← all events raw scan snapshot Mar 13, 2026 — prices as of scan date, not live 62 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-05-01-market-pulse ported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-13-market-pulse.md scan slugmarket-pulse source typescan-archive
Broad market weakness across the board: SPY RSI 33.7, DIA RSI 36.7, IWM RSI 35.3 — all approaching oversold territory. Energy (XLE RSI 69.4) and oil (USO RSI 85.9) are the only sectors showing strength. Homebuilders in freefall: XHB RSI 24.1, ITB RSI 22.1. Financials breaking down with XLF RSI 28.9. Gold holds strong-up trend at $460.85. VIX rising with VIXY +16.3% 30D.
Quick Snapshot Signal Reading Overall 🔴 RISK-OFF — Broad indices oversold (SPY 33.7, VTI 33.3), homebuilders crashing (ITB -17% 30D), financials breaking down (XLF -5.4% 30D, RSI 28.9). Energy the lone bright spot with oil parabolic (USO +58% 30D). Gold/silver holding as safe havens. Leaders USO (+58.3% 30D, RSI 85.9), XLE (+5.8% 30D, RSI 69.4), SLV (+13.8% 30D), GLD (+2.8% 30D) Laggards ITB (-17.1% 30D, RSI 22.1), XHB (-15.3% 30D, RSI 24.1), XLF (-5.4% 30D, RSI 28.9), EWJ (-9.6% 30D)
Price Table — Major Indices Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal SPY $662.36 33.7 $681.44 -2.8% -1.2% -3.0% 🟡 Approaching oversold QQQ $593.72 40.0 $605.35 -1.9% -1.0% -1.3% 🟡 Below SMA, fading DIA $469.45 36.7 $490.22 -4.2% -1.4% -5.0% 🟡 Approaching oversold IWM $248.62 35.3 $259.78 -4.3% -2.1% -4.2% 🟡 Small caps weak VTI $326.14 33.3 $336.17 -3.0% -1.3% -3.2% 🟡 Total market fading
Price Table — Sectors Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal XLK $138.33 45.0 $139.72 -1.0% +0.2% -0.6% 🟡 Tech neutral XLF $48.91 28.9 $51.25 -4.6% -3.0% -5.4% 🔴 Financials breakdown XLE $57.51 69.4 $55.61 +3.4% +0.4% +5.8% 🟠 Energy near overbought XLV $150.93 35.5 $156.24 -3.4% -0.8% -3.3% 🟡 Healthcare weak XLI $166.12 36.8 $174.04 -4.5% -2.3% -3.8% 🟡 Industrials fading XLU $46.83 59.4 $46.70 +0.3% -1.0% +3.5% 🟢 Utilities strong XLP $84.51 39.7 $87.64 -3.6% -1.2% -5.3% 🟡 Staples pulling back XLY $112.40 33.0 $115.73 -2.9% -1.5% -3.2% 🟡 Consumer disc. weak XLB $49.90 38.3 $52.04 -4.1% -3.1% -5.6% 🟡 Materials selling off XLRE $42.35 43.0 $43.35 -2.3% -1.9% -1.2% 🟡 Real estate neutral XLC $115.70 43.0 $116.56 -0.7% -1.3% +0.9% 🟡 Comms flat
Price Table — International Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal EFA $97.79 34.8 $102.44 -4.5% -0.4% -6.1% 🟡 Developed intl weak EEM $57.24 38.8 $60.37 -5.2% +1.7% -6.0% 🟡 EM selling off VWO $54.44 36.8 $56.88 -4.3% +1.4% -5.8% 🟡 EM weak FXI $36.22 35.5 $37.40 -3.2% +2.5% -6.3% 🟡 China fading EWJ $84.43 37.5 $89.58 -5.7% -0.2% -9.6% 🔴 Japan selloff
Price Table — Bonds & Safe Havens Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal TLT $87.11 38.7 $89.10 -2.2% -1.8% -2.1% 🟡 Long bonds weak IEF $95.85 40.3 $96.80 -1.0% -0.5% -0.7% 🟡 10Y flat BND $73.73 35.4 $74.49 -1.0% -0.6% -0.9% 🟡 Agg bonds weak GLD $460.85 47.7 $470.59 -2.1% -1.5% +2.8% 🟢 Gold holding SLV $77.06 50.0 $76.09 +1.3% +4.9% +13.8% 🟢 Silver surging
Price Table — Commodities & Volatility Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal USO $119.88 85.9 $91.35 +31.2% +11.6% +58.3% 🔴 Oil parabolic — overbought COPX $80.29 41.0 $87.50 -8.2% -1.7% -7.9% 🟡 Copper pulling back UNG $12.64 52.6 $12.09 +4.6% +3.9% +6.2% 🟡 Nat gas recovering VIXY $32.46 60.1 $29.11 +11.5% +4.1% +16.3% 🟠 VIX rising
