← all events raw scan snapshot Jun 16, 2026 — prices as of scan date, not live 63 rows · screens, not recommendations
Bull market intact but bifurcated: semis/tech ripping while MSFT /META /PLTR /CRM collapse; volatility crushed, energy fading, gold pulling back — risk-on with internal rotation stress.
Quick Snapshot Signal Reading Overall 🟡 Broad uptrend with internal stress — large-cap tech diverging sharply Key Insight VIXY/VXX collapsed -29%/30% in 3M (complacency peak); MSFT -29% from 52wk high; XLE only sector in sustained breakdown Leaders XLF (RSI 71↑), VTV (RSI 69), XHB/ITB (housing bounce), SMH/COPX ripping Laggards XLE (RSI 39, -8.6% 30D), XLC (RSI 42, -4%), GLD pulling back Macro flag USO oversold RSI 33 — oil at risk; bonds basing (TLT RSI 59, neutral)
Price Tables US Indices (Core) ETF Price RSI SMA20 vsSMA 7D% 30D% 3M% Signal SPY $750.33 56.9 $746.44 +0.5% +1.81% +1.58% +12.16% 🟡 Neutral-Strong QQQ $729.86 56.2 $724.45 +0.7% +3.89% +3.40% +21.13% 🟡 Neutral-Strong DIA $521.44 64.9 $508.72 +2.5% +1.36% +4.92% +11.08% 🟡 Near breakout IWM $292.08 58.4 $286.74 +1.9% +2.42% +6.09% +17.08% 🟡 Neutral-Strong VTI $370.37 57.5 $367.75 +0.7% +1.84% +2.21% +12.39% 🟡 Neutral-Strong
SPDR Sector ETFs (11 XL*) ETF Sector Price RSI vsSMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Signal XLK Tech $186.44 55.5 +0.6% +4.63% +6.93% +33.77% 🟡 Strong XLF Finance $54.35 71.3 ↑ +4.4% +1.86% +5.04% +10.22% 🟠 Near overbought XLE Energy $55.36 39.4 -4.4% -3.05% -8.62% -4.77% 🔴 Breakdown XLV Healthcare $152.94 59.1 +1.6% -0.82% +4.95% +2.62% 🟡 Basing XLI Industrials $179.85 61.6 +3.5% +1.76% +5.33% +8.32% 🟡 Strong XLU Utilities $45.06 54.6 +1.5% +2.50% +2.55% -3.72% 🟡 Basing XLP Cons Staples $85.59 59.0 +1.7% +2.00% -0.36% +1.61% 🟡 Basing XLY Cons Discret $118.46 53.5 +0.6% +1.23% +1.84% +4.88% 🟡 Neutral XLB Materials $52.72 60.1 +3.5% +3.96% +4.98% +6.94% 🟡 Strong XLRE Real Estate $45.10 58.0 +1.5% +0.36% +3.09% +6.29% 🟡 Neutral XLC Comm Svcs $112.32 42.0 -1.3% +0.29% -3.98% -2.33% 🟡 Weakening
International ETF Region Price RSI vsSMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Signal EFA Dev Intl $104.31 59.2 +1.8% +0.32% +3.22% +7.71% 🟡 Strong EEM Emrg Mkts $68.64 56.7 +2.2% +4.87% +6.20% +17.43% 🟡 Strong VWO Emrg Mkts $60.16 54.9 +1.2% +3.29% +2.87% +8.87% 🟡 Neutral FXI China $34.56 40.8 -1.5% +0.83% -3.71% -5.63% 🟠 Weakening EWJ Japan $94.12 60.5 +2.5% +1.85% +4.08% +11.23% 🟡 Strong
Bonds ETF Type Price RSI vsSMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Signal TLT 20Y+ Treasury $86.19 59.5 +1.4% +0.84% +3.56% -0.29% 🟡 Basing IEF 7-10Y Treasury $94.52 57.2 +0.6% +0.55% +1.46% -0.76% 🟡 Basing HYG High Yield Corp $80.03 59.0 +0.4% +0.44% +1.14% +1.81% 🟡 Risk-on LQD Investment Grade $109.12 58.1 +0.6% +0.61% +1.74% +1.02% 🟡 Basing BND Total Bond $73.41 59.2 +0.6% +0.48% +1.33% +0.23% 🟡 Basing
Commodities & Volatility ETF Type Price RSI vsSMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Signal GLD Gold $397.63 43.5 -1.6% +0.05% -4.97% -13.42% 🟠 Pullback SLV Silver $63.39 44.6 -2.8% +4.79% -9.37% -11.54% 🟠 Pullback USO Oil $115.47 33.0 -13.9% -6.96% -22.65% -2.84% 🔴 Near oversold COPX Copper $89.79 57.0 +5.0% +9.05% +9.70% +15.25% 🟢 Strong UNG Nat Gas $11.76 55.6 +2.2% -0.52% +1.91% -3.61% 🟡 Neutral VIXY VIX Futures $21.82 34.8 -9.5% -7.77% -17.03% -29.34% 🟡 Complacency VXX VIX Short-term $22.57 34.3 -9.7% -7.82% -17.02% -29.45% 🟡 Complacency
Factors ETF Factor Price RSI vsSMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Signal VUG Growth $86.79 51.9 -0.7% +1.75% -0.34% +14.17% 🟡 Neutral VTV Value $218.03 69.0 +2.5% +2.05% +5.14% +9.99% 🟡 Strong MTUM Momentum $326.05 60.0 +3.7% +5.82% +10.90% +31.49% 🟡 Strong QUAL Quality $217.76 62.3 +1.5% +1.75% +3.43% +10.80% 🟡 Strong RSP Equal-Weight $212.17 63.4 +1.9% +1.58% +4.62% +8.69% 🟡 Breakout
