Supply Chain Traces Scan
Scan
Supply Chain Traces Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 28 rows · screens, not recommendations
CRS (Carpenter Technology) is the standout: RSI 79, +14.9% above SMA20, +47% 3M — the nickel superalloy turbine blade bottleneck thesis is working; AMKR and KLIC lead the packaging/bonding layer with RSI 67-69; MP Materials remains structurally broken with a death cross at -43% from 52wk high.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟠 Strong bifurcation — specialty materials (CRS) and packaging (AMKR/KLIC) outperforming; rare earth (MP) and cutting tools (KMT) lagging |
| Blow-off/near-extreme | CRS (RSI 79, +47% 3M, near 52wk high -2.3%), KLIC (RSI 68.7, +77% 3M), AMKR (RSI 67.4, +87% 3M) |
| Best risk/reward | KEYS (RSI 54.4, +21.9% 3M, near 52wk high -5.4%), ASX (RSI 53.8, +68.8% 3M), TER (RSI 56.8, +36.8% 3M) |
| Breakdown | MP (RSI 43.4, strong-down, death cross, -43% from 52wk high), WOLF (RSI 44.6, -44.3% from 52wk high, too-young regime) |
| Key insight | CRS is within 2.3% of its 52wk high at RSI 79 — the nickel superalloy chokepoint thesis (60yr metallurgy moat, $600K/set, 90wk grow cycle) is the hottest name in this cohort |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALMU | $23.62 | 49.8 | -1.2% | +8.17% | +13.78% | 🔒 Hold |
| KMT | $36.50 | 56.5 | +6.5% | +3.67% | +4.52% | 🔒 Hold |
| CRS | $561.59 | 79.0 ↑ | +14.9% | +8.31% | +38.92% | ⚠️ Overbought |
| MP | $57.05 | 43.4 | -7.3% | +3.22% | +0.67% | ❌ Don't Buy |
| TDY | $630.07 | 53.1 | +2.0% | +2.11% | +2.02% | 🔒 Hold |
| WOLF | $45.00 | 44.6 | -21.5% | -5.51% | -24.18% | 🔍 Watch |
| BESIY | $344.00 | 57.7 | +4.8% | +6.40% | +14.41% | 🔒 Hold |
| ATEYY | $186.12 | 57.4 | +10.2% | +13.63% | +11.89% | 🔒 Hold |
| KLIC | $117.27 | 68.7 | +10.9% | +8.37% | +18.03% | ⚠️ Caution |
| AMKR | $86.55 | 67.4 | +19.2% | +15.74% | +31.20% | ⚠️ Caution |
| ASX | $36.84 | 53.8 | +0.7% | +7.01% | +16.40% | 🔒 Hold |
| KEYS | $350.29 | 54.4 | +2.5% | +7.00% | +2.88% | 🔒 Hold |
| TER | $409.35 | 56.8 | +8.4% | +12.46% | +27.55% | 🔒 Hold |
Tier Analysis
RSI > 70 — Approaching Extreme Overbought
- CRS (RSI 79, $561.59, +14.9% above SMA20, +39% 30D, +47% 3M, -2.3% from 52wk high) — Carpenter Technology. Nickel-titanium superalloy monopoly for jet turbine blades. 3 independent voice convergence on this thesis. Do not initiate; set trailing stop if holding.
RSI 60–70 — Hot but Holding
- KLIC (RSI 68.7, +10.9% above SMA20, +18% 30D, +77% 3M) — Kulicke & Soffa bonding wire / advanced packaging. Near RSI overbought threshold; trim risk.
- AMKR (RSI 67.4, +19.2% above SMA20, +31% 30D, +87% 3M) — Amkor Technology packaging. Most extended name outside CRS; caution on new entries.
- BESIY (RSI 57.7, +4.8% above SMA20, +14% 30D, +58% 3M) — BE Semiconductor (Besi); bonding equipment. Strong-up, not yet extended.
- ATEYY (RSI 57.4, +10.2% above SMA20, +12% 30D, +24% 3M) — Advantest, ATE for HBM/AI chips. Strong-up; confirmed uptrend.
