ETF Universe Scan
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ETF Universe Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 38 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-04-26-etf-universeported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-02-22-etf-universe.mdscan slugetf-universesource typescan-archive
Mixed-regime stall: VOO/QQQ recovering but still below SMA, SaaS/cloud stuck in oversold limbo (RSI 32-33), gold breaking out (RSI 58, +5.7% 30D), VIXY elevated at 62 — no clear all-clear yet.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 MIXED / CAUTIOUS — Broad market bouncing but not confirmed. Growth lagging. |
| Strongest | GLD (RSI 58, +5.7% 30D), SMH (RSI 56, +3.2% 30D), EEM (RSI 69) |
| Weakest | IGV (RSI 32, -15.3% 30D), WCLD (RSI 33, -13.2% 30D), CLOU (RSI 33, -9.1% 30D), ARKK (RSI 24, -8.6% 30D) |
| Fear gauge | VIXY $28.31 (RSI 62) — fear still elevated, not capitulated |
| Key shift vs 02-16 | VOO bounced +1.1% (RSI 40→48), QQQ +1.1% (RSI 37→42), but SaaS/cloud held flat or dropped further |
Price Table (Data as of 2026-02-20)
Broad Market
| ETF | Name | Price | 7D Chg | 30D Chg | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VOO | S&P 500 | $634.02 | +1.1% | +0.6% | 48 | $633.74 | +0.0% | 🟡 At SMA | 🔒 Hold |
| QQQ | Nasdaq 100 | $608.81 | +1.1% | -1.2% | 42 | $613.99 | -0.8% | 🟡 Below SMA | 🔍 Watch |
| IWM | Small Cap | $262.96 | -1.5% | -0.1% | 49 | $263.63 | -0.3% | 🟡 At SMA | 🔍 Watch |
| DIA | Dow Jones | $493.70 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 53 | $491.98 | +0.4% | 🟢 Above SMA | 🔒 Hold |
| EEM | Emerging Mkts | $60.55 | +1.6% | +6.0% | 69 | $58.96 | +2.7% | 🟠 Near overbought | ⚠️ Avoid |
Sector ETFs
| ETF | Sector | Price | 7D Chg | 30D Chg | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | Tech | $143.69 | +1.1% | -1.7% | 53 | $144.23 | -0.4% | 🟡 At SMA | 🔍 Watch |
| SMH | Semis | $415.03 | +1.8% | +3.2% | 56 | $404.97 | +2.5% | 🟢 Above SMA | 🔒 Hold |
| XLF | Financials | $53.72 | +1.4% | -4.3% | 45 | $54.19 | -0.9% | 🟡 Below SMA | 🔍 Watch |
| XLV | Healthcare | $155.55 | +0.8% | +0.3% | 46 | $156.75 | -0.8% | 🟡 Below SMA | 🔍 Watch |
| XLE | Energy | $51.15 | +2.2% | +9.1% | 79 | $48.34 | +5.8% | 🔴 Overbought | ⚠️ Avoid |
| XBI | Biotech | $124.78 | +1.6% | -2.7% | 50 | $125.61 | -0.7% | 🟡 At SMA | 🔍 Watch |
Thematic / Growth ETFs
| ETF | Theme | Price | 7D Chg | 30D Chg | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IGV | Software | $80.78 | -2.4% | -15.3% | 32 | $86.89 | -7.1% | 🟢 Deeply oversold | 📈 Accumulate |
| WCLD | Cloud | $27.28 | -3.2% | -13.2% | 33 | $29.14 | -6.4% | 🟢 Deeply oversold | 📈 Accumulate |
| CLOU | Cloud 2 | $18.93 | -3.5% | -9.1% | 33 | $20.01 | -5.4% | 🟢 Oversold | 📈 Accumulate |
| ARKK | Innovation | $74.36 | -6.8% | -8.6% | 24 | $80.28 | -7.4% | 🔴 Breakdown | ❌ Don't Buy |
Commodities & Bonds
| ETF | Asset | Price | 7D Chg | 30D Chg | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLD | Gold | $468.62 | +1.3% | +5.7% | 58 | $460.63 | +1.7% | 🟢 Breakout | 🔒 Hold |
| TLT | Long Bonds | $89.72 | +2.5% | +2.0% | 64 | $87.52 | +2.5% | 🟢 Flight to safety | 🔒 Hold |
| VIXY | VIX / Fear | $28.31 | +9.7% | +7.8% | 62 | $26.49 | +6.9% | 🔴 Fear elevated | ⚠️ Caution |
Tier Analysis
Tier 1 — Working (Hold / Trim at RSI 75+)
- GLD — Gold in confirmed uptrend, RSI 58, above SMA. Flight-to-safety + macro bid. No reason to sell yet.
