Geopolitical Risk Scan
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Geopolitical Risk Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 31 rows · screens, not recommendations ported fromresearch/classic/scans/2026-04-10-geopolitical-risk.md
Oil producers surging on geopolitical premium (USO +78% 3M), defense steady, gold correcting after blow-off, safe havens mixed.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟠 Elevated risk pricing — oil premium high, gold pulling back, defense stable |
| Key insight | Oil (USO +78% 3M) pricing in significant geopolitical premium; nat gas (UNG) diverging negatively; gold correcting -8.5% 30D from blow-off |
Defense Contractors
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMT | $621.53 | 47.2 | -0.6% | +0.07% | -4.56% | +13.35% | weak-down | 🔒 Hold |
| RTX | $202.35 | 55.5 | +2.2% | +3.17% | -2.25% | +4.73% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| NOC | $680.56 | 41.6 | -2.5% | -0.78% | -7.40% | +8.49% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch |
| GD | $336.86 | 37.9 | -3.4% | -1.16% | -5.27% | -6.29% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch |
| LHX | $356.91 | 51.5 | +0.5% | +0.61% | -1.33% | +5.13% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| BA | $217.89 | 55.8 | +6.3% | +4.45% | +0.06% | -9.14% | down | 🔍 Watch |
Energy / Oil Producers
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM | $153.24 | 42.8 | -5.1% | -3.41% | +3.45% | +24.37% | weak-down | 🔒 Hold |
| CVX | $187.53 | 38.3 | -6.6% | -3.15% | +0.67% | +16.64% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch |
| OXY | $58.42 | 47.8 | -4.5% | -6.28% | +9.98% | +37.39% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| COP | $122.40 | 46.2 | -4.1% | -4.75% | +7.23% | +29.17% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| SLB | $52.11 | 58.8 | +5.1% | +6.27% | +8.31% | +16.08% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| HAL | $37.65 | 53.6 | +0.3% | -0.71% | +6.54% | +18.58% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| DVN | $47.88 | 50.7 | -2.5% | -2.76% | +10.14% | +34.76% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| EOG | $136.26 | 48.4 | -3.3% | -3.92% | +6.54% | +30.47% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| USO | $127.61 | 59.0 | +3.4% | -7.41% | +20.55% | +78.10% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| UNG | $10.79 | 36.6 | -8.5% | -4.39% | -12.06% | -3.49% | strong-down | 🔍 Watch |
| XLE | $56.94 | 43.7 | -4.1% | -2.80% | +3.08% | +23.68% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
Safe Havens
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLD | $437.28 | 50.3 | +1.9% | +1.71% | -8.49% | +3.56% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch |
| SLV | $68.66 | 49.8 | +3.2% | +3.64% | -14.27% | -11.10% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch |
| GDX | $99.03 | 57.4 | +9.6% | +4.71% | -4.20% | +3.46% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| UUP | $27.47 | 44.7 | -0.9% | -1.08% | +0.07% | +0.70% | strong-up | 🔍 Watch |
| TLT | $86.42 | 46.5 | 0.0% | -0.05% | -1.72% | -0.32% | down | 🔍 Watch |
Defense ETFs
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITA | $229.84 | 51.8 | +2.1% | +4.00% | -4.06% | -2.77% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch |
| PPA | $174.80 | 53.6 | +2.3% | +3.15% | -2.16% | +0.15% | weak-down | 🔒 Hold |
| DFEN | $72.85 | 50.0 | +5.0% | +11.67% | -14.06% | -13.86% | weak-down | ⚠️ Caution |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | LMT, RTX, LHX, XOM, OXY, COP, SLB, HAL, DVN, EOG, USO, XLE, GDX | Geopolitical premium supporting oil + defense |
| 🔍 WATCH | GLD, SLV, CVX | Precious metals correcting, oil names pulling back short-term |
| 🔍 WATCH | NOC, GD, BA | Defense pullback — potential entry |
| ⚠️ CAUTION | DFEN | Leveraged, volatile |
Related
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