TJX — candidate.roundup

Update

TJX — candidate.roundup

Reason: This cohort finally got real earnings behind its bounce, but the 200-day line has not moved. TJX reported comparable sales up 4% above plan and raised its annual profit forecast on September 22, adding 7.12% on the week — still -14.2% against its 200-day and -5.82% on the year. WMT (+2.82%) and Costco (+1.23%) both had dated print activity this week too, Walmart citing tariff-refund tailwinds; neither has reclaimed its 200-day. CASY (+1.41%) and YUM (+1.94%) drifted. Every name here remains below its 200-day with negative one-year alpha — earnings beats, not a trend change.

Price/RSI Table

Stock Price 7D 30D 52wkHi 1Y vs 200-day RSI Status Action
TJX $131.59 +7.12% -6.48% -22.59% -5.82% -14.2% 43.8 🔴 Broken trend ❌ Don't buy
WMT $110.53 +2.82% +3.79% -18.22% +7.81% -6.8% 57.6 🟡 Trend under test 🔍 Watch
COST $904.70 +1.23% -6.87% -17.49% -4.12% -5.8% 41.9 🔴 Broken trend ❌ Don't buy
YUM $140.63 +1.94% -10.63% -17.34% -5.9% -8.9% 42 🔴 Broken trend ❌ Don't buy
CASY $597.31 +1.41% -30.07% -35.62% +8.39% -18.2% 27 🟡 Oversold, below 200-day 🔍 Watch

Status reads the 200-day trend first and RSI second; Action is a trend-hold lens — an extended name is never an entry, and a name below its 200-day with a negative year is not a dip.

What Changed Since 2026-09-18

  • TJX +7.12% on the week: its own pull (refreshed September 22) carries a dated release — comparable sales up 4% above plan, pretax profit margin 13.3% (up 1.9 points), adjusted EPS $1.22 (up 11% year over year), $1.3B returned to shareholders, and a raised annual profit forecast. Oversold inside a downtrend is not the same as oversold inside an uptrend: still -14.2% against its 200-day and -5.82% on the year at alpha -21.59.
  • WMT +2.82% on the week: its pull (refreshed September 22) carries a dated release citing adjusted operating income up roughly 17% in constant currency, boosted about 750 basis points by tariff refunds, topping its guidance range and raising the full-year outlook. Still -6.8% against its 200-day; the year is +7.81% with alpha -7.96.
  • COST +1.23% on the week: its pull (refreshed September 22) carries an item recapping fiscal fourth-quarter results (membership revenue $1.373B); the snippet does not give a clear net verdict on the print, so this is flagged as a dated item without an asserted direction. Still -5.8% against its 200-day and -4.12% on the year.
  • YUM +1.94% on the week; its pull is stale since July 17 — no news pulled for this week's move.
  • CASY +1.41% on the week; its pull (refreshed September 22) resurfaces the already-known September 8 earnings recap — no new dated cause this week.
  • The shape holds: not one name here is a deep pullback in an intact trend. Roster unchanged: no entrants, no dropouts.

Sources

  • Tape data (price, RSI, returns, one-year change and alpha, distance to the 200-day): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-23 close — retail (Schwab).
  • Prior edition (format and roster only): 2026-09-18-retail.
  • News checks: latest, .../WMT/news/latest.json, .../COST/news/latest.json, .../CASY/news/latest.json (all pulled 2026-09-22), .../YUM/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-07-17, stale).
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.