Retail Scan

Scan

Retail Scan

Scan symbols 19
ANFASECMGCOSTCROXDECKDPZHDELOWELULUMCDNKESBUXSHOPTGTETJXEWMTEXRTYUM
Watchlists 1
@retail
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 32 rows · screens, not recommendations

Off-price + value retail leading — TJX (RSI 64.7, breakout, only -2.2% from high) and TGT (RSI 62.6, +26.5% vs SMA200, -3.2% from high) are the strongest; XRT retail ETF healthy at RSI 62.8. COST is the lone near-oversold name (RSI 37.9, -13% 30D) after a sharp pullback. LULU remains the deep-broken outlier (RSI 35.7, -54% from high).

Latest bar Thursday 2026-06-18 (Fri 06-19 Juneteenth, closed). Many names 2d stale from yfinance throttle — flagged inline.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Value/off-price retail outperforming — TJX, TGT, ANF, YUM, CROX in strong-up/breakout; XRT ETF confirms broad retail bid (RSI 62.8). But discretionary leaders (LULU, DPZ, CMG) and warehouse names (COST -13% 30D) are pulling back
Key insight TJX is the cleanest breakout (RSI 64.7, all-SMA aligned, -2.2% from high) and TGT the strongest momentum (+15.3% 3M, +26.5% vs SMA200). COST's -13% 30D selloff to RSI 37.9 is the one fresh oversold setup in a quality name worth watching

Price Table

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% 52wkHi% Signal
TJX $166.32 64.7 +4.0% +2.07% +10.70% +7.39% -2.16% 🔒 Hold (06-16, 2d stale)
XRT $87.08 62.8 +3.6% +2.31% +9.41% +8.66% -4.99% 🔒 Hold (06-16, 2d stale)
TGT $133.40 62.6 +5.0% +5.04% +8.10% +15.33% -3.24% 🔒 Hold (06-16, 2d stale)
HD $334.28 61.9 +5.1% +0.39% +11.36% +2.61% -21.67% 🔒 Hold
YUM $157.67 61.4 +4.2% +3.02% +4.02% -3.20% -6.92% 🔒 Hold (06-16, 2d stale)
CROX $124.53 63.1 +4.3% -2.94% +25.65% +61.12% -3.65% 🔒 Hold (06-17, 2d stale)
MCD $278.61 59.0 -0.4% +1.91% -0.11% -11.16% -18.48% 🔍 Watch
ANF $87.24 57.7 +6.9% -7.81% +20.93% -1.69% -34.46% 🔍 Watch
LOW $224.02 56.0 +4.2% +2.14% +2.75% -6.09% -23.56% 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale)
CMG $32.49 55.2 +4.2% -0.34% -1.66% -1.37% -44.39% 🔍 Watch
SBUX $101.68 54.0 +1.7% +3.62% -4.62% +4.82% -6.61% 🔒 Hold (06-16, 2d stale)
SHOP $113.23 51.8 +2.4% -1.49% +10.59% -11.40% -37.85% 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale)
AS $35.10 50.6 -0.4% +0.66% +3.75% +7.44% -13.87% 🔍 Watch (06-17, 2d stale)
DPZ $314.36 47.4 +0.7% -3.07% +1.14% -15.72% -37.00% 🔍 Watch (06-17, 2d stale)
WMT $121.03 47.4 +0.8% +1.55% -9.23% -2.86% -10.45% 🔍 Watch (06-16, 2d stale)
DECK $105.72 45.8 -3.8% -5.13% +12.15% +0.77% -13.75% 🔍 Watch (06-17, 2d stale)
COST $951.45 37.9 ↓ -3.0% -2.94% -13.06% -2.25% -13.23% 🔍 Watch
LULU $115.50 35.7 ↓ -6.6% -3.53% -3.96% -27.48% -54.21% ❌ Don't Buy (06-16, 2d stale)

Tier Analysis

Strong-Up / Breakout / Hold (RSI 61-65): TJX (RSI 64.7, breakout regime, golden cross, all SMAs aligned, -2.2% from high) is the cleanest leader. TGT (RSI 62.6, strong-up, +26.5% vs SMA200, +15.3% 3M, -3.2% from high) is the strongest momentum. XRT (RSI 62.8) confirms the broad retail bid. CROX (RSI 63.1, +61% 3M), YUM (RSI 61.4, basing), and HD (RSI 61.9, +11.4% 30D but still -21.7% from high, downtrend regime) round out the top band. All extended — hold, don't initiate.

