Market Pulse

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Market Pulse

Scan symbols 41
BNDCOPXDIAEEMEFAEWJFXIGLDHYGIEFITBIWMLQDMTUMQQQQUALRSPSLVSMHSPYUNGUSOVIXYVTIVTVVUGVWOVXXXBIXHBXLBXLCXLEXLFXLIXLKXLPXLREXLUXLVXLY
Watchlists 1
@market-pulse
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 65 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-05-01-market-pulseported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-20-market-pulse.mdscan slugmarket-pulsesource typescan-archive

Broad market in full selloff — SPY RSI 29.6, DIA RSI 25.1, homebuilders crushed (ITB -20.6% 30D, RSI 20.7), gold/silver crashing hard (-10.9%/-18.4% 30D), while oil (USO +51.6% 30D) and VIX (+26.6% 30D) are the only things rising. Risk-off at near-capitulation levels across most sectors.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 RISK-OFF / NEAR CAPITULATION — SPY RSI 29.6 approaching oversold, DIA RSI 25.1 deep oversold, homebuilders collapsing (ITB -20.6% 30D), XLB RSI 24.4, XLV RSI 26.7. Energy and oil the lone holdout (XLE strong-up, USO +51.6% 30D). Gold broke down sharply (-10.9% 30D). Volatility spiking hard.
Leaders USO (+51.6% 30D, RSI 75.2), XLE (+8.7% 30D, RSI 77.2), VXX (+26.6% 30D), VIXY (+25.7% 30D)
Laggards ITB (-20.6% 30D, RSI 20.7), XHB (-19.4% 30D, RSI 22.5), COPX (-22.4% 30D, RSI 30.1), SLV (-18.4% 30D, RSI 34.6)

Price Table — Major Indices

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% Signal
SPY $648.60 29.6 -4.0% -1.4% -5.9% 🟡 Approaching oversold
QQQ $581.88 35.0 -3.5% -1.2% -4.4% 🟡 Tech weak
DIA $455.30 25.1 -4.8% -1.8% -8.2% 🔴 Dow deep oversold
IWM $241.79 33.1 -5.0% -0.3% -8.5% 🟡 Small caps beaten
VTI $320.40 30.5 -3.8% -1.2% -5.8% 🟡 Total market near oversold
RSP $190.35 29.4 -4.2% -0.6% -6.7% 🟡 Equal-weight near oversold

Price Table — All 11 Sectors

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% Signal
XLK $134.94 39.4 -2.9% -0.2% -4.2% 🟡 Tech fading
XLF $49.00 33.3 -2.7% -0.5% -6.7% 🔴 Financials — death cross
XLE $59.63 77.2 +4.9% +3.2% +8.7% 🔴 Energy overbought
XLV $145.06 26.7 -5.5% -2.9% -7.5% 🟡 Healthcare deep oversold
XLI $160.97 30.4 -5.8% -0.5% -9.2% 🟡 Industrials near oversold
XLU $44.87 38.3 -4.2% -1.4% -3.2% 🟡 Utilities weak
XLP $81.49 29.7 -5.4% -3.3% -7.3% 🟡 Staples near oversold
XLY $107.71 27.8 -5.5% -1.9% -8.3% 🟡 Consumer disc. deep oversold
XLB $46.94 24.4 -7.4% -3.6% -11.4% 🔴 Materials capitulating
XLRE $40.76 30.1 -5.1% -1.4% -6.4% 🟡 Real estate near oversold
XLC $112.06 31.0 -3.6% -2.2% -4.1% 🟡 Comms weak

Price Table — International

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% Signal
EFA $93.39 28.3 -6.7% -1.1% -11.0% 🟡 Developed intl near oversold
EEM $55.58 35.8 -6.1% +0.1% -10.8% 🟡 EM selling off
VWO $52.49 31.5 -5.8% -1.1% -10.3% 🟡 EM near oversold
FXI $35.15 31.0 -4.2% -0.9% -9.4% 🔴 China — death cross
EWJ $81.25 32.1 -6.7% -0.3% -11.2% 🟡 Japan weak

Price Table — Bonds

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% Signal
TLT $85.84 35.8 -2.9% +0.6% -3.7% 🟡 Long bonds weak
IEF $94.86 32.5 -1.7% -0.1% -2.0% 🟡 10Y flat/weak
HYG N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A — No data
LQD N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A — No data
BND $73.21 32.7 -1.4% +0.0% -1.8% 🟡 Agg bonds weak

Price Table — Commodities

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% Signal
GLD $417.36 30.8 -10.5% -8.8% -10.9% 🟡 Gold crashed — near oversold
SLV $62.51 34.6 -17.4% -12.0% -18.4% 🟡 Silver hard breakdown
USO $122.54 75.2 +20.8% +1.1% +51.6% 🔴 Oil parabolic — overbought
UNG $12.44 50.7 +2.1% -0.3% +3.6% 🟡 Nat gas neutral
COPX $69.14 30.1 -17.6% -8.0% -22.4% 🟡 Copper near oversold

Price Table — Volatility

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% Signal
VIXY $34.44 60.9 +12.3% -0.2% +25.7% 🟠 VIX elevated
VXX $35.92 61.7 +13.2% -0.2% +26.6% 🟠 VIX elevated

Price Table — Factors

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% Signal
VUG $439.69 31.5 -4.2% -1.8% -5.5% 🟡 Growth near oversold
VTV $194.57 30.8 -3.5% -0.8% -6.0% 🟡 Value near oversold
MTUM $240.87 39.6 -2.9% +0.4% -5.4% 🟡 Momentum fading
QUAL $191.48 30.6 -4.0% -1.4% -6.1% 🟡 Quality near oversold

