Retail Candidates

Update

Retail Candidates

Retail Candidates — April 10, 2026

Overview

Retail bifurcation intact and widening. Defensive retail thriving: COST $1,005.55 RSI 53, strong-up golden cross, +6.1% vs SMA200. TGT $122.92 RSI 61, strong-up golden cross, near 52wk high (-2.5%). TJX $161.51 RSI 55, strong-up golden cross, near 52wk high (-2.6%). WMT $127.40 RSI 56, strong-up golden cross, +16.2% vs SMA200. ANF bounced +9.8% 7D to $98.33, strong-up golden cross. CROX monster at +17.9% 7D. Discretionary broken: NKE RSI 23 capitulation, HD death cross.

Candidates

Ticker Price RSI Trend 7D 30D Signal Take
CROX $101.42 76.7 up +17.9% +22.3% DC Monster. +21.0% vs SMA20. +16.1% vs SMA200. Overbought.
TGT $122.92 60.6 strong-up +1.7% +1.8% GC Near 52wk high (-2.5%). +3.7% vs SMA20. +22.8% vs SMA200. Steady.
ANF $98.33 58.0 strong-up +9.8% +13.2% GC Abercrombie bounce. +7.8% vs SMA20. +6.3% vs SMA200. Strong-up.
DECK $108.33 57.4 weak-down +10.7% +2.9% GC Strong bounce. +6.8% vs SMA20. +4.9% vs SMA200. Golden cross.
YUM $161.15 56.7 strong-up +2.5% +1.2% GC YUM. +1.9% vs SMA20. +7.3% vs SMA200. Steady compounder.
WMT $127.40 56.1 strong-up +2.1% +2.0% GC Walmart anchor. +2.7% vs SMA20. +16.2% vs SMA200. Golden cross.
TJX $161.51 54.8 strong-up +2.3% +1.2% GC Near 52wk high (-2.6%). +2.1% vs SMA20. +11.5% vs SMA200.
SBUX $96.20 55.0 strong-up +3.6% -4.5% GC Starbucks. +2.9% vs SMA20. +8.4% vs SMA200. Defensive.
COST $1,005.55 53.0 strong-up +1.8% +0.8% GC Costco. +1.0% vs SMA20. +6.1% vs SMA200. Steady.
HD $337.20 49.1 strong-down +5.1% -5.0% DC Home Depot bounce. +2.0% vs SMA20. -8.6% vs SMA200. Death cross.
MCD $306.10 39.9 down +0.1% -6.7% GC McDonald's weakening. -1.7% vs SMA20. 0.0% vs SMA200. Approaching oversold.
LOW $245.78 52.9 down +6.6% -2.1% GC Lowe's bounced. +4.2% vs SMA20. -0.3% vs SMA200.
NKE $42.99 23.1 strong-down +0.1% -23.3% DC Capitulation continues. -13.6% vs SMA20. -34.2% vs SMA200.
LULU $164.29 51.8 strong-down +7.2% -1.3% DC Death cross bounce. +3.8% vs SMA20. -12.2% vs SMA200.
SHOP $110.33 38.2 strong-down -5.7% -14.7% DC Shopify crashing. -6.9% vs SMA20. -21.9% vs SMA200.

Action Items

  • Defensive quartet (COST/TGT/TJX/WMT): All strong-up with golden crosses and near 52wk highs. This is THE retail trade. Hold/add all four.
  • ANF: +9.8% 7D bounce with strong-up golden cross. Quality recovery. Entry on SMA20 pullback ($91).
  • CROX: RSI 77 extreme overbought. Don't chase. If long, tighten stops.
  • MCD: RSI 40 approaching oversold. Golden cross intact. Quality name for staged entry at RSI 35.
  • NKE: RSI 23 still capitulation. -34.2% vs SMA200. Contrarian watch only.
  • SHOP: RSI 38, -5.7% 7D while retail bounces. Cloud-adjacent SaaS selloff hitting e-commerce. Avoid.

Key Changes vs 04/03

Ticker Price 04/03 Price 04/10 Move Note
CROX $83.66 $101.42 +21.2% RSI 53 -> 77. Parabolic.
DECK $98.31 $108.33 +10.2% RSI 41 -> 57. Strong bounce.
ANF $92.25 $98.33 +6.6% RSI 52 -> 58. Upgraded to strong-up.
WMT $125.79 $127.40 +1.3% Steady. Strong-up intact.
NKE $44.19 $42.99 -2.7% RSI 20 -> 23. Still capitulation.
SHOP $118.25 $110.33 -6.7% RSI 46 -> 38. SaaS selloff hitting.
10 events
DateTypeEvent
Apr 10 ScanRetail Scan Apr 13 ScanRetail Scan Apr 3 ScanRetail Scan Mar 31 ScanRetail Scan Mar 26 ScanRetail Scan Mar 24 ScanRetail Scan Mar 20 ScanRetail Scan Apr 3 UpdateRetail Candidates Apr 26 UpdateRetail Candidates Mar 13 ScanRetail Scan

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