Retail Scan
Retail Scan
Big-box retail mixed: WMT/COST/TJX/TGT all hugging SMA20 with no edge; HD broken (-23% from high, RSI 42, death cross); ANF/MCD oversold tail.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Neutral — defensive megacaps stable, discretionary names broken |
| Key insight | HD continues to leak (RSI 42, vsSMA200 -10.5%) while WMT/COST/TJX hold up; ANF crushed -12.3% in 7D |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | 52wkHi | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HD | $329.06 | 41.9 | -2.1% | -5.10% | +1.72% | -10.91% | -22.89% | strong-down | 🔍 Watch |
| LOW | $240.32 | 46.3 | -0.8% | -4.99% | +3.82% | -9.44% | -18% | down | 🔍 Watch |
| ANF | $85.23 | 38.4 | -9% | -12.29% | -2.25% | -9.21% | -35.97% | strong-down | 🔍 Watch |
| TJX | $159.33 | 50.8 | +0.6% | +0.21% | +2.12% | +3% | -3.91% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| TGT | $117.88 | 48.3 | -0.5% | -0.05% | +0.71% | +8.44% | -6.44% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| WMT | $124.57 | 49.8 | +0.5% | +0.21% | -0.92% | +3.99% | -7.51% | weak-down | 🔒 Hold |
| COST | $994 | 48.4 | -0.9% | -0.11% | -0.26% | +4.46% | -6.85% | weak-down | 🔒 Hold |
| MCD | $292.39 | 33.6 ↓ | -3.9% | -4.77% | -5.23% | -6.81% | -14.44% | down | 🔍 Watch |
| YUM | $161.43 | 56.9 | +2.1% | +3.13% | -0.22% | +3.21% | -4.7% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| XRT | $83.24 | 55.4 | +3.4% | +2.35% | +4.12% | -7.04% | -9.18% | down | 🔍 Watch |
Tier Analysis
Defensive megacap pack (WMT, COST, TGT, TJX, YUM): All within ±5% of SMA20, all golden-cross. The "boring is good" trade — flat to slightly up while the rest of the market thrashes. None signaling entry, none signaling exit.
Home improvement broken: HD/LOW both well below SMA200 (HD -10.5%, LOW -2.6%). HD especially weak — RSI 42, -23% from high. Housing-cycle proxy and it's signaling continued weakness.
Discretionary/restaurant tail: ANF (RSI 38, -12.3% 7D) and MCD (RSI 33.6, -5.2% 30D) leading the oversold list. ANF lost a third of its value from peak.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCD | $292.39 | 33.6 ↓ | -5.23% | Defensive name oversold — quality franchise pullback |
| ANF | $85.23 | 38.4 | -2.25% | Mall-retail bleeding, -36% from high — too speculative |
| HD | $329.06 | 41.9 | +1.72% | Housing proxy still leaking, no entry yet |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | WMT, COST, TJX, TGT, YUM | Defensive megacaps holding flat — let them work |
| 🔍 RESEARCH | MCD | RSI 33.6, defensive franchise on sale |
| 🔍 WATCH | HD, LOW, ANF, XRT | Waiting for stabilization or capitulation |
What Changed
- HD broke key support — now RSI 42 vs SMA200 -10.5%, this used to be a quality compounder
- ANF lost a leg — -12.3% 7D drop pushed it deep into death-cross territory
- MCD slid into oversold — RSI 33.6, first time near accumulation zone in months
- Defensive megacaps hold the line — WMT/COST/TJX/TGT all within range, no cracks
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.