Consumer Scan — August 28, 2026 Close

Scan

Consumer Scan — August 28, 2026 Close

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 30 rows · screens, not recommendations event statusexpectedprior scanresearch/scans/2026-08-22-consumer-scan.md

PYPL was the board's biggest mover — RSI collapsed from 69.1 to 35.0 as the stock fell 12.83% on the week, flipping the 30-day change from +10.88% to -8.04% — and it's now sitting only 4.6% above its 200-day average after a year that was already negative. HIMS reversed the other way it went last scan, giving back all of the prior +20.07% pop and then some (RSI 58.1→45.6, week -14.67%), while CRSR did the mirror move, bouncing back from last scan's crash (RSI 47.3→55.2, week +10.17%). No fresh news receipt covers either PYPL's or HIMS's move this week — the cause of both isn't established from the tape alone.

Data as-of 2026-08-28 close. All numbers from precomputed summaries/consumer.json. Prior scan: 2026-08-22-consumer-scan (2026-08-22, data as-of 2026-08-21 close) — the summary's own 7-day window runs 2026-08-21 to 2026-08-28, so the comparisons below line up exactly with that prior scan. TOST appears on this board for the first time this scan; no prior-scan comparison exists for it.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 A board reshuffled again rather than trending — PYPL crashed from overbought toward oversold, HIMS reversed its prior pop, and CRSR reversed its prior crash.
Key insight PYPL's 200-day cushion is down to 4.6% after this week's drop, on top of a trailing year that was already negative (-23.41%, alpha1y -43.28) — the next leg down would put the trend genuinely under test.

What's Going On

PYPL is the story of this scan. RSI fell from 69.1 to 35.0, price from $61.55 to $53.66, and the week alone dropped 12.83% — a full reversal of a four-scan overbought stretch that turns straight into a near-oversold print. The 30-day change flipped from +10.88% to -8.04%. The stock is still 4.6% above its 200-day average, but that's now a thin cushion given a trailing one-year return of -23.41% (alpha1y -43.28) — the on-file news receipt for PYPL is dated July 17, more than five weeks old (coverage of a since-superseded Stripe/Advent takeover-bid story), so nothing on record covers this week's session and the cause of the drop isn't established here.

HIMS moved the opposite direction from last scan, and just as sharply: RSI fell from 58.1 to 45.6, price from $33.78 to $28.84, a -14.67% week that erases most of the prior scan's +20.07% reversal. HIMS is now barely above its 200-day (+0.8%) with a trailing year of -34.63% (alpha1y -54.5) — a name whose recent bounce keeps failing to hold. The news receipt on file for HIMS is dated August 11, before this week's window, so the cause of this move isn't established either.

CRSR reversed the other way: RSI climbed from 47.3 to 55.2, price from $10.93 to $12.00, a +10.17% week that recovers roughly two-thirds of the prior scan's -15.95% crash. CRSR sits 61.2% above its 200-day with a positive trailing year (+35.14%, alpha1y +15.26) — this reads as a bounce back inside a still-intact uptrend rather than a new leg.

Elsewhere the board was calmer. CROX climbed back above the RSI-40 line (38.6→41.0) while staying 19.5% above its 200-day with a strongly positive trailing year (+41.65%, alpha1y +21.78) — a pullback inside an intact trend, same framing as before. The five names carrying genuine long-horizon damage — below their 200-day average with a negative trailing-year return — are unchanged from last scan: NKE (vs 200-day -23.9%, 1-year -49.18%, alpha1y -69.05), LULU (-21.6% / -41.09% / -60.96), DPZ (-4.4% / -22.04% / -41.91), AS (-12.7% / -24.1% / -43.97), and DECK (-14.4% / -25.72% / -45.59); those five are structurally weak on both windows, not just having a rough week. SBUX, XYZ, and MNST all held their intact, above-200-day trends without a sharp break.

What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-08-21 close → 2026-08-28 close)

  • PYPL crashed from overbought: RSI 69.1→35.0, price $61.55→$53.66, 7D -0.13%→-12.83%, 30D +10.88%→-8.04%.
  • HIMS reversed sharply lower: RSI 58.1→45.6, price $33.78→$28.84, 7D +20.07%→-14.67%, 30D +6.63%→+15.36%.
  • CRSR reversed back higher: RSI 47.3→55.2, price $10.93→$12.00, 7D -15.95%→+10.17%, 30D +3.11%→+16.73%.
  • CROX climbed back above RSI 40: RSI 38.6→41.0, price $122.11→$122.23 (flat), 7D -7.31%→+0.11%, 30D -10.35%→-8.46%.
  • AS deepened: RSI 39.8→36.5, price $32.63→$31.05, 7D -0.73%→-4.87%, 30D -5.09%→-13.89%.
  • DECK weakened: RSI 40.8→37.5, price $91.68→$87.76, 7D -1.51%→-4.32%, 30D -10.53%→-15.24%.
  • MNST softened: RSI 54.6→47.5, price $47.79→$46.86, 7D +2.03%→-1.93%, 30D -0.10%→-3.62%.
  • DPZ's 30-day window flipped negative: RSI 51.3→54.9, 30D +6.88%→-2.78%.
  • SBUX, CMG, NKE, XYZ, XLY, LULU all traded within a narrower range, no sharp break.
  • TOST is new to this board this scan — RSI 56.8, 30D +7.82% — no prior-scan comparison available.

