Market Pulse (Full Macro Dashboard)

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Market Pulse (Full Macro Dashboard)

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 57 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-05-01-market-pulseported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-24-market-pulse.mdscan slugmarket-pulsesource typescan-archive

Broad risk-off regime — DIA near capitulation (RSI 25), homebuilders in freefall (ITB RSI 21), energy the lone sector leader (XLE RSI 77). Gold/silver cratering despite risk-off — unusual divergence. Volatility elevated (VIXY +26% 30D).


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 BEARISH — 8 of 11 sectors in downtrend, DIA/IWM approaching capitulation, only energy green
Leaders XLE ($59.63, RSI 77, +34.9% 3M, strong-up + golden cross), USO ($114.83, RSI 63, +63.6% 3M)
Laggards ITB ($87.87, RSI 21↓), XHB ($95.83, RSI 22↓), XLB ($46.94, RSI 24↓), DIA ($455.30, RSI 25↓)

Broad Indices

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Trend Signal
SPY $655.02 37 -2.4% -2.6% -4.4% -4.9% down 🟡 Approaching Oversold
QQQ $585.54 39 -2.5% -2.7% -3.6% -6.0% down 🟡 Watch
DIA $455.30 25 -4.8% -1.8% -8.2% -5.7% down 🟢 Extreme Oversold
IWM $241.79 33 -5.0% -0.3% -8.5% -4.5% weak-down 🟡 Approaching Oversold
VTI $324.15 38 -2.3% -2.2% -4.4% -4.6% down 🟡 Watch

Sector ETFs (11 Sectors)

Sector Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Trend Signal
XLE Energy $59.63 77 +4.9% +3.2% +8.7% +34.9% strong-up ✨ ⚠️ Overbought
XLK Tech $134.94 39 -2.9% -0.2% -4.2% -7.0% down 🟡 Watch
XLF Financials $49.00 33 -2.7% -0.5% -6.7% -11.4% strong-down 💀 🟡 Approaching Oversold
XLV Healthcare $145.06 27 -5.5% -2.9% -7.5% -6.6% weak-down 🟢 Oversold
XLI Industrials $160.97 30 -5.8% -0.5% -9.2% +2.5% weak-down 🟢 Oversold
XLU Utilities $44.87 38 -4.2% -1.4% -3.2% +5.7% weak-down 🟡 Watch
XLP Staples $81.49 30 -5.4% -3.3% -7.3% +4.6% weak-down 🟢 Oversold
XLY Cons Disc $107.71 28 -5.5% -1.9% -8.3% -12.0% down 🟢 Oversold
XLB Materials $46.94 24 -7.4% -3.6% -11.4% +2.8% weak-down 🟢 Extreme Oversold
XLRE Real Est $40.76 30 -5.1% -1.4% -6.4% +1.4% down 🟢 Oversold
XLC Comms $112.06 31 -3.6% -2.2% -4.1% -3.9% down 🟡 Approaching Oversold

Sector Analysis

  • 🔥 Energy dominance: XLE RSI 77 is the ONLY sector in strong-up with golden cross. Oil driving everything.
  • 🟢 Capitulation zone: XLB (24), XLY (28), XLP (30), XLV (27) — 4 sectors at or below RSI 30
  • 💀 Death cross: XLF (financials) has confirmed death cross, -11.4% 3M
  • 📊 Growth vs value divergence: VUG (growth) RSI 32, -10.4% 3M vs VTV (value) RSI 31, +1.5% 3M — growth still being punished harder

International

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Trend Signal
EFA $93.39 28 -6.7% -1.1% -11.0% -2.4% down 🟢 Oversold
EEM $55.58 36 -6.1% +0.1% -10.8% +2.9% weak-down 🟡 Watch
VWO $52.49 32 -5.8% -1.1% -10.3% -1.8% down 🟡 Approaching Oversold
FXI $35.15 31 -4.2% -0.9% -9.4% -9.0% strong-down 💀 🟡 Watch
EWJ $81.25 32 -6.7% -0.3% -11.2% +1.0% weak-down 🟡 Approaching Oversold

International Analysis

  • Global selloff: EFA, EWJ, VWO all down 10%+ in 30D
  • China (FXI) death cross, worst performer at -9% 3M
  • Japan (EWJ) -11.2% 30D despite being near flat 3M — sharp recent drop

Bonds

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Trend Signal
TLT $85.84 36 -2.9% +0.6% -3.7% -1.0% down 🟡 Watch
IEF $94.86 33 -1.7% -0.1% -2.0% -0.7% weak-down 🟡 Watch
BND $73.21 33 -1.4% 0.0% -1.8% -0.5% weak-down 🟡 Watch

Bond Analysis

  • Bonds NOT providing safety — TLT -3.7% 30D while equities also sell off
  • Flight to safety NOT happening in treasuries — unusual

