WFE / Test & Metrology Scan

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WFE / Test & Metrology Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 32 rows · screens, not recommendations event statusconfirmedprior scanresearch/scans/2026-09-25-wfe-test-metrology.md

The wafer-equipment, test and metrology book closed 13 of 13 green for the second scan running, and the clean horizon sweep held: every name still has positive trailing-year alpha. The new fact is the breakout in the short windows: Axcelis (20.03% on the week) and FormFactor are now overbought (RSI 73.6 and 72.8), Teradyne rose 8% in a day, and only Amkor remains under its 200-day (-2.2%), down from three names a week ago as Camtek and MKS Instruments reclaimed the line.

Numbers are the settled October 2 close for all 13 names (Friday), one week after the September 25 scan. No name in this book is missing a 200-day or trailing-year comparison. Several names (Teradyne, Kulicke & Soffa, Amkor, FormFactor, Onto) also appear in the supply-chain or optical books. Comparison baseline is the September 25 scan.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟢 13 of 13 green; 13 of 13 positive on trailing-year alpha; one name below its 200-day (Amkor), from three on September 25; two names at RSI 70 or higher
Leaders Axcelis (RSI 73.6), FormFactor (72.8), Kulicke & Soffa (69.9), Entegris (69), Applied Materials (69.2), Teradyne (69.6)
Laggards Amkor (RSI 58.8, below its 200-day), MKS Instruments (58), Camtek (63.5)
The horizon check Every name is positive on alpha; Amkor is the only one under its 200-day (-2.2%, alpha 74). Camtek (6.1%) and MKS (2.6%) are back above the line but only just
Caveat Extension, not damage, is the risk: all 13 are above their 20-day, ten by more than 12%. The drivers of the day's gains (Axcelis +8.09%, Teradyne +8%, Camtek +7.41%) are cause unknown. News was re-pulled 2026-10-03 for Applied Materials, Lam Research and MKS only, with no item on an October 2 move; the Axcelis, Teradyne and Camtek receipts predate October 2, so news was not pulled for those moves. The stock-event files were checked (only Nike's October 1 earnings and Corteva's October 1 spin-off are filed), and the desk's October 1-2 article and X captures were searched by company name (an October 2 X post lists Teradyne among rallying test names without naming a cause). Moves below with no stated cause are therefore cause unknown, not cause absent.

What's Going On

Every name closed green again, and the move is accelerating at the top. Axcelis gained 8.09% on the day and 20.03% on the week to RSI 73.6, now 25.3% above its 20-day; Teradyne gained 8% to RSI 69.6; Camtek gained 7.41%. No dated cause for any of the three is in the corpus (news was not pulled for these moves: Teradyne's last pull is September 15, Axcelis's September 22, Camtek's October 1; stock-events and the October 1-2 captures checked), so the strength is cause unknown. The tool-makers with the largest trailing years are the names leading: Teradyne 210.69%, FormFactor 278.36%, Applied Materials 141.53%, Lam Research 136.4%.

The repair at the bottom is the quieter story. A week ago three names were under their 200-day; today Camtek (6.1%) and MKS Instruments (2.6%) have reclaimed it and only Amkor (-2.2%) remains under, with alpha 74 and a 5.9% day. Camtek and MKS are thin reclaims: a one-session dip would put both back under, so the reclaim is unconfirmed until it survives a pullback.

Entegris: RSI 69, 26% above its 200-day, -10.95% from its high. ASML (-6.63% from its high, RSI 64.8) is the closest to its high among the large names and is labeled basing. KLA, Applied and Lam all sit 20% or more below their highs (-32.69%, -26.99%, -20.75%) despite trailing years of 81.59% to 141.53%: a classic deep-pullback-inside-an-intact-trend shape, now rebounding.

What Changed Since Prior Scan

  • Names below their 200-day: one (AMKR) versus three (CAMT, AMKR, MKSI) on September 25.
  • Trailing-year alpha: still 13 of 13 positive, the third consecutive scan with a clean sweep.
  • Overbought: two names at RSI 70 or higher (ACLS, FORM); on September 25 the highest was FormFactor at 62.9, so the whole book has moved up a tier.
  • Breadth: 13 of 13 green today, the same as on September 25.
  • Axcelis's thesis repair has extended: alpha is now 42.92.

How To Read The Board

The long layer is as good as it gets: 13 of 13 names with positive alpha, 12 of 13 above their 200-day, trailing years of 40.58% (Camtek) to 278.36% (FormFactor). The short layer is stretched: two names overbought, ten more than 12% above their 20-day. That combination argues for patience with new money, not for selling winners.

Amkor is the only trend-under-test label in this book (under its 200-day, positive alpha). Camtek and MKS are reclaimed-but-thin.

Source limits: price and RSI against moving averages; this board has no order-backlog, WFE-spend or earnings data. The desk's thesis rating covers only Kulicke & Soffa (intact-but-priced).