Price Table — Housing & Specialty

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% Signal
XHB $95.83 22.5 -10.4% -1.5% -19.4% 🔴 Homebuilders capitulating
ITB $87.87 20.7 -11.4% -2.5% -20.6% 🔴 Homebuilders capitulating
SMH $383.30 42.0 -3.9% +0.5% -7.7% 🟡 Semis weak
XBI $120.60 41.0 -3.6% -1.4% -3.4% 🟡 Biotech neutral

Tier Analysis

Strong RSI / Overbought (RSI > 60)

  • XLE RSI 77.2 — Energy overbought, strong-up trend, oil thesis driving
  • USO RSI 75.2 — Oil parabolic, +20.8% above SMA20, unsustainable near-term
  • VXX/VIXY RSI 61–62 — Volatility elevated, risk-off confirmed

Neutral (RSI 40–60)

Oversold (RSI 25–40)

  • SPY (29.6), VTI (30.5), RSP (29.4) — Broad market at capitulation edge
  • XLI (30.4), XLU (38.3), XLC (31.0), XLF (33.3) — Most sectors oversold
  • EFA (28.3), VWO (31.5), EWJ (32.1) — International collapsing
  • GLD (30.8), SLV (34.6), COPX (30.1) — Commodities (ex-oil) wrecked
  • VUG (31.5), VTV (30.8), QUAL (30.6) — All factor ETFs near oversold

Capitulation (RSI < 25)

  • DIA RSI 25.1 — Dow Jones at near-capitulation
  • XHB RSI 22.5, ITB RSI 20.7 — Homebuilders in freefall
  • XLB RSI 24.4 — Materials capitulating
  • XLV RSI 26.7 — Healthcare hit hard
  • XLY RSI 27.8 — Consumer discretionary near capitulation

Entry Zones

Stock Entry Zone Thesis
SPY $630–650 Broad market near oversold; 7-week correction, golden cross intact
DIA $440–460 Dow deep oversold RSI 25, -8.2% 30D; mean reversion setup
XLV $140–148 Healthcare oversold RSI 26.7, -7.5% 30D; defensive sector
XLB $44–48 Materials capitulating RSI 24.4, -11.4% 30D; infrastructure catalyst
XLP $78–83 Staples oversold RSI 29.7; recession hedge + yield
XHB/ITB Watch only RSI 20–22, -20% 30D — falling knives, need stabilization
GLD $410–425 Gold crashed from highs RSI 30.8; if breaking down further, avoid
EFA $90–95 Developed intl near oversold RSI 28.3, -11% 30D

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
📈 ACCUMULATE SPY, VTI, DIA Near/at oversold, broad market correction nearing extremes
📈 ACCUMULATE XLV, XLP, XLY Defensive sectors deep oversold, RSI 26–30
🔍 WATCH XLB, XLRE, XLC Capitulating sectors — wait for stabilization
🔍 WATCH GLD, SLV Gold/silver crashed hard; watch for reversal or continued breakdown
🔒 HOLD XLE Energy strong-up but overbought; don't add
⚠️ AVOID USO Oil RSI 75.2, +51.6% 30D — parabolic, don't chase
⚠️ AVOID VIXY/VXX Elevated, not a long-term position
❌ DON'T BUY XHB, ITB RSI 20–22, death spiral in homebuilders — falling knife
❌ DON'T BUY COPX Copper -22.4% 30D, global demand signals weak

What Changed (vs 2026-03-13)

  • Gold reversed sharply — from safe haven to selloff: GLD was $460 in March-13 scan, now $417 (-9.5% vs prior scan). Silver even worse (-18.4% 30D). Precious metals are no longer acting as safe havens.
  • Oil went parabolic — USO RSI climbed to 75.2 (was 85.9 at extreme peak in March-13), remains well above SMA20. XLE death-crossed financials as the only strong sector.
  • Homebuilders collapsed further — ITB RSI 20.7 (was 22.1), XHB RSI 22.5 (was 24.1). Both now -20% 30D. Capitulation deepening.
  • DIA broke down more — RSI fell from 36.7 to 25.1. Dow underperforming other indices sharply.
  • International broke hard — EFA/EWJ/VWO all showing -10% to -11% 30D, accelerating from prior scan.
  • XLF death cross confirmed — Financials now in strong-down with death cross. Structural concern.
  • No safe havens working — Gold, bonds (TLT), international all breaking down simultaneously.

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
Zero safe havens functioning Gold, bonds, and international all selling off — cash is the only refuge
Oil/energy decoupled entirely from rest of market Geopolitical premium or supply shock driving XLE/USO while everything else sells
Homebuilders at RSI 20–22 two weeks running Structural damage, not just a pullback — avoid until housing data stabilizes

Open Questions

  • Is gold breaking its long-term uptrend or just correcting from an extreme parabolic?
  • Is oil strength geopolitical (supply disruption) or demand-driven?
  • When does broad-market RSI capitulation (SPY 29.6) trigger a snapback?
10 events
DateTypeEvent
Mar 26 ScanMarket Pulse Mar 12 ScanMarket Pulse Mar 11 ScanMarket Pulse Mar 10 ScanMarket Pulse — Full Macro Dashboard Mar 13 ScanMarket Pulse Apr 13 ScanMarket Pulse Scan Apr 26 ScanMarket Pulse Scan Apr 28 ScanMarket Pulse Scan May 29 ScanMarket Pulse Scan Apr 3 ScanMarket Pulse Scan

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