Commodities & Volatility

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Trend Signal
USO Oil $114.83 63 +9.8% -5.8% +42.2% +63.6% strong-up ✨ 🔒 Hold
GLD Gold $405.63 29 -11.6% -12.2% -14.5% -1.5% weak-down 🟢 Oversold (UNUSUAL)
SLV Silver $63.22 37 -14.5% -14.5% -20.1% -3.1% weak-down 🟡 Watch
COPX Copper $73.02 38 -10.9% -6.2% -21.8% +1.3% weak-down 🟡 Watch
UNG NatGas $11.82 44 -3.1% -4.9% +3.1% -4.6% strong-down 💀 🟡 Watch
VIXY Vol $34.44 61 +12.3% -0.2% +25.7% +31.9% weak-up ⚠️ Elevated
VXX Vol $35.92 62 +13.2% -0.2% +26.6% +33.1% up ⚠️ Elevated

Commodities Analysis

  • 🛢️ Oil parabolic: USO +42% 30D, +64% 3M — driving energy sector outperformance
  • 🥇 Gold crash is the story: GLD -14.5% 30D, RSI 29 — gold selling off IN a risk-off environment is extremely unusual. Forced liquidation? Margin calls? Dollar strength?
  • 🥈 Silver worse: SLV -20% 30D — industrial metals getting hit alongside precious
  • 📈 Volatility elevated but not extreme: VIXY RSI 61, suggesting fear but not panic

Factors & Specialty

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Trend Signal
VUG Growth $439.69 32 -4.2% -1.8% -5.5% -10.4% down 🟡 Approaching Oversold
VTV Value $194.57 31 -3.5% -0.8% -6.0% +1.5% weak-down 🟡 Approaching Oversold
MTUM Momentum $240.87 40 -2.9% +0.4% -5.4% -4.9% down 🟡 Watch
QUAL Quality $191.48 31 -4.0% -1.4% -6.1% -4.0% down 🟡 Approaching Oversold
RSP Equal Wt $190.35 29 -4.2% -0.6% -6.7% -1.7% weak-down 🟢 Oversold
SMH Semis $383.30 42 -3.9% +0.5% -7.7% +6.6% weak-down 🟡 Watch
XBI Biotech $120.60 41 -3.6% -1.4% -3.4% -4.2% weak-down 🟡 Watch

Housing

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Trend Signal
XHB $95.83 22 -10.4% -1.5% -19.4% -8.4% down 🟢 Extreme Oversold
ITB $87.87 21 -11.4% -2.5% -20.6% -10.0% down 🟢 Extreme Oversold

Housing Analysis

  • 🏠 Housing in freefall: ITB RSI 21, XHB RSI 22 — both in extreme capitulation
  • Worst sector in the market right now — -20% in 30 days
  • Rate fears + consumer weakness creating a housing crisis trade

Entry Zones

Stock Entry Zone RSI Thesis
ITB $85-90 21 Extreme capitulation, mean reversion play
XHB $93-98 22 Same — housing oversold beyond fundamentals
XLB $45-47 24 Materials in capitulation, industrial cycle play
DIA $450-460 25 Blue-chip index near extreme oversold
XLV $143-147 27 Healthcare sector oversold
GLD $395-410 29 Gold crash entry IF thesis intact

Action Matrix

Stock Signal Action Notes
XLE 🟠 Overbought ⚠️ Don't Chase RSI 77, +35% 3M — extended
ITB 🟢 Extreme Oversold 🔍 Watch for bottom RSI 21, -20% 30D
XHB 🟢 Extreme Oversold 🔍 Watch for bottom RSI 22, -19% 30D
XLB 🟢 Extreme Oversold 📈 Accumulate RSI 24, materials washout
DIA 🟢 Extreme Oversold 📈 Accumulate RSI 25, Dow near capitulation
GLD 🟢 Oversold 🔍 Watch RSI 29, unusual crash needs explanation
SPY 🟡 Weak 🔍 Watch RSI 37, not yet oversold
VIXY 🟠 Elevated ⚠️ Caution Volatility up 26% 30D

What Changed (vs 2026-03-20)

  • 🔴 Gold crashed: GLD from RSI 31 → 29, but -12% in one week — massive move
  • 🔴 Housing accelerated down: ITB/XHB both dropped another ~5% in 4 days
  • 🔴 Financials death cross confirmed: XLF now strong-down with death cross
  • 🟢 HD/LOW bounced off extremes: HD RSI 24→35, LOW RSI 22→36 (off lows but still weak)
  • 🟡 SPY still hovering: RSI 37, not yet at the 30 capitulation level
  • 🛢️ Oil pulled back slightly: USO -5.8% 7D after parabolic +42% 30D run
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.