ETF Universe Scan

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ETF Universe Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 48 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-04-26-etf-universeported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-03-etf-universe.mdscan slugetf-universesource typescan-archive

Market cracking: VOO off -0.9% 30D, QQQ deteriorating (RSI 42.6), ARKK in capitulation (RSI 23.6 -8.6% 30D), while XLE surges (RSI 78.7 overbought) and EEM/SOXX lead — rotation into energy, EM, and semis underway; cybersecurity ETFs breaking down hard.


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 DETERIORATING / ROTATION — Broad market weakening, growth/tech rolling over, energy and EM leading, ARKK in capitulation
Leaders XLE (RSI 78.7, +9.1% 30D), EEM (RSI 68.7, +6.0% 30D), SOXX (RSI 64.7, +10.9% 30D), XLI (RSI 63.5, +5.8% 30D)
Laggards ARKK (RSI 23.6, -8.6% 30D), BUG (-15.1% 30D), CIBR (-11.5% 30D), HACK (-8.1% 30D)
Key shift vs 02-26 Cloud ETFs gave back their bounce (IGV was RSI 54, now 47.1); ARKK plunging into capitulation; cybersec ETFs all breaking down

Price Table (Data as of 2026-03-03)

Broad Market

ETF Name Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action
VOO S&P 500 $625.50 -1.1% -0.9% 🟡 Slight dip 🔒 Hold
QQQ Nasdaq 100 $601.49 -1.0% -2.4% 42.6 $607.09 -0.9% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch
IWM Small Cap $263.99 -0.2% 0.0% 62.6 $262.92 +0.4% 🟢 Above SMA 🔒 Hold
DIA Dow 30 $493.70 +0.7% +0.8% 52.5 $491.98 +0.4% 🟡 Neutral 🔒 Hold
VIXY VIX Futures $29.53 +7.1% +10.4% 🔴 Elevated fear ⚠️ Monitor
TQQQ QQQ 3x Bull $48.10 -3.4% -3.3% 🔴 Declining ⚠️ Caution

Sector ETFs (SPDR Select)

ETF Sector Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action
XLK Technology $143.69 -1.1% -1.7% 52.9 $144.23 -0.4% 🟡 At SMA 🔍 Watch
XLF Financials $53.72 +1.4% -4.3% 45.2 $54.19 -0.9% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch
XLV Healthcare $155.55 +0.1% +0.3% 45.8 $156.75 -0.8% 🟡 At SMA 🔒 Hold
XLI Industrials $169.10 +2.4% +5.8% 63.5 $164.42 +2.8% 🟢 Above SMA 🔒 Hold
XLE Energy $51.15 +3.0% +9.1% 78.7 $48.34 +5.8% 🔴 Near Overbought ⚠️ Trim

Thematic ETFs

ETF Theme Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action
WCLD Cloud $28.27 +8.2% +0.4% 48.3 $27.56 +2.6% 🟡 Recovering 🔍 Watch
IGV Software $84.07 +7.2% -1.5% 47.1 $82.08 +2.4% 🟡 Recovering 🔍 Watch
CLOU Cloud 2 $19.17 +3.3% -1.6% 45.5 $19.11 +0.3% 🟡 Recovering 🔍 Watch
SMH Semis $391.06 -6.7% +2.4% 🟡 Pullback 🔍 Watch
SOXX Semis 2 $352.69 +2.8% +10.9% 64.7 $339.43 +3.9% 🟢 Above SMA 🔒 Hold
ARKK Disrupt. Innov. $74.36 -7.0% -8.6% 23.6 $80.28 -7.4% 🔴 Capitulation ✅ Watch for entry
ARKG Genomics $30.62 -5.7% +2.1% 42.9 $31.74 -3.5% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch

Biotech & Healthcare

ETF Theme Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action
XBI Biotech $123.50 -4.4% -1.4% 🟡 Declining 🔍 Watch
IBB Biotech 2

Cybersecurity ETFs

ETF Theme Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action
HACK Cybersecurity $73.69 -3.7% -8.1% 52.1 $75.39 -2.2% 🟡 Below SMA 🔍 Watch
BUG Cybersecurity 2 $25.67 -4.6% -15.1% 46.4 $26.89 -4.6% 🔴 Breakdown ❌ Avoid
CIBR Cybersecurity 3 $63.78 -3.2% -11.5% 46.8 $66.06 -3.5% 🔴 Breakdown ❌ Avoid

