Market Pulse — Macro Dashboard

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Market Pulse — Macro Dashboard

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 72 rows · screens, not recommendations

This is the broadest risk-on move the board has posted in weeks: RSI climbed double digits across almost every one of the 42 names, the entire bond complex round-tripped straight out of oversold, and tech's climb off its cycle low turned into an actual structural repair — XLK flipped from weak-down to strong-up — while only utilities (XLU) kept sliding. Every ticker on this board carries a fresh 2026-08-07 close (market-pulse) — no staleness caveat this cycle.

FROTH READ: vs VWAP = how far current price sits above/below the volume-weighted average buyer across the full history. Names far above VWAP are extended relative to their own average buyer's cost basis; names below VWAP have traded back through it.


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟢 Broad-based risk-on — the oversold cohort emptied out entirely, bonds climbed back above RSI 40-50, and tech posted a real trend repair, not just a bounce
Key insight The RSI<40 band went from five names last cycle (all bond-complex) to zero this cycle — the entire board is now reading neutral-or-better
Standout XLK — RSI climbed from 46.5 to 59.1 and the trend flag flipped from weak-down to strong-up, a structural repair rather than a bounce
Caveat None — every ticker in this dashboard carries a fresh 2026-08-07 close

What's Going On

The tape flipped from a mixed, sector-rotating picture to a near-uniform rally. Every broad index posted a double-digit RSI gain: SPY climbed from 53.2 to 65.9, VTI matched it at 65.9 (up from 52.2), and QQQ — the prior cycle's one laggard — jumped from 45.2 to 57.1, no longer trailing the pack. IWM (46.8→59.4) and RSP (56.1→64.9) both moved in step. No name in this group carries a death cross, and all six sit within roughly a point of their 52-week highs — SPY at -0.91%, VTI at -0.95%.

Sector rotation showed the same broad lift with one clear exception. XLB posted the sharpest sector-level RSI move on the board (45.6→59.7), XLK went from a fresh cycle low to a genuine trend repair (RSI 46.5→59.1, trend flag weak-down→strong-up), and XLF, XLV, XLI, XLY, and XLC all climbed alongside them. XLE broke the pattern the other way — its RSI cooled sharply from 63.5 to 50.1 even as the rest of the board rallied, and USO cooled with it (RSI 55.5→46.3, -8.66% on the week). XLU is now the one sector still weakening: RSI fell further to 36.1, the weakest read on this entire board, with its trend flag reading "down."

The bond complex's whole prior-cycle collapse reversed. TLT, which had round-tripped straight back into oversold last cycle at RSI 31.6, climbed back to 43.0. LQD (36.3→48.0) and BND (38.6→50.3) both cleared the RSI-40 line, IEF moved from 40.7 to 50.0, and HYG — the one bond name that never carried a death cross — extended further to 61.9. The death crosses on TLT, IEF, and LQD are still in place technically, so the RSI recovery reads as a bounce off a damaged structure rather than a repaired one.

Commodities and international both cooled from their prior extremes while equities elsewhere ran. FXI backed off from outright overbought (RSI 72.0→64.7) but remains death-crossed. Gold and silver moved the opposite direction from oil — GLD's RSI jumped from 45.9 to 65.3 and SLV's from 44.2 to 60.0, both still carrying a death cross technically despite the sharp climb. UNG kept weakening (RSI 37.5→35.1, 30-day -16.03%), the one commodity that didn't join the recovery. In factor rotation, MTUM remains the laggard even after improving to 50.1 (30-day still -1.76%), while QUAL, VTV, and VUG all pushed into the mid-60s.


What Changed Since the 2026-07-31 Pulse

  1. The oversold (RSI < 40) band emptied out entirely: five names last cycle (TLT, LQD, UNG, BND, XHB, all bond-complex or bond-adjacent) down to zero this cycle.
  2. XLK posted a real structural repair, not just a bounce: RSI 46.5→59.1, trend flag weak-down→strong-up.
  3. TLT climbed back out of oversold: RSI 31.6→43.0, though the death cross is still in place.
  4. LQD and BND both cleared RSI 40: LQD 36.3→48.0; BND 38.6→50.3.
  5. XLE broke from the broader rally, cooling sharply: RSI 63.5→50.1, 30D +12.76%→+3.42%.
  6. USO cooled with it: RSI 55.5→46.3, 7D -5.5%→-8.66%.
  7. XLU is now the board's weakest sector: RSI 40.4→36.1, trend flipped to "down."
  8. GLD and SLV both spiked hard: GLD RSI 45.9→65.3; SLV RSI 44.2→60.0 — the opposite direction from oil.
  9. FXI cooled off outright overbought: RSI 72.0→64.7, still death-crossed.
  10. XLB posted the sharpest sector-level RSI move on the board: RSI 45.6→59.7.
  11. XBI and XHB both jumped double digits: XBI RSI 43.9→60.0; XHB RSI 39.5→55.8.
  12. UNG kept weakening, the lone commodity laggard: RSI 37.5→35.1, 30D -12.67%→-16.03%.
  13. QQQ climbed out of laggard status: RSI 45.2→57.1, no longer the weakest of the broad indices.
  14. VIXY and VXX both ticked down further, still deep in collapse regime: VIXY RSI 43.1→38.2; VXX 43.0→38.7.