- SMH — Semis recovered, RSI 56, +3.2% 30D. AI buildout demand intact. AI infra still on.
- TLT — Bonds rallying with flight-to-safety. RSI 64 getting stretched; don't add here.
- DIA — Dow holding steady, RSI 53. Defensive value names holding up.
Tier 2 — Neutral / Stalling (Watch for Direction)
- VOO — At SMA ($633.74), RSI 48. Not a buy or sell. Needs to reclaim SMA and push RSI >55 to confirm recovery.
- QQQ — RSI 42, still below SMA. Slight bounce off lows. Not confirmed.
- IWM — RSI 49, hugging SMA. Small caps underperforming — no catalyst.
- XLK — At SMA, RSI 53. Tech sector waiting on QQQ direction.
- XBI — RSI 50 at SMA. Biotech neutral after weeks of decline.
- XLF — RSI 45, below SMA. Financials underperforming with financials in mild selloff.
- XLV — RSI 46, below SMA. Healthcare sideways.
Tier 3 — Oversold But Not Bottomed (Accumulate Cautiously)
Tier 4 — Breakdown / Avoid
- ARKK — RSI 24, -8.6% 30D, 7.4% below SMA. No reversal signs. Avoid until RSI stabilizes above 30 with volume.
- XLE — RSI 79, +9.1% 30D, +5.8% above SMA. Energy overbought. Trim at RSI 80+.
- EEM — RSI 69, +6.0% 30D. Emerging markets running hot. Don't chase.
- VIXY — RSI 62, +7.8% 30D. Fear elevated = not risk-on yet.
Entry Zones
| ETF | Entry Zone | RSI Trigger | Conviction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 IGV | $78-$83 | RSI < 30 | HIGH | Software basket at washout; RSI 32 now, watch for final flush |
| 🟢 WCLD | $26-$28 | RSI < 30 | HIGH | Cloud basket nearing capitulation; -13% 30D |
| 🟢 CLOU | $18-$19.50 | RSI < 30 | MEDIUM | Smaller cloud ETF, less diversified |
| 🟡 QQQ | $595-$610 | RSI < 38 | MEDIUM | Broad tech; needs to hold above $595 |
| 🟡 IWM | $255-$263 | RSI < 40 | LOW-MED | Small cap; no catalyst, macro dependent |
| ⏳ ARKK | $65-$70 | RSI < 20 | SPECULATIVE | Wait for full capitulation before considering |
Action Matrix
| Action | ETF | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | GLD, TLT, SMH, DIA | Trend intact; GLD/TLT as hedges; SMH AI demand |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | IGV, WCLD, CLOU | Basket-level SaaS/cloud washout; RSI 32-33, near oversold |
| 🔍 WATCH | VOO, QQQ, IWM, XLK, XBI, XLF, XLV | Neutral; wait for RSI direction or SMA reclaim |
| ⚠️ AVOID | XLE, EEM, VIXY | Overbought or fear-driven; poor risk/reward to add |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | ARKK | RSI 24, no bottom signal, broken structure |
Regime Assessment
Current regime: CAUTIOUS RECOVERY / MIXED
- VOO bounced back to SMA (RSI 40→48 since 02-16) but not confirmed break-above
- VIXY still elevated (RSI 62) — market not fully risk-on
- TLT/GLD both bid — safety trade still active alongside slight equity bounce
- SaaS/cloud NOT recovering: IGV -2.4%, WCLD -3.2%, CLOU -3.5% over past 7 days — divergence from broad market
- Energy overbought (XLE RSI 79) — late-cycle rotation, not a new position
Key divergence: Broad market (VOO, DIA, SMH) bouncing. Growth/innovation (IGV, WCLD, CLOU, ARKK) still falling. This is sector-specific rotation into value/energy/gold rather than a clean recovery.
Watch for: VOO reclaiming SMA + RSI >55 as all-clear signal. VIXY dropping below $24 as fear subsides. IGV/WCLD RSI hitting sub-30 for high-conviction entry.
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| SaaS/cloud still falling while broad market bounces | Sector rotation, not recovery — don't conflate broad bounce with growth re-entry |
| GLD +5.7% 30D with RSI 58 (not overbought) | Gold breakout has legs; hold existing positions |
| VIXY RSI 62 = fear persists despite VOO bounce | Bounce is tentative; hedges worth keeping |
| XLE RSI 79 = energy exhaustion approaching | Trim energy exposure; rotation trade long in tooth |
Open Questions
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