IRDM — candidate.roundup
IRDM — candidate.roundup
Reason: Space fell as a lane on October 7 and October 8 (1 of 11 and 0 of 11 up per the desk's briefs), and $ASTS fell 10.47% on Friday, October 9, the first full session after SpaceX agreed to buy 800 MHz spectrum to make Starlink a mobile carrier (CNBC, October 8); the October 8 brief recorded AST SpaceMobile trading lower after hours on that news. $IRDM stays the only intact long trend; $ASTS, $RKLB and $LUNR sit below their 200-day lines.
Price/RSI Table
| Stock | Price | 7D | 30D | 52wkHi | 1Y | vs 200-day | RSI | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRDM | 47.47 | -3.04 | 0.87 | -16.98 | 140.72 | 25.7 | 46.1 | 🟢 Intact trend | 🔒 Hold |
| ASTS | 50.97 | -12.8 | -18.34 | -61.92 | -41.27 | -36.9 | 35.7 | 🔴 Below 200-day | ❌ Don't Buy |
| RKLB | 68.21 | -7.72 | 8.15 | -54.83 | 2.69 | -16.4 | 46.3 | 🔴 Below 200-day | ❌ Don't Buy |
| LUNR | 13.19 | -10.33 | -11.71 | -71.79 | 3.53 | -34.9 | 39 | 🔴 Below 200-day | ⚠️ Speculative |
As of 2026-10-09. Status reads the 200-day trend first and RSI second; Action is a trend-hold lens: an extended name is never an entry, and a name below its 200-day with a negative year is not a dip.
What Changed Since 2026-10-02
- ASTS: down 12.8% on the week, including 6.13% on October 8 before the spectrum news and 10.47% on Friday after it. It is 36.9% under its 200-day on a −41.27% year: broken.
- RKLB: down 7.72% on the week (4.18% on October 7 and 4.89% on October 8 per the market briefs, cause unknown), 16.4% under its 200-day on a +2.69% year with negative alpha; the long-trend read is rated broken, and the action moves from watch to don't buy.
- LUNR: down 10.33% on the week, 71.79% under its high.
- IRDM: down 3.04% on the week with a weak short-term trend, but 25.7% above its 200-day on a +140.72% year.
- SpaceX itself fell 2.51% on October 7 after reported $40 billion GPU financing talks (CNBC) and 4.19% on October 8 before its after-hours spectrum bounce (market briefs).
- Roster unchanged since October 2: no entrants, no dropouts.
Watch
The FCC is scheduled to vote October 29 on seeking comment on 482 MHz more spectrum for coverage from space (CNBC, per the October 8 brief). IRDM holding its 200-day keeps the lane's one intact trend; Iridium is scheduled to report October 22 (provider estimate).
Sources
- Tape data (price, RSI, returns, one-year change, distance to the 200-day): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-10-09 settled close, summaries (Massive/Polygon; Schwab for LUNR).
- Prior edition (format and roster only): 2026-10-02-space.
- Event checks:
research/stock-events/(nothing dated October 5-9 for these names), the 2026-10-07 and 2026-10-08 market briefs underresearch/issues/(lane counts, SpaceX moves and the after-hours note),research/capture/for October 5-9 (no October 9 article or social captures on file); news receipts under stocks/news/latest.json` (ASTS and IRDM pulled 2026-10-08, before Friday's session; RKLB and LUNR 2026-09-26). - Primary links: CNBC, SpaceX spectrum — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/08/spacex-spectrum-license-att-verizon-tmobile.html; CNBC, SpaceX GPU financing — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/07/spacex-nvidia-chips-apollo-financing.html.
Related
10 eventsSource links
Tweets, videos, filings, articles, and source pages tied to this read.