How To Read The Board

RSI < 30 = capitulation/oversold zone (context-dependent — check trend and death-cross flags before treating as a buy signal). RSI 30-50 = neutral-to-recovering. RSI 50-70 = healthy uptrend. RSI > 70 = overbought/extended. "vs VWAP" shows distance from the average buyer's cost basis across the instrument's full history — a rough measure of how "paid up" the current price is. A death cross (50-day average below the 200-day) flags a structurally damaged trend even when short-term RSI looks fine.


Broad Indices

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% vs VWAP 52wkHi% Trend Signal
SPY $773.26 65.9 3.1% +3.51% +3.74% +5.1% +13.28% -0.91% strong-up 🟢 Sharp RSI gain, near its 52-week high
QQQ $723.03 57.1 3.2% +5.09% +1.63% +1.77% +15.32% -4.19% strong-up 🟢 Climbed out of laggard status
DIA $539.62 63.6 2.6% +2.92% +3.25% +9.15% +12.55% -0.72% strong-up 🟢 Steady climb, near highs
IWM $301.56 59.4 2.3% +3.56% +2.75% +6.37% +17.94% -1.09% strong-up 🟢 Recovered further
VTI $381.78 65.9 3.1% +3.69% +3.67% +5.51% +13.07% -0.95% strong-up 🟢 Sharp RSI gain, near highs
RSP $220.09 64.9 2.2% +2.36% +3.72% +8.25% +13.07% -0.62% strong-up 🟢 Steady, near highs

Read: No death crosses anywhere in this group. Every name posted a double-digit RSI gain and all six sit within roughly a point of their 52-week highs — QQQ, the prior cycle's laggard, is now in step with the rest.


Sector Rotation (11 SPDR XL* ETFs)

Sector Price RSI 7D% 30D% vs VWAP 52wkHi% Trend Signal
XLB (Materials) $52.86 59.7 +4.82% +5.38% +10.3% -2.77% strong-up 🟢 Sharpest sector-level RSI move on the board
XLF (Financials) $57.60 63.7 +1.16% +4.78% +10.06% -0.69% strong-up 🟢 Extended further, near highs
XLY (Cons Discret) $119.86 62.1 +3.25% +3.95% +2.99% -5.1% up 🟢 Improved, still death-crossed
XLV (Health) $165.68 61.8 +1.93% +2.08% +11.61% -2.59% strong-up 🟢 Improved further
XLI (Industrial) $185.18 58.5 +2.97% +2.64% +13.67% -0.98% strong-up 🟢 Improved further
XLK (Tech) $187.97 59.1 +7.2% +3.62% +26.48% -6.45% strong-up 🟢 Structural repair — trend flipped weak-down to strong-up
XLC (Comm Svcs) $111.25 53.8 +2.78% +1.64% -1.87% -7.92% weak-up 🟢 Improved, still death-crossed
XLP (Staples) $85.12 51.7 +0.08% +0.87% +4.9% -5.34% strong-up 🟡 Roughly flat
XLRE (Real Estate) $44.98 49.2 -0.2% +1.88% +8.19% -2.7% strong-up 🟡 Roughly flat, cooled slightly
XLE (Energy) $57.50 50.1 -3.44% +3.42% +11.72% -9.69% strong-up 🟡 Cooled sharply from overbought, only sector to break from the rally
XLU (Utilities) $43.61 36.1 -1.67% -3.86% -0.82% -8.66% down 🔴 Weakest sector on the board, trend still down

Read: The rally lifted every sector except two. XLE cooled sharply off last cycle's overbought read even as the rest of the board ran, and XLU kept weakening — now the single laggard sector, its trend flag still reading down. XLK's move stands out as a genuine repair: the trend flag itself flipped, not just the RSI.


