raw scansnapshot — prices as of scan date, not live48 rows · screens, not recommendationssuperseded by2026-04-26-etf-universeported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-03-etf-universe.mdscan slugetf-universesource typescan-archive
Market cracking: VOO off -0.9% 30D, QQQ deteriorating (RSI 42.6), ARKK in capitulation (RSI 23.6 -8.6% 30D), while XLE surges (RSI 78.7 overbought) and EEM/SOXX lead — rotation into energy, EM, and semis underway; cybersecurity ETFs breaking down hard.
Quick Snapshot
Signal
Reading
Overall
🟡 DETERIORATING / ROTATION — Broad market weakening, growth/tech rolling over, energy and EM leading, ARKK in capitulation
Cloud ETFs (WCLD, IGV, CLOU) — Bounced from deep lows, RSI 45-48. Recovering but not confirmed. 7D +3-8% bounce from oversold. Need SMA reclaim to confirm.
Tier 3 — Deteriorating (Avoid / Exit)
ARKK — RSI 23.6, -7.0% 7D, -8.6% 30D, -7.4% below SMA. Capitulation zone. This is where long-term buyers look — but no rush, the trend is still down.
BUG — RSI 46.4, -15.1% 30D, -4.6% below SMA. One of the worst performing ETFs in the scan. Cybersec small-cap exposure getting crushed.
ARKK — RSI 23.6. The only ETF hitting deep oversold levels. Historically this level (RSI <25) has marked medium-term entry points in ARKK — but requires patience, trend confirmation, or position sizing for high risk.
Entry Zones
ETF
Entry Zone
RSI Level
Conviction
Notes
🟢 ARKK
$72–75 (add on RSI <20)
RSI 23.6 — approaching entry
MEDIUM-LOW
Capitulation zone; high-risk speculative. Position size small. Wait for RSI floor + bounce.
🟡 QQQ
$590–605
RSI < 38 re-entry
MEDIUM
Deteriorating from 02-26 bounce. Don't catch falling knife — wait for stabilization.
🟡 WCLD / IGV / CLOU
WCLD $26–28 / IGV $80–84 / CLOU $18.50–19
RSI reload < 40
MEDIUM
7D bounce encouraging but need SMA reclaim. Watch $26 WCLD support.
ARKK RSI 23.6 — growth proxy in capitulation, mirrors Feb 2023 / Oct 2023 extremes
Key divergence vs 02-26: Cloud ETFs gave back the RSI bounce (IGV was 54, now 47) but remained above SMA — holding gains from 7D +7.2% move. QQQ has notably deteriorated (56.6 → 42.6). The 02-26 bounce is being tested.
Key Discoveries
Discovery
Implication
ARKK RSI 23.6 — only ETF in capitulation zone
Speculative growth basket at extreme. Watch for floor signal. Not yet confirmed reversal but building position risk acceptable.
Cybersec ETFs (BUG -15.1%, CIBR -11.5% 30D) vs HACK -8.1%
BUG/CIBR exposed to smaller caps taking the brunt. HACK (large-cap tilt) holding better. Sector-wide headwind: budget cuts?
VIXY +10.4% 30D alongside GLD +3.0% and TLT +3.7%
Triple safety signal: VIX + bonds + gold all bid = institutional risk-off positioning. Not a time to add risk aggressively.
EEM RSI 68.7 leading US indices
Unusual EM leadership. China/DM divergence trade gaining momentum.
Open Questions
Is ARKK RSI 23.6 the capitulation floor or does it have further to fall (saw RSI < 10 in 2022)?
Cybersec sector: structural headwind (budget scrutiny) or just rotation? Individual names (PANW, CRWD) may diverge from ETF.
EEM/US divergence sustainable, or does US weakness ultimately drag down EM?
TLT +3.7% 30D: are rates heading lower, or is this a temporary flight to safety that reverses?
Scan universe: 28 ETFs across broad market, sector, thematic, crypto, commodities, and fixed income. Date: 2026-03-03.