Price Table — Factors & Housing Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal VUG $456.93 41.0 $462.10 -1.1% +0.2% -0.7% 🟡 Growth neutral VTV $197.63 33.2 $204.21 -3.2% -1.7% -3.4% 🟡 Value oversold MTUM $244.82 42.6 $250.50 -2.3% +0.3% -2.2% 🟡 Momentum fading QUAL $197.01 36.6 $202.25 -2.6% -1.0% -1.9% 🟡 Quality weak RSP $194.68 33.0 $201.55 -3.4% -2.5% -3.0% 🟡 Equal-weight oversold XHB $100.87 24.1 $112.93 -10.7% -6.3% -15.3% 🔴 Homebuilders crashing ITB $93.19 22.1 $105.33 -11.5% -6.7% -17.1% 🔴 Home construction crashing
Tier Analysis Extreme Oversold (RSI < 25) — Capitulation Territory Stock RSI 30D% vs SMA Note ITB 22.1 -17.1% -11.5% Homebuilder construction collapse XHB 24.1 -15.3% -10.7% Homebuilder ETF crashing
Oversold (RSI 25-30) — Strong Entry Zone Stock RSI 30D% vs SMA Note XLF 28.9 -5.4% -4.6% Financials sector breakdown
Approaching Oversold (RSI 30-40) Most of the market sits in this band: SPY (33.7), VTI (33.3), DIA (36.7), IWM (35.3), XLV (35.5), XLI (36.8), XLP (39.7), XLY (33.0), XLB (38.3), EFA (34.8), EEM (38.8), VTV (33.2), RSP (33.0), BND (35.4), TLT (38.7).
Overbought (RSI 70+) — Caution Stock RSI 30D% Note USO 85.9 +58.3% Oil parabolic — extremely overbought VZ 71.7 +5.0% Telecom overbought (from defensive)
Entry Zones Stock Entry Zone Thesis SPY $645-660 RSI 33.7, approaching oversold. Broad market pullback. Wait for RSI < 30 for aggressive entry. ITB Research first RSI 22.1, -17.1% 30D. Housing sector capitulation — verify macro drivers before entry. XHB Research first RSI 24.1, -15.3% 30D. Same housing weakness. XLF $47-49 RSI 28.9, financials breaking down. Could be cyclical or structural. EWJ $82-84 Japan -9.6% 30D, RSI 37.5. Yen dynamics driving weakness.
Action Matrix Action Stocks Why 🔍 WATCH SPY, QQQ, IWM RSI 33-40, approaching oversold. Wait for confirmation. 🔍 RESEARCH ITB, XHB RSI 22-24, capitulation. Need macro thesis validation. 🔍 RESEARCH XLF RSI 28.9, breakdown. Verify rate/credit cycle impact. 🔒 HOLD GLD, SLV Safe haven bid intact. Gold +67% 1Y, silver +151% 1Y. ⚠️ AVOID USO RSI 85.9, +58% 30D. Extremely overbought — don't chase. 🔒 HOLD XLU Defensive utilities holding well, RSI 59.4.
What Changed Metric Previous Now Change SPY ~$672 $662.36 🔴 -$10 — broad weakness accelerating XLF ~$52 $48.91 🔴 Financials in breakdown USO ~$76 $119.88 🔴 Oil parabolic move ITB ~$105 $93.19 🔴 Homebuilders crashing SLV ~$68 $77.06 🟢 Silver surge continues VIXY ~$28 $32.46 🔴 VIX elevated
Bottom line: Risk-off regime. The market is broadly oversold with SPY , VTI , and RSP all near RSI 33. Homebuilders (ITB , XHB ) are in capitulation territory. Financials are breaking down. The only winners are energy (oil parabolic), precious metals (gold/silver), and defensive utilities. VIX is rising. This is a market waiting for a catalyst — either a bounce from oversold or further deterioration into a correction.
The Gold
Homebuilders (ITB RSI 22.1, XHB RSI 24.1) in deepest oversold of any sector — potential capitulation entry if housing thesis intact
Oil (USO RSI 85.9, +58% 30D) is the most extreme reading in the entire scan universe — parabolic and unsustainable
Silver (SLV +151% 1Y) massively outperforming gold (GLD +67% 1Y) — precious metals rotation accelerating
Financials (XLF RSI 28.9) breaking down while energy surges — stagflation regime emerging?
Don't chase oil at RSI 85.9 — parabolic moves always correct
Don't bottom-fish homebuilders without understanding rate environment
Don't assume SPY RSI 33 is "the bottom" — can stay oversold longer
Is the housing weakness driven by rates, tariffs on materials, or demand destruction?
Is the financials breakdown a credit event signal or just sector rotation?
Will the VIX continue rising or has the selling exhausted?
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