Biotech Scan

Scan

Biotech Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 53 rows · screens, not recommendations event statusscheduledprior scanresearch/scans/2026-09-04-biotech-scan.md

The whole cohort rolled over this week — every name in the cut is now below RSI 62, versus a top end near 70 last scan, and the oversold band went from empty to three names deep ($RARE 20.2, $AMGN 31.5, $IMVT 31.8). $AMGN is the scan's biggest surprise: RSI collapsed from 62.5 to 31.5 on a 13.7% weekly decline, yet it's still up 33.5% over the year and 5% above its 200-day — a sharp pullback inside an intact trend, not a breakdown, and no cause is established in this scan's checked sources. $RARE kept sliding deeper into its own hole (RSI 21.1 to 20.2, now down 54.2% on the year), while $ISRG's relapse continues for a sixth straight scan.

Data as-of the 2026-09-11 close (Friday's settled session) — every name in this cut carries a fresh bar this scan.

Source: biotech-scan.json. Prior scan: 2026-09-04-biotech-scan.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 A broad cohort-wide cooldown — the entire cut sits below RSI 62 for the first time this scan has tracked, and the oversold band went from empty to three names
Leaders $MRNA (RSI 61.2, the cut's highest print, still up 467.0% on the year); $IQV (60.7, cooled off overbought but still up 37.3% on the year)
Laggards $RARE (20.2, extreme oversold, now -54.2% on the year); $AMGN (31.5, crashed from 62.5, still +33.5% 1Y); $IMVT (31.8, crashed from a healthy read, still +122.4% 1Y)
Key insight $AMGN's 31-point RSI collapse has no established cause — news pulled 2026-09-09 shows only routine earnings/index coverage, and no matching stock-event was found for this week's move

What's Going On

The cohort turned over completely this scan. Two scans ago the overbought club held nine names; last scan it was empty and the cut's top RSI was $IQV at 69.6. This scan the entire universe sits below 62 — $MRNA (61.2) is now the highest print in the cut, a level that would have been mid-pack two scans back.

$AMGN is the sharpest single-name move: RSI fell from 62.5 to 31.5, a 31-point drop, on a 13.7% weekly decline that pushed it into the oversold band. But the long-trend numbers haven't broken — $AMGN is still 5.0% above its 200-day average with a 33.5% year-over-year return and a positive alpha of 17.3. That combination (oversold RSI, intact long trend) reads as a deep pullback, not a breakdown. News for $AMGN was pulled 2026-09-09 and returned only routine coverage (a Yahoo/CNBC quote page, a Simply Wall St valuation piece, an Aug 4 earnings recap, and a Sept 9 "earnings beat" wire summarizing the already-known August print) — nothing that explains a fresh 13.7% weekly decline, and no matching stock-event was found for this window. The cause of this move is not established in this scan's sources.

$RARE continued deteriorating rather than stabilizing: RSI ticked down further from 21.1 to 20.2, now the cut's only extreme-oversold name, with the year-over-year return worsening to -54.2% (from -51.1%) and the price now 44.2% below its 200-day. The news receipt checked for $RARE (fetched 2026-09-04) predates this week's continued slide and shows nothing new; no matching stock-event was found. This remains an unexplained, deepening capitulation.

$IMVT also crashed into the oversold band this scan (RSI 39.0 to 31.8) on a 4.8% weekly decline, but like $AMGN it still clears the long-trend test — up 122.4% over the year and 21% above its 200-day, with a positive alpha of 106.2. $LEGN posted the cut's largest weekly decline (-13.4%) and remains a genuine breakdown, now down 44.9% on the year and 18.8% below its 200-day — worse than last scan's already-negative read, despite the RSI surge that scan flagged as misleading.

$ISRG continues its relapse for a sixth straight scan, essentially unchanged (-19.0% 1Y, -19.7% vs its 200-day). $COGT is still testing its 200-day from below after its huge multi-year run (+160.8% 1Y, -9.6% vs SMA200). The universe also lost one member this scan: $LABU, the leveraged biotech ETF flagged as "not a durable hold" last scan, is no longer tracked — it sits on the desk's avoid list for leveraged/inverse products and was retired from coverage.

