Reason: Retail bounced: all five names rose on the week, led by $WMT and $YUM, and the wider retail lane closed 19 of 22 up on October 8. None reclaimed its 200-day; $COST is closest and has turned to basing, while $TJX, $COST and $YUM are flat on the year with negative alpha. These are bounces below the 200-day, not dips in intact trends; no dated cause is on file for any single name.

Price/RSI Table

As of 2026-10-09. Status reads the 200-day trend first and RSI second; Action is a trend-hold lens: an extended name is never an entry, and a name below its 200-day with a negative year is not a dip.

What Changed Since 2026-10-02

• COST: 1.7% under its 200-day with its short-term trend turned up and basing: the closest to a reclaim, on a +0.43% year.
• WMT: the best week in the group at +6.8%, still 5.8% under its 200-day on a +9.41% year with negative alpha.
• YUM: up 6.39% on the week, 5.8% under its 200-day on a +1.49% year.
• TJX: up 4.58% on the week to RSI 61.6, 8.8% under its 200-day; its one-year change is now flat (+0.14%).
• CASY: up 4.62% on the week but 12% under its 200-day and 30.35% under its high; still the only name with a double-digit positive year.
• No dated cause on file for any single move: news for TJX (pulled September 30), CASY (September 22) and YUM (July 17) was not pulled for this week's moves, and the COST (October 5) and WMT (October 7) pulls carry nothing on them; stock-events and the October 5-9 captures checked.
• Roster unchanged since October 2: no entrants, no dropouts.

Watch

COST's 200-day is the first reclaim to watch; a close above it on a flat year is a repair, not a trend. Until a name holds above its 200-day, none of this is a dip to buy.

Sources

• Tape data (price, RSI, returns, one-year change, distance to the 200-day): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-10-09 settled close, summaries (Massive/Polygon; Schwab for COST).
• Prior edition (format and roster only): 2026-10-02-retail.
• Event checks: research/stock-events/ (nothing dated October 5-9 for these names), the 2026-10-08 market brief under research/issues/ (retail lane count), research/capture/ for October 5-9 (no October 9 article or social captures on file; Walmart Form 4 filings only); news receipts under stocks/news/latest.json` (pull dates above).