Commodities & Safe Haven

ETF Asset Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action
GLD Gold $468.04 -1.4% +3.0% 52.2 $465.00 +0.7% 🟢 Above SMA 🔒 Hold
TLT Long Bond $89.43 -0.2% +3.7% 🟡 Bonds bid 🔍 Watch

International & Fixed Income

ETF Theme Price 7D Chg 30D Chg RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action
EEM Emerging Markets $60.55 +2.1% +6.0% 68.7 $58.96 +2.7% 🟢 Above SMA 🔒 Hold
HYG High Yield Bond
LQD Investment Grade

Tier Analysis

Tier 1 — Overbought / Leaders (Trim / Don't Chase)

  • XLE — RSI 78.7, +9.1% 30D, +5.8% above SMA. Energy surging on tariff/geopolitical bid. Near overbought — trim, not chase.
  • EEM — RSI 68.7, +6.0% 30D. EM outperforming US. Yuan strength + China stimulus. Hold but approaching trim zone.
  • SOXX — RSI 64.7, +10.9% 30D, +3.9% above SMA. Semis (SOXX flavor) holding better than SMH. AI demand floor thesis.
  • XLI — RSI 63.5, +5.8% 30D. Industrials catching bid from reshoring/defense narrative.
  • ABBV (proxy via XLV) — Healthcare sector (XLV RSI 45.8) muted; select names outperforming.

Tier 2 — Neutral / Recovering (Watch)

  • QQQ — RSI 42.6, -0.9% below SMA. Nasdaq deteriorating from the 02-26 bounce (was RSI 56.6). Not in free fall but fading.
  • IWM — RSI 62.6, +0.4% above SMA. Small caps most resilient of major indices. Domestic-focus insulates from tariff fears.
  • DIA — RSI 52.5, +0.4% above SMA. Dow holding best — value/dividend tilt helping.
  • GLD — RSI 52.2, +3.0% 30D. Gold maintaining bid after the big 02-26 run. Consolidating above SMA. Hold.
  • TLT — +3.7% 30D with bonds bid alongside gold — flight-to-safety trade active.
  • Cloud ETFs (WCLD, IGV, CLOU) — Bounced from deep lows, RSI 45-48. Recovering but not confirmed. 7D +3-8% bounce from oversold. Need SMA reclaim to confirm.

Tier 3 — Deteriorating (Avoid / Exit)

  • ARKK — RSI 23.6, -7.0% 7D, -8.6% 30D, -7.4% below SMA. Capitulation zone. This is where long-term buyers look — but no rush, the trend is still down.
  • BUG — RSI 46.4, -15.1% 30D, -4.6% below SMA. One of the worst performing ETFs in the scan. Cybersec small-cap exposure getting crushed.
  • CIBR — RSI 46.8, -11.5% 30D, -3.5% below SMA. Broad cybersec ETF in downtrend. Budget scrutiny + sector rotation headwind.
  • HACK — RSI 52.1, -8.1% 30D. Better than BUG/CIBR but still lagging. -2.2% below SMA.
  • XBI — -4.4% 7D. Biotech weakening — policy risk (drug pricing) + macro risk-off.
  • ARKG — RSI 42.9, -5.7% 7D. Gene editing/genomics ETF under pressure. -3.5% below SMA.
  • VIXY — +7.1% 7D, +10.4% 30D. Fear gauge rising. Confirms risk-off environment.

Tier 4 — Capitulation Watch

  • ARKK — RSI 23.6. The only ETF hitting deep oversold levels. Historically this level (RSI <25) has marked medium-term entry points in ARKK — but requires patience, trend confirmation, or position sizing for high risk.

