Reason: This stays the desk's genuinely broken cohort: all five names are below their 200-day and every one carries negative one-year alpha. TJX is the deepest oversold (RSI 31.2, -11.94% month, -17.2% against its 200-day). CASY enters on the worst month in the group (-28.54%, RSI 23.8) and has the one dated cause here — its September 8 quarter. COST (-6.45% month, -5.99% year) and YUM (-5.44%, -5%) keep sliding; WMT is the only name with a positive year (+3.02%) and it is still -10.1% against its 200-day.

Price/RSI Table

Status reads the 200-day trend first and RSI second; Action is a trend-hold lens — an extended name is never an entry, and a name below its 200-day with a negative year is not a dip.

What Changed Since 2026-09-11

• TJX +0.97% on the week but -11.94% on the month at RSI 31.2, -17.2% against its 200-day, -9.07% on the year at alpha -24.08. Oversold inside a downtrend is not the same as oversold inside an uptrend.
• ENTRANT — CASY: -28.54% on the month at RSI 23.8, -35.61% off its high, -18.2% against its 200-day — on a still-positive +9.89% year. Its first-quarter fiscal 2027 print landed September 8 and a September 17 portal summary on its pull ties the drop to that result; the earnings date is on file, the reaction attribution is a portal summary only.
• COST -1.05% week, -6.45% month, -5.99% year at alpha -21, -6.8% against its 200-day. YUM -2.04% week, -5.44% month, -5% year, -10.6% against its 200-day.
• WMT -0.39% week and -6.62% month; the year is +3.02% with alpha -11.99 and the stock sits -10.1% against its 200-day — flat on the year while the index rose is its own verdict.
• No dropouts. The shape to keep: not one name here is a deep pullback in an intact trend. Five of five below the 200-day with negative alpha is a cohort that has lost its trend, and the 200-day is the reclaim level on each. TJX's last pull is September 11 and YUM's July 17 — news not pulled for those moves; COST's and CASY's completed September 17.

Sources

• Tape data (price, RSI, returns, one-year change and alpha, distance to the 200-day): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-18 close — retail (Schwab).
• Prior edition (format and roster only): 2026-09-11-retail.
• CASY print: 2026-09-08-casy-earnings; call summary capture 2026-09-09-yahoofinance-casey-s-general-stores-inc-q1-2027-earnings-call-summary-1-123000889-html.
• News checks: latest and .../CASY/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-09-17), .../WMT/news/latest.json (2026-09-16), .../TJX/news/latest.json (2026-09-11), .../YUM/news/latest.json (2026-07-17).