RSI 40–60 — Base / Accumulate Zone
- TER (RSI 56.8, +8.4% above SMA20, +27.5% 30D) — Teradyne. Recovered strongly; uptrend confirmed.
- KMT (RSI 56.5, +6.5% above SMA20) — Kennametal cutting tools. Solid recovery; -16.7% from 52wk high.
- KEYS (RSI 54.4, +2.5% above SMA20, +21.9% 3M, -5.4% from 52wk high) — Keysight test & measurement. Near highs; quiet compounder in the cohort.
- TDY (RSI 53.1, +2.0% above SMA20) — Teledyne Technologies. Basing; -9.1% from 52wk high; solid long-term.
- ASX (RSI 53.8, +0.7% above SMA20, +16.4% 30D, +68.8% 3M) — ASE Technology packaging. Strong recovery; uptrend.
- ALMU (RSI 49.8, -1.2% below SMA20) — Alumina Ltd. Steady; at SMA20 support.
- WOLF (RSI 44.6, -21.5% below SMA20, -24% 30D) — Wolfspeed SiC. Restructuring; too-young regime after changes; avoid until trend establishes.
- MP (RSI 43.4, strong-down, death cross, -8.4% below SMA20, -43% from 52wk high) — MP Materials rare earths. Structurally broken; skip-class accounts pushing this name have been flagged as vendor FOMO (see MEMORY).
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | Zone | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KEYS | $350.29 | $340–358 | 54.4 | +2.88% | Near 52wk high (-5.4%); test & measurement compounder; quiet strength |
| ASX | $36.84 | $34–38 | 53.8 | +16.40% | Advanced packaging play; +68.8% 3M; at SMA20 support |
| TER | $409.35 | $390–415 | 56.8 | +27.55% | Teradyne; recovered; +8.4% above SMA20; near 52wk high -6.5% |
| ALMU | $23.62 | $22–25 | 49.8 | +13.78% | Alumina; at SMA20; steady strong-up trend; -25.7% from 52wk high |
| BESIY | $344.00 | $330–350 | 57.7 | +14.41% | Besi bonding; +4.8% above SMA20; -6.8% from 52wk high; uptrend intact |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| ⚠️ OVERBOUGHT | CRS (RSI 79) | Near 52wk high; do not initiate; trail stop if holding |
| ⚠️ CAUTION | KLIC (RSI 69), AMKR (RSI 67) | Extended; trim into strength |
| 🔒 HOLD | BESIY, ATEYY, TER, KMT, TDY, ASX, KEYS, ALMU | Strong-up trend; thesis intact; stay the course |
| 🔍 WATCH | WOLF | SiC restructuring; wait for trend establishment |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | MP | Strong-down, death cross, -43% from 52wk high; vendor FOMO basket |
What Changed
- CRS RSI hit 79 — nickel superalloy turbine blade chokepoint thesis went from "surfaced by @Gaurab" to clear price confirmation. Strongest price signal in the cohort.
- AMKR and KLIC surged — advanced packaging/bonding is the new hot layer; AMKR +87% 3M, KLIC +77% 3M.
- MP structurally broken — despite multiple skip-class accounts pumping it; death cross confirmed.
- WOLF added — Wolfspeed SiC restructuring creates a too-young regime; speculative until trend returns.
- KEYS quiet compounder — near 52wk high with solid RSI 54; understated relative to flashier cohort names.
Related
10 events DateTypeEvent
Jun 20 ScanSupply Chain Traces Scan Jun 25 ScanSupply Chain Traces Scan Jun 26 ScanSupply Chain Traces Scan May 29 ScanSupply Chain Traces Scan Jul 7 ScanSupply Chain Traces Scan Jun 20 ScanMonster Scan Jul 11 ScanSupply Chain Traces Scan Jul 17 ScanSupply Chain Traces Scan Jul 25 ScanSupply Chain Traces Scan Jul 28 ScanSupply Chain Traces Scan No direct external sources are attached to this read.