Entry Zones

ETF Entry Zone RSI Level Conviction Notes
🟢 ARKK $72–75 (add on RSI <20) RSI 23.6 — approaching entry MEDIUM-LOW Capitulation zone; high-risk speculative. Position size small. Wait for RSI floor + bounce.
🟡 QQQ $590–605 RSI < 38 re-entry MEDIUM Deteriorating from 02-26 bounce. Don't catch falling knife — wait for stabilization.
🟡 WCLD / IGV / CLOU WCLD $26–28 / IGV $80–84 / CLOU $18.50–19 RSI reload < 40 MEDIUM 7D bounce encouraging but need SMA reclaim. Watch $26 WCLD support.
🔒 GLD Hold current / add <$460 RSI 52 — healthy HIGH Gold consolidating above SMA. Flight-to-safety trade intact.
🔒 IWM Hold RSI 62.6 HIGH (hold) Most resilient major index ETF. Domestic focus insulates.
⚠️ XLE Wait for RSI reset RSI 78.7 — stretched HIGH (wait) Don't chase. Wait for pullback to RSI < 55 and SMA retest.
⏳ EEM Hold, trim >RSI 72 RSI 68.7 — approaching trim MEDIUM EM outperformance may persist but RSI approaching trim zone.

Action Matrix

Action ETF Why
🔒 HOLD GLD, IWM, DIA, SOXX, XLI, EEM Trend intact; GLD flight-to-safety, IWM/DIA value tilt resilient
🔍 WATCH QQQ, XLK, XLF, XLV, WCLD, IGV, CLOU, SMH, ARKG, TLT Recovering or neutral; need confirmation before adding
✅ WATCH FOR ENTRY ARKK RSI 23.6 — capitulation zone; speculative; position size small
⚠️ TRIM / AVOID XLE, VIXY, TQQQ XLE overbought; VIXY signals fear environment; TQQQ declining
❌ AVOID BUG, CIBR, HACK, XBI, ARKG Cybersec in structural downtrend; biotech weakening

Regime Assessment

Current regime: RISK-OFF ROTATION — Growth/Tech rolling over, Safety/Value bid, EM outperforming

  • VOO -0.9% 30D, QQQ -2.4% 30D with RSI 42.6 — US large-cap softening
  • VIXY +10.4% 30D — fear elevated, consistent with defensive positioning
  • GLD +3.0% 30D and TLT +3.7% 30D — both bonds and gold bid simultaneously (genuine risk-off, not just rate play)
  • EEM +6.0% 30D — EM outperforming US, unusual; suggests USD softening or China stimulus impact
  • Energy (XLE RSI 78.7) vs Tech (XLK RSI 52.9) — textbook defensive rotation
  • Cybersecurity ETFs (BUG -15.1%, CIBR -11.5%) being abandoned despite sector importance — budget scrutiny likely
  • ARKK RSI 23.6 — growth proxy in capitulation, mirrors Feb 2023 / Oct 2023 extremes

Key divergence vs 02-26: Cloud ETFs gave back the RSI bounce (IGV was 54, now 47) but remained above SMA — holding gains from 7D +7.2% move. QQQ has notably deteriorated (56.6 → 42.6). The 02-26 bounce is being tested.


Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
ARKK RSI 23.6 — only ETF in capitulation zone Speculative growth basket at extreme. Watch for floor signal. Not yet confirmed reversal but building position risk acceptable.
Cybersec ETFs (BUG -15.1%, CIBR -11.5% 30D) vs HACK -8.1% BUG/CIBR exposed to smaller caps taking the brunt. HACK (large-cap tilt) holding better. Sector-wide headwind: budget cuts?
VIXY +10.4% 30D alongside GLD +3.0% and TLT +3.7% Triple safety signal: VIX + bonds + gold all bid = institutional risk-off positioning. Not a time to add risk aggressively.
EEM RSI 68.7 leading US indices Unusual EM leadership. China/DM divergence trade gaining momentum.

Open Questions

  • Is ARKK RSI 23.6 the capitulation floor or does it have further to fall (saw RSI < 10 in 2022)?
  • Cybersec sector: structural headwind (budget scrutiny) or just rotation? Individual names (PANW, CRWD) may diverge from ETF.
  • EEM/US divergence sustainable, or does US weakness ultimately drag down EM?
  • TLT +3.7% 30D: are rates heading lower, or is this a temporary flight to safety that reverses?

Scan universe: 28 ETFs across broad market, sector, thematic, crypto, commodities, and fixed income. Date: 2026-03-03.

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