intact |
| IMVT | $37.36 | 31.8 | $41.58 | -10.1% | -4.8% | -12.3% | +122.4% | +21.0% | 🟡 Crashed on RSI, still intact |
| BEAM | $23.99 | 33.3 | $28.21 | -15.0% | -19.1% | -10.2% | +11.3% | -16.1% | 🔴 Below 200-day |
| COGT | $33.41 | 34.6 | $35.73 | -6.5% | -3.9% | -14.3% | +160.8% | -9.6% | 🟡 Testing 200-day, still +161% 1Y |
| LLY | $1,115.70 | 35.4 | $1,183.12 | -5.7% | -2.9% | -8.6% | +47.5% | +4.8% | 🟡 Deep pullback, intact |
| IONS | $54.21 | 35.5 | $59.38 | -8.7% | -6.7% | -4.1% | -15.4% | -25.8% | 🔴 Breakdown |
| LEGN | $18.64 | 35.6 | $20.86 | -10.6% | -13.4% | -9.7% | -44.9% | -18.8% | 🔴 Breakdown, deepening |
| NVO | $43.07 | 36.3 | $45.93 | -6.2% | -7.6% | -7.2% | -20.7% | -6.9% | 🔴 Flat-to-down 1Y |
| CRSP | $51.72 | 39.3 | $56.39 | -8.3% | -7.3% | -4.2% | -7.5% | -2.9% | 🔴 Below 200-day |
| DXCM | $83.03 | 40.4 | $88.71 | -6.4% | -5.5% | -8.6% | +9.3% | +16.3% | 🟡 Pullback, intact |
| NTLA | $11.74 | 40.9 | $12.58 | -6.7% | -7.9% | -2.9% | +2.8% | -7.0% | 🔴 Below 200-day |
| EDIT | $2.70 | 41.4 | $3.02 | -10.6% | -16.4% | -4.9% | -0.4% | +3.1% | 🟡 Deep pullback |
| DHR | $200.14 | 41.4 | $209.45 | -4.4% | -3.6% | -2.8% | +2.6% | -1.1% | 🟡 Testing 200-day |
| DNA | $6.75 | 41.9 | $7.00 | -3.6% | -2.9% | -6.4% | -35.3% | -18.6% | 🔴 Breakdown |
| NKTR | $69.76 | 42.0 | $73.45 | -5.0% | -6.0% | -8.3% | +47.8% | +7.0% | 🟡 Pullback, intact |
| XBI | $156.20 | 42.2 | $163.09 | -4.2% | -4.7% | -2.0% | +63.2% | +14.7% | 🟡 Cohort ETF, pullback |
| BNTX | $96.73 | 43.6 | $103.74 | -6.8% | -6.8% | +4.3% | -7.3% | -0.9% | 🔴 Flat 1Y |
| VRTX | $515.44 | 44.0 | $537.99 | -4.2% | -5.6% | -2.0% | +29.7% | +10.1% | 🟡 Pullback, intact |
| INCY | $121.47 | 44.8 | $125.78 | -3.4% | -4.2% | +0.6% | +41.0% | +15.5% | 🟡 Pullback, intact |
| IBBQ | $34.46 | 45.6 | $35.60 | -3.2% | -4.4% | +0.8% | +42.0% | +13.1% | 🟡 Cohort ETF |
| REGN | $781.49 | 45.7 | $816.94 | -4.3% | -5.6% | -2.1% | +37.5% | +6.5% | 🟡 Pullback, intact |
| RXRX | $3.20 | 45.9 | $3.35 | -4.4% | -11.9% | -2.7% | -34.0% | -11.9% | 🔴 Breakdown |
| IBB | $202.93 | 46.4 | $209.54 | -3.2% | -4.2% | +1.1% | +41.1% | +13.8% | 🟡 Cohort ETF |
| KYMR | $114.96 | 47.3 | $119.77 | -4.0% | -2.1% | +0.8% | +148.8% | +27.6% | 🟡 Pullback, intact |
| A | $146.93 | 48.1 | $151.42 | -3.0% | -2.6% | -0.9% | +15.9% | +11.7% | 🟡 Pullback, intact |
| ISRGE | $369.15 | 48.1 | $373.50 | -1.2% | +0.7% | -8.0% | -19.0% | -19.7% | 🔴 Breakdown, 6th straight scan |
| ILMN | $206.45 | 49.6 | $211.20 | -2.2% | -5.4% | +7.0% | +107.9% | +34.4% | 🟢 Healthy uptrend |
| ALNY | $248.67 | 50.3 | $243.89 | +2.0% | -6.6% | +11.0% | -46.9% | -21.6% | 🔴 Cooled off RSI surge, still breakdown |
| GILD | $143.72 | 50.5 | $146.25 | -1.7% | -4.8% | +5.8% | +21.9% | +6.7% | 🟢 Healthy uptrend |
| MDT | $90.96 | 51.6 | $92.00 | -1.1% | -3.4% | +0.2% | -3.5% | +1.6% | 🔴 Flat 1Y |
| ABBV | $257.12 | 52.0 | $258.25 | -0.4% | +0.3% | +3.4% | +16.8% | +12.4% | 🟡 Uptrend |
| SRPT | $20.45 | 52.8 | $20.30 | +0.7% | -9.1% | +11.3% | +14.2% | +6.2% | 🟡 Cooled, uptrend intact |
| BMRN | $65.68 | 52.9 | $66.08 | -0.6% | -1.3% | -6.5% | +17.5% | +13.1% | 🟡 Uptrend |
| BIIB | $217.15 | 53.2 | $217.03 | +0.1% | -1.7% | +4.0% | +45.9% | +13.1% | 🟢 Healthy uptrend |
| PTGX | $148.18 | 53.4 | $150.04 | -1.2% | +1.7% | -2.5% | +148.3% | +38.1% | 🟡 Cooled, uptrend intact |
| TMO | $609.82 | 54.8 | $612.84 | -0.5% | -0.7% | +1.1% | +24.1% | +13.6% | 🟢 Healthy uptrend |
| IQV | $261.77 | 60.7 | $257.32 | +1.7% | -2.2% | +8.3% | +37.3% | +29.2% | 🟢 Cooled off overbought |
| MRNA | $143.97 | 61.2 | $133.40 | +7.9% | -1.1% | +126.1% | +467.0% | +152.0% | 🟠 Extreme move, high-variance |
Tier Analysis
Extreme Oversold (RSI < 25)
$RARE (20.2) — deepening for a second straight scan on no established cause; year-over-year return worsened to -54.2%, now 44.2% below its 200-day.