How To Read The Board

Golden-cross names (SBUX, HIMS, CROX, XYZ, CRSR, MNST, TOST) mean the 50-day average sits above the 200-day. Death-cross names (AS, LULU, NKE, CMG, DPZ, PYPL, XLY) should have any bounce read as counter-trend until the cross itself flips. PYPL is the name to watch on that front: it's death-crossed and its 200-day cushion just shrank to 4.6% after this week's crash — with a trailing year that was already negative, a break below the 200-day would mark a genuine trend test rather than another pullback. HIMS carries a golden cross but the same thin cushion (+0.8% vs 200-day). CROX and CRSR are both golden-crossed with real distance above their 200-day (19.5% and 61.2% respectively) and positive trailing-year returns — clean deep-pullback cases rather than trend tests.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal
CMG $38.03 64.3 $34.86 +9.1% +3.12% +11.07% 🟡 Neutral
XYZ $83.57 57.0 $81.48 +2.6% +1.73% +1.69% 🟡 Neutral
TOST $35.15 56.8 $35.12 +0.1% -4.04% +7.82% 🟡 Neutral
SBUX $107.85 55.4 $106.40 +1.4% +0.71% +3.56% 🟡 Neutral
CRSR $12.00 55.2 $12.01 -0.1% +10.17% +16.73% 🟡 Neutral
DPZ $350.00 54.9 $348.70 +0.4% +2.39% -2.78% 🟡 Neutral
LULU $120.81 51.9 $121.06 -0.2% -0.21% +1.50% 🟡 Neutral
XLY $117.21 50.8 $117.97 -0.6% -0.68% +5.02% 🟡 Neutral
MNST $46.86 47.5 $46.94 -0.2% -1.93% -3.62% 🟡 Neutral
HIMS $28.84 45.6 $30.55 -5.6% -14.67% +15.36% 🟡 Neutral
NKE $39.60 43.5 $40.71 -2.7% -2.85% -8.38% 🟡 Neutral
CROX $122.23 41.0 $129.74 -5.8% +0.11% -8.46% 🟡 Neutral
DECK $87.76 37.5 $92.95 -5.6% -4.32% -15.24% 🟢 Oversold
AS $31.05 36.5 $33.60 -7.6% -4.87% -13.89% 🟢 Oversold
PYPL $53.66 35.0 $59.98 -10.5% -12.83% -8.04% 🟢 Oversold

Tier Analysis

Capitulation (RSI<25): None.

Oversold (25-40): DECK (37.5), AS (36.5), PYPL (35.0) — three names, up from two (AS, CROX) last scan, with PYPL newly falling in after crashing from overbought.

Neutral/Strong (40+): The rest of the board, spanning CROX (41.0) to CMG (64.3, the board's highest print).

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 30D% Setup
PYPL $53.66 35.0 -8.04% Crashed from RSI 69 to 35 this week; still 4.6% above its 200-day but that cushion is thin given an already-negative trailing year — watch the 200-day test
HIMS $28.84 45.6 +15.36% Reversed hard lower after last scan's sharp bounce; barely above its 200-day (+0.8%) with a negative trailing year
CRSR $12.00 55.2 +16.73% Reversed back higher after last scan's crash; still 61.2% above its 200-day with a positive trailing year
DECK $87.76 37.5 -15.24% Deepened further below its 200-day (-14.4%) with a negative trailing year (-25.72%) — structurally weak, not just a rough week
CROX $122.23 41.0 -8.46% Climbed back out of the oversold band; still 19.5% above its 200-day with a strongly positive trailing year — a pullback inside an intact trend

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔍 WATCH PYPL Crashed from overbought to near-oversold in one week; the 200-day cushion is now thin on top of an already-negative trailing year
🔍 WATCH HIMS, CRSR Both reversed sharply this scan in opposite directions from last time; confirm follow-through
🔒 HOLD SBUX, XYZ, MNST, CROX Steady to improving, no long-horizon flags
⚠️ AVOID NKE, LULU, DPZ, AS, DECK Below the 200-day average with a negative trailing one-year return — structurally weak on both windows, unchanged from last scan

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
PYPL's 200-day level Cushion shrank to 4.6% after this week's crash on top of an already-negative trailing year
HIMS's next print The bounce that started last scan has now fully reversed; the 200-day is essentially at parity
CRSR's follow-through Reversed back up after last week's crash; confirm whether this holds
NKE, LULU, DPZ, AS, DECK The five names below their 200-day with negative trailing-year returns — watch for further deterioration vs. stabilization

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns/long-horizon): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-28 close — consumer.
  • PYPL, HIMS news receipts checked (latest, .../HIMS/news/latest.json) — both stale (fetched 2026-07-17 and 2026-08-11 respectively, before this week's window), so no cause is claimed for either move.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.