What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-09-04)

  • The entire cohort cooled below RSI 62 — last scan's top print was $IQV at 69.6; this scan's top print is $MRNA at 61.2. No name in the cut is above 62.
  • $AMGN crashed into the oversold band. RSI 62.5 → 31.5 (-31.0), price down 13.7% for the week — still +33.5% 1Y and +5.0% vs its 200-day, so a pullback, not a breakdown. No cause established in checked news/events.
  • $IMVT also fell newly into the oversold band. RSI 39.0 → 31.8 (-7.2), price down 4.8% for the week — still +122.4% 1Y and +21.0% vs its 200-day.
  • $RARE deteriorated further, still the cut's only extreme-oversold name. RSI 21.1 → 20.2 (-0.9), 1Y return worsened to -54.2% (from -51.1%).
  • $LEGN posted the cut's largest weekly decline. -13.4% for the week, RSI 35.6 (from 50.2) — still a genuine breakdown, now -44.9% 1Y.
  • $ALNY cooled sharply from last scan's surge. RSI 62.2 → 50.3 (-11.9) — still -46.9% 1Y and -21.6% vs its 200-day, the same breakdown flagged last scan.
  • $IQV cooled further off its overbought read. RSI 69.6 → 60.7 (-8.9) — still +37.3% 1Y.
  • The oversold band grew from empty to three names. $RARE, $AMGN, $IMVT.
  • No stale bars this scan — every name carries a fresh 2026-09-11 close.
  • Universe shrank by one. $LABU (leveraged 3x biotech ETF) dropped from the cut — retired to the avoid-instruments list; 39 tickers versus 40 last scan.

