TJX — candidate.roundup

Update

TJX — candidate.roundup

Reason: COST reported fiscal fourth-quarter results after Thursday's close — net sales up 11.2% to $93.9 billion and full-year sales up 10.1% to $297.2 billion — and the stock still sits -3.9% under its 200-day and -2.18% on the year: an earnings beat inside a broken trend, the same pattern already seen in TJX and WMT. TJX's bounce faded, +2.22% on the week (down from +7.12%), still -15.1% against its 200-day. WMT (+1.17%) and YUM (+0.46%) drifted. CASY (+0.16%) remains the group's only deep-oversold read at RSI 27.5. Every name here remains below its 200-day.

Price/RSI Table

Stock Price 7D 30D 52wkHi 1Y vs 200-day RSI Status Action
TJX $130.06 +2.22% -4.95% -23.49% -8.06% -15.1% 40.5 🔴 Broken trend ❌ Don't buy
COST $922.77 +3.07% -3.49% -15.84% -2.18% -3.9% 52.3 🔴 Broken trend ❌ Don't buy
WMT $107.98 +1.17% +3.49% -20.11% +4.78% -8.9% 49.3 🟡 Trend under test 🔍 Watch
YUM $138.63 +0.46% -10.22% -18.52% -7.83% -10.1% 40.3 🔴 Broken trend ❌ Don't buy
CASY $598.46 +0.16% -25.85% -35.5% +10.19% -18.1% 27.5 🟡 Oversold, below 200-day 🔍 Watch

Status reads the 200-day trend first and RSI second; Action is a trend-hold lens — an extended name is never an entry, and a name below its 200-day with a negative year is not a dip.

What Changed Since 2026-09-23

  • COST: reported fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 results after the close on September 24 — net sales up 11.2% to $93.9 billion, fiscal-year sales up 10.1% to $297.2 billion, net income $2.998 billion. Even with the beat the stock is still -3.9% against its 200-day and -2.18% on the year — the same earnings-beat-inside-a-broken-trend pattern already flagged in TJX and WMT.
  • TJX: +2.22% week (down from +7.12% last week as the comp-sales beat gets digested), -4.95% month, -15.1% against its 200-day, -8.06% year. No new dated cause; its pull now sits on the same September 22 comp-sales release already on file.
  • WMT: +1.17% week, +3.49% month, still -8.9% against its 200-day; its pull (refreshed September 23) still carries the same tariff-refund-driven earnings beat already on file.
  • YUM: +0.46% week; its pull remains stale since July 17 — no news pulled for this week's move.
  • CASY: +0.16% week, RSI 27.5, remains the group's deepest oversold read and still -18.1% against its 200-day; its pull (refreshed September 22) resurfaces the already-known September 8 earnings recap.
  • The shape holds: not one name here is a deep pullback in an intact trend. Roster unchanged since September 23: no entrants, no dropouts.

Sources

  • Tape data (price, RSI, returns, one-year change and alpha, distance to the 200-day): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-25 close — retail (Schwab).
  • Prior edition (format and roster only): 2026-09-23-retail.
  • Costco's fiscal Q4/FY2026 print: 2026-09-24-cost-earnings.
  • News checks: latest (pulled 2026-09-25), .../COST/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-09-25), .../WMT/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-09-23), .../CASY/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-09-22), .../YUM/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-07-17, stale).
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.