Oversold (RSI 25-40)
$AMGN (31.5), $IMVT (31.8), $BEAM (33.3), $COGT (34.6), $LLY (35.4), $IONS (35.5), $LEGN (35.6), $NVO (36.3) — eight names, up from two last scan. $AMGN and $IMVT crashed here on no established cause but both still pass the long-trend test (positive 1Y, above 200-day); $IONS, $LEGN, $NVO fail it; $LLY, $BEAM, $COGT sit in between (LLY/BEAM intact, COGT testing its 200-day).
RSI 40+ (everyone else)
- Genuine breakdown (below 200-day, negative 1-year): $ISRG, $LEGN (already counted above), $ALNY, $DNA, $IONS (above), $RXRX, $CRSP, $NTLA, $BNTX — the persistent structurally-weak group, largely unchanged in composition from last scan.
- Flat 1-year despite mid-range RSI: $MDT, $BNTX — near their 200-day but flat-to-negative on the year with weak alpha.
- Deep pullback, long trend intact: $DXCM, $EDIT, $DHR, $NKTR, $XBI, $VRTX, $INCY, $IBBQ, $REGN, $IBB, $KYMR, $A, $ABBV, $SRPT, $BMRN — the bulk of the names not yet flagged above, all above their 200-day with a positive year despite this week's broad cooldown.
- Confirmed uptrend: $ILMN, $GILD, $BIIB, $PTGX, $TMO — comfortably above the 200-day with strong year-over-year returns.
- Cooled off extended/overbought: $IQV — still the strongest long-trend print in the cut.
- Extreme, high-variance move: $MRNA — up 467.0% over the year, a distinct situation from the rest of the cut.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | Zone | RSI | 1Y% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMGN | $377.35 | Watch $425.38 (its 20-day) | 31.5 | +33.5% | Sharp oversold crash with the long trend still intact and no established cause — confirm a floor before treating as a clean dip |
| IMVT | $37.36 | Watch $41.58 (its 20-day) | 31.8 | +122.4% | Crashed on the RSI this scan but remains 21% above its 200-day |
| COGT | $33.41 | Watch $35.73 (its 200-day) | 34.6 | +160.8% | Still testing its long-term average from below after a huge run |
| GILD | $143.72 | <$135.93 (a prior support level) | 50.5 | +21.9% | Not extended despite mid-range RSI; healthy long trend |
| RARE | $14.30 | No support shelf identified | 20.2 | -54.2% | Deepening extreme oversold with no confirmed floor; negative year keeps this a watch, not a buy |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | ILMN, GILD, BIIB, PTGX, TMO, IQV | Confirmed uptrend or cooled-off-extended, long trend intact on the 1-year/200-day check |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | DXCM, EDIT, DHR, NKTR, XBI, VRTX, INCY, IBBQ, REGN, IBB, KYMR, A, ABBV, SRPT, BMRN | Broad cooldown this scan but still above the 200-day with a positive year |
| 🔍 WATCH | AMGN, IMVT, COGT | Crashed or testing this scan but the long-trend numbers still pass — confirm cause and floor before acting; $AMGN's move has no established cause |
| ⚠️ AVOID / DON'T CHASE | MRNA | Still unwinding an extreme multi-quarter move |
| ❌ AVOID / BREAKDOWN WATCH | RARE, ISRG, ALNY, LEGN, DNA, IONS, RXRX, CRSP, NTLA, BNTX, BEAM, NVO, MDT | Below the 200-day (or flat-to-negative on the year with weak alpha) — the structurally weak group, largely unchanged from prior scans |
What To Watch Next
- $AMGN's 31-point RSI collapse has no established cause in checked news or stock-events — does a driver surface, or does this stay an unexplained sharp pullback inside an otherwise intact trend?
- $RARE keeps deepening (now -54.2% 1Y) with no cause found across two scans of checking — does it find a floor, or is this a genuine multi-quarter breakdown?
- The entire cohort cooled below RSI 62 this scan, from a top print of 69.6 last scan — is this a broad one-week reset, or the start of a deeper pullback across the group?
- $ISRG is now six straight scans below its 200-day with a negative year — does the relapse finally break, or continue a seventh time?
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-11 close — biotech-scan.
- News check for $AMGN: latest (fetched 2026-09-09, ok, routine coverage only) and
research/stock-events/(2026-08-04 and 2026-11-03 earnings entries, none matching this week's window). - News check for $RARE: latest (fetched 2026-09-04, predates this week's move) and
research/stock-events/(no matching event found). - News check for $SYK-adjacent members: latest.
- Prior scan for comparison: 2026-09-04-biotech-scan.
- Universe note: $LABU dropped from this cut — leveraged/inverse products are retired from tracking per avoid-instruments.
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.