Price Table

Rows are ordered by RSI, highest first. Tape cells are live values for the October 2 close; the Signal column is the desk's label.

Stock As of Price ($) RSI SMA20 ($) vs SMA20 (%) 7D (%) 30D (%) 1Y (%) vs SMA200 (%) Signal
ACLS 2026-10-02 147.77 73.6 117.97 25.3 20.03 33.4 57.92 23.2 🔴 overbought; +20.03% on the week
FORM 2026-10-02 149.15 72.8 122.19 22.1 15.01 54.43 278.36 37.4 🔴 overbought; at highs
KLIC 2026-10-02 100.77 69.9 87.05 15.8 10.52 27.64 145.06 21.3 🟠 near overbought; intact-but-priced
TER 2026-10-02 449.04 69.6 380.8 17.9 12.72 31.44 210.69 34 🟠 near overbought; +8% day
AMAT 2026-10-02 540.04 69.2 468.97 15.2 11.35 23.17 141.53 26.3 🟠 near overbought; pullback-rebound
ENTG 2026-10-02 166.47 69 144.8 15 9.6 26.78 71.96 26 🟠 near overbought; uptrend
ONTO 2026-10-02 327.77 67.6 279.12 17.4 13.95 28.76 134.41 29.2 🟠 near overbought
LRCX 2026-10-02 347.49 67.6 305.42 13.8 10.24 20.52 136.4 26.3 🟠 near overbought
KLAC 2026-10-02 206.89 67.2 184.44 12.2 10.09 20.1 81.59 16.4 🟡 pullback-rebound; far below high
ASML 2026-10-02 1867.31 64.8 1721.85 8.4 7.07 11 81.26 21 🟢 basing near highs
CAMT 2026-10-02 165.19 63.5 147.2 12.2 12.34 25.23 40.58 6.1 🟡 thin 200-day reclaim
AMKR 2026-10-02 56.02 58.8 51.21 9.4 4.5 18.76 89 -2.2 🟡 below 200-day; positive alpha
MKSI 2026-10-02 279.15 58 258.02 8.2 7.03 11.05 104.45 2.6 🟡 thin 200-day reclaim

Tier Analysis

Capitulation (RSI below 25): none.

Oversold (RSI 25-40): none; the lowest RSI is Amkor at 58.8.

Neutral to strong (RSI 40+) — all 13 names. Overbought: Axcelis (73.6), FormFactor (72.8). Near overbought (65-70): Kulicke & Soffa (69.9), Entegris (69), Applied Materials (69.2), Teradyne (69.6), Onto (67.6), Lam (67.6), KLA (67.2), ASML (64.8).

Entry Zones

Stock Entry zone Thesis
ASML Pullback toward its 20-day (1721.85) Basing, -6.63% from its high; least extended of the large names
KLAC, AMAT, LRCX Their 20-days (184.44, 468.97, 305.42) Intact trends, each 20% or more off its high; rebounding hard
AMKR Its 200-day, -2.2% away Positive alpha; the one trend under test
CAMT, MKSI Hold above the 200-day (+6.1%, +2.6%) Thin reclaims; a pullback to the line is the test
ACLS, FORM, TER, KLIC, ENTG None: extended RSI 69-74 and 15-25% above the 20-day; wait for a flag

Action Matrix

Stock Signal Action Notes
ASML, KLAC, AMAT, LRCX, ONTO 🟢 Intact trend 🔒 Hold Rebounding; add only on pullbacks to the 20-day
ACLS, FORM 🔴 Overbought ⚠️ Avoid chasing RSI 70+; ACLS +20.03% on the week, cause unknown
TER, KLIC, ENTG 🟠 Near overbought 🔒 Hold Positive alpha; do not add here
CAMT, MKSI 🟡 Thin reclaim 🔍 Watch Back above 200-day by a few percent
AMKR 🟡 Under 200-day 🔍 Watch Trend under test, alpha positive

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
Whether the 13-of-13 sweep breaks Two scans of all-green breadth plus two overbought names is when pullbacks arrive
Camtek and MKS holding the 200-day Reclaims of 6.1% and 2.6% are within a normal daily range
Amkor reclaiming its 200-day -2.2% away; the last name under the line
Axcelis after +20.03% on the week Largest weekly move in the book; RSI 73.6

Sources

  • Tape data (price, RSI, moving averages, returns, trailing-year, alpha, 200-day position): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-10-02 close — wfe-test-metrology.
  • Cause checks: news receipts under stocks<SYM>/news/latest.json(all fetched on or before 2026-10-01), stock-event files inresearch/stock-events/` (2026-10-01-nke-earnings, 2026-10-01-vylr-spinoff), capture articles in articles.
  • Tradability: _securities.
  • Prior scan for comparison: 2026-09-25-wfe-test-metrology.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.