International

ETF Price RSI 7D% 30D% vs VWAP 52wkHi% Trend Signal
EFA (Dev Int'l) $108.55 67.4 +2.81% +5.02% +12.37% -0.49% strong-up 🟢 Near its 52-week high
EWJ (Japan) $96.90 63.8 +4.88% +4.71% +14.25% -2.42% strong-up 🟢 Sharp improvement
FXI (China) $36.17 64.7 -0.9% +8.16% -3.3% -14.1% weak-up 🟡 Cooled off outright overbought, still death-crossed
VWO (Emg Mkts) $60.47 59.9 +2.93% +2.2% +9.04% -2.45% strong-up 🟢 Improved further
EEM (Emg Mkts) $65.64 52.3 +2.42% -0.89% +12.32% -8.17% weak-down 🟡 Improved, still slightly negative on 30D

Read: FXI is the one name in this group cooling rather than extending, backing off from outright overbought while remaining death-crossed. The rest of the international group all pushed further into strong-up territory.


Bonds

ETF Price RSI 7D% 30D% vs VWAP Trend Signal
HYG (High Yield) $79.61 61.9 +0.64% +0.42% +2.28% strong-up 🟢 Extended further, never carried a death cross
BND (Total Bond) $72.40 50.3 +0.58% -0.07% +0.04% down 🟢 Cleared RSI 40, no death cross
IEF (7-10yr Tsy) $93.17 50.0 +0.58% -0.02% -0.64% strong-down 🟡 Recovered to neutral, still death-crossed
LQD (Inv Grade Corp) $106.55 48.0 +0.72% -0.62% -0.69% strong-down 🟡 Recovered to near-neutral, still death-crossed
TLT (20yr Tsy) $82.76 43.0 +1.03% -1.5% -3.03% strong-down 🟡 Round-tripped back out of last cycle's oversold, still death-crossed

Read: The entire bond complex reversed last cycle's slide back into oversold — every name now clears RSI 40. HYG is still the cleanest chart, the only one that never carried a death cross; the RSI recovery in TLT, IEF, and LQD is a bounce off a technically damaged structure, not yet a repair.


Commodities

ETF Price RSI 7D% 30D% vs VWAP 52wkHi% Trend Signal
COPX (Copper) $88.03 66.1 +11.63% +20.52% +14.28% -13.27% strong-up 🟢 Sharpest commodity move, near breakout
GLD (Gold) $398.47 65.3 +7.25% +6.41% -0.96% -23.63% weak-up 🟢 Spiked hard, still death-crossed
SLV (Silver) $57.50 60.0 +9.82% +8.84% -14.6% -49.44% weak-up 🟢 Sharp recovery, still deeply extended from its 52-week high
USO (Oil) $117.98 46.3 -8.66% +5.14% +9.83% -25.44% weak-down 🟡 Cooled sharply, negative week
UNG (Nat Gas) $9.74 35.1 -3.18% -16.03% -21.75% -42.81% strong-down 🔴 Only commodity still weakening, structurally broken

Read: Gold and silver moved the opposite direction from oil this cycle — both spiked hard in RSI even as USO cooled off. UNG is the one holdout, still deteriorating on every timeframe.


Volatility

ETF Price RSI 7D% 30D% 3M% vs VWAP Regime Signal
VIXY $19.56 38.2 -4.63% -7.87% -27.69% -33.8% collapse 🟡 Ticked down further, still structurally dead
VXX $20.32 38.7 -4.38% -7.68% -27.58% -33.25% collapse 🟡 Ticked down further, still structurally dead

Read: Both products ticked further down this cycle, consistent with the broad risk-on tape — no vol bid showed up in either name.


Factor Rotation

Factor Price RSI 30D% 3M% vs VWAP 52wkHi% Signal
QUAL (Quality) $225.69 69.0 +4.04% +7.44% +12.63% -1.03% 🟢 Near overbought, near highs
VTV (Value) $224.31 64.9 +3.06% +8.88% +14.47% -0.45% 🟢 Steady, near highs
VUG (Growth) $89.40 63.6 +3.97% +3.07% +11.04% -2.06% 🟢 Recovered sharply
MTUM (Momentum) $309.32 50.1 -1.76% +2.6% +11.62% -10.3% 🟡 Improved to neutral, still the group's laggard on 30D

Read: Quality, Value, and Growth all pushed into the mid-60s while Momentum lags behind — the only factor still negative on a 30-day basis even after this cycle's improvement.