How To Read The Board

RSI measures how stretched a stock is over the past 14 sessions — under 30 signals oversold, over 70 signals overbought/extended. vs SMA20 is the price gap to the 20-day average; a large negative number means a fast recent decline. 1Y% and vs SMA200 are the two numbers that separate a pullback from a breakdown: $AMGN and $IMVT both crashed on the RSI this scan but remain above their 200-day with strongly positive years — deep pullbacks inside intact trends, not breakdowns. $RARE, $ISRG, $LEGN, $ALNY, $DNA, $IONS, $RXRX, and $BNTX are the names actually below their 200-day with a flat-to-negative year — that's the group under genuine structural test regardless of this week's broad RSI cooldown.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Signal
RARE $14.30 20.2 $22.58 -36.7% -6.5% -46.8% -54.2% -44.2% 🔴 Deepening breakdown
AMGN $377.35 31.5 $425.38 -11.3% -13.7% -9.3% +33.5% +5.0% 🟡 Sharp pullback, intact
IMVT $37.36 31.8 $41.58 -10.1% -4.8% -12.3% +122.4% +21.0% 🟡 Crashed on RSI, still intact
BEAM $23.99 33.3 $28.21 -15.0% -19.1% -10.2% +11.3% -16.1% 🔴 Below 200-day
COGT $33.41 34.6 $35.73 -6.5% -3.9% -14.3% +160.8% -9.6% 🟡 Testing 200-day, still +161% 1Y
LLY $1,115.70 35.4 $1,183.12 -5.7% -2.9% -8.6% +47.5% +4.8% 🟡 Deep pullback, intact
IONS $54.21 35.5 $59.38 -8.7% -6.7% -4.1% -15.4% -25.8% 🔴 Breakdown
LEGN $18.64 35.6 $20.86 -10.6% -13.4% -9.7% -44.9% -18.8% 🔴 Breakdown, deepening
NVO $43.07 36.3 $45.93 -6.2% -7.6% -7.2% -20.7% -6.9% 🔴 Flat-to-down 1Y
CRSP $51.72 39.3 $56.39 -8.3% -7.3% -4.2% -7.5% -2.9% 🔴 Below 200-day
DXCM $83.03 40.4 $88.71 -6.4% -5.5% -8.6% +9.3% +16.3% 🟡 Pullback, intact
NTLA $11.74 40.9 $12.58 -6.7% -7.9% -2.9% +2.8% -7.0% 🔴 Below 200-day
EDIT $2.70 41.4 $3.02 -10.6% -16.4% -4.9% -0.4% +3.1% 🟡 Deep pullback
DHR $200.14 41.4 $209.45 -4.4% -3.6% -2.8% +2.6% -1.1% 🟡 Testing 200-day
DNA $6.75 41.9 $7.00 -3.6% -2.9% -6.4% -35.3% -18.6% 🔴 Breakdown
NKTR $69.76 42.0 $73.45 -5.0% -6.0% -8.3% +47.8% +7.0% 🟡 Pullback, intact
XBI $156.20 42.2 $163.09 -4.2% -4.7% -2.0% +63.2% +14.7% 🟡 Cohort ETF, pullback
BNTX $96.73 43.6 $103.74 -6.8% -6.8% +4.3% -7.3% -0.9% 🔴 Flat 1Y
VRTX $515.44 44.0 $537.99 -4.2% -5.6% -2.0% +29.7% +10.1% 🟡 Pullback, intact
INCY $121.47 44.8 $125.78 -3.4% -4.2% +0.6% +41.0% +15.5% 🟡 Pullback, intact
IBBQ $34.46 45.6 $35.60 -3.2% -4.4% +0.8% +42.0% +13.1% 🟡 Cohort ETF
REGN $781.49 45.7 $816.94 -4.3% -5.6% -2.1% +37.5% +6.5% 🟡 Pullback, intact
RXRX $3.20 45.9 $3.35 -4.4% -11.9% -2.7% -34.0% -11.9% 🔴 Breakdown
IBB $202.93 46.4 $209.54 -3.2% -4.2% +1.1% +41.1% +13.8% 🟡 Cohort ETF
KYMR $114.96 47.3 $119.77 -4.0% -2.1% +0.8% +148.8% +27.6% 🟡 Pullback, intact
A $146.93 48.1 $151.42 -3.0% -2.6% -0.9% +15.9% +11.7% 🟡 Pullback, intact
ISRGE $369.15 48.1 $373.50 -1.2% +0.7% -8.0% -19.0% -19.7% 🔴 Breakdown, 6th straight scan
ILMN $206.45 49.6 $211.20 -2.2% -5.4% +7.0% +107.9% +34.4% 🟢 Healthy uptrend
ALNY $248.67 50.3 $243.89 +2.0% -6.6% +11.0% -46.9% -21.6% 🔴 Cooled off RSI surge, still breakdown
GILD $143.72 50.5 $146.25 -1.7% -4.8% +5.8% +21.9% +6.7% 🟢 Healthy uptrend
MDT $90.96 51.6 $92.00 -1.1% -3.4% +0.2% -3.5% +1.6% 🔴 Flat 1Y
ABBV $257.12 52.0 $258.25 -0.4% +0.3% +3.4% +16.8% +12.4% 🟡 Uptrend
SRPT $20.45 52.8 $20.30 +0.7% -9.1% +11.3% +14.2% +6.2% 🟡 Cooled, uptrend intact
BMRN $65.68 52.9 $66.08 -0.6% -1.3% -6.5% +17.5% +13.1% 🟡 Uptrend
BIIB $217.15 53.2 $217.03 +0.1% -1.7% +4.0% +45.9% +13.1% 🟢 Healthy uptrend
PTGX $148.18 53.4 $150.04 -1.2% +1.7% -2.5% +148.3% +38.1% 🟡 Cooled, uptrend intact
TMO $609.82 54.8 $612.84 -0.5% -0.7% +1.1% +24.1% +13.6% 🟢 Healthy uptrend
IQV $261.77 60.7 $257.32 +1.7% -2.2% +8.3% +37.3% +29.2% 🟢 Cooled off overbought
MRNA $143.97 61.2 $133.40 +7.9% -1.1% +126.1% +467.0% +152.0% 🟠 Extreme move, high-variance

Tier Analysis

Extreme Oversold (RSI < 25)

$RARE (20.2) — deepening for a second straight scan on no established cause; year-over-year return worsened to -54.2%, now 44.2% below its 200-day.

Oversold (RSI 25-40)

$AMGN (31.5), $IMVT (31.8), $BEAM (33.3), $COGT (34.6), $LLY (35.4), $IONS (35.5), $LEGN (35.6), $NVO (36.3) — eight names, up from two last scan. $AMGN and $IMVT crashed here on no established cause but both still pass the long-trend test (positive 1Y, above 200-day); $IONS, $LEGN, $NVO fail it; $LLY, $BEAM, $COGT sit in between (LLY/BEAM intact, COGT testing its 200-day).

