Retail Scan

Scan

Retail Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 32 rows · screens, not recommendations ported fromresearch/classic/scans/2026-05-29-retail-scan.md

WMT oversold (RSI 28.7) while COST slips to 34.1 — defensive retail cracking; CROX/DECK ripping; ANF bouncing off lows; LOW deepening breakdown; SHOP recovering.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Bifurcated — defensive megacaps weakening (WMT oversold, COST approaching); momentum plays ripping; home improvement still leaking
Key insight WMT at RSI 28.7 (-12.1% 30D, -9.1% vs SMA20) is the sharpest signal this tape — the "boring is best" trade broke down; COST RSI 34.1 confirming defensive rotation unwind

Price Table

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% 52wkHi% Trend Signal
CROX $118.67 74.0 +13.0% +8.79% +16.37% +36.64% -2.14% strong-up ⚠️ Avoid
DECK $113.85 67.2 +12.2% +12.17% +11.4% -0.58% -10.0% up 🔍 Watch
TGT $127.07 54.5 +1.7% +1.40% -1.14% +13.34% -4.53% strong-up 🔒 Hold
XRT $83.99 54.0 +1.8% +4.26% -2.09% -2.26% -8.36% weak-up 🔍 Watch
AS $35.58 52.4 +1.9% +2.94% +1.45% -6.10% -16.79% weak-up 🔍 Watch
TJX $154.75 49.5 +0.9% -0.94% -0.95% -2.93% -6.68% weak-down 🔒 Hold
HD $317.14 49.1 +1.5% +2.54% -3.55% -13.90% -25.68% strong-down 🔍 Watch
NKE $46.23 57.2 +5.5% +6.59% +4.22% -24.23% -42.34% weak-up 🔍 Watch
LULU $131.18 45.9 +3.2% +3.93% -4.73% -25.54% -61.45% strong-down ❌ Don't Buy
ANF $77.22 45.4 +1.2% +8.46% -9.53% -21.08% -41.99% strong-down 🔍 Watch
SHOP $118.71 59.1 +10.6% +9.46% -2.00% -0.56% -34.84% weak-up 🔍 Watch
MCD $279.20 41.9 -1.2% -1.15% -4.90% -15.16% -17.40% strong-down 🔍 Watch
CMG $31.86 41.2 -2.3% -0.37% -6.27% -13.16% -45.46% strong-down 🔍 Watch
SBUX $99.16 39.1 -5.0% -2.17% -5.31% +3.08% -8.93% strong-up 🔍 Watch
YUM $147.95 37.2 -2.8% -2.81% -6.87% -8.75% -12.66% down 🔍 Watch
LOW $214.36 37.1 -3.4% +1.19% -10.23% -16.25% -26.85% strong-down ❌ Don't Buy
DPZ $310.58 36.0 -1.9% -1.14% -8.50% -22.23% -37.38% strong-down 🔍 Watch
COST $956.32 34.1 -6.6% -3.04% -5.60% -4.49% -12.78% weak-down 📈 Accumulate
WMT $115.75 28.7 -9.1% -0.45% -12.10% -8.57% -14.36% weak-down 📈 Accumulate

Tier Analysis

Overbought (RSI 70+): CROX (RSI 74, +36.6% 3M, near ATH) is the only name in extreme territory — golden cross + strong-up but 13% above SMA20. Not a new entry here.

Neutral / Recovering (RSI 40-70): DECK, TGT, XRT, SHOP, NKE, ANF, AS all in the middle band. TGT is the cleanest: strong-up, golden cross, +13.3% 3M, near highs. SHOP +9.5% 7D breaking above SMA20. ANF bounced +8.5% 7D but still in strong-down structure.

Approaching Oversold (RSI 25-40): Restaurant cluster (SBUX/YUM/DPZ/CMG) and home improvement (LOW) are all weakening. LOW is the most damaged — -10.2% 30D, -16.3% 3M, death cross. DPZ at RSI 36 and -37% from high.

Oversold (RSI < 30): WMT (RSI 28.7) is the primary signal. -12.1% 30D, golden cross still active, SMA200 holding. This is a high-quality franchise in a real dip — accumulate zone. COST (RSI 34.1) is directionally the same story — golden cross, near-term dip, SMA200 support.

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 30D% Setup
WMT $115.75 28.7 -12.10% Oversold, golden cross intact, SMA200 support — strongest entry
COST $956.32 34.1 -5.60% Quality compounder approaching oversold; golden cross
SBUX $99.16 39.1 -5.31% See consumer scan — franchise pullback on golden cross
DPZ $310.58 36.0 -8.50% Restaurant weakness, -37% from high
TGT $127.07 54.5 -1.14% Momentum holding; add on any dip toward SMA20

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
📈 ACCUMULATE WMT, COST RSI 28-34, golden cross, quality franchises in real dip
🔒 HOLD TJX, TGT Defensive megacaps holding near highs
⚠️ AVOID CROX RSI 74, extended — wait for pullback
🔍 WATCH SBUX, DPZ, YUM, CMG Restaurant cluster approaching entry
🔍 RESEARCH SHOP, NKE, ANF Bounce candidates worth sizing
❌ DON'T BUY LOW, LULU Broken structure, no floor

What Changed

  • WMT broke down — RSI 28.7, -12.1% 30D; defensive megacap unwind is accelerating; now first real oversold signal in months
  • COST joined the dip — RSI 34.1, -6.6% vs SMA20; still golden cross but under pressure
  • HD stabilized — RSI ticked up to 49 from low 40s; not a recovery but the bleeding slowed
  • ANF bounced — +8.5% 7D from lows but death cross + -42% from high keeps it in watch-only
  • SHOP +9.5% 7D — clearing SMA20, recovery in progress; -34.8% from ATH provides room
  • Restaurant cluster (SBUX/YUM/DPZ/CMG) all drifting lower — no single catalyst, consumer spending softness
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.