Industry Dashboards

ETF Price RSI 7D% 30D% 3M% vs VWAP 52wkHi% Trend Signal
XBI (Biotech) $157.37 60.0 +7.05% -3.44% +16.93% +28.91% -7.66% strong-up 🟢 Sharp recovery, clean uptrend
ITB (Home Const.) $101.14 56.6 +7.21% +5.45% +8.93% +0.16% -14.51% up 🟢 Recovered, still death-crossed
XHB (Homebuilders) $110.80 55.8 +6.86% +4.49% +8.25% +2.38% -9.95% strong-up 🟢 Sharpest industry RSI move, back above 50
SMH (Semis) $582.70 52.7 +7.8% -1.74% +2.85% +32.11% -15.2% weak-down 🟡 Improved, structure still weak-down

Read: The whole industry group climbed this cycle. XHB posted the sharpest RSI gain and cleared back above 50; SMH improved but its trend flag is the one holdout still reading weak-down.


Tier Analysis

Capitulation (RSI < 25)

None on this board.

Oversold (RSI 25-40)

XLU (36.1), UNG (35.1), VIXY (38.2), VXX (38.7) — four names, all structurally damaged (down trend or collapse regime) rather than a clean dip-buy setup. This is a near-total clearing from last cycle's five-name band (TLT, LQD, UNG, BND, XHB), which has now fully recovered above RSI 40.

Neutral-Strong (RSI 40+)

The remaining 38 names, led by QUAL (69.0), EFA (67.4), VTI/SPY (65.9), GLD (65.3), and COPX (66.1).


Entry Zones

Stock Zone Thesis Status
XLK Watch for confirmation Structural repair (trend flipped weak-down to strong-up), verify it holds 🔍 Watch
TLT / LQD / IEF Watch, structurally damaged RSI cleared 40 but death crosses still in place 🔍 Watch
HYG / BND Hold Recovered cleanly, HYG never carried a death cross 🔒 Hold
XLE / USO Watch Only names to cool sharply while the rest of the board rallied 🔍 Watch
XLU Avoid for now Weakest read on the board, trend still down ⚠️ Avoid
UNG Avoid for now Only commodity still deteriorating on every timeframe ⚠️ Avoid
GLD / SLV Watch for exhaustion Sharp RSI spike, still technically death-crossed 🔍 Watch
FXI Watch Cooled off outright overbought, still death-crossed 🔍 Watch
Broad indices (SPY, VTI, DIA, RSP) Hold Clean uptrends, near 52-week highs 🔒 Hold

Action Matrix

Stock Signal Action Notes
SPY, QQQ, DIA, IWM, VTI, RSP 🟢 🔒 Hold Broad rally, near 52-week highs, no death crosses
XLB, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLY, XLC 🟢 🔒 Hold Sector-wide RSI gains
XLK 🟢 🔍 Watch Structural repair, verify it holds
XLP, XLRE 🟡 🔍 Watch Roughly flat
XLE, USO 🟡 🔍 Watch Only names to cool while the board rallied
XLU 🔴 ⚠️ Avoid Weakest sector, trend still down
EFA, EWJ, VWO, EEM 🟢 🔒 Hold Broad international recovery
FXI 🟡 🔍 Watch Cooled off overbought, still death-crossed
HYG, BND 🟢 🔒 Hold Recovered cleanly
IEF, LQD, TLT 🟡 🔍 Watch Cleared RSI 40, death crosses still in place
COPX, GLD, SLV 🟢 🔍 Watch Sharp spikes, verify durability
UNG 🔴 ⚠️ Avoid Only commodity still weakening
VIXY, VXX 🟡 🔒 Hold Ticked down further, in collapse regime
QUAL, VTV, VUG 🟢 🔒 Hold Steady leaders
MTUM 🟡 🔍 Watch Improved to neutral, still the factor laggard
XBI, ITB, XHB 🟢 🔒 Hold Sharp recoveries
SMH 🟡 🔍 Watch Improved, trend flag still weak-down

What To Watch Next

  • Whether XLK's trend-flag repair (weak-down to strong-up) holds through the next cycle or reverts like prior bounces on this board.
  • Whether XLE and USO's cooldown, the one clear divergence from an otherwise broad rally, extends into a real pullback.
  • Whether XLU's continued weakening (now the board's lowest RSI) marks a floor or keeps sliding.
  • Whether TLT, IEF, and LQD's RSI recovery survives long enough to actually clear their death crosses, or stalls as a bounce off a damaged structure.
  • Whether GLD and SLV's sharp spike is durable given both still carry technical death crosses.

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-07 close — market-pulse.
9 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.