RSI 40+ (everyone else)

  • Genuine breakdown (below 200-day, negative 1-year): $ISRG, $LEGN (already counted above), $ALNY, $DNA, $IONS (above), $RXRX, $CRSP, $NTLA, $BNTX — the persistent structurally-weak group, largely unchanged in composition from last scan.
  • Flat 1-year despite mid-range RSI: $MDT, $BNTX — near their 200-day but flat-to-negative on the year with weak alpha.
  • Deep pullback, long trend intact: $DXCM, $EDIT, $DHR, $NKTR, $XBI, $VRTX, $INCY, $IBBQ, $REGN, $IBB, $KYMR, $A, $ABBV, $SRPT, $BMRN — the bulk of the names not yet flagged above, all above their 200-day with a positive year despite this week's broad cooldown.
  • Confirmed uptrend: $ILMN, $GILD, $BIIB, $PTGX, $TMO — comfortably above the 200-day with strong year-over-year returns.
  • Cooled off extended/overbought: $IQV — still the strongest long-trend print in the cut.
  • Extreme, high-variance move: $MRNA — up 467.0% over the year, a distinct situation from the rest of the cut.

Entry Zones

Stock Price Zone RSI 1Y% Setup
AMGN $377.35 Watch $425.38 (its 20-day) 31.5 +33.5% Sharp oversold crash with the long trend still intact and no established cause — confirm a floor before treating as a clean dip
IMVT $37.36 Watch $41.58 (its 20-day) 31.8 +122.4% Crashed on the RSI this scan but remains 21% above its 200-day
COGT $33.41 Watch $35.73 (its 200-day) 34.6 +160.8% Still testing its long-term average from below after a huge run
GILD $143.72 <$135.93 (a prior support level) 50.5 +21.9% Not extended despite mid-range RSI; healthy long trend
RARE $14.30 No support shelf identified 20.2 -54.2% Deepening extreme oversold with no confirmed floor; negative year keeps this a watch, not a buy

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD ILMN, GILD, BIIB, PTGX, TMO, IQV Confirmed uptrend or cooled-off-extended, long trend intact on the 1-year/200-day check
📈 ACCUMULATE DXCM, EDIT, DHR, NKTR, XBI, VRTX, INCY, IBBQ, REGN, IBB, KYMR, A, ABBV, SRPT, BMRN Broad cooldown this scan but still above the 200-day with a positive year
🔍 WATCH AMGN, IMVT, COGT Crashed or testing this scan but the long-trend numbers still pass — confirm cause and floor before acting; $AMGN's move has no established cause
⚠️ AVOID / DON'T CHASE MRNA Still unwinding an extreme multi-quarter move
❌ AVOID / BREAKDOWN WATCH RARE, ISRG, ALNY, LEGN, DNA, IONS, RXRX, CRSP, NTLA, BNTX, BEAM, NVO, MDT Below the 200-day (or flat-to-negative on the year with weak alpha) — the structurally weak group, largely unchanged from prior scans

What To Watch Next

  • $AMGN's 31-point RSI collapse has no established cause in checked news or stock-events — does a driver surface, or does this stay an unexplained sharp pullback inside an otherwise intact trend?
  • $RARE keeps deepening (now -54.2% 1Y) with no cause found across two scans of checking — does it find a floor, or is this a genuine multi-quarter breakdown?
  • The entire cohort cooled below RSI 62 this scan, from a top print of 69.6 last scan — is this a broad one-week reset, or the start of a deeper pullback across the group?
  • $ISRG is now six straight scans below its 200-day with a negative year — does the relapse finally break, or continue a seventh time?

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-11 close — biotech-scan.
  • News check for $AMGN: latest (fetched 2026-09-09, ok, routine coverage only) and research/stock-events/ (2026-08-04 and 2026-11-03 earnings entries, none matching this week's window).
  • News check for $RARE: latest (fetched 2026-09-04, predates this week's move) and research/stock-events/ (no matching event found).
  • News check for $SYK-adjacent members: latest.
  • Prior scan for comparison: 2026-09-04-biotech-scan.
  • Universe note: $LABU dropped from this cut — leveraged/inverse products are retired from tracking per avoid-instruments.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.