Retail Scan

Scan

Retail Scan

Scan symbols 18
ANFASECOSTCMGCROXDECKDPZHDELOWELULUMCDNKESHOPTGTETJXEWMTEXRTYUM
Watchlists 1
@retail
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 30 rows · screens, not recommendations

TJX at near-52wk high (RSI 64.7, +7.4% 3M); TGT surging +15.3% 3M; HD/LOW recovering but -21%/-24% from highs; LULU/SHOP remain structurally broken — sector bifurcates between value/off-price winners and aspirational losers.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Bifurcated — value retail (TJX/TGT/WMT) outperforming; home improvement (HD/LOW) recovering but extended; discretionary softgoods (LULU/SHOP/NKE) still broken
Key insight TJX is the standout: RSI 64.7, breakout regime, +9.9% vs SMA200, -2.2% from 52wk high with consistent multi-year outperformance (alpha1y +8.6%)

Price Table

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% 52wkHi% Signal
TJX $166.32 64.7 ↑ +4.0% +2.07% +10.70% +7.39% -2.16% ⚠️ Avoid
TGT $133.40 62.6 +5.0% +5.04% +8.10% +15.33% -3.24% ⚠️ Avoid
ANF $89.06 62.7 +10.8% +7.72% +23.78% +3.05% -33.09% ⚠️ Avoid
XRT $87.08 62.8 +3.6% +2.31% +9.41% +8.66% -4.99% 🔒 Hold
HD $337.09 67.5 ↑ +6.9% +3.01% +13.28% -0.53% -21.01% ⚠️ Avoid
CROX $127.08 68.0 ↑ +7.6% -2.09% +31.01% +59.99% -1.98% ⚠️ Avoid
MCD $287.93 59.0 +3.0% +1.91% +2.62% -11.16% -15.75% 🔍 Watch
YUM $157.67 61.4 +4.2% +3.02% +4.02% -3.20% -6.92% 🔍 Watch
DECK $110.17 53.8 +0.8% -1.86% +16.45% +5.21% -12.91% 🔒 Hold
SBUX $101.68 54.0 +1.7% +3.62% -4.62% +4.82% -6.61% 🔒 Hold
CMG $32.61 56.4 +4.3% +8.77% -3.38% -5.23% -44.18% 🔍 Watch
AS $35.59 53.8 +1.6% +0.31% +7.36% +5.73% -16.77% 🔍 Watch
LOW $224.02 56.0 +4.2% +2.14% +2.75% -6.09% -23.56% 🔍 Watch
NKE $45.04 52.6 +1.2% +0.11% +6.76% -17.55% -43.82% 🔍 Watch
WMT $121.03 47.4 +0.8% +1.55% -9.23% -2.86% -10.45% 🔒 Hold
COST $986.68 48.1 -0.6% +0.90% -8.34% -0.81% -10.02% 🔍 Watch
SHOP $113.23 51.8 +2.4% -1.49% +10.59% -11.40% -37.85% ❌ Don't Buy
DPZ $320.51 52.3 +2.7% -0.22% +4.70% -18.60% -35.38% 🔍 Watch
LULU $115.50 35.7 ↓ -6.6% -3.53% -3.96% -27.48% -54.21% ❌ Don't Buy

Tier Analysis

Near Overbought / Extended (RSI 62+): HD (RSI 67.5, +6.9% vs SMA20) is leading the home-improvement rebound — +13.3% 30D is a sharp recovery but -21% from 52wk high still. CROX (RSI 68) near ATH, extended. TJX (RSI 64.7) and TGT (RSI 62.6) both have golden cross + strong-up trends and are approaching new highs — but RSI warns against chasing here. ANF (RSI 62.7, +23.8% 30D) is the momentum name — but -33% from 52wk high and death cross make it a bounce, not a breakout. XRT (sector ETF, RSI 62.8) confirms broad retail recovery is underway.

Mid-Range / Healthy (RSI 45-62): WMT/COST are basing after 30D pullbacks (-9%/-8%) but quality compounder status intact. LOW (RSI 56) is recovering from -23.6% from 52wk high. MCD/YUM consolidating in mid-RSI; YUM only -6.9% from 52wk high. DECK (RSI 53.8, golden cross, +16.5% 30D) holding in strong-up trend. SBUX (RSI 54, golden cross) is the quality recovery candidate here.

Oversold / Broken: LULU (RSI 35.7, -6.6% vs SMA20, -54% from 52wk high) continues to collapse. SHOP (RSI 51.8, -37.9% from 52wk high, -11.4% 3M) looks stable on RSI but the 3M chart and -17.9% vs SMA200 say no entry.

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 30D% Setup
WMT $121.03 47.4 -9.23% Quality compounder -10.5% from 52wk high, 30D weakness = accumulate window; golden cross intact
COST $986.68 48.1 -8.34% Same thesis — 8% 30D dip, golden cross, basing at SMA20; -10% from high
SBUX $101.68 54.0 -4.62% Golden cross + strong-up; 30D dip is the entry setup; -6.6% from 52wk high
LOW $224.02 56.0 +2.75% Home improvement recovery play; not oversold but -23.6% from high with RSI normalizing

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
⚠️ AVOID TJX, TGT, ANF, HD, CROX RSI 62-68 range, extended 30D runs — don't chase overbought momentum
🔒 HOLD XRT, DECK, SBUX, WMT ETF + strong-up names; compounders with dips
🔍 WATCH WMT, COST Quality compounders with 30D pullback = accumulate on further weakness
🔍 WATCH CMG, MCD, YUM, LOW, NKE Recovering but extended or still -20%+ from highs; wait for setup
❌ DON'T BUY LULU, SHOP Death cross / structural breakdown; no floor

What Changed

  • TJX / TGT in breakout mode — TJX at -2.2% from 52wk high in breakout regime; TGT +15.3% 3M is the strongest 3M in the scan
  • HD surged +13.3% 30D — home-improvement recovery real but RSI 67.5 warns against chasing
  • ANF popped +23.8% 30D — momentum bounce but -33% from high and death cross keep it in watch territory
  • WMT/COST pulled back ~8-9% 30D — quality compounders offering accumulate windows
  • LULU continued collapse — -27.5% 3M, RSI dropping to 35.7; unchanged thesis: avoid
  • SHOP 3M still negative — +10.6% 30D recovery doesn't fix -11.4% 3M; structure still broken
10 events
DateTypeEvent
Jun 16 UpdateRetail Candidates Jun 20 ScanRetail Scan Jun 25 ScanRetail Scan Jun 26 ScanRetail Scan May 29 ScanRetail Scan Jul 7 ScanRetail Scan May 29 UpdateRetail Candidates Jul 11 ScanRetail Scan — July 10, 2026 Close Jul 17 ScanRetail Scan — July 17, 2026 Close Jul 25 ScanRetail Scan — July 24, 2026 Close

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