Mid-Range / Mixed (RSI 51-59): MCD (RSI 59.0 but strong-down trend, -11.2% 3M), ANF (RSI 57.7, +20.9% 30D but -7.8% 7D pullback, -34.5% from high), LOW (RSI 56.0, strong-down, -23.6% from high), CMG (RSI 55.2, strong-down, -44.4% from high), SBUX (RSI 54.0, uptrend — healthiest), SHOP (RSI 51.8, collapse regime, -37.9% from high), AS, DPZ, WMT (RSI 47.4, -9.2% 30D, basing). Persistent RSI-trend conflict: several mid-RSI names carry strong-down/collapse trends.

Approaching Oversold (RSI 35-38): COST (RSI 37.9, -13.1% 30D, -3% vs SMA20, basing regime, golden cross intact, only -13.2% from high) is the one fresh, high-quality oversold setup — a sharp pullback in a structural compounder, worth a watch alert. LULU (RSI 35.7, -54.2% from high, collapse regime, death cross) is the broken outlier — oversold but not buyable.

Entry Zones

Stock Price RSI 30D% Setup
COST $951.45 37.9 ↓ -13.06% Quality pullback — RSI 37.9, golden cross intact, basing, only -13% from high; watch for RSI <35 with stabilization near SMA200 ($956)
SBUX $101.68 54.0 -4.62% Uptrend + golden cross, -6.6% from high; alert for RSI dip to 40-45 (06-16, 2d stale)
LULU $115.50 35.7 ↓ -3.96% Contrarian only — collapse regime + -54% from high; need RSI <30 with floor (06-16, 2d stale)

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD TJX, TGT, XRT, CROX, YUM, SBUX Strong-up/breakout trends; hold, don't chase extension
🔒 HOLD HD RSI 61.9, +11.4% 30D — but still -21.7% from high in downtrend regime; hold not add
🔍 WATCH COST Fresh oversold (RSI 37.9) in a quality compounder — best entry-watch in the scan
🔍 WATCH MCD, ANF, LOW, CMG, SHOP, AS, DPZ, WMT, DECK Mid-RSI but mixed/down trends — need trend confirmation
❌ DON'T BUY LULU -54% from high, collapse regime — broken thesis

What Changed

  • Off-price/value retail leads — TJX (breakout, -2.2% from high), TGT (+15.3% 3M), XRT ETF (RSI 62.8) all confirm a value-retail rotation
  • COST cracked — -13.1% 30D selloff to RSI 37.9; first fresh oversold setup in a quality name, golden cross still intact
  • WMT pulled back — -9.2% 30D to RSI 47.4 (basing); cooling after its long run
  • HD/LOW diverge — HD bounced (+11.4% 30D, RSI 61.9) while LOW lags (RSI 56, -23.6% from high); both still below SMA200
  • LULU still the broken outlier — RSI 35.7, -54% from high, collapse regime
  • ANF wobble — +20.9% 30D but -7.8% 7D pullback; RSI 57.7 cooling, -34.5% from high

The Gold

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
TJX breakout regime, all-SMA aligned, -2.2% from high Cleanest trend-hold name in retail right now
COST -13% 30D to RSI 37.9, golden cross intact Quality pullback worth a watch alert near SMA200
Value/off-price (TJX/TGT/XRT) leading over discretionary Consumer trading down — rotation signal within retail

Mistakes (Don't Repeat)

Mistake Lesson
Treating HD's RSI 61.9 bounce as a clean uptrend Still downtrend regime + -21.7% from high — bounce within a downtrend

Open Questions

  • Is COST's -13% 30D an earnings/guidance reaction or valuation reset? (needs event verify)
  • Does the value-retail (TJX/TGT) lead over premium (LULU/DECK) signal a durable consumer-trade-down?
10 events
DateTypeEvent
Jun 16 UpdateRetail Candidates Jun 25 ScanRetail Scan Jun 26 ScanRetail Scan Jun 16 ScanRetail Scan Jul 7 ScanRetail Scan Jul 11 ScanRetail Scan — July 10, 2026 Close May 29 ScanRetail Scan Jul 17 ScanRetail Scan — July 17, 2026 Close Jul 25 ScanRetail Scan — July 24, 2026 Close May 29 UpdateRetail Candidates

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