Memory/Semis

Update

Memory/Semis

AVGO surged to $345.75 (+10.2% vs 03/03) from RSI 29 oversold. ASML slight pullback to $1,357.42 (-0.3%). TSM -1.3% to $348.70. MU still stale 02/13.


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟢 RECOVERINGAVGO massive +10.2% bounce from RSI 29 oversold. ASML/TSM relatively flat. MU stale. Semi recovery led by AVGO.
Key insight AVGO $345.75 (+10.2% from $313.78) — oversold RSI 29 entry delivered. Now above prior 52wk high $343.94. ASML $1,357.42 stable near SMA. TSM $348.70 holding.

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD AVGO $345.75, above 52wk high $343.94 — RSI 29 entry validated, hold gains
📈 ACCUMULATE ASML $1,357.42, RSI ~43 — litho monopoly still below SMA
📈 ACCUMULATE TSM $348.70 — AI foundry stabilizing from pullback
🔒 HOLD MU RSI 55 (stale 02/13) — memory upcycle thesis, verify

Data (Validated 2026-03-10)

Stock Price 7D 30D 52wkHi RSI SMA20 vs SMA Status Action
AVGO $345.75 +10.2% $345.75 🟢 New 52wk high 🔒 Hold
ASML $1,357.42 -0.3% $1,526.51 🟡 Stable 📈 Accumulate
TSM $348.70 -1.3% $387.73 🟡 Slight pullback 📈 Accumulate
MU $411.66 +23.5% $437.80 55 $400.32 +2.8% 🟢 Strong (stale 02/13) 🔒 Hold

Note: MU data as of 02/13 — stale. AVGO now above prior 52wk high. TSM price-only.


Key Changes vs 03/03

Stock 03/03 Price 03/10 Price Move Note
AVGO $313.78 $345.75 +10.2% RSI 29 entry delivered — now above prior 52wk high $343.94
ASML $1,360.91 $1,357.42 -0.3% Flat — consolidating at RSI 43 level
TSM $353.35 $348.70 -1.3% Slight giveback — still above Feb lows
MU $411.66 $411.66 ~flat Stale data

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
AVGO +10.2% from RSI 29 in one week RSI 29 was the signal — oversold on quality names delivers
AVGO now above prior 52wk high $343.94 New highs after oversold bounce — custom ASIC/AI thesis validated
ASML/TSM flat while AVGO surges AVGO-specific catalyst vs sector-wide recovery — AI networking premium

Mistakes (Don't Repeat)

Mistake Lesson
Hesitating on AVGO RSI 29 entry RSI 29 on monopoly-grade names = immediate entry signal

Open Questions

  • AVGO $345.75 at new highs — does momentum continue or take profits?
  • ASML $1,357 flat — is $1,300 the floor for litho monopoly?
  • TSM $349 — is AI foundry demand intact despite semi pullback?
  • MU stale since 02/13 — has memory upcycle held or reversed?
10 events

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