Sector Proxies & Housing ETF Type Price RSI vsSMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% Signal SMH Semis $616.00 56.9 +2.9% +8.08% +12.79% +55.21% 🟡 Strong XBI Biotech $135.34 55.0 +2.4% +4.48% +6.01% +8.98% 🟡 Neutral XHB Homebuilders $109.84 63.7 +6.1% +1.17% +13.93% +7.93% 🟡 Bounce ITB Home Const $98.26 62.2 +5.4% +0.99% +12.46% +4.44% 🟡 Bounce
Tier Analysis Capitulation / Near-Oversold (RSI < 40)
USO VIXY /VXX XLE FXI
Near-Neutral / Watch (RSI 40–55)
XLC META /GOOGL drag pulling sector lowerVUG GLD /SLV XLU AI power thesis not yet re-rating XLU
Neutral-Strong (RSI 55–70)
XLF VTV SMH NVDA /AMD /MU driving; not overbought yetMTUM
Entry Zones Oil Watch (RSI 33 — Approaching Oversold) ETF Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Action Notes USO $115.47 <$110 33 ↓ -22.65% 🔍 Watch RSI approaching buy zone; thesis = OPEC+ cut surprise
Pullback Entries (Macro Hedges) ETF Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Action Notes GLD $397.63 <$380 43.5 -4.97% 🔍 Watch Macro hedge, -22% from 52wk high; wait for stabilization TLT $86.19 <$84 59.5 +3.56% 🔍 Watch Bonds basing; tail-risk hedge if vol reprices
Action Matrix Action ETF Why 🔒 HOLD SPY, QQQ, IWM Broad uptrend intact, RSI neutral, not chasing 🔒 HOLD SMH, XLK Semi/tech rip +55%/+34% 3M; don't add extended 🔒 HOLD MTUM, VTV Factor rotation to value/momentum playing out 🔍 WATCH USO Oil near oversold RSI 33; oil collapse or OPEC+ catalyst 🔍 WATCH GLD Gold -22% from high; macro hedge entry sub-$380 ⚠️ AVOID XLF RSI 71 approaching overbought; don't chase financials ⚠️ AVOID VTV RSI 69, near overbought; don't add value here ❌ DON'T BUY XLE Broken sector — energy in persistent downtrend; oil bear ❌ DON'T BUY VIXY/VXX Crushed vol; only buy as tail hedge with defined time/size ❌ DON'T BUY FXI/XLC China and Comm Svcs both in structural weakness
Cross-Group Read Risk-on macro with internal stress.
Breadth indicators (RSP RSI 63, IWM RSI 58) confirm broad participation — this is NOT a narrow large-cap rally. However, deep divergences inside tech are the main story: semiconductors and networking (SMH +55% 3M, ARM +211% 3M, MRVL +207% 3M) are in full rip mode while the legacy software/SaaS cohort (MSFT -29% from highs, CRM RSI 36, ADBE RSI 32) continues to deteriorate. Financials (XLF RSI 71) are overbought — earnings bar is high. Energy (XLE RSI 39, XLE -4.8% 3M) is the only sector in persistent breakdown, with oil (USO -22.6% 30D) now nearing an oversold read. Volatility has been crushed to multi-year lows (VIXY -29% 3M) — complacency is elevated. Housing (XHB /ITB +12-14% 30D) has bounced sharply but remains below 52wk highs. Gold pulling back -13% from ATH. Bonds basing — no panic in fixed income. Overall: stay long semis/industrials/value; don't chase financials; monitor oil for a reentry and gold for a macro hedge setup.
What Changed (vs Prior Scan) No prior 2026-06-16 market-pulse scan to compare. Last recorded market-pulse data was 2026-02-03. Key shifts since:
Semis/tech structural rip: SMH +55% 3M
MSFT /META collapse continues (-29%/-25% from highs)VIXY /VXX crushed — vol regime shift to complacencyEnergy in breakdown (XLE was neutral in Feb, now RSI 39)
Housing bounce unexpected: XHB /ITB +12-14% 30D
Key Discoveries Discovery Implication VIXY/VXX at RSI 34-35 Vol complacency extreme; size any risk-on positions with tail awareness XLC (Comm Svcs) RSI 42, -4% 30D META/GOOGL/TMUS drag pulling down the whole sector Copper (COPX) +9% 7D, +120% 1Y Infra demand signal; orthogonal to gold weakness
Open Questions
Does USO oversold RSI 33 mark the oil bottom, or is OPEC+ breakdown structural?
With VTV near 69 RSI, is value rotation maturing — rotate back to growth/QQQ lag?
XHB /ITB housing bounce: rate cut pricing or something durable?
No direct external sources are attached to this read.